Tag: Miami Marlins betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (58-100) and the Minnesota Twins (82-76) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Thursday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Marlins suffered their 100th loss of the season in Wednesday’s 8-3 setback as the Over (8.5) cashed. Miami is just 4-11 in the past 15 games since Sept. 9, while going 2-7 in the previous 9 outings on the road. The Under is 5-1-1 in the past 7 tries on the road, too.

The Twins halted a 3-game losing streak with the 8-3 victory. Minnesota is still alive for a postseason spot, 2 games out of a Wild Card spot, while sitting just a half-game ahead of the Seattle Mariners with 4 to play.

Miami is 15-27 in 42 interleague games this season, while Minnesota is 18-27 in 45 games against the NL.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

RHP Valente Bellozo vs. RHP David Festa

Bellozo (3-4, 3.82 ERA) makes his 13th career start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Career/2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.41 ERA, 37 IP, 14 ER, 34 H, 8 HR, 9 BB, 25 K, .238 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.16 WHIP in 7 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.00 ERA, 36 IP, 20 ER, 43 H, 14 BB, 19 K, 1.58 WHIP
  • Has never faced Twins

Festa (2-6, 4.80 ERA) makes his 13th career start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 60 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 4-2 road win in 12 innings vs. Boston Red Sox Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-4, 6.00 ERA, 30 IP, 20 ER, 7 HR, 14 BB, 36 K, .241 OBA, 1.40 WHIP in 6 starts (7 appearances)
  • Has never faced Marlins

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+100) | Twins -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+200) are a strong value on the road in this interleague series finale. Yes, Miami has 100 losses this season. However, the rookie Bellozo has pitched pretty well, and he has a slight advantage over the rookie Festa.

Festa has been crushed at home this season, going 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance. The rookie pitching battle should go in favor of the visitors.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little less adventurous, MARLINS +1.5 (+100) is still a worthwhile play. No one could fault you for wanting a little insurance on a 100-loss team, rather than playing a heavy underdog. Just don’t play both.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most in this rookie pitcher battle.

The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games for Minnesota, while going 6-2 in the past 8 interleague battles. The total has gone high at a 6-1-1 pace in the past 8 at home.

For the Marlins, the Over has a slight 4-3-1 advantage in the past 8 games. But, be careful, as the Under has hit in 4 straight starts for Bellozo.

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (81-76) welcome the Miami Marlins (58-99) to Target Field Wednesday for the 2nd of the 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 1-0

The Marlins beat the Twins to open the series 4-1 Tuesday, closing as +224 moneyline underdogs.

Miami has lost 2 of its last 3 and 4 of its last 6, spending its last 2 series at home and dropping 2 of 3 to both the Atlanta Braves and LA Dodgers. The Marlins are 4-10 over its last 14 games. The Marlins are 28-48 on the road this season and 74-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Twins have lost 3 in a row, getting outscored 21-5 in those games. They are 2 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and sit 4th in the AL Central despite its plus-.500 record. It has been an unfortunate showing in the homestretch as they are 3-8 over their last 11games. Minnesota is 42-34 at home, though, but it is an ugly 71-86 ATS — 4th worst in the majors — on the season.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Cabrera (4-8, 5.12 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 91 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 20-4 home loss to LA Dodgers Thursday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-5, 5.71 ERA (41 IP, 26 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 9 starts
  • First time facing Twins in his career

Woods Richardson (5-5, 4.00 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 132 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 loss in 10 innings at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 1-2, 3.90 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 12 starts
  • First time facing Marlins in his career

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Marlins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no reason to play the moneyline here.

Minnesota (-190) is far too great of a favorite to consider at almost twice your money for a unit of return. Similarly, the Miami (+155) has struggled on the road this season and isn’t worth the risk.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-140).

The Twins have had 3 of their last 8 games end within 1 run, so they’ve played close games as of late. Minnesota is just 2-6 in those games with its wins coming by just 2 and 3 runs — and the 2-run victory was in 10 innings.

Despite the 20-4 rout by the Dodgers Thursday, the Marlins have actually played well over the last week. They are 3-4 straight up and have had 2 of their last 5 losses by 1 run.

With that in mind, TAKE MARLINS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Marlins have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games with an 0-3-1 O/U mark. They have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and have allowed a total of 15 runs in their last 4.

Similarly, the Twins have gone Under in 3 of their last 5. Minnesota has struggled offensively, scoring just 5 runs in its last 3 games. It hasn’t scored more than 4 runs since 9 games ago.

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (57-99) and Minnesota Twins (81-75) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Miami won 2-1 last season

Miami lost 5-4 to the Atlanta Braves Sunday as a +169 home underdog. The Marlins scored 2 runs in the 6th to tie the game at 4 before allowing the eventual game-winning run in the 7th. Miami has lost back-to-back games.

Minnesota dropped a doubleheader Sunday to the Boston Red Sox, losing the 2nd game 9-3 as a -117 road favorite, after dropping the opener 8-1. The Twins have allowed at least 8 runs in 4 of their last 7 losses. Minnesota is 1 game out of a Wild Card spot, trailing the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers who are tied for the 2nd/3rd spots.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Weathers (3-6, 3.94 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 75 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in an 8-4 outing vs. the LA Dodgers Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Minnesota

Ober (12-7, 3.84 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 168 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in a 5-4 loss at Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Miami

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Minnesota is the much better team and is fighting for a playoff berth, so the Twins will pick up the win and cover here as -250 favorites. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-110).

Miami has played Minnesota very well the past few seasons, being 5-5 in the last 10 matchups. They won last year’s games 5-2 and 1-0, but their loss was by 11-1.

The Twins are also a very bad 71-85 ATS this season. But be aware that betting on a lesser team to cover ATS always comes with a risk.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Minnesota and is 5-0 in its last 5 home games. For the Marlins, the Over is also 6-3-1 in their last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 meetings between these teams in Minnesota and is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.

Be aware that the Under is 5-3-2 in Miami’s last 10 games.

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LA Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s LA Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers (90-62) and Miami Marlins (56-96) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 4:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: LA leads 4-1

LA beat Miami 8-4 Wednesday as a -193 road favorite. The Dodgers led by as many as 6 runs in the 4th inning after a 3B Enrique Hernandez 3-run shot. They remain 3½ games ahead of the 2nd-place San Diego Padres in the NL West.

Marlins LHP Ryan Weathers took the loss as he pitched 4 1/3 innings while allowing 5 earned runs on 8 hits and no walks with 5 K’s. Miami has been eliminated from playoff contention.

Dodgers at Marlins projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Edward Cabrera

Flaherty (12-7, 3.04 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 151 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 10-1 defeat at Atlanta Braves Saturday
  • Career vs. Miami: 2-2, 2.55 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 4 starts

Cabrera (4-7, 4.55 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 89 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 4-1 setback at Washington Nationals Friday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-2, 7.71 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Marlins +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-135) | Marlins +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Dodgers will pick up the win as -210 favorites, but this line isn’t worth the risk. Bet the spread and/or O/U instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN DODGERS -1.5 (-135).

The Dodgers’ last 7 wins vs. Miami have been by 2 or more runs. LA is also 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, so as long as you expect the Dodgers to win, you should also consider backing them ATS.

This is a lean because the Marlins are 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in each of LA’s last 5 games and is 8-2 in its last 10. For Miami, the Over is 5-0 in its last 5 home games.

The Over has also hit in each of the last 5 meetings in Miami and is 7-3 in the last 10 overall.

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LA Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s LA Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers (89-62) and Miami Marlins (56-95) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from loanDepot park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1

The Dodgers lost the Tuesday opener 11-9, snapping a 2-game winning streak. They hold a 3½-game lead over the 2nd-place San Diego Padres in the NL West, but are just 3-5 in their last 8 games.

Miami’s win in the opener snapped a 3-game losing streak. They have lost 6 of their last 8 games and are in last place in the NL East.

Dodgers at Marlins projected starters

RHP Landon Knack vs. LHP Ryan Weathers

Knack (2-4, 3.70 ERA) makes his 11th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 56 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-2 road defeat to Atlanta Braves Friday
  • His last win was July 23; has pitched 3 games (2 starts) since
  • Has never faced Miami

Weathers (3-5, 3.55 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 71 innings.

  • Is making 1st start since June 7; was on 60-day IL with finger injury
  • Last start: No-decision, 2 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home win over Cleveland Guardians June 7
  • Career vs. LA (regular season): 0-2, 4.62 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 6 appearances (5 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Marlins +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-115) | Marlins +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Marlins 3

Moneyline

Despite the Marlins’ 11-run explosion Tuesday, they have scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games.

The Dodgers (-185) have scored 9 runs in 3 straight games and at least 9 in 4 of their last 6.

Expect the LA offense to continue to score runs and for a normalization of the Marlins offense.

But in terms of -185 odds, those aren’t worth the action.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Fifteen of the Dodgers’ last 16 wins have been by 2 or more runs. They are 24-27 ATS following a loss.

Miami is 25-30 ATS after a loss. In its last 31 games, it has won consecutive games only twice. Nine of its last 11 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Seven of the Dodgers’ last 8 games have had 9 or more total runs. Six of the last 7 meetings between these teams have had 9 or more runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (54-92) and Washington Nationals (65-80) begin a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 8-1

The Nationals rebounded from a 12-0 loss to the Atlanta Braves Tuesday with an impressive 5-1 victory on Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 6-game homestand. Washington has had Miami’s number this season, winning 8 of their 9 meetings and outscoring them 57-24.

The Marlins head into this series after a 3-game sweep by the Pirates in Pittsburgh to start a 7-game road trip. Miami was outscored 12-7, continuing their road struggles this season, where they’re just 26-45.

Marlins at Nationals projected starters

RHP Darren McCaughan vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

McCaughan (0-0, 7.40 ERA) makes his 3rd start and his 8th appearance. He has a 1.85 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 24 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 9-5 home victory against Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-0, 10.66 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 15 ER (16 R), 2.13 WHIP, 3.6 K/9 in 3 games
  • Has never pitched against the Nationals

Parker (7-9, 4.43 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 136 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 8-6 victory at the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-4, 3.04 ERA (77 IP, 26 ER (30 R), 1.08 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 13 starts
  • 2024 vs. Marlins: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (10 IP, 2 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Nationals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Marlins at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 7, Marlins 2

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Nationals (-175) taking care of business on Thursday, but I’m not paying that price.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS -1.5 (+115).

The Nationals are in a prime spot to cover the -1.5 run line against the Marlins. Washington has owned this series all season, winning 8 of the 9 matchups — all of them by multiple runs in outscoring Miami by a combined 33 runs. The Marlins’ struggles against left-handed pitching add to the appeal, as they’ve hit just .229 against southpaws with an abysmal 10-40 record. With lefty Parker on the mound and Miami’s road woes (26-45), this game sets up perfectly for another Washington win by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

PASS.

I’ve got no feel on this one. It’s been 5-5 O/U in their last 10 meetings.

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Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (54-89) and Pittsburgh Pirates (67-76) open up a 3-game series Monday at PNC Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 4-0

The Marlins come to town after a surprising series win over the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. They took Sunday’s game 10-1 as 3B Connor Norby hit 2 homers and drove in 4. The Fish are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

The Pirates split a 4-game series with the Washington Nationals over the weekend. They took Sunday’s affair 7-3. They slugged homers from C Joey Bart, OF Andrew McCutchen and OF Michael A. Taylor. The Pirates are 5-5 over the last 10.

Marlins at Pirates projected starters

RHP Valente Bellozo vs. RHP Paul Skenes

Bellozo  (2-2, 3.78 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 47 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 4-3 home win in 10 innings Wednesday against Washington Nationals
  • Has never faced Pirates
  • Road/Home splits: 1-0, 3.42 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 5 road GS; 1-2, 4.22 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 in 4 home GS

Skenes (9-2, 2.13 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 114 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 5-0 victory Tuesday at Chicago Cubs
  • Hasn’t faced Marlins
  • Home/Road splits: 5-1, 2.60 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 11 home GS; 4-1, 1.49 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 in 8 road starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Pirates -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Pirates -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Marlins 2

Moneyline

No one is going to be placing a -275 bet on the Pirates hosting a Fish Fry. If so, what in the world kind of partying is taking place this afternoon?

So let’s look elsewhere. The Marlins have a better chance of attending the aforementioned party and making contact with a piñata than they do at hitting Skenes. He only has 6 K’s in his last 2 starts, but I’m taking PAUL SKENES OVER 6.5 K’S (-165).

BetMGM has a 33% MLB boost today with minimum odds of -300. That will bring the odds down to -125.

Run line/Against the spread

The Bucs have won 5 straight against the Fish, and 4 of the 5 were by multiple runs. Bellozo has a tough, menacing name, but he had just 1 K in 2 of his last 3 starts and gave up 5+ ER in the same.

Take a chance on the PIRATES -1.5 (-125). If you prefer to use the 33% odds boost here, it takes it to +106.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 72 degrees with a 9-mph gust blowing out to center. The Bucs are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and the Fish are 5-5. All 4 meetings went Over, but those took place back in March, and Skenes was not part of them.

I’ll take the UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (83-56) visit the Miami Marlins (52-87) on Thursday. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 5-4

The Phillies have won 4 games in a row after taking down the Toronto Blue Jays 4-2 on Wednesday and covering as -126 road favorites. 1B Kody Clemens had 2 RBIs while LHP Cristopher Sanchez (2 ER in 7 IP) got the win.

Miami beat the Washington Nationals 4-3 in 10 innings Wednesday while covering as a +127 home underdog. SS Xavier Edwards was the hero with a walk-off single.

Phillies at Marlins projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Adam Oller

Suarez (11-6, 3.02 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 128 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-2 loss against Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Career vs. Marlins: 5-2, 3.47 ERA (70 IP, 27 ER), 74 H, 24 BB, 66 K in 9 starts

Oller (1-1, 3.31 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 16 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-1 loss at San Francisco Giants Friday
  • Signed in July as free agent after being released by Cleveland Guardians
  • First time facing Phillies

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -2.5 (+100) | Marlins +2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Marlins 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Philadelphia (-250) to win on Thursday.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +2.5 (-120).

While the Phillies are on a hot streak, at 8-2 straight up (SU) over their last 10 games, only 3 of their last 8 wins have come by 3 or more runs. Miami has won 6 of its last 10 games including 3 of its last 4. At 1.5 runs, the Phillies may have the advantage, but at 2.5 the Marlins are the best play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Phillies have failed to hit the Over in 6 of their last 10 games and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games and 6 of their last 9. The Marlins have failed to hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 6 of their last 9.

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Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (68-69) welcome the Miami Marlins (50-86) to Oracle Park Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2

The Marlins beat the Giants 4-3 Saturday yet lost the series-opening battle 3-1 Friday. Miami has traded off winning and losing over its last 8 games. It sits 5th in the NL East and is 25-42 on the road this season. Miami lost 2 of 3 games at home to San Francisco earlier in the season (April 15-17). It is 63-73 against the spread (ATS).

The Giants still have postseason aspirations despite sitting 4th in the NL West. San Francisco has lost 3 of its last 4 games and 6 of its last 9. The Giants are 65-72 ATS on the season. They have performed much better at home, having a 39-29 record at Oracle Park. San Francisco has won 4 of its last 6 at home.

Marlins at Giants projected starters

RHP Darren McCaughan vs. RHP Logan Webb

McCaughan (0-0, 8.62 ERA) makes his 1st start and 6th appearance. The rookie has a 2.11 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 through 15 2/3 innings.

  • 2024 away stats: 0-0, 12.46 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 2.42 WHIP, 3.1 K/9 in 2 appearances
  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 11-8 home victory July 26, 2021, with Seattle Mariners
  • Has never faced Giants

Webb (11-8, 3.24 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 177 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-4 road win over Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-3, 2.26 ERA (91 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 1-1, 2.67 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Giants odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Giants -255 (bet $255 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Marlins +1.5 (-114) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +102 | U: -124)

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Marlins at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Marlins 2

Moneyline

PASS.

San Francisco (-255) is just far too expensive to take here at more than double your money for a unit of return. The Marlins aren’t worth a play either, as they’ve struggled on the road this season.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GIANTS -1.5 (-105).

The Giants have a significant pitching advantage Sunday with Webb on the mound. San Francisco has covered the spread in 4 of Webb’s last 5 starts and is 35-33 ATS following a loss.

Given Miami’s recent trend of losing following a win, it is primed to come up short in this one. The Marlins are 22-27 ATS following a win, a cover rate in the lower half of the league (20th).

Considering those trends and the pitching discrepancy, take GIANTS -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-124).

The Giants are 2-4 O/U in Webb’s last 6 starts. The NL leader in IP has allowed a total of just 8 runs over his last 6 starts and 1 or fewer in 4 of his last 6. San Francisco has gone Under in 3 straight and is 4-7-3 O/U in its last 14.

The Marlins have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games as well, scoring 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9. Couple it all together, and back UNDER 7.5 (-124).

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Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (48-84) and Colorado Rockies (49-84) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Coors Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 4-1

After losing the Monday opener 3-2 as +104 underdogs, the Marlins bounced back with a 9-8 win as +132 underdogs Tuesday with the Over (11.5) easily cashing. Miami scored 5 runs in the 9th after entering the inning with a 1.1% win probabilty, according to ESPN Analytics, trailing 8-4.

The Rockies led by as many as 6 runs in the 2nd inning. It was the 2nd time this season that Colorado has blown a lead of 5 or more runs to the Marlins — the other was a 7-6 Miami home win in 10 innings April 30.

The Marlins and Rockies own the worst and 2nd-worst records, respectively, in the NL.

Marlins at Rockies projected starters

RHP Max Meyer vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Meyer (3-3, 5.44 ERA) makes his 10th start. The rookie has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Chicago Cubs Friday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-2, 5.68 ERA (19 IP, 12 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 4 starts
  • Has never faced Rockies

Freeland (3-6, 5.70 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 79 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-0 defeat at New York Yankees Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 2-0, 3.60 ERA (25 IP, 10 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 6 appearances (4 starts), including 0-0 with 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockies -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-190) | Rockies -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

Colorado (-130) will probably win with Freeland taking the mound. However, I wouldn’t want to pay more than -120 on the Rockies. Freeland has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 4 of his last 5 starts overall and 2 ER in each of his last 2 outings against Miami.

PASS on the ML. Bet KYLE FREELAND UNDER 3.5 EARNED RUNS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

Miami +1.5 (-190) will likely cover the run line, but it’s hard to stay profitable long term betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet Freeland’s ER prop and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

While Freeland’s ER prop is somewhat of a derivative of the full-game total, the Under is still a good bet at this number. Freeland has allowed a total of just 4 runs in 18 2/3 IP over his last 3 starts, and the Rockies have scored 3 or fewer in 8 of their last 10 games.

BET UNDER 11 (-115).

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