Atlanta Hawks odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (25-27) stop by American Airlines Center Sunday to play the Dallas Mavericks (30-23) at 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta has lost two of its past three games, but both losses were against a surging Toronto Raptors squad. Otherwise, the Hawks won seven straight games from Jan. 17-30 and beat a red-hot Phoenix Suns team 124-115 Thursday.

Dallas stopped a 2-game losing skid by upsetting the Philadelphia 76ers 107-98 at home Friday as a 1-point underdog. The Mavs are 4-3 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

The Hawks destroyed the Mavs 113-87 in Atlanta in their first head-to-head meeting this season as 2.5-point favorites. The Under cashed with a 25.5-point cushion on the 225.5-point total.

Hawks at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mavericks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread: Hawks +1.5 (-107) | Mavericks -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Mavericks key injuries

Hawks

PF John Collins (heel) questionable
PF Danilo Gallinari (hamstring) questionable
SG Lou Williams (hamstring) questionable

Mavericks

SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out
PF Maxi Kleber (knee) questionable
C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

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Hawks at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 113, Mavericks 109

Money line

Slight “lean” to the HAWKS (+105) for a small wager if at all, because I much prefer Atlanta’s spread.

The Hawks have been playing really well lately and are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. Atlanta has a plus-7.3 adjusted net rating (ranked third) and a plus-6.8 ATS margin (ranked first) over those 10 games, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

However, it’s only a slight “lean” to the HAWKS (+105) because they are 6-11 SU as road underdogs and the Mavericks are 14-4 SU as home favorites.

Against the spread

BET HAWKS +1.5 (-107) for 1 unit.

Atlanta’s spread has been hit by sharp money early after it opened as a 3-point favorite but is currently heading south. I think Dallas ultimately gets flooded with public money, but early on, the “wiseguys” are on Atlanta.

The Hawks typically perform well in this spot. Atlanta is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings with the Mavs, and 6-1 ATS in the last seven visits to Dallas.

Furthermore, the Mavs have struggled to string together covers. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in the last six games following an outright victory.

Finally, Hawks head coach Nate McMillan’s decision to replace SG Bogdan Bogdanović with SG Kevin Huerter in the starting 5 when Bogdanović returned from an injury Jan. 26 has gotten the best out of both.

Huerter’s offensive rating goes from 91 off the bench to 115 as a starter, and Bogdanović actually averages two-plus points more per game as a reserve. When asked about his new bench role, Bogdanović said all he wants to do is help the team win.

There are positive vibes in Atlanta and the Hawks are finally starting to play like the team that made last season’s Eastern Conference Finals.

BET HAWKS +1.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS.

Both teams play at a 19th or slower pace, the last seven Hawks-Mavericks meetings are 2-5 O/U, and Dallas is 4-13-1 O/U as a home favorite.

However, the Mavs are 5-1 O/U in their last six games, and the Hawks are 3-1 O/U in their last four games.

Either way, I don’t have a strong enough graph on the total to make a wager.

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Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Phoenix Suns (41-9) travel to the Big Peach Thursday to play the Atlanta Hawks (24-26). The tip-off at State Farm Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Suns vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Phoenix has won 11 consecutive games with the latest being a 121-111 home victory over the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday as a 7-point favorite. The Suns have a 3-game cushion on the Golden State Warriors for first place in the West.

A Trae Young-less Atlanta had its 7-game win streak snapped Monday by losing 106-100 to the Toronto Raptors at home as a 2.5-point underdog. The Hawks are 5-1 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the last two weeks.

The Suns won their first meeting with the Hawks 121-117 Nov. 6 as 3.5-point home favorites. Phoenix G Devin Booker scored a game-high 38 points on 14-for-21 shooting (including 55.6% from behind the arc).

Suns at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Suns -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Hawks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Against the spread: Suns -4.5 (-107) | Hawks +4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Suns at Hawks key injuries

Suns

C Deandre Ayton (ankle) probable
PF Jae Crowder (wrist) probable

Hawks

PG Trae Young (shoulder) questionable
SF De’Andre Hunter (ankle) probable

Suns at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 118, Hawks 109

Money line

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Even though Phoenix is obviously the right side, and 16-2 SU as a road favorite while Atlanta is 1-3 SU as a home underdog, the -180 tag is just too pricey.

Against the spread

BET the SUNS -4.5 (-107) for 1 unit.

Phoenix has edges in the pick-and-roll (PnR), “clutch” situations and this is a better spot for the Suns, especially since they dominate bad defenses.

Both teams run a ton of PnR action through their All-Star point guards but I’ll literally take Suns’ Chris Paul over any other point guard in NBA history in a PnR battle. Phoenix also has better offensive efficiency than Atlanta in PnR action through the ball handler.

The Hawks are 27th in defensive rating and the Suns beat up on bad defenses. Phoenix is 15-2 SU versus bottom-10 defenses with the best adjusted net rating (plus-13.8) and the second-best ATS margin (plus-5.3), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

The Suns will also blow past the Hawks if this game is close late. Phoenix is 20-3 SU in the “clutch” with the best net rating (plus-45.1) whereas Atlanta is 9-13 SU with the second-worst net rating (minus-21.2). “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin with five minutes remaining.

Finally, the Suns are 12-3 ATS as a road favorite with a plus-6.2 ATS margin and 6-3 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record whereas the Hawks are 1-3 ATS as a home underdog with a minus-4.1 ATS margin.

BET 1 unit on the SUNS -4.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS ON THE TOTAL.

For what it’s worth, I “lean” towards the Over 226.5 (-108) because the Over has cashed in five straight Suns-Hawks meetings and Atlanta is 4-0 O/U in its last four home games versus a team with a winning record.

However, I’m staying away because we’d be getting to the party late since the Suns-Hawks total has been steamed up from the 224.5-point opener.

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Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (24-23) travel to the Big Peach Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Atlanta Hawks (24-25) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto has alternated wins and losses over the past six games with the latest being a 124-120, triple-overtime victory as a 2.5-point road underdog at the Miami Heat Saturday. The Raptors are 3-4 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

Atlanta is on a 7-game winning streak (7-0 ATS). The Hawks beat the Los Angeles Lakers 129-121 Sunday as 7.5-point home favorites.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 31 breakdown

Raptors at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Raptors -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Hawks +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Against the spread: Raptors -1.5 (-112) | Hawks +1.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Hawks key injuries

Raptors

C Khem Birch (nose) out

Hawks

SF De’Andre Hunter (ankle) probable
PG Trae Young (shoulder) questionable

Raptors at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 114, Hawks 109

Money line

BET RAPTORS (-125) for 1 unit.

Toronto has a significant edge in transition basketball and should have more possessions than Atlanta, which usually means more points.

The Raptors get out in transition at the fifth-highest rate and are third in fast-break points per game (PPG). Meanwhile, Atlanta has the worst transition defensive efficiency in the NBA.

Both teams have top-five offensive turnover rates, but the Raptors force the highest rate of turnovers in the NBA and the Hawks rank 28th in defensive-turnover rate.

Also, this is a much better spot for Toronto since Atlanta is 5-7 SU when playing with a rest disadvantage with a minus-2.7 margin of victory and 3-5 ATS on the second of a back-to-back with a minus-3.5 margin of victory.

The Hawks are second in adjusted-offensive rating and the Raptors perform well versus top-10 offenses.

Toronto is sixth in adjusted-net rating versus top-10 offenses with the fifth-best ATS margin at plus-2.9, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

BET RAPTORS (-125).

Against the spread

PASS since Toronto’s money line is only 13 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Raptors -1.5 (-112).

Don’t be cheap, just TAKE TORONTO (-125) to win outright.

Over/Under

BET OVER 215.5 (-112) for a quarter-unit.

The Over has cashed in five of the past six Raptors-Hawks meetings and Toronto is 10-2 O/U when playing on a rest advantage with a plus-12.8 total margin.

Also, the assigned officiating crew for this game has a combined 44-40 O/U record.

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Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Coming off an embarrassing 53-point loss to the Boston Celtics, the Sacramento Kings (18-31) will be right back on the floor Wednesday night. They’re visiting the Atlanta Hawks (21-25) at the State Farm Arena, with tip-off at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Kings were blown out by the Celtics on Tuesday night, losing 128-75 on the road. It was the biggest home win in Celtics history, putting into perspective just how lopsided the game was.

Without PG De’Aaron Fox, it was always going to be a tough matchup, but Sacramento was outmatched by Boston last night. The Kings have now lost four in a row and eight of their last 10, slipping way below .500.

The Hawks were off on Monday and Tuesday after beating the Charlotte Hornets Sunday, 113-91. They’ve won four games in a row and have scored at least 110 points in each of those contests.

This matchup with the Kings opens a five-game homestand, a critical stretch for the Hawks with the Celtics, Lakers, Raptors and Suns all visiting in the next eight days.

Kings at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Kings +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Hawks -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kings +8.5 (-102) | Hawks -8.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Kings at Hawks key injuries

Kings (not yet submitted)

PG De’Aaron Fox (ankle) questionable

Hawks

SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) probable
SF De’Andre Hunter (back) questionable
SG Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (illness) questionable

Kings at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 123, Kings 112

Money line

The Kings aren’t necessarily as bad as they looked Tuesday night in Boston, but they’re also not playing well right now.

They’ve dropped four straight and their defense is struggling to slow down opposing teams and they’re getting outrebounded regularly.

Even if Fox returns for Sacramento, I like the Hawks to win outright at home. The money line is -500, though, so I would PASS here.

Against the spread

The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last four games, winning comfortably over the Hornets, Timberwolves and Bucks in the last week.

They narrowly beat the Heat, 110-108, as 1.5-point favorites, but this is a team that’s heating up at the right time.

Bet the HAWKS -8.5 (-122) up to -10.5 if Fox is ruled out because it’ll be tough for the Kings to compete without their point guard.

Over/Under

The total has gone Under in each of the last three meetings between these teams, but in the last week, the Over has been the more common trend. The Over is 4-2 in the Kings’ last six games and 5-1 in the Hawks’ last six, as well.

Bet the OVER 231.5 (-108) to hit tonight.

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Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (20-25) meet their Southeast Division co-tenant the Charlotte Hornets (26-20) Sunday at Spectrum Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Hornets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta won and covered its third consecutive game by squeaking past the Miami Heat 110-108 Friday as a 1.5-point home favorite.

The Hawks are 3-4 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) with a minus-5.6 adjusted net rating (ranked 25th) and a minus-4.4 ATS margin (ranked 28th) over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Charlotte is also on a three-game win and cover streak with the latest being a 121-98 beatdown of the Oklahoma City Thunder as an 8.5-point home favorite Friday.

The Hornets are 5-1 SU and ATS with the second-best adjusted net rating at plus-10.2 and the best ATS margin at plus-7.3 in the last 14 days, per CTG.

These teams split the first two meetings this season with the road team winning and covering both. Also, the Under has cashed in four of the last five Hawks-Hornets games.

Hawks at Hornets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:23 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Hornets -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +3.5 (-110) | Hornets -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Hornets key injuries

Hawks

SF Danilo Gallinari (Achilles) questionable
SG Kevin Huerter (hip) questionable
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out

Hornets

SF Jalen McDaniels (ankle) out

Hawks at Hornets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hornets 124, Hawks 117

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Hornets (-160) since they are on the fringe of my price range for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.

For what it’s worth, Charlotte is 6-2 SU as a home favorite and Atlanta is 5-10 SU as a road underdog.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the HORNETS -3.5 (-110) for a half unit because I prefer the Over more than the sides in this game. However, this is a better spot for Charlotte.

The Hornets are an NBA-best 15-4 ATS at home with a plus-3.6 ATS margin. While the Hawks are 8-15 ATS on the road with a minus-1.9 ATS margin, 3-7 ATS on the road versus teams above-.500 and 5-10 ATS as road underdogs.

Ultimately, the dealbreaker for my “LEAN” to the HORNETS -3.5 (-110) is how bad the Hawks are in tight games. Atlanta is 29th in clutch net rating at minus-22.6 while Charlotte is 17th at minus-0.4. “Clutch” is defined by a game that’s within a 5-point margin with five minutes or less in regulation.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 235.5 (-110) for 1 unit because both teams are awesome offensively and weak defensively. Plus both have edges they can exploit.

Charlotte gets out in transition at the highest rate in the league and is second in fastbreak points per game (PPG). Whereas Atlanta has the worst transition defensive efficiency and is 20th in fastbreak PPG allowed.

However, Atlanta can pick-and-roll (PnR) Charlotte to death. The Hawks initiate PnR action through the ball handler at the second-highest rate and the Hornets rank 26th in defensive efficiency versus ball handlers in PnR.

On top of that, Atlanta is second in offensive efficiency in the PnR through the roll-man and Charlotte’s defensive efficiency versus the roll-man grades in the 35th percentile.

Also, this total is shockingly high considering the head-to-head O/U trend between these two teams. In fact, this total is 11.5 points higher than the most recent Hawks-Hornets meeting, Dec. 5. But, that game soared over the total of 225 by 32 points and I like this meeting to go Over as well.

BET the OVER 235.5 (-110).

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (25-23) drop by State Farm Arena Wednesday for an 8 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (27-24). Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Memphis has won three straight and four of its past five games and is 9-1 against the spread in the last 10. The Grizzlies’ past two wins were road upsets at the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday and the Miami Heat Tuesday.

Atlanta has it rolling, too. The Hawks have won four in a row and five of their past seven (5-2 against the spread). However, four of the Hawks’ last five wins have come against two banged-up teams—the New Orleans Pelicans and Golden State Warriors.

The Hawks beat the Grizzlies earlier this season 122-112 as 2.5-point road underdogs, but Memphis won and covered both meetings last season.

Grizzlies at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Hawks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +2 (-110) | Hawks -2 (-110)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Hawks: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (calf) out
PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) out
SF Justise Winslow (thigh) out
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

Hawks

PF John Collins (ankle) out
PF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) questionable
SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out

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Grizzlies at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Hawks 112

Money line (ML)

Both teams crash the glass, get easy putbacks and second-chance points. Memphis is first in second-chance points per game and Atlanta is fourth. The Grizzlies are third in second-chance points allowed per game whereas the Hawks are 18th.

Memphis C Jonas Valančiūnas’ teams are 6-3 when playing Atlanta C Clint Capela’s teams with Valančiūnas outscoring and outrebounding Capela in those games.

“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES (+110) for a quarter unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET GRIZZLIES +2 (-110) heavier than or instead of Memphis’s money line.

The Grizzlies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. Also, Memphis has the highest cover rate vs. non-conference opponents (14-5 ATS).

Over/Under (O/U)

There are a whole bunch of Under-friendly trends keeping this total low in my opinion, providing a little value for the OVER 225.5 (-110).

The previous three Grizzlies-Hawks games played to the Under, but the totals were 240.5, 235 and 238.5 earlier this season.

Bookmakers shaving 14 points off the total, even with Atlanta’s injury concerns, is too much.

The Hawks have scored 123 or more points in three of their last four games and the Grizzlies have scored 116 or more in four of five.

Bet OVER 225.5 (-110) for a half unit.

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