Tag: MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (39-120) and Detroit Tigers (85-74) meet Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the White Sox vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Detroit leads 9-1

Chicago dismantled the Los Angeles Angels 7-0 Thursday while covering as a +118 home underdog. The White Sox were able to avoid what would be a record-breaking 121st loss thanks to a 7-run 5th inning. RHP Chris Flexen got the win (6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K).

Detroit escaped with a 4-3 win over the Tampa Bay Rays Thursday while covering as a -149 home favorite. The Tigers are locked into a 3-team AL Central race for the final 2 Wild Card playoff spots.

Detroit’s win keeps the Tigers tied with Kansas City while Minnesota is 2 1/2 games behind.

White Sox at Tigers projected starters

LHP Garrett Crochet vs. Undecided

Crochet (6-12, 3.68 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.9 K/9 in 142 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 8 K in a 3-2 loss at San Diego Padres Friday
  • Career vs. Detroit: 0-1, 2.25 ERA (16 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 12 BB, 21 K in 8 appearances (1 start)

No Detroit pitcher announced at time of publishing.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

White Sox at Tigers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Tigers -164 (bet $164 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-154) | Tigers -1.5 (+128)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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White Sox at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, White Sox 1

Moneyline

PASS. 

The Tigers will pick up the win here as -164 favorites and give Chicago its record-breaking loss, but Detroit is not worth the risk of betting on as such a heavy favorite.

I recommend betting on the spread and/or O/U instead of this bet, but if you are okay with the risk associated with this bet, you can divvy up units between the ML and spread.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN TIGERS -1.5 (+128).

Detroit is the hotter team and has dominated Chicago this season, winning 9 of 10 matchups and not allowing the White Sox to finish within 1 run in any of Detroit’s last 5 wins vs. Chicago.

This is a lean because Chicago has finished within 1 run of the Tigers in 4 of its last 9 losses to Detroit and because the White Sox do not want to break the record for most losses in a season, so they have motivation in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-122).

The Under has hit in 4-straight for Chicago and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 overall. For Detroit, the Under is 3-0-1 in its last 4 at home and 3-0-1 in its last 4 overall. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meetings in Detroit.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (88-71) and Minnesota Twins (82-77) begin a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Target Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

The Orioles were thumped 10-1 in their series finale against the New York Yankees on Thursday night. RHP Corbin Burnes struck out 9 over 5 innings, but the bullpen allowed 7 ER over the next 2 innings. The Orioles need 1 win or 1 Detroit Tigers loss to clinch the top AL Wild Card spot.

The Twins lost 8-6 to the Miami Marlins in 13 innings on Thursday. A pinch-hit 2-run double from Brooks Lee in the 8th inning forced extra innings. SS Carlos Correa went 3-for-5 with a solo HR. Minnesota is 3 games back in the race for the final AL Wild Card spot.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

LHP Cade Povich vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Povich (2-9, 5.59 ERA) makes his 16th career start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 74 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-4 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-5, 9.75 ERA (24 IP, 26 ER), 1.88 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 9 starts
  • First time facing Twins

Lopez (15-9, 4.11 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 179 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 8-1 loss at Boston Red Sox Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 7-4, 3.64 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 39 R (33 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Last start vs. Orioles: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 4-2 road loss April 17
  • Career vs. Orioles: 3-0, 1.06 ERA (17 IP, 2 ER) 7 H, 3 BB, 20K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-145) | Twins -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Orioles 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Twins (-175) taking this game, but I’m not paying all that juice, I’ll look to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TWINS -1.5 (+120).

The Orioles are just a win (or a Detroit Tigers loss) away from securing the top AL Wild Card position, but the Twins are in a do-or-die situation—if they lose, they’re done.

This is exactly why Minnesota traded for Lopez. He’s been clutch when it counts, going 4-1 in his last 6 starts and allowing only 2 ER per outing.

Meanwhile, the Orioles’ starter Povich has been a mess on the road. He’s 1-4 in his last 7 starts and has a brutal 10 ERA away from home. He hasn’t won a road game all season (0-5), and with everything on the line for the Twins, they should cover the spread with Lopez on the mound.

Over/Under

PASS.

I do not like this number and don’t have a great feeling either way. The trends are very 50/50 when it comes to the O/U. I’ll just avoid and keep my bet to the moneyline.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) visit the Washington Nationals (69-90) Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-2

Philadelphia beat the Chicago Cubs 9-6 Wednesday while covering as a -213 home favorite. The Phillies are locked into a tight battle with the LA Dodgers for the top seed in the NL playoff with Philadelphia a half-game back.

Washington lost 7-4 to the Kansas City Royals Thursday as a +150 home underdog. The Nationals have lost 9 of their last 10 games.

Phillies at Nationals projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Trevor Williams

Suarez (12-7, 3.15 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 6-3 loss at the New York Mets Saturday
  • Career vs. Washington: 7-1, 3.64 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 8 appearances (1 start)

Williams (5-1, 2.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 3-1 outing vs. the Chicago Cubs Friday
  • Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-4, 5.29 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (9 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Phillies will pick up the win as -185 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites.

While I do recommend passing here and betting on the spread and/or total instead, because I expect the Phillies to win by such a healthy margin, it is okay if you choose to divvy up units between this bet and the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-110).

Philadelphia has dominated Washington winning 8 of 10 meetings and only allowing the Nationals to finish within 1 run in 2 of those 8 wins.

The Nationals are also only 1-9 in their last 10 overall and have only finished within 1 run of their opponent in 3 of those 9 losses.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).

The Under has hit in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games and is 2-1 in its last 3 at home. The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 Philadelphia-Washington meetings in the Nation’s Capital.

This is a lean because the Over is 5-3-2 in Philly’s last 10 overall.

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Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (86-73) and Cleveland Guardians (92-67) meet Friday as they swing into a 3-game series. The opening pitch at Progressive Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Astros vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 2-1

Houston had an 8-2 stretch earlier this month (Sept. 12-21), but the Astros have scuffled over recent days, going 1-3 over their last 4 games. Houston clinched its division Tuesday and is locked into the No. 3 seed in the American League.

Cleveland has been finishing strong after a sloppy start to the 2nd half. The Guardians went 17-21 July 19-Aug. 27. The AL Central champs and potential No. 1 seed in the AL playoffs are 17-9 since. Cleveland is 1 game back of the New York Yankees for the No. 1 seed in the AL, but the Yankees have the tiebreaker over the Guardians.

Astros at Guardians projected starters

LHP Ronel Blanco vs. RHP Joey Cantillo

Blanco (12-6, 2.88 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 162 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 10-4 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Saturday
  • Owns 0.95 ERA over his last 19 IP
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-0, 1 home start (Aug. 2, 2023), 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 3-2 win

Cantillo (2-3, 4.63 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start and 9th appearance. He owns a 1.20 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 35 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-2 home win in 10 innings vs. Minnesota Twins Sept. 19
  • Has never faced Astros

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Astros at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:18 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Guardians -125 (bet $125 to win $118)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+165) | Guardians +1.5 (-225)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Astros at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

Houston — with just a 39-43 mark against clubs that are .500 or better — is capable of pedestrian road numbers at times. The Astros own a .671 OPS over their last 14 road games.

Peripheral numbers point to better expected-ERA results for Cantillo and lesser ones for Blanco. Cantillo, for instance, has been undone by a .333 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations. Over recent starts, he’s been missing more bats in the zone.

The weather report shows a likely brisk wind helping the batters. That’s more of a disadvantage for Blanco, who yields more fly-ball contact.

On a small lean (consider a partial-unit play), consider CLEVELAND (-118). That price is available through FanDuel Sportsbook.

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians and the Under are the leans. The pricing where those plays collide is not attractive. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-1 across Houston’s last 7 road games and 5-1 in Cleveland’s last 6 overall.

The Astros’ road offense and the Guardians’ bullpen are significant green check marks in the Under column. A day of rest for both bullpens (both clubs were off Thursday) swings this one into better arms late.

BACK THE UNDER 8 (-115).

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San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (91-67) and LA Dodgers (94-64) meet Thursday as they wind up a 3-game series in Chavez Ravine. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 8-4

San Diego and LA have split the 1st 2 games of the series. The Dodgers won Wednesday’s contest, snapping a 5-game Padre win streak. Since Sept. 13, San Diego is 9-2.

Los Angeles heads into Thursday’s game leading the Padres in the NL West by 3 games. The Dodgers are a half-game ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for the top seed in the upcoming NL playoffs.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Walker Buehler

Musgrove (6-5, 3.95 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 93 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home win vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 0-7, 4.48 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 12 starts

Buehler (1-6, 5.63 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 70 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 6-3 home defeat vs. Colorado Rockies Saturday
  • Owns 6.51 ERA over his last 8 starts
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 6-1, 1.80 ERA (70 IP, 14 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 11 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+165) | Dodgers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

SAN DIEGO (-105) is 5-2 over its last 7 games at Dodger Stadium.

Musgrove is in excellent form. Over his last 2 starts, he’s held foes scoreless while whiffing 17 batters without issuing a base on balls.

The Friars are an excellent road club (45-31) and are 6-2 across their last 8 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

Buehler does not typically get deep into games, and that potentially exposes an LA bullpen which has trended the wrong way this month, at least in its analytic indicator numbers.

BACK PADRES (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

Eight of San Diego’s last 9 games have hit the Under. Across the last 7 San Diego-LA meetings, the Under has gone 5-2.

Look for the starting pitching to be a tad undervalued by surface numbers. TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (89-70) and New York Yankees (92-67) meet Thursday as they cap off a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 8-4

The Orioles have taken the 1st 2 games of this series and are 6-1 over their last 7 games at Yankee Stadium. On Tuesday, Baltimore smashed 3 home runs; on Wednesday, the O’s went 8 of 16 with runners in scoring position.

The Yankees have lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since Sept. 3-4. On Thursday, they will look to avoid being swept in a 3-gamer at home for just the 2nd time this season (July 2-4 vs. Cincinnati Reds).

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Burnes (15-8, 2.95 ERA) is making his 32nd start. He owns a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 189 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 7-1 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Friday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 1.29 ERA (14 IP, 2 ER), 0.50 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 2 starts

Cole (7-5, 3.67 ERA) is makes his 17th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 88 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 9 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-2 victory at Oakland A’s Friday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 6-3, 2.57 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Has held opposing batters to .535 OPS while logging 2.53 ERA since Aug. 4

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 4

Moneyline

No interest. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Look for Cole to act as a stopper as the Yanks look to avoid the sweep. The New York bullpen has come around of late and is actually a green check mark on the Yankee side of this ledger.

Burnes has some overly favorable, luck-induced marginal rates over recent starts (.262 batting average on balls in play in September, for instance).

This matchup has somewhat hidden Over upside. An early lead here likely gets played into a potential boat-race multi-run lead with the trailing side forced to rest back-end bullpen talent.

BET THE YANKEES -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games.

Looking at season numbers and recent starts, peg both starters as being somewhat fortunate. Both are fade candidates heading into this one. Cole has struggled at home (5.01 ERA, 1.40 WHIP). Both bullpens could use an off day.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (58-100) and the Minnesota Twins (82-76) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Thursday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Marlins suffered their 100th loss of the season in Wednesday’s 8-3 setback as the Over (8.5) cashed. Miami is just 4-11 in the past 15 games since Sept. 9, while going 2-7 in the previous 9 outings on the road. The Under is 5-1-1 in the past 7 tries on the road, too.

The Twins halted a 3-game losing streak with the 8-3 victory. Minnesota is still alive for a postseason spot, 2 games out of a Wild Card spot, while sitting just a half-game ahead of the Seattle Mariners with 4 to play.

Miami is 15-27 in 42 interleague games this season, while Minnesota is 18-27 in 45 games against the NL.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

RHP Valente Bellozo vs. RHP David Festa

Bellozo (3-4, 3.82 ERA) makes his 13th career start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Career/2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.41 ERA, 37 IP, 14 ER, 34 H, 8 HR, 9 BB, 25 K, .238 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.16 WHIP in 7 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.00 ERA, 36 IP, 20 ER, 43 H, 14 BB, 19 K, 1.58 WHIP
  • Has never faced Twins

Festa (2-6, 4.80 ERA) makes his 13th career start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 60 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 4-2 road win in 12 innings vs. Boston Red Sox Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-4, 6.00 ERA, 30 IP, 20 ER, 7 HR, 14 BB, 36 K, .241 OBA, 1.40 WHIP in 6 starts (7 appearances)
  • Has never faced Marlins

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+100) | Twins -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+200) are a strong value on the road in this interleague series finale. Yes, Miami has 100 losses this season. However, the rookie Bellozo has pitched pretty well, and he has a slight advantage over the rookie Festa.

Festa has been crushed at home this season, going 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance. The rookie pitching battle should go in favor of the visitors.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little less adventurous, MARLINS +1.5 (+100) is still a worthwhile play. No one could fault you for wanting a little insurance on a 100-loss team, rather than playing a heavy underdog. Just don’t play both.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most in this rookie pitcher battle.

The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games for Minnesota, while going 6-2 in the past 8 interleague battles. The total has gone high at a 6-1-1 pace in the past 8 at home.

For the Marlins, the Over has a slight 4-3-1 advantage in the past 8 games. But, be careful, as the Under has hit in 4 straight starts for Bellozo.

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Texas Rangers at Oakland A’s odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Texas Rangers at Oakland A’s odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (75-83) and the Oakland A’s (68-90) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rangers vs. A’s odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 7-5

This is a rather historic game. It’s the end of an era. The A’s will play their final game at Oakland Coliseum. The organization has played baseball in the city since 1968. It will temporarily play the next 3 seasons in West Sacramento before a new stadium is built in Las Vegas for the start of the 2028 season.

The Rangers posted a 5-1 victory Wednesday as short +108 underdogs with the Under (7) cashing. Texas, the defending World Champs, but eliminated from postseason contention, is just 5-9 in the past 14 outings, while still cashing the Over at a 4-1 clip in the previous 5 games.

The A’s picked up a 5-4 win in the series opener at even-money (+100) as the Over (7.5) cashed. Oakland is 1-4 in the past 5 games, while going just 1-6 in the previous 7 home outings.

Rangers at A’s projected starters

RHP Kumar Rocker vs. RHP J.T. Ginn

Rocker (0-1, 2.57 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 7.7 BB/9 and 15.4 K/9 through 7 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 2 H, 4 BB, 5 K, 71 pitches  in 4-0 home setback vs. Toronto Blue Jays Sept. 19
  • Last road start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 7 K in 5-4 win vs. Seattle Mariners in Major League debut Sept. 12
  • Has never faced A’s

Ginn (0-1, 4.40 ERA) makes his 6th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 28 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home loss in 10 innings vs. New York Yankees Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 3.20 ERA, 19 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 6 BB, 20 K, .236 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.17 WHIP in 3 starts (5 appearances)
  • Has never faced Rangers

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rangers at A’s odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 3:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | A’s -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+155) | A’s +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at A’s picks and predictions

Prediction

A’s 4, Rangers 3

Moneyline

It hasn’t been a great season — or past few seasons — in Oakland. The jilted fans have mostly stayed away, and those who have attended games have done so to beg owner John Fisher to sell the team. It might not mean much, but the A’S (-110) are a strong play to close this chapter of team history with a victory.

The team finishes the season with 3 games in Seattle Friday through Sunday, so this will be the final game in the East Bay for this proud franchise.

Run line/Against the spread

The A’s +1.5 (-190) will cost nearly 2 times the potential return if you would like some insurance and you just can’t bring yourself to bet Oakland straight up.

Oakland is a respectable 7-5 in the past 12 games as an underdog on the run line, while winning 6 of those games outright. However, if you like the A’s, just play them straight up.

PASS on the spread.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a look as this matchup between the up-and-comer Rocker, who has electric stuff, and the respectable Ginn, should mean runs are at a premium.

The total went low Wednesday, but there is plenty of risk. Oakland had hit the Over in each of the previous 3 games, while Texas had gone high in the previous 4 outings. So, be careful.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (84-74) and Washington Nationals (69-89) conclude a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals 2-0

After dropping 7 in a row, the Royals are a victory away from completing a sweep of the Nationals. Kansas City pitching held Washington scoreless through the first 2 games, winning 1-0 in 10 innings Tuesday as a -196 favorite and 3-0 Wednesday as a -126 fave.

The Royals’ magic number is 3. They are tied with the Detroit Tigers (84-74) for the final 2 Wild Card spots and lead the Minnesota Twins (82-76) by 2 games and the Seattle Mariners (82-77) by 2½ games.

Washington has not been able to get the bats going against the Kansas City Royals, only amassing 7 total hits over these 2 games, including just 2 in Wednesday’s loss. The Nationals have dropped 8 of their last 9 games. They have long been eliminated from playoff contention.

Royals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Wacha (13-8, 3.28 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 161 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home loss vs. San Francisco Giants Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-5, 3.68 ERA (80 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 4-2, 2.74 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 7 games (6 starts)

Corbin (6-13, 5.58 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 169 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-6 loss at Chicago Cubs Sept. 19
  • 2024 home splits: 4-5, 4.41 ERA (85 2/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 1-0, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Last start vs. Royals: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 12-10 road win May 26, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (-105) | Nationals +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Royals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Royals (-175) cannot afford to lose this game which is why I’m predicting a Kansas City win, but I’ll take my wager to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ROYALS -1.5 (-105).

Kansas City really needs this victory. Washington’s starting pitcher Corbin has been a bit of a gamble in the past — and is definitely not the pitcher you want to bet on. While he’s shown some improvement lately, going 4-1 over his last six starts, he still has a reputation for struggling at times.

On the flip side, the Royals are in a good spot right now. Wacha has been solid, posing a 1.99 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in his last 4 starts but only going 2-2.

With Tuesday’s win, Kansas City reached .500 (21-21) in interleague play; Washington fell to 21-24. The Royals are 39-38 on the road, while the Nationals are 36-41 at home.

Considering all these factors, BACKING ROYALS -1.5 (-105) looks like a smart move.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).

The Under has been easy cashes in the first 2 games of this series and is 6-1 in the last 7 head-to-head meetings dating back to 2019.

The Royals have been leaning heavily toward the Under as well, with it hitting in 8 of their last 10 games. They own the 4th best Under record in the majors this season at 85-68-5, according to Teamrankings.com.

The Nationals are also an Under team, cashing below the total in the each of the last 5 games. They rank 8th in Unders at 78-72-8.

With both teams struggling to score lately, BETTING UNDER 8.5 (-120) is the way to go.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (78-80) and Detroit Tigers (84-74) conclude a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Comerica Park is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 4-1

The Rays dropped their 2nd straight game to the Tigers Wednesday night, 7-1. Tampa Bay has been outscored 9-2 during this series. The Rays are just playing out the string, as they’ve been eliminated from playoff contention.

Detroit won for the 8th time in their last 9 games and currently holds the final AL Wild Card spot by 2 games over the Minnesota Twins. The Tigers pitching staff has held the Rays to just 10 hits and 2 runs in the 2 games of this series. Detroit is 19-12 against the AL East this season.

Rays at Tigers projected starters

LHP Tyler Alexander vs. RHP Reese Olson

Alexander (6-5, 5.35 ERA) makes his 8th start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 102 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1-0 home victory against Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-3, 4.47 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 in 12 games (3 starts)
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-1, 4.50 (4 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 appearance

Olson (4-8, 3.49 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 108 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-4 win at Baltimore Orioles Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-4, 3.47 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 21 R (19 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Only start vs. Rays: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-0 home loss Aug. 4, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Tigers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-155) | Tigers -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Rays 1

Moneyline

PASS.

The Tigers (-165) are one of the hottest teams in baseball and I’m going to ride the hot hand, but not at those odds. I’ll take my wager to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TIGERS -1.5 (+130).

The Tigers are absolutely on fire right now, riding a 4-game winning streak and having won 8 of their last 9. They’re fighting for a playoff spot, and their destiny is completely in their own hands—win out, and they’ll be in the postseason for the 1st time since 2013, back when they still had legends like Miguel Cabrera and Justin Verlander.

On the flip side, the Rays have little left to play for except pride, and let’s be honest—they haven’t been very competitive lately. Tampa Bay has been struggling, averaging just 2 runs per game over their last 6 outings. With all this momentum on Detroit’s side and a struggling opponent, it’s hard to see the Tigers not taking care of business at home and covering that run line on Thursday.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

While their recent meetings have been a mixed bag when it comes to totals, the Rays are on fire when it comes to hitting the Under—8-1-1 in their last 10 games, with 6 of those hitting Under the total.

The Rays have really been struggling to find their offensive groove lately, scoring just 12 runs over their last 6 games. Plus, the Tigers have kept them in check, allowing only 1 run in each game of this series. The Tigers haven’t exactly been lighting it up either, sporting a 6-3-1 record against the Under in their last 10.

With both teams having trouble scoring, it doesn’t seem like we’re in for a high-scoring affair. So, betting the Under feels like a smart move here!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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