The Los Angeles Dodgers (4-2) will begin a 4-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-3) Thursday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2.
The Dodgers defeated the Colorado Rockies 5-2 Tuesday to give them 2 straight wins. Los Angeles will play its 1st road game of the season Thursday.
On Tuesday, the Diamondbacks beat the San Diego Padres 8-6 as they’ve alternated wins and losses since Opening Day. Arizona has allowed 5 ER or more in 4 of its first 6 games of the season.
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Dustin May vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
May (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He posted 1 BB, 4 K, and 0 ER in 7 IP while throwing 84 pitches against the Diamondbacks in his 1st start.
- His 1st start was the 1st game of his major league career where he recorded 7 IP or more.
- Is 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 3 BB, 9 K and 8 ER in 3 career starts vs. the Diamondbacks.
Kelly (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 0 ER, 4 BB and tallied 4 K in 3.2 IP with 74 pitches thrown in a road matchup against the Dodgers in his 1st start.
- Has registered an 0-9 record with a 5.64 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 13 HR and an 8.3 K/9 in 13 career starts against the Dodgers.
- Recorded a 5-5 record in 17 starts with a 3.02 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.8 K/9 at home during the 2022 season.
Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
With May seemingly having a chance to pitch deeper into games, I’ll back the DODGERS (-155) in this NL West bout. Los Angeles also has plenty of success when facing Kelly on the mound.
Run line/Against the spread
DODGERS -1.5 (+105) has decent value as they have the advantage on the mound for Thursday night. The Dodgers are also 41-12 in the last 53 meetings, and we only need them to win by 2-plus runs to cover the spread.
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Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-115) is the pick in this game with May limiting the lineup of the Diamondbacks. There were 3 or fewer runs scored in 2 of the first 4 meetings between these teams to begin the season.
The Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Arizona and 12-3 in the last 15 meetings overall.
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