Tag: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (53-35) and Minnesota Twins (45-45) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-2

The Orioles won 6-2 as +110 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series on Saturday. Baltimore has won 4 straight contests and is 2 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays for the lead in the AL East.

The Twins have lost back-to-back contests vs. the Orioles after sweeping the Kansas City Royals in 3 games from Monday-Wednesday. Minnesota has slipped a half-game behind the Cleveland Guardians for the lead in the AL Central.

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Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Gibson (8-6, 4.73 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 102 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K in an 8-4 loss at New York Yankees Tuesday
  • Only career start vs. Twins: No-decision, 8 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 6-3 road win as a member of the Texas Rangers on May 4, 2021

Ryan (8-5, 3.42 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 over 102 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in an 8-4 home win vs. Kansas City Royals Monday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 0-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 0 HR, 2 BB, 10 K across 2 starts

Orioles at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-145) | Twins -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Orioles 3

Moneyline

The Twins (-160) should avoid the sweep, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when Minnesota should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Minnesota is 4-1 in its last 5 games vs. right-handed starters and its last 3 wins have been by 4 or more runs.

Baltimore is 1-4 in its last 5 games vs. starters with a WHIP under 1.15 and its last 2 losses have been by 3 or more runs.

BET TWINS -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

Minnesota’s offense should bounce back Sunday as the Over is 6-2-1 in the Twins’ last 9 games after a loss.

The Over is 6-1-2 in Baltimore’s last 9 road games vs. teams with a winning record and should cash again Sunday with the inconsistent Gibson on the mound for the Orioles.

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (52-35) and Minnesota Twins (45-44) play game 2 of a 3-game series in the Twin City Saturday. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Orioles took Friday’s opener 3-1 in 10 innings for their 3rd consecutive win.1B/3B Ramon Urias hit a go-ahead RBI double in the top of the 10th and scored on pinch-hitter RF Aaron Hicks‘ sacrifice fly for the extra-inning runs.

The O’s are 3-2 on their current 7-game road trip after dropping the first 2 games of a 4-game series at the New York Yankees. Baltimore is averaging 6 runs per game over its last 5 games. The Orioles are 16-7 against the AL Central this season.

The Twins ended a 3-game win streak with Friday’s defeat. While Minnesota is 26-20 at Target Field this season, it’s just 12-15 against the AL East.

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Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Wells (6-4, 3.19 ERA) makes his 17th start and 18th appearance. He has an MLB-best 0.90 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 98 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-3 loss at Yankees Monday
  • 2023 away splits: 2-1, 4.01 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 8.4 K/9,.185 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 appearances (7 starts)

Gray (4-2, 2.50 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 93 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 2-1 loss at Orioles Sunday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-1, 2.29 ERA (51 IP, 13 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 10.2 K/9, .232 OBA in 9 starts

Orioles at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Twins -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-192) | Twins -1.5 (+158)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

LEAN ORIOLES (+108) to win because they are the better team. However, with AL All-Star Gray on the hill for the Twins, there is no clear favorite in this matchup.

But when I have an opportunity to take the better team getting plus odds I’ll always lean that way.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

I’d love to take the Orioles +1.5 (-192), but I’m not going to pay 1.92 units to win 1 when it isn’t even a sure thing. STAY AWAY from this one.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).

Expect this game to be a pitching duel. Both pitchers sport ERAs lower than 3.20. Wells hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his last 7 starts — he has a 2.81 ERA in that span.

Gray’s 2.50 ERA ranks 3rd in the league, and he hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in any start this season.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (45-43) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (51-35) to Target Field Friday to open a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Orioles beat the New York Yankees 14-1 Thursday to earn a split of the 4-game series. They are 4-6 over their last 10 games, 25-17 on the road, and 4 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for the lead in the AL East.

The Twins are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals, including a 5-0 victory Wednesday. Minnesota leads the AL Central and is 26-19 at home this season and 6-4 over its last 10 games.

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Orioles at Twins projected starters

LHP Cole Irvin vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Irvin (1-3, 6.32 ERA) makes his 8th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 31 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 1 K in a 2-1 home win vs. the Twins Sunday
  • The Orioles are 4-3 in his starts this season

Ober (5-4, 2.70 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 76 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 8 K in a 1-0 home win at the Orioles Saturday
  • The Twins are 8-5 in his starts this season
  • Has given up more than 3 earned runs just once this year and has pitched 5 or more innings in each appearance

Orioles at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Twins -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

Minnesota is 25-15 as a home favorite this season and Ober is coming off arguably his best performance of the year. Baltimore is 13-13 as a road underdog.

While the Orioles have been one of the best road teams in the league and backing Ober to perform has been a consistent bet this season. The Twins are 8-5 with him on the mound and are 26-19 at home, both reasons to bet them here despite the juice.

Take TWINS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

With the last 2 games between these 2 teams ended with 1 run (a 2-1 Orioles win Sunday and a 1-0 Twins win Saturday), I’d prefer to take the side that’s at home with the better pitcher on the mound to straight-up win instead of playing with the run line odds.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The last 3 games between these two teams, last weekend, ended 2-1, 0-1 and 1-8 with the Under cashing twice.

The Twins are 38-47-3 O/U on the season and have gone Under in 7 of their last 10 games. Minnesota is also 18-26 O/U following a win and 1-7 O/U in its last 8 games following a win.

While Baltimore is 44-36-6 O/U on the season, Ober had its number last week and has consistently performed well. Take the UNDER 8.5 (+100) here.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles  (35-44) and Minnesota Twins (45-36) finish their 3-game series Sunday at Target Field with 1st pitch at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 4-2.

Minnesota became the first AL team to have back-to-back walk-off losses followed by back-to-back walk-off wins. Saturday’s 4-3 win came on a Jose Miranda single. Friday’s 3-2 win also featured a 2-run 9th-inning rally.

The Orioles have not been swept in a series since May and they will need a strong outing to prevent it Sunday. Baltimore’s pitchers have been surprisingly good in the first 2 games of this series. RHP Spenser Watkins  gave up 1 run in 6 IP Friday and RHP Jordan Lyles gave up 1 run in 6.1 IP Saturday.

The Twins, who are 25-17 at home, have struggled to generate offense and will face a tough matchup in the finale.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP Devin Smeltzer

Wells (6-4, 3.23 ERA) will make his 16th start this season. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 69 2/3 IP.

  • Last start against the Twins: No-decision with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 2-1 loss May 2.
  • Has a 5-1 record with 2.19 ERA in his  last 7 starts.

Smeltzer (4-1, 2.86 ERA) to make his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision in 3-2 loss at Cleveland June 28 with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K.
  • His 2.86 is lowest ERA in his 4-year career

Orioles at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Home -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Twins 4

Money line

LEAN ORIOLES (+145)

The Orioles have played their best baseball against the AL Central going 5-2 in their last 7. They also play much better against left-handed starters, where they bat .291 when they put the ball in play.

Earlier this season they prevented the Twins from winning 3 in a row by scoring 9 runs of 12 hits. And now they are bringing in their best pitcher in Wells.

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ORIOLES +1.5 (-140)

If we are betting Baltimore to win then the +1.5 insurance is a no-brainer. The Orioles have covered in every game this series, and should have won both outright. They now cover 63.3% of the time this season.

Over/Under

Both pitchers have low strikeout percentages — Wells at 15.5% and Smeltzer at 15.8%. Both are career lows so expect the OVER (-130), especially since the Twins and Orioles are in the top half of extra-base percentage. Also the Over has hit in each of the last 5 home games for the Twins when the total is set between 7.0-8.5.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (35-43) and Minnesota Twins (44-36) continue their 3-game series Saturday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 3-2

Minnesota took Friday’s opener 3-2 thanks to CF Byron Buxton’s walk-off, 2-run homer in the bottom of the 9th. The two clubs split a 4-game series in Baltimore May 2-5.

Until Baltimore lost 2 of 3 at Seattle Monday through Wednesday, the O’s hadn’t lost a series since June 5, going 3-0-3 in 6 series. The run included a 1-game series win vs. the Chicago Cubs (the 2nd game was postponed by rain).

The Orioles have had trouble on the road where they own a meager .395 win percentage at 17-26. RHP Spenser Watkins, Friday’s starter, gave up 1 run in 6 IP but came away without a decision.

With Friday’s dramatic victory, Minnesota turned the tables after losing back-to-back games at Cleveland on walk-off homers Wednesday and Thursday. The Twins, who are 24-17 at home, have been riding their starting pitchers, who have allowed more than 3 runs just once in the past 10 games.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Lyles (4-7, 4.94 ERA) makes his 16th start this season. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 85 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 setback at the Chicago White Sox June 26
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 4.76 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts, including a no-decision last season (5 IP, 3 ER)
  • Tied with Toronto’s Jose Berrios, formerly of the Twins, for the most hits (97) allowed in the American League

Gray (4-1, 2.17 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 49 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 11-1 rout at Cleveland June 27
  • Career vs. Orioles: 6-5, 4.53 ERA (57 2/3 ER, 29 ER) in 11 starts – last faced O’s in 2018 when he went 4-1 in 5 outings
  • 2.17 is lowest ERA in his 10-year career
  • Walked just 1 batter in last 3 starts after brief stint on injured list

Orioles at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Twins -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-112) | Twins -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Orioles 3

Money line

LEAN TWINS (-230) – but don’t bet more than 1.5 units. At this -230 price, BET 1.495 UNITS to PROFIT 0.65 UNITS.

It’s definitely more expensive than I like, but Gray is Minnesota’s best pitcher in the rotation. Plus, the Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

The Twins also have IF/DH Luis Arraez, who leads the AL in batting average (.343) and on-base percentage (.421). On top of that, the left-hand hitting Arraez is batting .373 with a .453 OBP against right-handed starters.

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Run line/Against the spread

Although Minnesota is the better team on paper, Baltimore covers a league-best 62.8% against the run line, going 49-29.

AVOID these lines unless you like the Orioles +1.5 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+105)

The O/U line is a bit high. The Orioles hit the Under in 9 of their last 11 games, including cashing Under tickets the last 3 times the line was 8.5.

As for the Twins, the Under is 3-7 in their last 10 games. Plus, Gray has been dominant lately.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (35-42) and Minnesota Twins (43-36) lift the curtain on a 3-game set at Target Field in Minneapolis. Friday’s opener is slated for an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

The Orioles are 1-3 in their last 4 games. They are continuing a 10-game road trip that included series against the Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners. Baltimore is 8 games under-.500 (17-25) on the road overall, but the O’s have found a solid stride of late. With solid pitching at the forefront (2.27 ERA since June 16), they are 8-5 over their last 13 road games.

The Twins are coming off a disappointing 5-game set at Cleveland. Minnesota won 2 of the first 3 games, but then coughed up late leads in Games 4 and 5, which were both eventual walk-off wins for the Guardians.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Spenser Watkins vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Watkins (1-1, 5.14 ERA) has made 9 starts. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 35 IP.

  • Second-year pitcher has a 6.93 ERA in 89 2/3 career IP.
  • Missed a few weeks in late May and early June due to a forearm injury. Returned June 25 and allowed just 1 unearned run in 5 IP vs. the White Sox.

Ryan (6-3, 3.20 ERA) has logged a 1.12 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 59 IP in 11 starts.

  • Has run into a few home runs of late and owns a 5.74 ERA in his last 15 2/3 IP.
  • Is a fly-ball pitcher who has benefited from a low 7.8% rate of hits in the air leaving the ballpark.

Orioles at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:37 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Twins -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Orioles +1.5 (-117) | Twins -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Orioles 4

Money line

Figure the true odds as being sunk in the wide gap between these prices. AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Twins have been the victims of some tough losses of late. Look for a bounce-back here.

Minnesota’s .434 OPS against righties ranks 2nd in the league. The home side likely has the better bullpen, although surface stats favor Baltimore.

TAKE MINNESOTA -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under

Fading both starting pitchers and the Baltimore bullpen and noting the bump the Minnesota offense gets a) at home and b) against right-handed pitching, the OVER 9.5 (+100) is the way to go.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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