The Cincinnati Reds (33-31) and Milwaukee Brewers (38-28) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 8:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Luis Castillo is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 2-9 with a 6.47 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 64 IP over 13 starts.
Castillo has really struggled this season. He lost last time out against the Brewers Thursday when he allowed three runs, one hit and three walks over 5 2/3 innings in a loss. He is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts against Milwaukee this season.
LHP Brett Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 2-4 with a 4.99 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 4.8 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 39 2/3 IP over 10 starts.
Anderson was knocked around by the Reds in Cincinnati Wednesday in his most recent start, yielding five runs (four earned) and five hits with two walks and no strikeouts across just three innings in a loss. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts against Cincinnati this season.
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Reds at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Brewers 6, Reds 4
Money line (ML)
BREWERS (-110) is the lean here as they look to rebound after a 10-2 setback in the series opener Monday. They’re a great play against Castillo, who is in the midst of his worst season as a pro.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BREWERS +1.5 (-175) aren’t terribly expensive if you would like a little insurance, but I’d still rather just play Milwaukee straight up. Castillo has been horrific, and Anderson is at least semi-respectable at home posting a 4.20 ERA across his three starts in Cream City.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean here as both Castillo and Anderson have been very giving. Castillo has been knocked around in his two starts against the Brewers, too, while Anderson has also struggled against the Reds. The Over hit in the series opener, too.
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