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The New York Yankees (73-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-72) are slated to tangle Thursday for a doubleheader to wrap up a 4-game set. First pitch for the nightcap from Fenway Park is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
(Records, trends and stats do not include the 1st game of Thursday’s doubleheader.)
Season series: Red Sox lead 8-3
New York swept the BoSox in a low-scoring Tuesday twin bill, prevailing by scores of 3-2 and 4-1 in the day-night affair at Fenway Park. The Tuesday action stopped the bleeding of a 7-game losing skid vs. Boston.
The Red Sox are just 1-6 over their last 7 games and 4-11 across their last 15. The Crimson Hose are 1-8 with a 6.58 ERA over their last 9 home games.
Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. LHP Brandon Walter (unconfirmed)
Schmidt (9-8, 4.54 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3R, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home win vs. Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.29 ERA in 63 IP across 13 starts
- 3 career starts vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 2.87 ERA in 15 2/3 IP
Walter (0-0, 7.2 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st start. He has logged a 1.85 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 20 IP across 8 relief outings.
- Recalled Walter from Triple-A Worcester on Wednesday. Has been shuttled between the Red Sox and Triple-A this season; owns a 4.75 ERA, 1.47 WHIP in 89 IP at Triple-A.
- Likely to serve as an opener for Boston with the Red Sox backing him up with available arms based on Thursday’s 1st game
- Has allowed 11 R on 13 H and 3 BB in his last 5 1/3 IP with Boston (Sept. 1-8)
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Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Red Sox -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+142) | Red Sox +1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
Moneyline
Monday’s scheduled game was rained out. Then New York and Boston played a Tuesday twin bill. And then Wednesday’s contest got wiped out.
Heading into Thursday — even after the schedule hiccups — the Yanks have the momentum of the series and Boston is in the throes of a slump. There is plenty of daylight in Schmidt’s actual-vs.-expected results over the last 5 weeks or so. He has been especially undone by some unkind rates around the margins and a 5.00 ERA since Aug. 1 is not justified.
BACK THE YANKEES (-108).
Run line/Against the spread
This play adds some extra juice. PASS.
Over/Under
The Yankees have hit the Under in 25 of their last 44 road games (+6.35 units, 13% ROI).
Both clubs are beat up, well back in the AL East standings and figure to be in rest-some-stars mode. Look for a few extra plate appearances going to youngsters being tested at the Major League level.
BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-120).
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