Two red-hot teams face off as the Dallas Mavericks (26-20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (32-16) Sunday. The tip-off at American Airlines Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Memphis has alternated between winning and losing over its past five games with the most recent being a 122-118 victory over the Denver Nuggets Friday as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Grizzlies are 8-2 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games.
Dallas had its four-game winning streak snapped after losing to the Phoenix Suns 109-101 Thursday. The Mavs are 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
The Mavs are 2-1 SU and ATS versus the Grizzlies this season and have won the last two meetings.
Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mavericks -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries
Grizzlies
- PF Brandon Clarke (back) questionable
- SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
- SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) out
- SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
- PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out
Mavericks
- None.
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Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 111, Grizzlies 103
Money line
PASS because the Grizzlies (+145) are too feisty to lay it with the Mavericks (-180) even though I’d much prefer Dallas outright than its spread.
This money line is way too expensive given Memphis’s 10-6 SU record as a road underdog but Dallas is 12-3 SU as a home favorite.
Against the spread
BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit because the Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) are missing several key players and Dallas matches up well with Memphis. The Mavs don’t turn the ball over and do a good job grabbing defensive boards.
For instance, Dallas is third in adjusted offensive turnover rate and second in adjusted defensive rebounding rate. While Memphis is fifth in adjusted defensive turnover rate and second in adjusted offensive rebounding rate.
The bottom line is a lot of the Grizzlies’ points are scored by creating points off turnovers and crashing the offensive glass, which won’t be available versus the Mavs.
Furthermore, Brooks, Bane, Jones and Clarke have a combined plus-16.1 adjusted on/off net rating. Brooks and Bane can create their own shots and are good on-ball defenders. Jones point guards the second-unit for Memphis and Clarke’s length and athleticism would help for defending Luka Doncic.
Finally, Luka is 4-1 SU in five career games versus Memphis’s Ja Morant and Dallas bounces back well from losses (13-6 ATS with a plus-6.7 ATS margin).
BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 218.5 (-112) for a half-unit because Dallas is 2-12-1 O/U as a home favorite, the Grizzlies-Mavericks is 2-5 O/U in the last seven meetings and the presumed sharp money is on the Under.
According to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash is on the Under but a slight majority of the bets placed are on the Over.
This is what’s considered a Pros vs. Joe’s game since the money column in the betting splits typically represents “sharp money” while the tickets column represents the public.
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