Tag: MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

NLDS Game 4: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets clash Wednesday in Game 4 of their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch at Citi Field is set for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Mets lead 2-1; Phillies won 7-6 in regular-season series

The Phillies lost 7-2 in Tuesday’s Game 3. Since their final series of the regular season, Philadelphia has slashed a mere .198/.287/.313 (.600 OPS) over its last 6 games.

The Mets went 3-of-8 with runners in scoring position on Tuesday. In its 2 wins this series, New York has gone 7-of-15 (.467) in such situations.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Suarez made 27 starts in the regular season. He went 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 150 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 9-1 loss at Washington Nationals Sept. 27
  • Career vs. Mets: 4-3, 3.52 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 53 H, 22 BB, 40 K in 16 appearances (9 starts)
  • Owns a 1.62 ERA across 33 1/3 IP in career postseason play

Quintana made 31 starts in the regular season, clocking a 10-10 mark with a 3.75 ERA. He logged a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 170 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 win at Milwaukee Brewers Thursday in NL Wild Card Series
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 3.53 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 59 H, 17 BB, 75 K in 12 starts
  • Owns a 2.92 ERA across 24 2/3 IP in postseason play

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

New York is 4-1 over its last 5 games against Philadelphia.

Suarez has scuffled of late. With a drop in velocity and alongside too many walks, the veteran lefty logged a 6.04 ERA in September. And how will he handle the 11-day layoff between starts? In his career Suarez has allowed a .694 OPS; on rest of 6 days or more, that figure balloons to .750.

Quintana, who pitches in front of a rested New York bullpen, is coming off a solid Wild Card start, has a good October history and per ESPN has held current Philadelphia batters to an aggregate .644 OPS.

The Mets are a lean but would be more of a full-value one with a better price. Consider a partial-unit play on the METS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: No interest here.

Over/Under

With the pitching in this game, including the way both clubs figure to play out relief frames in high-leverage mode, look for runs to be at a premium on a cool, autumn evening in New York.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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NLDS Game 4: LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday for Game 4 of  their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 9:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: San Diego leads 2-1

San Diego took the series lead with a 6-5 win over LA on Tuesday while covering as a -143 home favorite. The Padres erupted for a 6-run 2nd inning that was topped off by a 2-run shot from RF Fernando Tatis Jr. that traveled 396 feet.

LF Teoscar Hernandez hit a grand slam that gave San Diego a scare, but it was not enough for the Dodgers to complete the comeback. RHP Walker Buehler took the loss (5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 0 K).

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Dylan Cease

No Dodgers pitcher announced at time of publishing.

Cease (14-11, 3.47 ERA) made 33 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 189 1/3 IP.

  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1. 2.61 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 18 H, 12 BB, 28 K in 4 starts
  • Only career postseason start vs. LA: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-5 home loss the series opener on Saturday
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 12.00 ERA and 2.17 WHIP in 6 IP in 3 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 3

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (+115).

Los Angeles is simply too good of a team for me to believe it will lose 3-1 in this series. The Dodgers have lost back-to-back games, but prior to that were on a 6-game win streak, and I expect them to get back to their winning ways in this matchup.

Be aware that the Padres have won the last 4 matchups vs. the Dodgers in San Diego.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Dodgers to win here and to cover the spread as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but a line set a7 -200 is not worth the risk to bet on.

I recommend divvying up units between the run line and ML here, placing slightly more on the ML unless you are comfortable betting on this line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-120).

The Over has hit in 4 straight for San Diego overall and 2 straight home games. For LA, the Over is 7-3 in its last 10 games and has hit in 2 of its last 3 games on the road. The Over has also hit in each of the 3 games in this series and is undefeated in the last 4 matchups between these squads.

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ALDS Game 3: New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals meet in Game 3 of their best-of-5 ALDS Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Tied 1-1; Yankees won regular-season series 5-2

New York posted a 6-5 win in Game 1 as a heavy favorite (-200), although Kansas City covered the run line as an underdog as the Over (8) connected. In Game 2, the Royals surprised the Yankees as moderate underdogs (+140) as the Under (7.5) held on.

In Game 2, LHP Cole Ragans allowed a run in 4 IP, while the Royals  bullpen allowed a single run in 5 IP. Veteran C Salvador Perez smacked a solo HR for the team’s only extra-base hit.

The Royals are 3-1 in the postseason, all on the road, and each victory has been as an underdog. The Under is 3-1 in those 4 games, too. This will be Kansas City’s 1st home game since Sept. 22, and 1st postseason home game since Nov. 1, 2015, when the Royals topped the New York Mets in 5 games to win the World Series.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Schmidt (5-5, 2.85 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a 1.18 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 85 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 29
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 3-3, 1.39 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 17 BB, 46 K in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 2-0, 3.29 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts)
  • Didn’t face the Royals in 2024
  • Career postseason: 0-2, 11.57 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 1 K, 3.00 WHIP) in 3 relief appearances

Lugo (16-9, 3.00 ERA) made 33 regular-season starts. He had a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 206 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 2-1 road victory in Game 2 of Wild Card round vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 7-6, 3.36 ERA (107 IP, 40 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 25 BB, 83 K in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 5-2, 2.55 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 14 appearances (4 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Yankees: 1-1, 2.57 ERA (14 IP, 4 ER), .224 opponents’ batting average, 1 BB, 14 K in 2 starts
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 1.42 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 9 K, 1.42 WHIP) in 4 appearances (1 start)

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Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Royals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Royals +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The ROYALS (-105) are a sharp play as short ‘dogs at home in Game 3 behind Lugo, who was sharp during the regular season with 16 victories.

The Yankees (-115) have the payroll, and they have the big names, but the starting pitching is a little shaky. Trust Lugo way more than Schmidt, especially in front of a raucous crowd hungry for playoff baseball.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals +1.5 (-175) are only worth playing lightly if you’re super conservative, and you just can’t bring yourself to play against the Yankees -1.5 (+145) straight up.

If you like Kansas City, though, just play it straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over-Under has split in the 2 games in this playoff series, but the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings since Sept. 10.

The Yankees had to hop a plane for the 1st time since Sept. 22. The Under is 6-3 in the past 9 games on the road for New York.

For the Royals, the Under is 3-1 in the postseason, while going 14-4 in the past 18 games since Sept. 10, a streak which started in New York.

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ALDS Game 3: Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers meet in Game 3 of their best-of-5 ALDS Wednesday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Tied 1-1; Guardians won regular-season series 7-6

Cleveland won Game 1 on Saturday 7-0 as the favorite (-128) cashed, while the total (7) pushed at most shops. In Game 2, Detroit returned the favor with a 3-0 win behind LHP Tarik Skubal as slight road favorites (-122) as the Under (6) again connected.

The Guardians swept a 2-game series at Comerica Park July 29-30, while the Tigers took 3 of 4 games in a set July 8-11. The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 meetings at Comerica Park, while the Under has hit in 5 of the past 6 in the series, including the 1st 2 games of this playoff set.

The Tigers are hosting their 1st playoff game at Comerica Park since 2014.

It’s been longer since Guardians RHP Alex Cobb made a postseason appearance, last pitching in the playoffs for the Tampa Bay Rays in 2013, including a start against Cleveland in a Wild Card win.

A torn fingernail on his right index finger and a blister on the middle finger of his pitching hand limited him to just 3 regular-season starts, and he hasn’t appeared since Sept. 1. He worked his way into shape with a 4-inning simulated game.

The Tigers have not announced a pitcher as of time of publishing.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. TBD

Cobb (2-1, 2.76 ERA) made 3 regular-season starts. He had a 1.04 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 16 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 1
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 9 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 12 K in 6-3 setback at Minnesota in only road start
  • Career vs. Tigers: 3-2, 2.91 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 8 starts

Tigers did not have a starting pitcher listed at time of publishing

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Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Tigers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Tigers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 3, Tigers 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-110) are worth playing lightly behind Cobb. While he doesn’t have a lot of games under his belt this season, he appears to be back to 100 percent healthy, and manager Stephen Vogt trusts him so much that he left RHP Ben Lively, who made 29 starts, off the ALDS roster.

We know what we’re getting with the Guardians, but we’re uncertain who will start for the Tigers. It could be an opener, but there is uncertainty when it’s not Skubal on the bump.

Run line/Against the spread

Backing the Tigers +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, if you need a little insurance and can’t back Detroit straight up.

The best thing to do is PASS, and focus on the moneyline.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (+100) at even-money is worth a look in Game 3.

While Cobb is a little bit of an unknown, since he hasn’t pitched in 5 weeks, and we don’t even know who Detroit will roll with, the Under has cashed in a pair of shutout wins for each team in this series.

Detroit has cashed low at a 3-0-1 pace in the postseason, while the Under is 8-1-2 in the past 11 games since Sept. 22.

For Cleveland, the Under is 6-0-1 in the past 7 games, while going 13-2-2 in the past 17 outings, and 21-3-4 in the past 28 contests.

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NLDS Game 3: LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The NLDS between the LA Dodgers and San Diego Padres moves to Petco Park for Game 3 Tuesday tied 1-1. First pitch is set for 9:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Padres won regular-season series 8-5

After a 7-5 Game 1 win by the Dodgers as -135 home favorites to open the series Saturday, the Padres bounced back Sunday in Game 2, winning 10-2 behind starter Yu Darvish’s 7 innings of 1-run ball. San Diego, which cashed as a +136 underdog, hit 6 homers in the win, 2 by RF Fernando Tatis Jr., and 1 apiece from CF Jackson Merrill, SS Xander Bogaerts, DH David Peralta and C Kyle Higashioka.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Walker Buehler vs. RHP Michael King

Buehler (1-6, 5.38 ERA) made 16 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.55 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 75 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 7-2 home win vs. Padres Sept. 26
  • 2024 vs. Padres: 0-1, 4.32 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 3 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 6-1, 1.80 ERA (75 IP, 15 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 12 starts
  • Career postseason: 3-3, 2.94 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 15 starts

King (13-9, 2.95 ERA) made 30 starts and appeared in 31 games in the regular season. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 173 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 4-0 home shutout of Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of Wild Card Series Oct. 1
  • Has allowed no more than 2 earned runs over last 9 starts
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers: 2-0, 3.10 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 15 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 23 K in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 2-0, 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 16 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 26 K in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Dodgers: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-2 road victory Sept. 24
  • Career postseason: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (9 IP), 5 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 1 1 relief outing (2020 for Yankees vs. Rays) and 1 start (Oct. 1 vs. Braves)

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

Buehler has the postseason pedigree but has not been the same this season since coming back from an injury. Over his last 6 starts, he has alternated allowing 2 or fewer runs and 4 or more. In his last start, he allowed 1, so if that pattern continues, he will give up several runs this time.

King dominated in Game 1 of the Padres’ Wild Card Series and was solid in his starts against the Dodgers this season.

The pitching matchup favors the Padres (-150), but you get better odds on the spread.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Of the 15 games between the 2 teams in the regular season and postseason this year, 11 have been decided by more than 1 run. The Padres have 20 wins in King’s games, 14 by 2 or more runs.

Both games this series have been decided by 2 or more runs.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

The last 3 head-to-head meetings have had more than 7 runs, but 7 of the 15 this season have not surpassed 7.

King’s last 5 regular-season starts did not reach 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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NLDS Game 3: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets battle in Game 3 of their best-of-5 NLDS Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Phillies won regular-season series 7-6

Philadelphia evened the series with a 7-6 win in Game 2 Sunday, covering as a -136 home favorite with the Over (8.5) hitting. After Mets 3B Mark Vientos tied it at 6-all with a 1-out, 2-run homer in the top of the 9th, Phillies RF Nick Castellanos won it with a walk-off RBI single bottom of the inning.

Castellanos (3-for-5, 2 runs) finished with 2 RBIs as did 1B Bryce Harper and 2B Bryson Stott. Harper (2-run shot) and Castellanos connected for back-to-back HRs in the bottom of the 6th to tie it at 3-3.

The Mets, who were +125 underdogs, received 4 RBIs from Vientos (3-for-4, 2 runs), who also homered in the 3rd inning, a 2-run shot for a New York 2-0 advantage. 1B Pete Alonzo (solo homer in 6th for 3-0 lead) and LF Brandon Nimmo (solo HR in 7th for 4-3 lead) also homered for the Mets.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) made 33 starts with a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 199 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 6-3 victory at Washington Nationals Sept. 29
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 1-1, 4.05 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 15 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 10-9, 3.46 ERA (164 IP, 63 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in in 28 starts
  • Last start vs. Mets: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-3 home defeat Sept. 13
  • Career postseason: 5-3, 3.70 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 9 starts — all for Phillies

Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 starts in the regular season with a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 181 2/3 innings. This is his 2nd start in the playoffs.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-3 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday in Game 2 of NL Wild Card Series
  • 2024 vs. Phillies: 1-1, 5.40 (16 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 14 H, 4 HR, 2 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 24 H, 6 BB, 24 K in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Phillies: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home victory Sept. 21
  • Career postseason: 0-3, 10.66 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 19 H, 7 HR, 3 BB, 13 K in 3 starts and 1 relief outing for Oakland A’s (2019 and ’20), San Diego Padres (2022) and Mets (2024)

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-115).

Philadelphia started the playoffs slow scoring only 2 runs in its 1st game — a 4-run loss to New York in Game 1 Saturday. But the bats showed up in Game 2 with 7 runs, the type of run production that led Philly to one of MLB’s best records this season (95-67).

Heading on the road, in what will surely be a loud October environment in New York, expect the Phillies offense to play a major role in its success Tuesday.

The Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games, including 6 or more runs in 4 of those games. The Mets have allowed 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games and 6 of their last 10. Even with this being their 1st home game of the postseason, the Mets will struggle against Nola and the Philly offense Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds are better on the Philadelphia moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-120).

The Mets have hit the Over in 4 of their 5 postseason games so far and have scored 6 runs in back-to-back games. The Phillies have cashed 7 Overs in a row are with an O/U of 8-1-1 in the last 10 games. They have scored 6 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

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ALDS Game 2: Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees clash Monday as they continue their best-of-5 ALDS. Game 2 at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:38 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: New York leads 1-0; New York won 5-2 in the regular season series

The Yankees took Saturday’s opener 6-5 as -201 home favorites with the Over (8) hitting in the top of the 6th inning.

There were 4 lead changes in the first 5½ innings. Kansas City led 1-0 after 2½ innings, 3-2 after 4½ innings and 5-4 after 5½ innings. New York tied it in the bottom of the 6th on C Austin Wells’ 2-out, RBI single and took the lead for good on LF Alex Verdugo’s 2-out RBI single in the bottom of the 7th — Verdugo (2-for-3, 2 runs, 1 RBI), the Yankees’ No. 9 hitter, scored the tying run in the 6th.

Including regular-season games, Kansas City is 4-16 across its last 20 games at Yankee Stadium dating back to July 2018.

The Yankees are 15-8 since Sept. 6. They outscored the Royals 48-29 — averaging 6.0 runs per game — in the 8 head-to-head battles this season, including Saturday’s opener.

Royals at Yankees projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Ragans (11-9, 3.14 ERA) made 32 regular-season starts. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and an AL-best 10.8 K/9 in 186 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 1-0 win at Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of AL Wild Card Series Tuesday in 1st career postseason appearance
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 2.57 ERA (7 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • 2024 vs. Yankees, 1 start, no-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 4-3 loss in 11 innings at Yankee Stadium Sept. 11
  • Clocked a 1.08 ERA (25 IP, 3 ER) across 4 starts in September

Rodon (16-9, 3.96 ERA) started 32 games in the regular season. He had a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 175 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 27
  • Career vs. Royals: 4-6, 4.66 ERA (67 2/3 IP, 35 ER),1.49 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 13 starts
  • 2024 vs. Royals: 1-0, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 12 K in 2 starts
  • Posted a 2.92 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 16 ER) over his last 9 starts
  • Career postseason: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 2 games (1 start), both for Chicago White Sox in 2020 and ’21

Royals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Royals 4

Moneyline

New York took 2 of 3 from Kansas City in a Yankee Stadium series last month (Sept. 9-11). The Yanks are 4-1 across their last 5 games after an off day.

The Yankees’ regular-season line against lefty pitching does not pop off the page. But their .721 OPS in such situations includes a 2nd-half surge in that department.

As mentioned above, Ragans is making just his 2nd postseason appearance. He has pitched just 2 2/3 career postseason innings, and they have not gone well (4 runs allowed on 4 hits and 4 walks). But the New York port-sider pitched well down the stretch and he has an excellent line against current K.C. bats (.641 OPS allowed, according to ESPN).

The long rest for Rodon is certainly a consideration. Over his career, the left-hander has a allowed a .698 OPS; he’s held foes to a .663 mark when pitching on 6-plus days of rest.

The Yankees received good non-Soto-and-Judge production Saturday. That’s a good sign for their offense, which is not at its best when too reliant on the meat of the batting order.

The Game 1 win gives New York a cushion and perhaps some loose confidence. The same words might well apply to a Yankee bullpen that had its struggles in the regular season but could have benefited greatly from the 5-day reset it had while awaiting Wild Card Series results.

New York had a plus-18 run differential against Kansas City in the regular season.

BACK YANKEES (-150).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over 8 cashed Saturday, and the Over is 7-1-1 across New York’s last 9 games.

A hedge against both starters makes sense in this one. Even though Rodon is perhaps slightly undervalued in this matchup, he tends to allow loud contact and has lately even in a string of good work over recent weeks.

The weather report calls for a breeze blowing out to right, and the OVER 7.5 (-110) has value for this contest.

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ALDS Game 2: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 2 of their best-of-5 ALDS Monday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Guardians lead 1-0; Guardians won regular-season series 7-6

Cleveland took the opener 7-0 Saturday, cashing as a -128 favorite as the O/U (7) pushed.

The Guardians erupted for 5 runs in the bottom of the 1st inning to chase opener RHP Tyler Holton, who allowed 4 runs and failed to record an out before getting pulled after 4 batters. RHP Reese Olson relieved and allowed just 1 run (1 HR) on 3 hits and a walk with 4 K’s in 5 innings, but the damage was done. It didn’t help that the Tigers offense only had 4 hits.

Cleveland CF Lane Thomas’ 3-run HR off Olson was the big blow. DH David Fry added 2 RBIs and 1B Josh Naylor had an RBI as the Guardians collected 4 extra-base hits and 2 steals. RHP Tanner Bibee (4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K) and 4 relievers combined on the 4-hit shutout.

The Guardians turn to LHP Matthew Boyd for Game 2. He spent 7+ seasons with the Tigers from 2015-21, and again in 2023.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He had a 0.92 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 192 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-1 win at Astros in Game 1 of AL Wild Card Series Tuesday in 1st career postseason appearance
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 8-3, 2.86 ERA (88 IP, 28 ER), 8 HR, 1.03 WHIP, .234 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11.5 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 2-2, 3.46 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.20 WHP, 9.5 K/9 in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 1 start, win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 8-2 road victory July 22

Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA) made 8 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 39 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 6 K in 6-5 setback at St. Louis Cardinals Sept. 21
  • 2024 home splits: 1-1, 2.25 ERA (20 IP, 5 ER), 0.95 WHIP, .206 OBA, 4 BB, 23 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-0, 0.00 (4 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2 relief appearances in 2022 with Seattle Mariners
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1/3 IP), 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 1 relief appearance for Mariners vs. Houston Astros Oct. 15, 2022

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Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:29 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+150) | Guardians +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The TIGERS (-130) are a strong play behind their southpaw ace in Game 2 as they look to even the series.

Skubal was tremendous in Game 1 in Houston in the Wild Card Series, introducing himself to the casual fan with authority. He won his only start against the Guardians in Cleveland back in late July.

Boyd isn’t on the same plane as Skubal and Detroit should be able to level things up before the series shifts to the Motor City for Game 3 Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, feel free to take a shot on Detroit -1.5 (+150) … just don’t bet more than 1½ units between the moneyline and the spread.

The Guardians routed the Tigers in the series opener, but the pitching scales are tipped in favor of Detroit in Game 2.

Over/Under

PASS.

I’d be willing to make a wager if the O/U line climbs to 6.5. This line is low mostly because of Skubal. Don’t expect the Guardians offense to get off to a quick start like it did Saturday in Game 1.

The Under cashed in both games for Detroit in the Wild Card Series in Houston behind a 3-1 win with Skubal in the opener with an O/U line of 6.5, and a 5-2 victory in Game 2 with an O/U line of 7.5.

Cleveland cashed Unders at a 20-3-3 pace in its final 26 regular-season games, and 12-1-2 in the final 15 contests at Progressive Field.

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NLDS Game 2: San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers face off Sunday for Game 2 of their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 8:03 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Dodgers lead 1-0

LA picked up a 7-5 win in Saturday’s series opener as a -135 home favorite. After trailing 5-3, the Dodgers exploded for a 3-run 4th inning to take the lead before adding a final run in the 5th. DH Shohei Ohtani went 2 for 5, including a 3-run shot in the 2nd, and scored twice.

The Dodgers outhit the Padres 10-7, but the teams were even in HRs (1-1), runners left on base (8-8), and total bases (13-13). Saturday’s win was the 1st in the postseason for the Dodgers since Game 1 of the NLDS in 2022, also against the Padres.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Darvish (7-3, 3.31 ERA) made 16 starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 81 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 victory at Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 27
  • Only career postseason start vs. LA: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-3 road victory Oct. 12, 2022, in Game 2 of NLDS
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 5-5, 2.27 ERA (91 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 across 15 starts
  • Career postseason: 4-6, 4.19 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 58 innings

Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 162 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home win over Padres Sept. 25
  • Only career postseason start vs. Padres: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 4-0 road defeat Oct. 2, 2020, in Game 3 of NLWC with St. Louis Cardinals
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 2-1, 4.45 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career postseason: 1-3, 3.60 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 25 innings

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

LEAN PADRES (+120).

San Diego, despite losing the last 3 in LA, has won 6 of the last 10 meetings overall. The 3 straight losses may sound off-putting, but that doesn’t scare me off. I don’t see the Dodgers beating a team as good as this one in 4 straight meetings, so this bet is worth the risk.

This is a lean because the Dodgers are the better and hotter team, so this does come with risk.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Padres to not only cover, but to also pick up the outright win. However, I am not a fan of doubling down on a team’s ML and run line, and I like the odds on the ML better here. As set at +1.5 (-185), this line is not worth the risk of betting on, so play the ML and/or total instead.

I recommend passing here. However, if you feel more confident in the Padres to cover +1.5 and are okay with betting a -185, then you can seriously consider playing it.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back home games for LA and is 6-3-1 in the Dodgers’ last 10 overall. For San Diego, the Over is 2-1 in the playoffs so far and 2-0 in its last 2 road games, including the regular season. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings.

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NLDS Game 2: New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in Game 2 of the best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 4:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Mets lead 1-0; Regular-season series: Phillies won 7-6

The Mets were down 1-0 heading into the 8th inning, but scored 5 runs with some good old-fashioned small ball — 3 singles and 2 sac flies — to get the job done. The 6-2 win was their 3rd comeback victory in 4 postseason games.

The Phillies showed some rust after their bye, managing only 2 runs on 5 hits, including a leadoff homer from DH Kyle Schwarber. Starter Zack Wheeler delivered with 9 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings, but the bullpen and offense fell short, resulting in the loss of home-field advantage in this 5-game series.

Mets at Phillies projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) made 31 starts in 2024 with a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 182 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-4 victory at Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday in the NL Wild Card Game 1
  • 2024 road splits: 4-5, 5.00 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 49 R (47 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-0, 2.84 ERA (19 IP, 6 ER), 14 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 21 K in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 2-4, 5.07 ERA (53 IP, 29 R (28 ER), 29 H, 8 HR, 23 BB, 47 K in 12 games (11 starts)

Sanchez (11-9, 3.32 ERA) made 31 starts in 2024 with a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-6 victory against Chicago Cubs Sept. 25
  • 2024 road splits: 7-3, 2.21 ERA (110 IP, 32 R (27 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 3.62 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 41 K in 9 games (6 starts)
  • Career postseason stats: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 2 R, 1 ER), 2 H, 0 HR, 1 BB, 1 K in Game 4 relief appearance of the 2023 NLCS

Mets at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Phillies (-155) evening the series on Sunday afternoon, but I’ll take my bet to the run line with better odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+135).

Saturday’s Game 1 loss was the spark the Phillies needed after a rusty performance following their week off. They can’t afford to go down 0-2 before heading to New York, and with this roster’s deep playoff experience, they know how to respond under pressure.

Sanchez has been lights out at Citizens Bank Park this season, and although Severino has plenty of postseason experience, he’s struggled to find consistent success. Harper’s track record against Severino is also worth noting—2 career hits, both HRs, in just 5 at-bats.

Expect a more focused Phillies team to come out strong, cover the run line, and even up the series before heading to Queens.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

Game 1 started off slow offensively, with just 1 run scored through 7 innings, but things changed quickly when the bullpens got involved, resulting in 7 runs in the final 2 frames. The Phillies are primed to get to Severino early, and their bats have been strong at home all season, averaging 5.02 runs per game—the 2nd-best mark in MLB.

The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings, including Game 1. With both teams’ bullpens looking vulnerable, expect another high-scoring affair.

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