Memphis Grizzlies odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (35-17) are in the City of Brotherly Love Monday to play the Philadelphia 76ers (30-19). Tip-off at the Wells Fargo Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis has won five of its past six games including four straight with the latest being a 20-point beatdown of the Wizards as 6-point home favorites Saturday. The Grizzlies are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games.

Philly is also the winner of four consecutive games, but the Sixers squeaked past the Kings, 103-101, Saturday as 10.5-point home favorites in their last outing. The 76ers are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games as well.

A Ja Morant-less Grizzlies squad hammered a Joel Embiid-less Sixers 126-91 in their first meeting this season, Dec. 13. Memphis has won and covered three straight in the head-to-head series with Philly.

Grizzlies at 76ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | 76ers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread: Grizzlies +3.5 (-108) | 76ers -3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at 76ers key injuries

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

76ers

None.

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Grizzlies at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 120, 76ers 113

Money line

SPRINKLE on the GRIZZLIES (+133) with the plan of hitting Memphis’ spread harder. The Grizzlies have two strength-on-weakness edges over the Sixers on the glass and in transition.

For instance, Memphis has the highest offensive rebounding rate in the NBA, which results in the Grizzlies averaging the most second-chance points per game (PPG). Whereas Philly is 22nd in defensive rebounding rate and 18th in second-chance PPG allowed.

On top of that, the Grizzlies have an epic mismatch over the Sixers in transition. Memphis plays the second-highest frequency of transition offense and scores the MOST fast-break PPG. Philly is 28th in transition defensive efficiency and 29th in fast-break PPG allowed.

Again, just SPRINKLE on the GRIZZLIES (+133) because Memphis’ spread is the sharper play.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-108) heavier than or instead of their money line (ML). This is a much better spot for Memphis because Philly struggles versus teams in the top 10 of efficiency differential.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Philly is 4-7 SU versus top-10 teams with a minus-7.3 adjusted net rating (ranked 22nd) and a minus-5.5 ATS margin (ranked 26th).

Also, the Sixers are 9-13 ATS versus teams with a winning record (3-7 ATS at home) and the Grizzlies are 13-8 ATS versus winning teams (7-3 ATS on the road).

Furthermore, Memphis is seventh in adjusted offensive rating and Philly is just 8-9 SU versus top-10 offenses with a minus-2.7 adjusted net rating and minus-4.5 ATS margin (ranked 29th), per CTG.

For the record, the GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS ON THE TOTAL.

On one hand, Memphis’s offense should get a lot of easy second-chance and fast-break points. On the other hand, both teams rank 10th or better in defensive rating and Philly plays the fourth-slowest pace.

The bottom line is I don’t have a strong enough grasp on the total for Grizzlies-76ers and prefer to stick with the Memphis sides.

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Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (34-17) host the Washington Wizards (23-25) Saturday at FedExForum for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Washington has lost five of its last six games (1-5 against the spread) including four straight with the latest being a heartbreaking 116-115 loss at home to the Los Angeles Clippers Tuesday. The Wizards had a 30-point lead at halftime before an epic collapse to the Clippers.

Memphis has won back-to-back games at the San Antonio Spurs Wednesday and at home against the Utah Jazz Friday. The Grizzlies are 4-2 straight-up (SU) and ATS over the last two weeks with their two losses coming on the road at the Milwaukee Bucks and Dallas Mavericks.

The Wizards beat the brakes off the Grizzlies 115-87 as 3-point favorites in their first meeting this season Nov. 5. Washington’s domination was due to it outshooting Memphis from the field 58.3-35.4% (40.0-19.4% from behind the arc) but the Grizzlies won three of the “four factors”.

Wizards at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Grizzlies -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +5.5 (-115) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Wizards at Grizzlies key injuries

Wizards

None.

Grizzlies (not officially submitted)

SG Dillon Brooks (ankle)
SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Wizards at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Wizards 107

Money line

PASS because I think Memphis gets revenge on Washington for earlier this season but the Grizzlies (-220) is a little out of my price range.

Against the spread

BET the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-107) for 1 unit because Memphis has been profitable at this price this season while the opposite is true for the Wizards.

Memphis is 4-1 ATS when laying between 5-7 points and Washington is 1-5-1 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points.

The Grizzlies have also performed very well against teams in the bottom 10 of efficiency differential, which Washington is, and when played with a rest disadvantage.

The Grizzlies are 14-6 SU versus bottom-10 teams with the fourth-best adjusted net rating (plus-11.7) and the second-best ATS margin (plus-7.6), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG). Plus the Grizzlies are an NBA-best 8-4 ATS when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Memphis has covered six of its past seven home games, seven of its past eight games as a favorite and five straight versus teams with a losing record.

Finally, Washington is an NBA-worst 7-15-1 ATS on the road with a minus-2.3 ATS margin.

BET the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-107) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 229.5 (-108) for 1 unit because Memphis plays more to the Under in this situation, Washington does a good job defending what the Grizzlies do often and I think the public will be all over this Over.

Memphis likes to push the pace, attack the basket and crash the glass. However, the Wizards allow the fewest fastbreak points per game (PPG) and rank 12th in second-chance PPG allowed.

Lastly, the Grizzlies are 5-6-1 O/U when playing with a rest disadvantage (minus-4.1 total margin) and 3-5-1 O/U on zero rest days (minus-5.5 total margin).

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The slumping Utah Jazz (30-19) head to the FedExForum Friday to play the surging Memphis Grizzlies (33-17) at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah has lost five of its past six games including three straight, but the three consecutive losses came against the Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns (twice). The Jazz are 2-8 straight-up (SU) and 2-7-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last 10 games.

Memphis has alternated wins and losses over the past seven games with the latest being a 118-110 victory at the San Antonio Spurs as a 4-point road favorite Wednesday. The Grizzlies are 7-3 SU/ATS over the last 10 games.

The Grizzlies (+11) upset the Jazz 119-119 in their first meeting this season (Nov. 22). Memphis PG Ja Morant, SG Desmond Bane and PF Jaren Jackson Jr. scored a combined 86 points and the Grizzlies won three of the “four factors” in that meeting.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 28 breakdown

Jazz at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:34 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Grizzlies -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +4.5 (-102) | Grizzlies -4.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Jazz at Grizzlies key injuries

Jazz

C Rudy Gobert (calf) out
SG Donovan Mitchell (concussion) out

Grizzlies

SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
SF Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Jazz at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Jazz 109

Money line

PASS.

Memphis is the right side, especially with the absence of Gobert, but the Grizzlies (-205) are too expensive.

The Jazz are just 1-6 SU in games Gobert has missed, so the Grizzlies should have a lot of success attacking the rim and scoring in the paint.

Against the spread

BET the GRIZZLIES -4.5 (-122).

They are in much better form than the Jazz heading into Friday, and the absence of Gobert looms large for Utah in this matchup.

Memphis attempts the sixth-highest rate of field goals at the rim and the highest volume of short mid-range shots, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

However, Utah’s opponents shoot 4.4% better at the rim and 4.1% better in the short mid-range when Gobert is off the floor. So, the Grizzlies will be able to exploit this obvious flaw in the Jazz’s defense.

Also, Utah can get kind of careless with the rock and. The Jazz are 21st in offensive-turnover rate (TOV%) and 25th in points off of turnovers allowed per game. This should be trouble against a Memphis team, which is fourth in defensive TOV% and third in points off of turnovers per game.

BET the GRIZZLIES -4.5 (-122) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

PASS since my prediction isn’t too far from the projected total and there’s not a lot of value in this number for me.

Utah is 10-13-1 O/U on the road and Memphis is 12-13-1 O/U at home, but the Over has cashed in nine of the last 10 Jazz-Grizzlies meetings.

This total is too tough to call.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (32-17) travel to the Alamo City for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off against the San Antonio Spurs (18-30) at the AT&T Center. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis has alternated between winning and losing over its past six games with the latest being a 104-91 loss at the Dallas Mavericks Sunday. The Grizzlies are 3-3 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

San Antonio snapped a two-game slide by hammering the Rockets in Houston 134-104 last night (Tuesday). The Spurs are 3-5 SU and ATS in the last 14 days.

The Grizzlies (-5.5) beat the Spurs 118-105 in their first meeting of the season, New Year’s Eve. Memphis has won four straight versus San Antonio and covered in three of those wins.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 26 breakdown

Grizzlies at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Spurs +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -4.5 (-115) | Spurs +4.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Grizzlies at Spurs key injuries

Grizzlies

SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) questionable
PF Brandon Clarke (back) questionable
SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Spurs

None.

Grizzlies at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Spurs 115

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Spurs (+160) because San Antonio plus the points is the side I’m on.

Both teams play a similar style and have a similar make-up, but the Grizzlies (-200) are just far more efficient so I cannot get behind a San Antonio upset in this spot.

Against the spread

BET the SPURS +4.5 (-107) for 1 unit because the Grizzlies -4.5 (-115) feels like a trap considering Memphis smacked around San Antonio when they first met on New Year’s Eve.

However, the Grizzlies were a lot closer to full health, and the Spurs were missing their leading scorer and assist man in PG Dejounte Murray.

While Memphis PG Ja Morant is a heavy favorite to win the NBA’s Most Improved Player award, Murray is also having a breakout season and has been dynamite this month.

Murray is averaging career highs in points, rebounds and assists per game this season. In Jan., Murray is outproducing his yearly averages by putting up 23.0 points, 8.5 rebounds and 9.7 assists per in 12 games this month.

Furthermore, San Antonio has been more efficient and played better versus expectations than Memphis over the past two weeks despite having a worse record.

For instance, the Spurs have a plus-2.8 adjusted net rating (ranked 10th) and a plus-0.3 ATS margin (ranked 17th) in the last 14 days, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

But, the Grizzlies have a minus-4.4 adjusted net rating (ranked 22nd) and a minus-4.5 ATS margin (ranked 26th) during that span, per CTG.

Finally, Memphis is playing the final of a 4-game road swing and is hosting the Utah Jazz Friday. It could be a look-ahead spot for a Grizzlies team that’s facing the team that eliminated them from the playoffs last season and the Spurs could catch them snoozing.

All the trends and most of the public is on the Grizzlies but I’ll fade all that noise and BET the SPURS +4.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Over 228.5 (-112) because both teams like to force turnovers, get out in transition, crash the glass and attack the paint.

Also, the Over has cashed in 5 of the last 7 Grizzlies-Spurs meetings. That said, I agree with this total and think it’s a sharp price.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Two red-hot teams face off as the Dallas Mavericks (26-20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (32-16) Sunday. The tip-off at American Airlines Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis has alternated between winning and losing over its past five games with the most recent being a 122-118 victory over the Denver Nuggets Friday as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Grizzlies are 8-2 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games.

Dallas had its four-game winning streak snapped after losing to the Phoenix Suns 109-101 Thursday. The Mavs are 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

The Mavs are 2-1 SU and ATS versus the Grizzlies this season and have won the last two meetings.

Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mavericks -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (back) questionable
SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) out
SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

None.

Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Grizzlies 103

Money line

PASS because the Grizzlies (+145) are too feisty to lay it with the Mavericks (-180) even though I’d much prefer Dallas outright than its spread.

This money line is way too expensive given Memphis’s 10-6 SU record as a road underdog but Dallas is 12-3 SU as a home favorite.

Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit because the Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) are missing several key players and Dallas matches up well with Memphis. The Mavs don’t turn the ball over and do a good job grabbing defensive boards.

For instance, Dallas is third in adjusted offensive turnover rate and second in adjusted defensive rebounding rate. While Memphis is fifth in adjusted defensive turnover rate and second in adjusted offensive rebounding rate.

The bottom line is a lot of the Grizzlies’ points are scored by creating points off turnovers and crashing the offensive glass, which won’t be available versus the Mavs.

Furthermore, Brooks, Bane, Jones and Clarke have a combined plus-16.1 adjusted on/off net rating. Brooks and Bane can create their own shots and are good on-ball defenders. Jones point guards the second-unit for Memphis and Clarke’s length and athleticism would help for defending Luka Doncic.

Finally, Luka is 4-1 SU in five career games versus Memphis’s Ja Morant and Dallas bounces back well from losses (13-6 ATS with a plus-6.7 ATS margin).

BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 218.5 (-112) for a half-unit because Dallas is 2-12-1 O/U as a home favorite, the Grizzlies-Mavericks is 2-5 O/U in the last seven meetings and the presumed sharp money is on the Under.

According to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash is on the Under but a slight majority of the bets placed are on the Over.

This is what’s considered a Pros vs. Joe’s game since the money column in the betting splits typically represents “sharp money” while the tickets column represents the public.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (31-16) travel to the Mile High City Friday to play the Denver Nuggets (23-20) at the Ball Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis (+6.5) got drubbed 126-114 at the Milwaukee Bucks Wednesday for its second loss in the past three games. But, the Grizzlies have been red-hot this month.

In January, Memphis is 8-2 straight-up (SU) and 8-2 against the spread (ATS) with a plus.6-7 adjusted net rating (ranked sixth) and a plus-5.4 ATS margin (ranked fourth), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Denver (-8.5) squeaked past the Los Angeles Clippers 130-128 in overtime Wednesday for its third win in the past three games.

The Nuggets are 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS this month with a plus-5.8 adjusted net rating (ranked seventh) and a plus-0.9 ATS margin (ranked 13th), per CTG.

The Grizzlies are 2-0 SU and ATS versus the Nuggets this season, both in Memphis and five of their past six meetings have gone Under the total, including three straight.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 21 breakdown

Grizzlies at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Nuggets -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +3.5 (-110) | Nuggets -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Nuggets key injuries

Grizzlies

SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) out
SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) out
PF JaMychal Green (health and safety protocols) out

Grizzlies at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 118, Grizzlies 110

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Nuggets (-165) since this is on the fringe of my price range, and I’d much rather have a Nuggets SU ticket than sweat Denver covering the spread.

Against the spread

BET the NUGGETS -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit because it feels like the sportsbooks are laying a trap with the Grizzlies +3.5 (-110).

Most of the market is hammering Memphis plus the points since the Grizzlies have been one of the best teams with an MVP candidate (Ja Morant). Also, most of the trends point to Memphis being the right side.

And despite the lopsided pro-Grizzlies action, there’s a line freeze and oddsmakers haven’t moved this number from the opener.

However, I would wait closer to tip-off before placing a wager since money is pouring on Memphis, and eventually the oddsmakers will respond accordingly.

More importantly, Denver has the reigning MVP—Nikola Jokic—who’s arguably playing better this season and has balled out in recent meetings with Memphis big Steven Adams.

For instance, Jokic is averaging 30.4 points per game (PPG) on 61.3% shooting (44.9% from 3-point land) with 9.9 rebounds and 7.9 assists in his last 10 games versus Adams.

Also, Memphis is top-five in both second-chance PPG and fast-break PPG. But, Denver’s defense ranks first in second-chance PPG allowed and ninth in fast-break PPG allowed.

BET the NUGGETS -3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 224.5 (-107) for a one-third unit because I’m much more confident in the Nuggets winning SU than the total.

But, Denver can get hot from deep, and Memphis tends to get a little lost when playing perimeter defense. The Nuggets are ninth in 3-point attempt rate, and the Grizzlies are 26th in defensive 3-point shooting percentage.

Plus both teams play more to the Over slightly in their respective location-based splits. Memphis is 10-9-2 O/U in away games and Denver is 11-9 O/U in home games.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (8-12) meet the Memphis Grizzlies (9-10) Sunday at the FedExForum for a 6 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

The Kings have pulled off two straight upsets: Sactown first beat the Portland Trail Blazers 125-121 Wednesday, next the Lakers 141-137 in overtime in Los Angeles Friday. The Kings are 9-11 ATS and 8-11-1 O/U with the 21st-ranked net rating (minus-1.1).

Memphis has gotten crushed in three of its past four games, which includes a 132-100 home loss vs. the Atlanta Hawks Friday.

However, the major storyline from Memphis’s game against Atlanta Friday was a knee injury sustained by Ja Morant that will keep him sidelined indefinitely. The Grizzlies are 10-9 ATS and 11-8 O/U with the 25th-ranked net rating (minus-6.8).

The Grizzlies won all three regular-season meetings with Kings last year but Sactown covered two of three. In fact, the Kings have covered seven of their last nine games vs. the Grizzlies.

Kings at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:59 a.m. ET.

Money line: Kings +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Grizzlies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kings +3.5 (-112) | Grizzlies -3.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Kings at Grizzlies key injuries

Kings

PF Maurice Harkless (knee) questionable
SF Harrison Barnes (foot) doubtful
C Richaun Holmes (illness) out

Grizzlies

PG Ja Morant (knee) out

Kings at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 124, Grizzlies 113

Money line

Morant’s absence leads to a significant edge in the backcourt for the KINGS (+125) and Memphis will be without its only reliable shot creator.

For instance, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Morant grades in the 73rd percentile of guards on/off court efficiency differential.

Furthermore, Kings guard De’Aaron Fox is averaging 21.1 points per game on 47.9% shooting with 6.4 assists per game and a plus-5 net rating in 11 career games against Memphis.

Also, Sactown runs the second-highest volume of pick-and-roll action through the ball handler and Memphis has the third-worst defensive efficiency vs. pick-and-roll ball handlers.

And the Kings’ two probable inactives Sunday—Barnes and Holmes—grade in the 23rd percentile of wings in on/off efficiency differential (Barnes) and 42nd percentile of bigs (Holmes), respectively.

However, recent injuries to Sactown’s frontcourt combined with the recent ousting of former head coach Luke Walton opens the door for more playing time for Kings’ big Marvin Bagley III.

In the previous two games, Bagley put up 11.5 points and 8.5 rebounds per outing with 81.8% shooting. Plus Bagley has the best efficiency differential on the Kings at plus-15.8 points per 100 possessions. Granted, that’s in limited time because Bagley didn’t get much run under Walton.

On top of that, the Kings take the fourth-highest volume of shots at the rim and the Grizzlies rank 24th in shot quality allowed vs. attempts at the rim (according to ShotQuality.com).

“LEAN” to the KINGS (+125) because there’s more value in Sactown getting the points but, either way, the Kings are the right side here.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the KINGS +3.5 (-112) heavier than or instead of Sactown’s money line based on the aforementioned logic. Also, the Kings are more efficient on the road than the Grizzlies are at home.

For example, Sactown is 14th in efficiency differential in away games while Memphis is 22nd in efficiency differential at home with a minus-5.7 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 222.5 (-108) as a fade against a market that’s hammering the Under at a 90-plus-percent clip at the time of publishing, according to Pregame.com. In my opinion, there’s value in fading the overreaction to Morant’s absence.

In addition, the possible absence of two Kings’ starters should equal more reps for Sactown guards Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield, both of which are high volume 3-point shooters. Well, Memphis has the worst defensive 3-point shooting percentage in the NBA.

Finally, Morant not running the show for the Grizzlies will mean the Kings can dictate the pace and Sactown plays at the ninth-fastest in pace. The bottom line is we should see a fast-paced, 3-point shootout in the Kings-Grizzlies contest.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Memphis Grizzlies at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at New York Knicks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (26-23) visit the Big Apple Friday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the New York Knicks (25-27) at Madison Square Garden. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Knicks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

New York has struggled of late, losing back-to-back games and five of its last six. Three of those losses were by two points or less and the last two were road games against the division rival Boston Celtics and Brooklyn Nets.

Memphis won the first three games of its four-game Eastern Conference road swing, all by double digits and against quality opponents in the Atlanta Hawks, Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers. Over their past 10 games, the Grizzlies are 7-3 straight up and 9-1 against the spread.

Grizzlies at Knicks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Knicks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies -1 (-110) | Knicks +1 (-110)
Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Grizzlies at Knicks: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (calf) doubtful
PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) out
SF Justise Winslow (thigh) out
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

Knicks

C Mitchell Robinson (foot) out

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Grizzlies at Knicks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Knicks 114, Grizzlies 110

Money line (ML)

Both of these teams like to operate in the mid-range but only one of them plays good defense in the mid-range.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Memphis attempts the fourth-highest volume of mid-range field goals and New York attempts the seventh-highest volume of mid-range shots; however, the Knicks have the fifth-best defensive field-goal percentage on mid-range attempts and the Grizzlies have the fourth-worst mid-range field-goal defense.

Also, the Grizzlies get points via “miscellaneous” metrics such as points off of turnovers, second-chance points, fast-break points and points in the paint. The Knicks defense is top-10 in all of those categories.

Finally, New York has surprisingly shot the ball really well since the All-Star game—ranked fourth in post-All-Star break 3-point percentage—and Memphis is only 19th in defensive effective field-goal percentage.

BET KNICKS (-105) for 1 unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS unless New York’s spread gets to 2.5 points or higher because the current price of Knicks +1 (-110) doesn’t really provide insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

GIMME OVER 214.5 (-115) for a half-unit because I like New York’s offense to find success in the mid-range and Memphis is averaging 119.0 points per game over its last 10 outings.

Furthermore, my read is the pace will pick up in Grizzlies-Knicks because both teams will play with urgency since they are each eighth in their respective conference and every game is important down the stretch.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (25-23) drop by State Farm Arena Wednesday for an 8 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (27-24). Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Memphis has won three straight and four of its past five games and is 9-1 against the spread in the last 10. The Grizzlies’ past two wins were road upsets at the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday and the Miami Heat Tuesday.

Atlanta has it rolling, too. The Hawks have won four in a row and five of their past seven (5-2 against the spread). However, four of the Hawks’ last five wins have come against two banged-up teams—the New Orleans Pelicans and Golden State Warriors.

The Hawks beat the Grizzlies earlier this season 122-112 as 2.5-point road underdogs, but Memphis won and covered both meetings last season.

Grizzlies at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Hawks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +2 (-110) | Hawks -2 (-110)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Hawks: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (calf) out
PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) out
SF Justise Winslow (thigh) out
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

Hawks

PF John Collins (ankle) out
PF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) questionable
SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out

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Grizzlies at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Hawks 112

Money line (ML)

Both teams crash the glass, get easy putbacks and second-chance points. Memphis is first in second-chance points per game and Atlanta is fourth. The Grizzlies are third in second-chance points allowed per game whereas the Hawks are 18th.

Memphis C Jonas Valančiūnas’ teams are 6-3 when playing Atlanta C Clint Capela’s teams with Valančiūnas outscoring and outrebounding Capela in those games.

“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES (+110) for a quarter unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET GRIZZLIES +2 (-110) heavier than or instead of Memphis’s money line.

The Grizzlies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. Also, Memphis has the highest cover rate vs. non-conference opponents (14-5 ATS).

Over/Under (O/U)

There are a whole bunch of Under-friendly trends keeping this total low in my opinion, providing a little value for the OVER 225.5 (-110).

The previous three Grizzlies-Hawks games played to the Under, but the totals were 240.5, 235 and 238.5 earlier this season.

Bookmakers shaving 14 points off the total, even with Atlanta’s injury concerns, is too much.

The Hawks have scored 123 or more points in three of their last four games and the Grizzlies have scored 116 or more in four of five.

Bet OVER 225.5 (-110) for a half unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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