Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings Game 2 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings meet Monday for Game 2 of their 1st-round playoff series. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center is set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Kings lead playoff series 1-0; won regular-season series 3-1

The Warriors failed to cover as 1-point road underdogs in a 126-123 loss in Game 1 on Saturday. G Stephen Curry led the way with 30 points and 6 rebounds in 37 minutes.

Sacramento won its 1st playoff game since 2006 (also over Golden State). All-Star F Domantas Sabonis struggled, posting only 12 points on 5-of-17 shooting, but All-Star G De’Aaron Fox and bench G Malik Monk combined for 70 points and 6 of the team’s 12 threes.

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Warriors at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Warriors -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Kings -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -1.5 (-105) | Kings +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Warriors at Kings key injuries

Warriors

  • Andre Igoudala (wrist) out
  • Jordan Poole (ankle) questionable
  • Ryan Rollins (foot) out

Kings

  • Matthew Dellavedova (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 125, Kings 120

Moneyline

The Warriors will be desperate to tie the series. If not for Monk’s 31 points and a few missed opportunities, the Warriors could have taken Game 1. Look for Curry to continuing dominating and for Wiggins to have a bounce-back game after struggling from beyond the arc.

LEAN WARRIORS (-115), but if you’re confident in a Golden State win the spread offers a better value.

Against the spread

LEAN WARRIORS -1.5 (-105).

Fox and the Kings have proven their abilities in clutch moments, but this just feels like it is a must-win for Golden State, and based on their history they will show up.

Over/Under

BET OVER 239.5 (-115).

The Under is the more trendy pick here, but Game 1 proved these teams have very high scoring potential even when not all of the best players show up. Expect this to be another offensive shootout like Saturday’s game.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (20-35) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (28-25) Tuesday at the Golden 1 Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Minnesota won its fourth straight game – and improved to 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last four games – by crushing the Pistons 118-105 Sunday, barely covering as 12.5-point home favorites. Over the past two weeks, the T-Wolves are 5-2 straight up (SU) and 4-3 ATS.

Sactown alternated wins and losses over its past four games with the most recent being a 113-103 win as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Thunder Saturday. The Kings are 2-5 SU and 4-3 ATS in the last 14 days.

The T-Wolves beat the Kings 107-97 in Minnesota Nov. 17, covering as 2.5-point favorites.

A report broke Tuesday afternoon that the Kings agreed to trade SG Buddy Hield, PG Tyrese Haliburton and C Tristan Thompson for PF Domantas Sabonis, SF Justin Holiday and SG Jeremy Lamb to the Indiana Pacers. But these new players won’t be available for Sactown Tuesday night.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 8 breakdown

Timberwolves at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:24 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Kings +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Against the spread: Timberwolves -6.5 (-115) | Kings +6.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Kings key injuries

Timberwolves

  • PG Patrick Beverley (ankle) questionable
  • C Reid Naz (knee) questionable
  • SG D’Angelo Russell (shin) questionable

Kings

  • PF Marvin Bagley III (ankle) questionable
  • PG De’Aaron Fox (ankle) questionable

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Timberwolves at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 124, Kings 112

Money line

PASS.

I’m confident enough in Minnesota to just lay the points and would never bet an NBA regular-season favorite as high as the Timberwolves (-300).

Minnesota is 6-2 SU as a road favorite (plus-7.8 margin of victory) and Sactown is 8-9 SU as a home underdog (minus-4.0 margin of victory).

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES -6.5 (-115) for 1 unit because this is just a terrible matchup for the Kings.

Minnesota crashes the glass, pressures ball handlers and gets out in transition. All of these are areas of weakness for Sacramento.

The T-Wolves rank sixth or better in points off of turnovers, second-chance points and fast-break points per game (PPG). Whereas the Kings’ defense ranks 22nd or worse in all those metrics.

Furthermore, Minnesota C Karl-Anthony Towns has dominated Sactown throughout his career. KAT is averaging 23.2 PPG on 65.0% true shooting (.551/.450/.817) with 11.8 rebounds per game and a plus-16 net rating in 21 career games versus the Kings.

Also, sharp money has steamed the T-Wolves from a 3.5-point opening favorite up to the current price.

But I still think there’s value in Minnesota at this number because the T-Wolves are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings against the Kings, 10-3 ATS in away games versus teams with a losing record and 4-1 ATS when laying 5-7 points.

The TIMBERWOLVES -6.5 (-115) is my favorite bet in this game.

Over/Under

PASS.

Minnesota’s offense has been on fire lately (first in offensive rating over the past five games at 123.7) and Sactown has one of the worst defenses in the NBA.

But the T-Wolves might need to do most of the lifting in this game for the Over to cash. Especially since the Kings could be without Fox and just traded away their third-and fourth-leading scorers.

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Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Coming off an embarrassing 53-point loss to the Boston Celtics, the Sacramento Kings (18-31) will be right back on the floor Wednesday night. They’re visiting the Atlanta Hawks (21-25) at the State Farm Arena, with tip-off at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Kings were blown out by the Celtics on Tuesday night, losing 128-75 on the road. It was the biggest home win in Celtics history, putting into perspective just how lopsided the game was.

Without PG De’Aaron Fox, it was always going to be a tough matchup, but Sacramento was outmatched by Boston last night. The Kings have now lost four in a row and eight of their last 10, slipping way below .500.

The Hawks were off on Monday and Tuesday after beating the Charlotte Hornets Sunday, 113-91. They’ve won four games in a row and have scored at least 110 points in each of those contests.

This matchup with the Kings opens a five-game homestand, a critical stretch for the Hawks with the Celtics, Lakers, Raptors and Suns all visiting in the next eight days.

Kings at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Hawks -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings +8.5 (-102) | Hawks -8.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Kings at Hawks key injuries

Kings (not yet submitted)

  • PG De’Aaron Fox (ankle) questionable

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) probable
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (back) questionable
  • SG Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (illness) questionable

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Kings at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 123, Kings 112

Money line

The Kings aren’t necessarily as bad as they looked Tuesday night in Boston, but they’re also not playing well right now.

They’ve dropped four straight and their defense is struggling to slow down opposing teams and they’re getting outrebounded regularly.

Even if Fox returns for Sacramento, I like the Hawks to win outright at home. The money line is -500, though, so I would PASS here.

Against the spread

The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last four games, winning comfortably over the Hornets, Timberwolves and Bucks in the last week.

They narrowly beat the Heat, 110-108, as 1.5-point favorites, but this is a team that’s heating up at the right time.

Bet the HAWKS -8.5 (-122) up to -10.5 if Fox is ruled out because it’ll be tough for the Kings to compete without their point guard.

Over/Under

The total has gone Under in each of the last three meetings between these teams, but in the last week, the Over has been the more common trend. The Over is 4-2 in the Kings’ last six games and 5-1 in the Hawks’ last six, as well.

Bet the OVER 231.5 (-108) to hit tonight.

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Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (8-12) meet the Memphis Grizzlies (9-10) Sunday at the FedExForum for a 6 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

The Kings have pulled off two straight upsets: Sactown first beat the Portland Trail Blazers 125-121 Wednesday, next the Lakers 141-137 in overtime in Los Angeles Friday. The Kings are 9-11 ATS and 8-11-1 O/U with the 21st-ranked net rating (minus-1.1).

Memphis has gotten crushed in three of its past four games, which includes a 132-100 home loss vs. the Atlanta Hawks Friday.

However, the major storyline from Memphis’s game against Atlanta Friday was a knee injury sustained by Ja Morant that will keep him sidelined indefinitely. The Grizzlies are 10-9 ATS and 11-8 O/U with the 25th-ranked net rating (minus-6.8).

The Grizzlies won all three regular-season meetings with Kings last year but Sactown covered two of three. In fact, the Kings have covered seven of their last nine games vs. the Grizzlies.

Kings at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Grizzlies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings +3.5 (-112) | Grizzlies -3.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Kings at Grizzlies key injuries

Kings

  • PF Maurice Harkless (knee) questionable
  • SF Harrison Barnes (foot) doubtful
  • Richaun Holmes (illness) out

Grizzlies

  • PG Ja Morant (knee) out

Kings at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 124, Grizzlies 113

Money line

Morant’s absence leads to a significant edge in the backcourt for the KINGS (+125) and Memphis will be without its only reliable shot creator.

For instance, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Morant grades in the 73rd percentile of guards on/off court efficiency differential.

Furthermore, Kings guard De’Aaron Fox is averaging 21.1 points per game on 47.9% shooting with 6.4 assists per game and a plus-5 net rating in 11 career games against Memphis.

Also, Sactown runs the second-highest volume of pick-and-roll action through the ball handler and Memphis has the third-worst defensive efficiency vs. pick-and-roll ball handlers.

And the Kings’ two probable inactives Sunday—Barnes and Holmes—grade in the 23rd percentile of wings in on/off efficiency differential (Barnes) and 42nd percentile of bigs (Holmes), respectively.

However, recent injuries to Sactown’s frontcourt combined with the recent ousting of former head coach Luke Walton opens the door for more playing time for Kings’ big Marvin Bagley III.

In the previous two games, Bagley put up 11.5 points and 8.5 rebounds per outing with 81.8% shooting. Plus Bagley has the best efficiency differential on the Kings at plus-15.8 points per 100 possessions. Granted, that’s in limited time because Bagley didn’t get much run under Walton.

On top of that, the Kings take the fourth-highest volume of shots at the rim and the Grizzlies rank 24th in shot quality allowed vs. attempts at the rim (according to ShotQuality.com).

“LEAN” to the KINGS (+125) because there’s more value in Sactown getting the points but, either way, the Kings are the right side here.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the KINGS +3.5 (-112) heavier than or instead of Sactown’s money line based on the aforementioned logic. Also, the Kings are more efficient on the road than the Grizzlies are at home.

For example, Sactown is 14th in efficiency differential in away games while Memphis is 22nd in efficiency differential at home with a minus-5.7 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 222.5 (-108) as a fade against a market that’s hammering the Under at a 90-plus-percent clip at the time of publishing, according to Pregame.com. In my opinion, there’s value in fading the overreaction to Morant’s absence.

In addition, the possible absence of two Kings’ starters should equal more reps for Sactown guards Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield, both of which are high volume 3-point shooters. Well, Memphis has the worst defensive 3-point shooting percentage in the NBA.

Finally, Morant not running the show for the Grizzlies will mean the Kings can dictate the pace and Sactown plays at the ninth-fastest in pace. The bottom line is we should see a fast-paced, 3-point shootout in the Kings-Grizzlies contest.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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