Tag: Rays Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Tampa Bay Rays (14-16) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-11) play the middle outing of a 3-game interleague series Tuesday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0

Tampa Bay opened the 3-game interleague road series with a 1-0 victory Monday night at AFF. RHP Ryan Pepiot and 3 relievers combined on the 3-hit shutout of the Brew Crew, cashing as slight favorites (-110) as the Under (8) easily cashed.

The Rays halted a 3-game losing streak, and 4-game road skid, with the shutout win. The Under has cashed in back-to-back games for Tampa Bay for the first time since a 3-game Under run April 18-20.

The Brewers had allowed 30 runs in the final 2 games of the interleague series against the New York Yankees over the weekend, so the pitching in Monday’s series opener was very encouraging. But the offense failed to produce any runs for the first time this season. Monday’s Under snapped a 4-0 run to the Over.

Rays at Brewers projected starters

LHP Tyler Alexander vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Alexander (1-0, 4.74 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 24 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-3 road loss vs. New York Yankees April 19
• 2023 road splits: 0-0, 3.72 ERA, 9 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H (2 HR), 3 BB, 8 K with .263 opponents’ batting average and 1.34 WHIP in 2 starts

Peralta (2-0, 3.18 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 in 28 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 5 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
• 2024 home splits: 0-0, 4.76 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 6-5 victory vs. Seattle Mariners April 5

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Rays at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:59 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Brewers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Rays at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Rays 2

Moneyline

The Brewers (-175) are a little too expensive at this price, even if they have their best pitching on the bump.

The good news is that Milwaukee’s bullpen received a little bit of a break Monday, and Peralta should be able to go fairly deep into the game to give that taxed unit a break. But still, risking nearly 2 times your potential return isn’t a great idea.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BREWERS -1.5 (+120) are a better play on the run line at plus-money.

The Rays +1.5 (-145) have been having trouble scoring runs on the road in this road trip, and the offense shouldn’t have a lot of success against Peralta, the best pitcher on the Milwaukee staff.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean in this middle contest of the interleague set.

The Under has cashed in 2 in a row for the Rays, who have scored a total of just 3 runs over that span. The Under is 5-3 across Tampa Bay’s past 8 games on the road and 3-2 in the previous 5 interleague battles.

For the Brewers, the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 outings, and the Over has a slight 3-2 edge in Peralta’s 5 starts, so tread lightly.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Tampa Bay Rays (13-16) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-10) open a 3-game interleague series Monday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rays won 2-1 in 2023

The Rays were swept by the hapless White Sox over the weekend in Chicago, getting outscored 21-13 in the 3-games with the Over cashing twice. Tampa Bay has lost 4 in a row on the road, while going 1-5 in the past 6 games away from home.

The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 games over the weekend in an interleague series against the New York Yankees, and Milwaukee pitching was tagged for 30 runs in the past 2 games. The Over has cashed in 4 straight games, with the Brewers averaging 5.5 runs per game (RPG) on offense, while allowing 10.3 RPG.

Rays at Brewers projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. RHP Bryse Wilson

Pepiot (2-2, 3.77 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers last Tuesday
• 2023 road splits: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 3-2 road win vs. Colorado Rockies April 7

Wilson (2-0, 3.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 18 IP

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 3 K in 3-2 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates April 24
• 2024 home splits: 0-0, 2.25 ERA, 8 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K across 8 IP in 1 start and 2 relief appearances

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Rays at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Rays at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The RAYS (-110) are a good bet on the road behind Pepiot, who has surprising been one of the top starters for the team.

The Brewers (-110) use hybrid starter/reliever Wilson, who is from Durham, N.C., the home of Tampa Bay’s Triple-A team. There’s a fact you didn’t ask for, but needed to know.

Anyway, with the way the Brewers pitching staff was pounded in the past 2 games by the Yankees, the bullpen has been overworked. And Wilson isn’t a pitcher that is going to go deep into the game, so that taxed ‘pen is going to get more unwanted work, which should lead to plenty of Tampa runs.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return if you want insurance on the home team, and you can’t bet Milwaukee straight up. It’s not a recommended strategy.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is the lean, but only go with a half-unit wager at most.

The Over has cashed in 4 straight games for Milwaukee. And again, remember that Wilson won’t go deep, turning it over to a bullpen that has been trampled the past 2 days.

The Rays have hit the Over in 3 of the past 4 games, too, while the Over is a healthy 5-2 in the past 7 outings for Tampa Bay.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]