New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (88-72) take on the Atlanta Braves (88-72) in the 1st game of a doubleheader Monday at Truist Park. First pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-5

The Mets, Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks are in limbo for 2 playoff spots. The D-Backs can only be the 6th seed or miss the playoffs entirely.

  • The Mets make the playoffs by either splitting or sweeping the doubleheader.
  • The Braves make the playoffs by either splitting or sweeping the doubleheader.
  • The Diamondbacks make the playoffs if either the Mets or Braves sweep the doubleheader.

The Mets were one of the hottest teams in the league down the stretch, but they dropped 3 in a row before beating the Milwaukee Brewers 5-0 Sunday. They are 42-37 on the road this season. 1B Pete Alonso, aka the Polar Bear, has gone into hibernation recently. He’s 1-for-13 (.077) with 5 K’s over the last 7 days.

The Braves were left for dead after catastrophic injuries decimated them all season. They won 5 of 6 to put them into position where a victory punches their ticket. After battling injuries all season, OF Michael Harris is 6-for-15 (.400) with a homer and 2 RBIs over the last 7 days.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Megill (4-6, 3.98 ERA) makes his 15th start (16th appearance). He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 72 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home win Sept. 22 against Philadelphia Phillies
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-4, 4.94 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP (9 GS, 10 games)

Schwellenbach (8-7, 3.47 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 116 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home victory Tuesday against Mets
  • Last 3 starts: 3-0, 1.89 ERA, 15 K in 19 IP
  • 2 career starts vs. Mets: 2-0, 0.64 ERA, 0.43 WHIP, 15 K in 14 IP

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

Both teams are going to pull out all stops to win this one. The Braves have ace Chris Sale lined up for Game 2, but I would imagine he would be pushed back to the Wild Card round if they, scratch that, when they take this one. Schewellenbach has been great in his last 3 starts, and he has only had 1 bad start in his last 7 with a 2.41 ERA to boot.

The BRAVES -155 are right at the threshold of a ML play.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re going with MARCELL OZUNA OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIS (-155) here. He’s 6-for-12 (.500) with 2 homers and a double off of Megill. He has been the team’s MVP on offense, and he delivers Monday.

Over/Under

It’s 76 degrees with an 8-mph wind blowing in from right-center. The Over has cashed in 4 of the last 10 meetings. The Mets are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, but the Braves are just 2-7-1. I think the wind and the intensity keep this one UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, ppd.

Wednesday’s and Thursday’s Mets at Braves games were postponed due to Hurricane Helene and will be made up as a doubleheader Monday.

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Update 6:13 p.m. ET: Wednesday game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves was postponed due to heavy rains ahead of Hurricane Helene. Thursday’s game was also postponed. While the regular season was scheduled to end Sunday, the Mets and Braves will make up the 2 games with a traditional doubleheader in Atlanta Monday, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published Sept. 25, 1:39 a.m. ET)

The New York Mets (87-70) and Atlanta Braves (86-71) play the middle game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-5

The Mets could not get the bats going in a 5-1 loss against the Braves on Tuesday night. 3B Mark Vientos‘ solo HR was the only offense New York could muster. They are currently 2nd in the NL Wild Card race, a half-game up on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Atlanta’s much-needed win moved them 1 game behind the Mets and a half-game behind Arizona for the 3rd Wild Card spot. Starter Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 1 ER in 7 IP and CF Michael Harris II went 3-for-4 with a HR, a double and 2 RBI. DH Marcell Ozuna also parked his 39th homer of the season.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Chris Sale

Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home victory against Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.88 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Last start vs. Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 9-2 road loss July 28
  • Career vs. Braves: 3-5, 5.33 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 30 ER) 47 H, 22 BB, 64 K) in 11 appearance (10 starts)

Sale (18-3, 2.38 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 177 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 15-3 win at Cincinnati Reds Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 10-0, 2.28 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 23 R (22 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Last start vs. Mets: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 road loss July 25
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 2.70 ERA (23 IP, 7 ER) 13 H, 5 BB, 31 K) in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

PASS.

It’s really hard to bet against the Braves (-190) when Sale is on the mound, so I won’t do it. I’ll look to the run line to put a wager down on this game.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+120).

Atlanta is in a tight race for the postseason, and playing at home, where the Braves are 43-33, gives them a key advantage. With the likely NL Cy Young winner starting, Sale brings a perfect record at Truist Park (10-0) and has surrendered just 3 ER over his last 4 home outings (26 IP).

On the other side, Peterson has had a rough time against Atlanta, holding a 1-3 record and a 5.02 ERA in his last 5 starts against them. With everything on the line, the Braves are set to secure a critical win.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 6 of their last 8 meetings, highlighting a pattern of low-scoring contests. The Mets have gone Under in their last 2 games, while the Braves have seen the same in 4 of their last 6 games. Sale has been outstanding, not allowing more than 2 ER in a game since June 1, and the Under has cashed in 4 of his last 6 starts.

Meanwhile, Peterson has kept his runs allowed low, giving up more than 2 ER in a game just twice in his last 10 outings. With both pitchers in great form, a pitching duel seems likely, making the Under a solid bet.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (87-69) and Atlanta Braves (85-71) open a critical 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

New York came away with a 2-1 win over Philadelphia Sunday while covering as a +122 home underdog. New York has won back-to-back games and went 6-1 in its just-concluded 7-game homestand. The Mets hold the 2nd Wild Card spot and are 2 games ahead of the Braves.

Atlanta escaped with a 5-4 win over the Miami Marlins Sunday while covering as a -185 road favorite. RF Jorge Soler hit the tie-breaking RBI single in the 7th won it. The Braves have 2 straight games and return home for the final 6 games of the season. Atlanta is 1 1/2 games behind Arizona for the 3rd and final Wild card spot.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Severino (11-6, 3.79 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 178 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 10-6 outing vs. Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 1-1, 3.15 ERA (20 IP, 7 ER), 20 H, 10 BB, 20 K in 4 starts

Schwellenbach (7-7, 3.61 ERA) makes his 20th career start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 109 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-1 outing at Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Braves -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 7, Braves 4

Moneyline

BET METS (+115).

New York has won 6 of its last 7 games and is 7-3 in its last 10 while the Braves have lost their last 2 games at home and are 6-4 in their last 10.

The Mets have also played Atlanta very well as of late, being 3-2 in the last 5 overall matchups and 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Mets to cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but as currently set, the risk of betting on this line is not worth the reward. I recommend betting on the moneyline and/or total instead, but if you’re okay with the risk, you can divvy up units between the spread and ML plays.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 road games and is 5-1 in its last 6 overall. For Atlanta, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 at home. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meeting between these squads and is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (4-7) and Atlanta Braves (7-3) wrap up what was originally scheduled as a 4-game series Thursday at Truist Park following Wednesday’s postponement. First pitch for the finale is scheduled for 12:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mets scored an 8-7 win Monday as a heavy underdog (+195) as the Over (10) easily cashed. The Braves returned the favor 6-5 Tuesday as the favorite cashed (-176), while the Over (9) again cashed. Wednesday’s game was rained out and it will be made up Sept. 26.

After an 0-5 start, the Mets have picked up the pace with 4 wins in the past 6 outings. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games.

The Braves have won 4 of the past 5 games with 3 of the victories by 1 run. The Over has connected in 4 of the past 5 games, including both meetings in this series, while the Over is 7-2-1 in Atlanta’s 10 games.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Allan Winans

Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start in 2024. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9, 7.0 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 3-2 win last Friday in Cincinnati
  • Last start vs. Braves: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 7-0 loss in Atlanta on Aug. 23, 2023

Winans (1-2, 5.29 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start in 2024. He had a 1.39 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 9.5 K/9 in 32 1/3 IP in his first 6 major-league starts in 2023.

  • 2023 home splits: 0-1, 8.44 ERA (16 IP, 15 ER — 5 HR), 3 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
  • 2023 vs. Mets: 1-1, 5.56 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 7 ER — 2 HR), 3 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

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Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Braves 4

Moneyline

The METS (+140) are a decent play moderate underdogs behind the veteran Quintana against the unproven Winans.

The Braves (-165) saw mixed results from Winans in his 6 starts last season, including 2 outings against the Mets. He twirled 7 scoreless innings at Citi Field Aug. 12, then he was bombarded for 7 ER, 9 H and 2 HR in just 4 1/3 IP in a loss Aug. 21.

Quintana has fired out of the gate this season, allowing just 3 ER in 10 1/3 IP in 2 starts. He has walked 6 batters, and that’s a little bit of a concern.

Run line/Against the spread

The METS +1.5 (-135) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance and would prefer not to pick them straight up.

Remember, in the past 4 victories by the Braves, they have won 3 of those games by just a single run. So, playing New York makes sense based upon that trend, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-115) is worth a look, as this number is quite high despite the fact we saw the Over cashed in the first 2 games of the series. Go lightly, however, with a half-unit play at most.

While the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games, the Under has hit in each of Quintana’s 2 outings.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (4-7) take on the Atlanta Braves (7-3) Wednesday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Truist Park at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mets put up a fight Tuesday night, but fell just short 6-5. The Braves were up 6-0, and New York posted 3 runs in the 8th and 2 runs in the 9th. The Mets have won 4 of 6 after an 0-5 start. The bats have been frigid with 1B Pete Alonso hitting .196, and SS Francisco Lindor is hitting .089.

The Braves are navigating some serious injuries already with C Sean Murphy (oblique) and RHP Spencer Strider (elbow) already on the IL. They have one of the most talented rosters in baseball, though, and are pushing through it with 4 wins in 5 games. DH Marcell Ozuna leads the way with a .318 AVG, 5 HR and 13 RBI.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Allan Winans

Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
  • Last 5 starts vs. ATL: 0-5, 6.23 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 22 K in 26 IP

Winans makes his 1st appearance in MLB this season.

  • He made 1 start at Triple-A Gwinnett April 2 against Louisville: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K
  • 2 career starts vs. Mets: 1-1, 5.56 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 13 K in 11 1/3 IP

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Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Mets 5

Moneyline

The Braves boast the best offense in the league with 6.9 R/ game. Take that into account with Quintana’s futility in his last 5 starts against them, and the Braves should be heavier favorites. The reason they aren’t is the unknown on the bump. However, their offense should be able to overcome that, and Quintana has allowed 2+ walks in both of his starts this year and in 4 of his last 5 against ATL.

You can take the -160 here, but I prefer the RL.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have covered in 4 of their 7 wins this season. They have covered this RL in 5 of their last 7 wins against the Mets. There should be a lot of traffic on the basepaths early, and it will be up to Atlanta’s pen to cash this.

I’ll take the value with BRAVES -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

Both games in this series have gone Over, and the pitching matchup doesn’t give me any evidence to look elsewhere. The Over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between the teams. The Braves are 7-2-1 O/U in their 10 games as well.

Take the OVER 9.5 (-115).

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (4-6) hope to make it 3 wins in a row as they take on the Atlanta Braves (5-2) Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

After falling behind 4-0 in Monday’s series opener, the Mets battled back to win 8-7 thanks to CF Brandon Nimmo‘s performance. The 31-year-old clubbed 2 HRs and drove in 5 runs and DH D.J. Stewart‘s 2-run HR in the 8th put the Mets ahead for good.

Braves SP Charlie Morton went 3 scoreless innings before allowing a Starling Marte RBI in the 4th followed by Nimmo’s 1st HR in the 5th. Braves DH Marcell Ozuna blasted a 2-run HR in the 3rd inning, his 5th of the season, tied for the most in MLB.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Houser (0-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 5.40 BB/9 and 5.40 K/9 in 5 IP.

  • Despite completing three 1-2-3 innings in 5 IP, he was lifted after only 67 pitches in his 1st start of year vs. the Detroit Tigers.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-4, 4.88 ERA (27.2 IP, 15 ER 3 HR 14 BB 26 Ks in 5 starts)

Lopez (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.00 BB/9 and 7.50 K/9 in 6 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K last Tuesday vs. his former team, the Chicago White Sox
  • After 5-plus seasons in the bullpen (144 games, 3.01 ERA), the 30-year-old has transitioned back to starter (98 games, 4.70 ERA)

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Mets at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +172 (bet $100 to win $172) | Braves -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Mets +1.5 (-118) | Braves -1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Atlanta 6, New York 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Too much juice to back Atlanta on their own, but if you like the Rangers on the ML (-198) at home against Oakland with SP Nathan Eovaldi on the mound, pairing Braves ML with Texas pays roughly +125.

Run line

BET ATLANTA -1.5 (-102).

Ozuna has 4 HRs in his last 5 games and SS Orlando Arcia is the NL leader in batting average (.417). Atlanta’s lineup can become sharks in the water, with reigning NL MVP Ronald Acuna leading off and 1B Matt Olson 2nd in the NL in doubles. Once Atlanta establishes the lead, expect their bullpen, which sports an NL-best 2.68 ERA, to limit the Mets bats unlike Monday.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-106).

The Mets have won 4 of 5 because hitters like Nimmo, who has bumped up his OBP to .395 after starting the year 1 for 16 with 5 strikeouts and 1 walk. While Lopez was effective in his 1st start, it was against the lowly White Sox.

The Braves lead MLB in team batting average (.303), and their usual top 6 hitters in the lineup (Acuna, 2B Ozzie Albies, 3B Austin Riley, Olson, Ozuna and CF Michael Harris II) all have OBPs above .300. Expect both offenses to produce enough to go Over the total.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (3-6) and Atlanta Braves (6-2) meet Monday to open up a 4-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Atlanta won 10-3 last season

New York beat the Cincinnati Reds 3-1 Sunday while covering as a -114 road favorite to win the series 2-1. LHP Sean Manaea got the win, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H with 6 K. The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 outings.

Atlanta picked up a 5-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday, winning the series 3-0 and covering as a -238 home favorite. Sunday’s contest was tied at 2 entering the bottom of the 4th, when CF Michael Harris II hit a solo homer to give Atlanta the lead.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Julio Teheran vs. RHP Charlie Morton

The Mets signed Teheran to a 1-year deal on Friday. Teheran (3-5, 4.40 ERA) made 11 starts and 3 relief appearances as a member of the Milwaukee Brewers last season. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 71 2/3 IP.

  • 2023 road splits: 1-4, 6.61 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 42 H, 5 BB, 16 K in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 0-1, 8.18 ERA (11 IP, 10 ER), 14 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 2 starts

Morton (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 5 2/3 IP.

  • 2023 home splits: 7-5, 3.23 ERA (75 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 62 H, 30 BB, 91 K in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 6-6, 3.58 ERA (118 IP, 47 ER), 107 H, 43 BB, 120 K in 21 starts and 1 relief appearance

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Mets at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:19 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +176 (bet $100 to win $176) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-111) | Braves -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Mets 1

Moneyline

PASS. 

I like the Braves (-210) to come away with the win, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BRAVES -1.5 (-108).

Atlanta has been the much better team to start the season and covered ATS in its last matchup vs. New York. The Braves are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Mets.

New York is only 2-7 ATS to start the season, making this bet even safer. But this is only a lean because the Braves are only 4-4 ATS on the season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 of New York’s last 4 games and is 6-3 for the Mets this season. For Atlanta, the Under hit in its last outing. The Under has also hit in back-to-back Atlanta-New York matchups and is 3-2 in Atlanta’s last 5 wins vs. the Mets.

Be aware that the Over is 5-2-1 for the Braves this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (59-68) and Atlanta Braves (81-44) play the finale of a 3-game set at Truist Park Wednesday. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 9-3

The Mets have split the 1st 2 games of this series after a 3-2 loss Tuesday night. They have shown signs of life of late, going 7-3 in the last 10. They are 7 games out of the final Wild Card, which isn’t insurmountable, but still unlikely.

The Braves continue to roll full speed ahead at 7-3 in the last 10 and 19-11 over the last 30 games. They have a 12 1/2-game lead over the Philadelphia Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 15-8 against left-handed pitchers. This is the last meeting between the teams in the regular season.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Quintana (1-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 35 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 4-2 win Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals
  • Last 5 regular season starts vs. Braves: 0-4, 7.83 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, 18 K in 23 IP

Morton (12-10, 3.54 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 134 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K in Wednesday’s 2-0 win against New York Yankees
  • Last 5 regular season starts vs. Mets: 2-1, 3.81 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 32 K in 26 IP

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Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-115) | Braves -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

Quintana has been rock solid this season, not allowing more than 3 ER in any start thus far. He’ll keep the Mets in the game, but the Braves have too much at their disposal. We’re not going to pay -200, though.

Head to the Win/Total section, and take MONEY LINE AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 2 OR MORE RUNS: BRAVES AND YES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets have been playing well, but the Braves have owned them this season. The Mets are just 28-40 on the RL on the road as well. I do think they can keep it close, but it’s not something I’d like to throw down on.

One prop bet I do like is concerning Quintana. He has gone at least 6 innings in all but 1 start this year. He did so against the Braves a couple of weeks ago. QUINTANA OVER 15.5 OUTS (+100) is a good bet as he’ll just need to get 1 out in the 6th.

Over/Under

This is a pretty tall number for the caliber of pitching we should see Wednesday night. The Over is 5-5 for the Mets and 4-6 for the Braves over the last 10. It’s also 5-5 head-to-head the last 10 games.

I’ll LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (59-67) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (80-44) on Tuesday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 8-3

The Mets defeated the Braves 10-4 Monday as OF DJ Stewart, OF Rafael Ortega, and SS Francisco Lindor all homered. New York has won 5 of its last 6 contests, but it remains in 4th place in the NL East race.

In Monday’s lopsided loss to the Mets, DH Marcell Ozuna hit 2 solo HRs  for the Braves. Atlanta has lost 2 straight games, however, it is still 12 1/2 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for 1st place in the NL East.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Megill (7-6, 5.53 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 86 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 5 K in an 8-3 home win against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday
  • Road stats: 2-4, 8.20 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 34 ER) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-2, 4.66 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 19 ER) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance

Elder (9-4, 3.46 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 138 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 5-0 victory over the New York Yankees last Tueaday
  • Home stats: 5-1, 3.12 ERA (75 IP, 26 ER) in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 7.56 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

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Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (+105) | Braves -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Mets 4

Moneyline

It’s hard to see the Braves losing 3 straight games, but I’ll PASS on wagering on the costly moneyline in this divisional showdown.

Run line/Against the spread

After getting blown out on Monday, I’ll take the BRAVES -1.5 (-125) at home on Tuesday with Elder on the mound. The Braves have defeated the Mets by at least 2 runs in 7 of their 8 wins against their division rivals this season.

Over/Under

OVER 10.5 (-115) is the lean in this matchup as Megill has been giving up runs often this season. Megill has surrendered at least 4 ER in 3 of his last 4 starts.

Since the start of August, the Braves boast the 3rd-best ISO (.217), the best wOBA (.372), and the 2nd-best wRC+ (132) against right-handed pitching. On top of that, the Over is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (58-67) open a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (80-43) on Monday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 8-2

The Mets had a 4-game win streak snapped with a 7-3 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday. New York is still 23 games behind Atlanta in the NL East despite that it went 6-4 in its last 10 contests, and remains 7 games back of an NL Wild Card.

The Braves fell to the San Francisco Giants 4-3 on Sunday, snapping a 5-game win streak. Atlanta is 8-2 in its last 10 games and is 13 1/2 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for 1st place in the division. The Braves are expected to get a spot start RHP Allan Winans in Monday’s contest.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Allan Winans

Peterson (3-7, 5.45 ERA) makes his 15th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 72 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 5 K in 7-4 home loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 1-5, 7.75 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 33 ER) in 8 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Braves: 3-4, 4.83 ERA (41 IP, 22 ER) in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance

Winans (1-0, 1.59 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 11 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 21-3 victory over the Mets on Aug. 12
  • Will make his first home start of the season

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Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Mets 3

Moneyline

While the Braves should take care of business at home on Monday, just AVOID their moneyline in this game at over -200 odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BRAVES -1.5 (-115) is the play in this NL East bout as Atlanta boasts the best ISO (.240), the best wOBA (.379) and the 2nd-best wRC+ (137) against left-handed pitching since the start of July. The Braves have won by at least 2 runs in 7 of their 8 wins against the Mets this season.

Over/Under

UNDER 10 (-115) is the lean in this game despite the Braves being capable of hitting the Over themselves. However, the Over is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings overall and Winans should limit New York’s lineup for a 2nd time this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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