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The New York Mets (58-67) open a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (80-43) on Monday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 8-2
The Mets had a 4-game win streak snapped with a 7-3 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday. New York is still 23 games behind Atlanta in the NL East despite that it went 6-4 in its last 10 contests, and remains 7 games back of an NL Wild Card.
The Braves fell to the San Francisco Giants 4-3 on Sunday, snapping a 5-game win streak. Atlanta is 8-2 in its last 10 games and is 13 1/2 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for 1st place in the division. The Braves are expected to get a spot start RHP Allan Winans in Monday’s contest.
Mets at Braves projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Allan Winans
Peterson (3-7, 5.45 ERA) makes his 15th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 72 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 5 K in 7-4 home loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
- 2023 road stats: 1-5, 7.75 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 33 ER) in 8 starts and 2 relief appearances
- Career vs. Braves: 3-4, 4.83 ERA (41 IP, 22 ER) in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance
Winans (1-0, 1.59 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 11 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 21-3 victory over the Mets on Aug. 12
- Will make his first home start of the season
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Mets at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Mets 3
Moneyline
While the Braves should take care of business at home on Monday, just AVOID their moneyline in this game at over -200 odds.
Run line/Against the spread
BRAVES -1.5 (-115) is the play in this NL East bout as Atlanta boasts the best ISO (.240), the best wOBA (.379) and the 2nd-best wRC+ (137) against left-handed pitching since the start of July. The Braves have won by at least 2 runs in 7 of their 8 wins against the Mets this season.
Over/Under
UNDER 10 (-115) is the lean in this game despite the Braves being capable of hitting the Over themselves. However, the Over is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings overall and Winans should limit New York’s lineup for a 2nd time this season.
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