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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (19-11) and Baltimore Orioles (18-10) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 1-0

Baltimore picked up the 2-0 win in Monday’s series opener while cashing as a -130 home favorite. LHP Grayson Rodriguez picked up the win, allowing 5 hits and 3 walks with 3 K’s in 5 2/3 scoreless innings. The Orioles have won 2 of their last 3 games.

The Yankees had 7 hits to Baltimore’s 4, but failed to capitalize on any of the contact. New York left 10 runners on base in the loss.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Cortes (1-2, 3.50 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 36 innings.

Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-1 loss vs. Oakland A’s Thursday
Career vs. Baltimore: 4-0, 1.99 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 30 H, 12 BB, 61 K across 7 starts and 2 relief appearances

Kremer (1-2, 4.61 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 27 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-5 win over Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
Career vs. Yankees: 2-3, 5.04 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 46 H, 17 BB, 54 K in 9 starts

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Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

PASS.

This is a tough bet to make, as both teams have been so good recently. I lean toward picking the Orioles (+100), but their odds here are safer on the run line, as picking them to win 3 straight vs. the Yankees is always risky. Bet on the RL and/or total.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-160).

The Orioles have covered the run line in 2 of their last 3 games and are 16-12 on the RL this season, while the Yankees are only 14-16. Baltimore is also 7-3 in its last 10 matchups vs. New York, covering the RL in 4 of the last 4 meetings.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (+100).

The Over has hit in 3 of New York’s last 4 road games and is 4-2 in its last 6 overall. For Baltimore, the Over is 16-10-2 on the season.

The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 New York-Baltimore matchups and is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings.

This is only a lean because the Under has hit in 2 of Baltimore’s last 3 games and is 17-12-1 for the Yankees this year.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (19-10) and Los Angeles Angels (10-18) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Angel Stadium is slated for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 2 of 3 in 2023

The Phillies just completed a 3-game sweep of the Padres in San Diego over the weekend. Philadelphia took Sunday’s finale 8-6 as a +128 underdog. 2B Bryson Stott hit 2 home runs, 3B Alec Bohm raised his batting average to .365 (3rd best in the NL) behind a 3-for-5 performance and LHP Jose Alvarado picked up his 5th save, striking out 2 in a perfect 9th inning. This is the last stop of a 10-game, 3-city road swing for the Phillies, who are 5-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) on the trip, which started with a 2-2 split at the Cincinnati Reds.

Los Angeles is 1-5 on a current homestand after getting swept by the Minnesota Twins over the weekend. The Angels lost 11-5 as slight -103 underdogs Sunday, dropping a 4th straight game. LHP Reid Detmers was beat up for 5 earned runs on 9 hits in 5 innings, dropping his record to 3-2. RHP Luis Garcia didn’t help the cause by yielding 4 runs in the 7th inning — the Twins finished with 17 hits. 2B Luis Rengifo and 1B Nolan Schanuel homered for the Angels in the loss. They have been outscored 46-27 thus far on this homestand.

Phillies at Angels projected starters

LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. RHP Griffin Canning

Sanchez (1-3, 2.96 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 1 ER (5 R), 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-1 defeat at Cincinnati Tuesday
Career vs Angels: 0-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER) in 2 games (1 starts)

Canning (1-3, 7.50 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 24 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-4 home victory vs. the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
2024 home stats: 1-0, 6.52 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.55 WHIP in 2 starts
Never faced Phillies before

Phillies at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:08 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Phillies -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Angels +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Angels +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Angels 4

Moneyline.

PASS.

I like the Phillies (-145) to keep things rolling as they head to the City of Angels, but I’m not going to bet nearly 1½ units to win 1. I’ll take the plus odds om the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

These are 2 teams going in different directions at the moment. Philadelphia is riding high, and I have no doubt that it will keep things rolling into Los Angeles. The Phillies are 11-2 in their last 13 games with 9 of the victories being by 2 runs or more, including 8 in a row.

The Phillies have been crushing left-handed pitching, batting .273 to rank 6th in the majors so far this season. Oh, and did I mention that Philadelphia’s road ERA ranks 4th at 2.76.

The Angels have lost 10 of its last 12 games. Seven of the losses were by 2 or more runs. They are just 3-9 at home on the season.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

The last 6 head-to-head meetings — dating back to the 2022 season — cashed Over tickets.

The Phillies are 3-2-1 against the Over in their last 6, while the Angels have been Over in 4 of its last 5.

Los Angeles has the worst home ERA at 6.17 and 3rd worst overall ERA at 5.01.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (18-12) open a 3-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (13-16) Monday night. First pitch for the opener is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024, Tied 8-8 (including postseason) in 2023.

The Dodgers had a 6-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 3-1 road loss to Toronto. Starter Michael Grove allowed a 3-run 2nd inning and the offense only had 6 hits and a run.

The Diamondbacks salvaged 1 game of their series on the road against Seattle, winning the finale 3-2 behind starter Brandon Pfaadt’s career-high 11 strikeouts. The win snapped a 3-game skid.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. LHP Tommy Henry

Paxton (2-0, 2.61 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 7.4 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 20 2/3 IP.

Last start: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 4-1 road win over Washington Tuesday
Making 1st career appearance vs, Arizona

Henry (1-1, 5.55 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 24 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 14-1 road win over St. Louis Tuesday
Making 1st career appearance vs. Dodgers

Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Dodgers have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 7 straight games and in 9 of their last 11.

The Diamondbacks have been held to 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight games and in 8 of last 11. They are 2-10 in games in which they score 3 or fewer runs, picking up their 2nd such win on Sunday.

But the Dodgers usually win by more than 1 run when they win, so because I like them to win the opener, it’s better to go with the plus-odds on the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Of the Dodgers’ 18 wins, 14 have been by 2 or more runs.

The Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses and 12 of their 16 losses all season have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

Four of Henry’s 5 starts this season have had more than 10 total runs. But the Diamondbacks have had 4 consecutive games without surpassing 10 total runs and 9 of their last 11 game have not reached 11 runs.

Six of the Dodgers’ last 8 games have stayed below 11 runs.

BET UNDER 10 (-105).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (13-16) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-10) open a 3-game interleague series Monday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rays won 2-1 in 2023

The Rays were swept by the hapless White Sox over the weekend in Chicago, getting outscored 21-13 in the 3-games with the Over cashing twice. Tampa Bay has lost 4 in a row on the road, while going 1-5 in the past 6 games away from home.

The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 games over the weekend in an interleague series against the New York Yankees, and Milwaukee pitching was tagged for 30 runs in the past 2 games. The Over has cashed in 4 straight games, with the Brewers averaging 5.5 runs per game (RPG) on offense, while allowing 10.3 RPG.

Rays at Brewers projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. RHP Bryse Wilson

Pepiot (2-2, 3.77 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers last Tuesday
2023 road splits: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 3-2 road win vs. Colorado Rockies April 7

Wilson (2-0, 3.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 18 IP

Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 3 K in 3-2 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates April 24
2024 home splits: 0-0, 2.25 ERA, 8 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K across 8 IP in 1 start and 2 relief appearances

Rays at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The RAYS (-110) are a good bet on the road behind Pepiot, who has surprising been one of the top starters for the team.

The Brewers (-110) use hybrid starter/reliever Wilson, who is from Durham, N.C., the home of Tampa Bay’s Triple-A team. There’s a fact you didn’t ask for, but needed to know.

Anyway, with the way the Brewers pitching staff was pounded in the past 2 games by the Yankees, the bullpen has been overworked. And Wilson isn’t a pitcher that is going to go deep into the game, so that taxed ‘pen is going to get more unwanted work, which should lead to plenty of Tampa runs.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return if you want insurance on the home team, and you can’t bet Milwaukee straight up. It’s not a recommended strategy.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is the lean, but only go with a half-unit wager at most.

The Over has cashed in 4 straight games for Milwaukee. And again, remember that Wilson won’t go deep, turning it over to a bullpen that has been trampled the past 2 days.

The Rays have hit the Over in 3 of the past 4 games, too, while the Over is a healthy 5-2 in the past 7 outings for Tampa Bay.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (13-15) take on the Detroit Tigers (16-12) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at Comerica Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Tigers won 2-1 last year

The Cards failed to close out the sweep of the New York Mets Sunday when they fell 4-2 in 11 innings. They mustered just 4 hits in 11 innings and scored 1 run without the automatic runner in another uninspiring offensive display. They’re tied for 26th with 3.6 R/game, 28th with a .217 BA and are tied for 2nd-to-last with 18 homers. They’re just 4½ games out of 1st in a weak NL Central, but they’re in last place.

The Tigers took 2 of 3 from the Kansas City Royals over the weekend, and they’ve done this in 3 straight series. The Tigers are 4th with a 3.14 ERA, 2nd with a 1.08 WHIP and 7th with 3.9 runs allowed per game. OF Mark Canha is powering the offense with a .272 BA, 5 HR and 15 RBI.

Cardinals at Tigers projected starters

LHP Steven Matz vs. RHP Kenta Maeda

Matz (1-2, 5.55 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 24 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K Tuesday against Arizona Diamondbacks; has allowed 12 ER in last 2 GS
3 career starts vs. Tigers: 0-0, 1.56 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 5 K in 17 1/3 IP

Maeda (0-1, 5.96 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 22 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K Tuesday against Tampa Bay Rays
4 career regular-season starts vs. STL: 2-1, 5.85 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 14 K in 20 IP

Cardinals at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Tigers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+150) | Tigers +1.5 (-185)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Cardinals at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

In this old-fashioned pick ’em, we have a team good at preventing runs in the Tigers and a team that can’t score runs in the Cardinals. Maeda has a dicey history against St. Louis, but he hasn’t faced it since 2019. And the Cards were a much different team then.

Take the TIGERS -110.

Run line/Against the spread

The Tigers have the 5th-best bullpen ERA in baseball at 2.71. Once Maeda goes his 5 innings and only allows 2-3 runs, it’s lights out. I like the ALTERNATE LINE TIGERS -1.5 (+170).

Over/Under

The Cards are 4-6 O/U over their last 10, and the Tigers are 5-3-2. Neither team packs the offensive punch, and there’s a 12.5-mph wind expected to be blowing in from right-center.

Take the UNDER 8.5 (-120).

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Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (15-13) and San Diego Padres (14-17) meet Monday as they open a 3-game set in Southern California. The first pitch in Monday’s series opener at PETCO Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; last season the clubs played to a 3-3 split

Cincinnati is continuing a road trip that opened with the club dropping 2 of 3 weekend games at the Texas Rangers. The Reds have slashed a .176/.266/.232 while going 1-3 over their last 4 games.

The Padres tote a 4-game losing streak into this series. Over the 4 losses (with the last 3 coming at home against the Philadelphia Phillies), San Diego pitching allowed 11 home runs while clocking an 8.23 ERA.

Reds at Padres projected starters

LHP Nick Lodolo vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Lodolo (2-0, 2.12 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has logged a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 17 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-4 win vs. Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K
Owns a 4.07 ERA across 29 career starts

Waldron (1-2, 3.96 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has registered a 1.44 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 25 IP.

Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 5-2 win at Colorado Rockies Wednesday
Career vs. Reds: 0-0, 5.79 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K
Owns a 4.21 ERA across 66 1/3 career IP

Reds at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Reds -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Padres -110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+155) | Padres +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

The Reds are 1-11 across their last dozen games at Petco. Last season, the Padres outscored Cincy 16-6 while taking 2 of 3 in the series games played in Southern California.

Lodolo figures to see a lot of right-handed bats in the Padres lineup. Righties got to him for a robust 1.071 OPS last season.

The other side of the platoon numbers shows the Reds being a swing-and-miss bunch against right-handers (28.7% strikeout rate, .668 OPS).

Add in the Cincy bullpen likely being a bit too far over its skis with a 3.75 ERA; the Reds have benefited from yielding just a .270 batting average on balls in play.

BACK THE PADRES (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

These tags bring more juice into play. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road.

Both offenses have some BABIP figures that have over-inflated run scoring a bit. In high-leverage situations, both clubs rank in the league’s top-5 in OPS, but both have registered BABIP numbers over .320 in those situations.

With the contest being in a pitcher’s park, TAKE THE UNDER 8 (-115).

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (19-10) and Baltimore Orioles (17-10) open a 4-game set Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 7-6 last season

The Yankees took 2 of 3 from the Brewers in Milwaukee, scoring a combined 30 runs on Saturday and Sunday in a pair of victories. CF Aaron Judge is 5 for his last 8 with HRs in consecutive games, and 1B Anthony Rizzo became just the 161st player in MLB history to record 300 HRs.

The Orioles dropped 2 of 3 over the weekend at home against the Oakland A’s. Despite going 0 for 5 Sunday in a 7-6 loss, SS Gunnar Henderson has homered in 3 of his last 5 games and leads the team in HRs (9) and RBIs (22).

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Schmidt (0-0, 4.66 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-3 home victory vs. Oakland Wednesday
2023 vs. Baltimore: 2-1, 5.40 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.42 WHIP in 4 starts

Rodriguez (3-1, 4.45 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 28 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-4 loss at Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (6 1/3 IP), 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 1-0 home victory July 28, 2023

Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Orioles -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (+146) | Orioles +1.5 (-178)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

New York 5, Baltimore 4

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (+100).

Rodriguez allowed a career high 11 hits in his last start, and the Yankees currently possess the top home-run-to-fly-ball rate (with Baltimore in 2nd) at 15.3%. Expect the hot Bronx Bomber bats to get to Rodriguez and an Orioles bullpen that has sorely missed RHP Felix Bautista.

Run line/Against the spread

COMBINE ORIOLES +1.5 (-178) IN A PARLAY.

The O’s pen is now going to be without RHP Craig Kimbrel, who exited Sunday with upper-back tightness after blowing 2 saves over the weekend.

However, this is still a unit that features RHP Yennier Cano, who features a 2.45 ERA and mainly 2 pitches: a sinker and a nasty changeup.

The 30-year-old has the 2nd-highest GB% among 349 pitchers entering Monday with at least 10 innings pitched, and LHP Danny Coulombe is 9th among that group in K% (36.8%) with LHP Keegan Akin right behind him at 35.8%.

Baltimore has the offense to hang with the Yankees, as 3B Jordan Westburg, LF Colton Cowser, C Adley Rutschman and 1B Ryan Mountcastle are all hitting above .300. I just expect Schmidt to outpitch Rodriguez, which will ultimately be the 1-run difference.

Over/Under

PASS.

Ever since they moved the fences back at Oriole Park, this is not the bandbox that it once was. However, since the Yankees are coming in with plenty of offensive momentum, it’s hard to back the Under in this spot.

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Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (14-13) and Chicago White Sox (6-22) open a 3-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 4-0

Minnesota has won 7 games in a row after beating the Los Angeles Angels 11-5 Sunday, completing the 3-game sweep and cashing as a -105 road favorite. CF Byron Buxton and LF Austin Martin each scored 3 runs, while 3 different Twins players, including Martin, had 2 RBIs. RHP Pablo Lopez allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings and picked up the win.

Chicago swept the Tampa Bay Rays in 3 games over the weekend and is coming off a 4-2 win as a +125 home underdog Sunday. White Sox 1B Gavin Sheets scored 2 runs, while LF Andrew Benintendi had 2 RBIs. RHP Erick Fedde allowed just 2 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings to pick up the win.

Twins at White Sox projected starters

RHP Joe Ryan vs. LHP Garrett Crochet

Ryan (1-1, 3.45 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 28 2/3 innings.

Twins are 3-2 in his starts
Has allowed 3 or fewer ER in each of his starts
Has allowed 4 HR, including 2 in his last start, while striking out 38 batters and walking just 4

Crochet (1-4, 6.37 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 in 29 2/3 innings.

White Sox are 1-5 in his starts
Has allowed 5 or more ER in each of his last 3 starts, including 4 HR over that span

Twins at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | White Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+105) | White Sox +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, White Sox 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The run line presents better value for the Twins (-165).

Run line/Against the spread

BET TWINS -1.5 (+105).

Minnesota is 8-2 in its last 10 games and has won each of its last 5 by 2 or more runs. The Twins have scored 27 runs combined in their last 2 games. They’ve put up 5 or more runs in each of their last 7 games while allowing 3 or fewer in 5 of their last 9.

Six of Chicago’s last 7 losses have come by 2 or more runs while the team has scored 4 or fewer in 6 of its last 10.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

The Twins have had the hottest offense in baseball over the past 2 games, scoring 11 or more runs in each outing. They have scored 5 or more runs in each of their last 7 games and 4 or more in 9 of their last 10. They face Crochet who has allowed 5 or more runs in each of his last 3 starts.

The White Sox have scored 3 or more runs in each of their last 6 games and 8 or more in 2 of their last 3.

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Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (17-12) and Toronto Blue Jays (14-15) open a 3-game series at Rogers Centre Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 3-1

Kansas City has lost back-to-back games after falling 4-1 to the Detroit Tigers Sunday and failing to cash as a +154 road underdog. SS Bobby Witt Jr. drove in the Royals’ only run with an RBI single in the 1st inning. RHP Michael Wacha allowed 4 earned runs on 9 hits in 5 2/3 innings and picked up the loss.

The Blue Jays snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 3-1 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday, avoiding the sweep and cashing as -106 home favorites. C Alejandro Kirk hit a solo shot in the 2nd to cap off a 3-run inning for the Jays. RHP Kevin Gausman allowed just 1 earned run in 7 innings to pick up the win.

Royals at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Jonathan Bowlan vs. RHP Yariel Rodriguez

Bowlan (0-1, 3.00 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. The rookie has a 1.67 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 3 innings across 1 start and 1 relief appearance in his career.

2024 stats with Triple-A Omaha: 3-1, 2.57 ERA (21 IP, 6 ER), 1.10 WHIP in 4 starts
2024 spring training stats: 2-0, 5.40 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 2.10 WHIP in 2 relief appearances

Rodriguez (0-1, 3.86 ERA) makes his 4th start. The rookie has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

Toronto is 2-1 in his starts
Has not lasted more than 4 IP in a start this year
Has allowed 5 ER this season while striking out 15 batters and walking 5

Royals at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-165) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+120).

Kansas City has won 4 of its last 6 games and scored 3 or more runs in 7 of its last 10. While Bowlan, who is unproven in the majors, is taking the mound, the Royals offense has scored 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 3.

Toronto has lost 5 of its last 6 games, including each of its last 3 against Kansas City, and scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6 while allowing 4 or more in 2 of its last 3.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value for the Royals.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 6-3-1 in the Royals’ last 10 games. They’ve scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games while allowing 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 6.

Toronto has hit the Under in 8 of its last 10. It has scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6 games and 3 or fewer in 7 of its last 8.

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Chicago Cubs at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (17-11) visit the New York Mets (14-13) at Citi Field Monday to begin a 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; split last season 3-3

The Mets lost 4-2 in 11 innings as -136 home favorites against the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday with the Under (8) still hitting despite the game going to extras. It was a pitchers’ duel early on, with both teams combining for just 2 runs in the 1st 10 innings. Mets 3B Mark Vientos walked it off with a 2-run HR in the 11th.

The Cubs, who were +140 underdogs, lost 5-4 at the Boston Red Sox Sunday night as the total (9) pushed. The Cubs nearly pulled off the upset, tying the game 4-4 in the 8th after trailing 4-0 in the 6th, but RHP Mark Leiter Jr. failed to get an out in the 9th, giving up 1 earned on 2 hits and a walk.

Cubs at Mets projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Luis Severino

Taillon (2-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 3rd start this season. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 10 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home victory against Houston Astros Wednesday
.300 OBA vs. left-handed batters and .191 vs. righties

Severino (2-2, 2.67 ERA) makes his 6th start of the season. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 27 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 5-1 loss to San Fransisco Giants Tuesday
2024 home stats: 2-1, 2.25 ERA (16 IP, 4 ER) in 3 starts

Cubs at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cubs +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 2, Cubs 1

Moneyline

The Mets are 8-5 after a win, good for the 3rd-best record in MLB.

The Chicago Cubs, on the other hand, are 6-7 straight up as road underdogs. Given this is Taillon’s 1st road start, I expect some regression after his early success.

LEAN METS (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets are 5-8 on the run line as home favorites. Combine that with the Cub’s 14-4 RL record as underdogs, and I would PASS, even at these odds.

Over/Under

The Cubs post a .295 OBP on the road, compared to .356 at Wrigley Field. The Mets are the opposite, with a higher OBP on the road (.340) than at home (.304).

And given the Cubs’ Under record of 6-3-1 after a loss, I see a low-scoring game.

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

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