Tag: Maryland Terrapins

Maryland at Michigan State odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Maryland Terrapins at Michigan State Spartans sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks and tips.

The Maryland Terrapins (3-8) travel to East Lansing, Mich., to battle the Michigan State Spartans (5-6) in a late-Saturday afternoon (3:30 p.m. ET) contest at Spartan Stadium.

We analyze the Maryland-Michigan State odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Maryland at Michigan State: Three things you need to know

1. Michigan State had multiple short-field scoring drives in last week’s 27-0 pasting of Rutgers. The game included two expensive RU turnovers in or near the MSU red zone, a strong measure of dominance on third-down plays, and the Spartans averaging a pedestrian 3.3 yards per carry in the ground game.

2. Maryland has played a difficult second-half schedule with October-November games vs. Minnesota, Michigan and Ohio State. The Terrapins have let that spin into a six-game losing slide.

3.  The Terrapins are 13-4 against the spread over their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. Maryland was waxed by Nebraska in College Park (54-7) last Saturday.

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Maryland at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Michigan State 31, Maryland 14

Moneyline (ML)

Liking the Maryland side in general and figuring the Terps as having a 9-10% chance of winning outright, a price of Maryland +840 is in the ballpark, but does not include some profit potential. (In other words if you figured Maryland as a 10% play, you’d need +900 odds just to break even with the play; +950 would be some profit cushion.) PASS.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Maryland returns a profit of $84.

Against the Spread (ATS)

MSU is 7-13 against the spread over its last 20 games at Spartan Stadium. The Spartans are 1-4 over their last five games when favored by 3-4 scores.

Maryland has a better default setting than what has been on display of late. The Terps have a better talent base than Rutgers, and their average game gets within 14 to 21 points of the Spartans. Two years back — on another day that included a rain/snow mix — MSU defeated Maryland, 17-7. Take MARYLAND (+21.5, -106).

Over/Under (O/U)

Michigan State’s offense has produced fewer than 6.0 yards per play in five of the team’s last six games. The Maryland offense is in the same boat and weather won’t be conducive to cranking out big numbers.

The Under is 14-5 over MSU’s last 19 games overall and 6-2 over the last eight games following a double-digit Spartan win. Back the UNDER 48.5 (-110).

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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How to Watch/Hear: Michigan vs. Michigan State

How to watch or listen to the big in-State rivalry game on Saturday.

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The bye week has come and gone and hate week will give way to the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy on Saturday, as in-state rival MSU travels to The Big House to take on No. 15 Michigan.

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If you plan on watching or listening, but don’t know when or how, we at WolverinesWire have got you covered.

Basic info

When: Saturday, Nov. 16 @ 12PM EST

Where: Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor, Michigan)

How to watch/listen:

Streaming: fuboTV

Broadcast: FOX

Radio: IMG Radio Network

Courtesy of MGoBlue.com
Contact/Follow @WolverinesWire/ @isaiahhole

Ohio State keeps rising in advanced metrics, even without Chase Young

The Ohio State Buckeyes improved their overall ratings in multiple advanced metrics, even with Chase Young sitting out.

The Ohio State Buckeyes were without Chase Young this past week, but that didn’t stop them from dominating Maryland. Then again, no one expected the Buckeyes to do anything other than dominate the Terps. Even without Young, Ohio State was still favored by over 40 points–a spread the Buckeyes easily covered.

What is impressive, though, is that Ohio State managed to improve its score in advanced metrics in the process. These metrics, whether they operate on a possession-by-possession or play-by-play basis, expect teams like Ohio State to blow out teams like Maryland. Without a star defensive player, you might expect that Ohio State’s numbers would slip a bit. But that didn’t happen. Not only did the Buckeyes not slip, they rose even further.

In Bill Connelly’s SP+ ratings, the Buckeyes stayed pretty static on both offense and defense. The defensive rating barely moved, from giving up an expected 9.0 points per game against an average team to giving up 9.1. Ohio State’s overall rating skyrocketed to an unheard-of 36.9, though, on the back of special teams ratings becoming more valuable this week. (There are fewer special teams plays in a game so it takes longer in the season for them to reach their full value.)

In ESPN’s FPI ratings, the Buckeyes rose to an incredible 34.7 points better than an average team. The rating last week was 33.8. Without Chase Young, Ohio State still managed to make its overall score a point better in one week. What could have happened if Young was on the field?

And, lastly, the Buckeyes improved their Sagarin rating as well. The Predictor, Golden Mean, and Recent ratings all rose about one point (Recent was the lowest, at .81) with the domination of Maryland.

Chase Young is an incredible player, and perhaps he might be needed against an elite offensive line in the CFP. But against everyone else, Ohio State’s other linemen are still better than whoever is trying to block them. That means that the Buckeyes can improve their overall efficiencies, even without their top player on the field.