Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) renew their rivalry with the Buffalo Bills (8-2) Sunday. Kickoff from Highmark Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. EST (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs remain undefeated after cashing in a miracle last week in a 16-14 victory over the Denver Broncos. Denver rushed down the field and milked the clock to stage a 35-yard chip shot to win it as 7-point dogs, but KC blocked it to keep their streak alive. QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 266 yardsand a TD.

Buffalo won its fifth straight, covering as 4.5-point favorites in Indianapolis, to beat the Colts 30-20. QB Josh Allen was 22-for-37 for 280 yards, 0 TDs and 2 INTs, but ran in his first score in 4 weeks. RB James Cook added 80 rushing yards and a score.

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Chiefs at Bills odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chiefs +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Bills -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs +2 (-110) | Bills -2 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at Bills key injuries

Chiefs

  • DE Charles Omenihu (knee) out
  • RB Isiah Pacheco (ankle) out

Bills

  • OT Spencer Brown (ankle) questionable
  • WR Keon Coleman (wrist) out
  • WR Amari Cooper (wrist) questionable
  • TE Dalton Kincaid (knee) out
  • LB Matt Milano (biceps) out

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Chiefs at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 24, Chiefs 20

Moneyline

The Bills are missing a couple of key starters in Coleman and Kincaid, but Mahomes is really gimpy in the pocket with ankle and hip issues for KC. WR DeAndre Hopkins also popped up on the injury report this week with a knee issue.

This is going to be a gritty game where the running backs will be key. Allen’s legs to extend plays and get out of the pocket while Mahomes is a bit compromised physically is what turns the tables here.

You can take the Bills -130, but I prefer the spread. I would shift gears to JAMES COOK OVER 58.5 RUSHING YARDS (-120) or PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 20.5 RUSHING YARDS (-110).

Against the spread

I’m all over BILLS -2 (-110) here. The Bills have won the last 3 regular-season meetings, but the Chiefs disposed of them in the last 3 playoff meetings. This is the number to strike at. The weather is going to be a little iffy (see below), and the running game + Allen’s legs will be the difference maker.

Over/Under

It’s expected to be in the high 40s with winds picking up to over 20 mph later in the game. There could also be light showers early on.

As such, take the UNDER 46.5 (-110). The last 5 finals in the regular season have been: 37, 44, 58, 43 and 26.

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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Denver Broncos (5-4) face the Kansas City Chiefs (8-0) Sunday. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Broncos vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Broncos are coming off their worst loss of the season, getting blown out 41-10 at the Baltimore Ravens Nov. 3 as 9-point underdogs. The loss snapped a 2-game winning streak. They are 5-2 in their last 7 games.

The Chiefs played another 1-score game Monday, winning 30-24 in OT against the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers as 8.5-point favorites.

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Broncos at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Broncos +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Chiefs -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Broncos +7.5 (-105) | Chiefs -7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Broncos at Chiefs key injuries

Broncos

  • LB Drew Sanders (Achilles) out

Chiefs

  • WR Hollywood Brown (shoulder) out
  • WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (hamstring) out

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Broncos at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Broncos 20

Moneyline

The Chiefs (-400) have won 14 consecutive games dating back to last season, including the postseason. They have won 9 of the last 10 meetings with the Broncos.

There doesn’t seem to be any stopping the Chiefs right now, and QB Patrick Mahomes is coming off his best game of the season. He had 3 TD passes, and for the first time this season, he was not picked off.

I’m not picking against the Chiefs at home, and -400 is not even worth looking at.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Chiefs have won by 7 or fewer points in 6 of their 8 wins this season.

Three of the Broncos’ 4 losses have been by 7 or fewer points.

Denver’s defense only allows 17.9 points per game. The Chiefs only allow 18.4.

This has the promise of a low-scoring, tight game.

BET BRONCOS +7.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Only 42 points for the projected total is low.

Both meetings last season between these teams did not even reach 40 points.

The last 3 games for both teams have surpassed the 42-point projection.

BET OVER 42 (-110).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The NFL’s only remaining undefeated team, the Kansas City Chiefs (7-0), hosts the injury-riddled Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) during the Week 9 edition of Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Kansas City dispatched its AFC West-rival Las Vegas Raiders 27-20 in Week 8 to preserve this unblemished campaign. Though he’s not lighting up the boxscores, Patrick Mahomes is doing just enough to complement one of the NFL’s top defenses and sustain momentum for a possible Super Bowl 3-peat.

Conversely, the Bucs have lost 3 of their past 4 games as injuries mount on the offensive side — the latest downfall being last weekend’s 31-26 defeat against fellow NFC Southers the Atlanta Falcons.

WR Chris Godwin‘s season-ending dislocated ankle injury was followed by WR Mike Evans‘ hamstring injury that likely will keep him out through the Week 11 bye. However much you believe in QB Baker Mayfield’s ascension, a prime-time assignment in one of the toughest road environments against the 2-time defending champions is  a challenge.

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Buccaneers at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 6:23 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Chiefs -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +9 (-110) | Chiefs -9 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Chiefs key injuries

Buccaneers

  • WR Mike Evans (hamstring) out
  • RB Bucky Irving (toe) questionable
  • WR Jalen McMillan (hamstring) questionable
  • WR Sterling Shepard (hamstring) questionable
  • S Antoine Winfield (foot) questionable

Chiefs

  • WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (hamstring) out

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Buccaneers at Chiefs picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 27, Buccaneers 20

Moneyline

The Buccaneers are built to remain competitive even without a pair of star offensive playmakers, so Vegas has not awarded them overwhelming ML value.

Betting on any moneyline juice above (-200) doesn’t entice me. KC (-450) … beyond a gimme parlay leg, who cares?

PASS.

Against the spread

Expect TB to reverse the 2-4 ATS trend across its past 6 games. Market perception centered around a hostile trip to Arrowhead Stadium has helped balloon the spread to nearly 10 points.

Failure to cover against Las Vegas dropped the Chiefs to 5-2 ATS. The Raiders make Baker’s Bucs look like Tom Brady’s.

Tampa Bay boasts enough weapons on offense, including emerging TE Cade Otton and a talented backfield with headliners Rachaad White and Bucky Irving (if active), to keep a closer-than-expected pace with Kelce and co. and avoid a blowout defeat.

Expect a back-door cover from Tampa Bay in the closing minutes.

BET BUCS +9 (-110).

Over/Under

The absences of Godwin and Evans would, on paper, limit Tampa Bay’s ability to compete with the likes of Kelce and the pass-catching Chiefs crew.

While the Chiefs are a mere 3-4 on the Over, the Bucs rank among the top clubs at 6-2 O/U and surpassed their Week 8 total against Atlanta during Evans’ first missed contest.

Thanks to OC Liam Coen’s adaptability for Mayfield’s gameplan, both teams provide a clear path to putting up plenty of points.

The Bucs offer the league’s friendliest pass defense, which should elevate Mahomes. Plus, my call on a last-ditch Buccaneers scoring charge to hit ATS also nudges me to bet optimistically on the total.

BET OVER 45.5 (-110).

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Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs (6-0) are on the road in Week 8 for a AFC West matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (2-5). Kickoff Sunday from Allegiant Stadium is at 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Raiders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs have won 13 straight games since last season, including the postseason. They are coming off a 28-18 road win over the San Francisco 49ers as 2-point underdogs in a Super Bowl rematch. QB Patrick Mahomes threw 2 picks, but the Kansas City defense picked off 49ers QB Brock Purdy 3 times. KC acquired WR DeAndre Hopkins this week.

The Raiders have lost 3 straight games. Last week, they covered the 7.5-point spread as underdogs in a 20-15 road loss to the LA Rams.

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Chiefs at Raiders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Raiders +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -9 (-120) | Raiders +9 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at Raiders key injuries

Chiefs

  • DE Mike Danna (pectoral) out
  • WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (hamstring) out

Raiders

  • TE Harrison Bryant (elbow) questionable
  • LB Tommy Eichenberg (quad) questionable
  • LB Kana’i Mauga (knee) questionable
  • WR Jakobi Meyers (ankle) questionable
  • OL Dylan Parham (foot) out

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Chiefs at Raiders picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 30, Raiders 13

Moneyline

The Raiders have only won 1 of the last 7 meetings with the Chiefs. They have not reached 20 points in 3 straight weeks while the Chiefs have not allowed an opponent to reach 20 points in their last 4.

The Chiefs are heavy favorites and should win this game, and the addition of Hopkins to their receiver room only makes them better. But don’t consider betting the -500 odds unless you include it in a parlay bet.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Chiefs’ last 2 wins have been by double digits while 3 of the Raiders’ 5 losses have been by double digits.

BET CHIEFS -9 (-120).

Over/Under

The Chiefs have not scored 30 points in a game yet this season, but scored 26 and 28 points in their last 2 games.

The Raiders are 29th in scoring defense. Four of their games this season have surpassed 41 points (3 of the Chiefs’ games have).

But with Hopkins adding dynamic playmaking to the receiver room, Mahomes’ streak of getting picked off every game this season will end and they will eclipse the 30-point mark.

BET OVER 41.5 (-110).

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Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) take on the San Francisco 49ers (3-3) Sunday afternoon. Kickoff from Levi’s Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. 49ers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The defending champs have dealt with a slew of injuries, and QB Patrick Mahomes really has not been himself thus far. Yet, they sit at 5-0. Before their Week 6 bye, they dispatched the New Orleans Saints 26-13. Mahomes threw for 331 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT. RB Kareem Hunt rushed 27 times for 102 yards and a score.

Niners coach Kyle Shanahan is 0-4 against Chiefs coach Andy Reid. That includes 2 regular-season matchups and 2 Super Bowls. You had better believe that Shanahan is aware of that. RB Jordan Mason (shoulder) left last week’s game — and killed a parlay for me — with a sprained AC joint. He made it back to a full practice Friday and will be able to go. The Niners smoked the Seattle Seahawks 36-24 on Thursday Night Football last week.

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Chiefs at 49ers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:41 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chiefs +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | 49ers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs +1.5 (-110) | 49ers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at 49ers key injuries

Chiefs

  • DE Michael Danna (pectoral) out
  • RB Isiah Pacheco (leg) out
  • WR Rashee Rice (knee) out
  • WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (hamstring) questionable

49ers

  • WR Jauan Jennings (hip) out
  • RB Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) out
  • WR Ricky Pearsall (chest) questionable

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Chiefs at 49ers picks and predictions

Prediction

49ers 24, Chiefs 20

Moneyline

The Niners haven’t beaten the Chiefs since 2014, but that came at home, and I’m calling a similar finish to the 22-17 one then. Despite all of the injuries and lack of continuity, QB Brock Purdy has completed 65.4% of his passes for 1,629 yards, 9 TDs and 4 INTs. He was very good in last year’s Super Bowl OT loss, and he’ll get it done Sunday. You can go with the 49ers (-120), but it makes more sense to ride with the spread.

Against the spread

If you like San Fran’s side here, this is the way to go. Single-point victories are pretty unlikely, and there’s more value on 49ERS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Chiefs have a home run hitter in rookie WR Xavier Worthy, but other than that, they really rely on Hunt’s ground-and-pound game. The Niners have more downfield threats, but they, too, rely on Mason’s ball control. The Chiefs are 2-3 O/U thus far, and the Niners are 4-2. While there is no comparison of the circumstances, last year’s Super Bowl needed OT to go Over 46.5. I look for a similar struggle.

Take the UNDER 47 (-110).

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New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New Orleans Saints (2-2) and Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) meet in the Week 5 Monday Night Football game. Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Saints vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions..

The Saints dropped a tough 26-24 game at the Atlanta Falcons last week on a last-second field goal. Despite the loss, New Orleans covered as a 2.5-point underdog and the Over (43) hit. QB Derek Carr (28 of 36, 239 passing yards, 1 INT) didn’t find the end zone, but RB Alvin Kamara stood out again, racking up 119 total yards (77 rushing, 42 receiving) and a touchdown.

The Chiefs moved to 4-0, covering as 6.5-point favorites in a 17-10 win at the LA Chargers in Week 4 — with the Under (42) cashing. TE Travis Kelce led the way with 89 receiving yards on 7 catches, while RB Kareem Hunt impressed in his return, racking up 69 yards on 14 carries (4.9 yards per carry). Kansas City’s balanced effort kept its perfect record intact.

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Saints at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 5:57 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Saints +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Chiefs -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Saints +5.5 (-110) | Chiefs -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saints at Chiefs key injuries

Saints

  • LB Willie Gay Jr. (hand) out
  • TE Taysom Hill (rib) out
  • OL Shane Lemieux (ankle) out
  • OL Lucas Patrick (groin) questionable
  • OL Cesar Ruiz (knee) out
  • LB Pete Werner (hamstring) questionable

Chiefs

  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) doubtful
  • WR Mecole Hardman (knee) questionable

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Saints at Chiefs picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 20, Chiefs 17

Moneyline

BET SAINTS (+200).

This Monday Night Football game has seen significant line movement, with the Chiefs opening at -6.5 but dropping fast. Kansas City sits at 4-0, but its offense is in trouble. With RB Isiah Pacheco and WR Rashee Rice out — both on the Injured Reserve list — QB Patrick Mahomes is carrying too much weight, and now the Chiefs face a strong Saints defense.

The New Orleans offense has turned a corner under new OC Klint Kubiak. The Saints lead the league in scoring (31.8 points per game) and run attempts (34.5 per game), while Carr is thriving, ranking top-5 in yards per pass (8.2) and completion rate (71.3%). Despite 2 tough losses, their defense has remained solid, and Carr’s experience against the Chiefs could be crucial.

With Kansas City’s injuries piling up, there’s good value in backing NEW ORLEANS (+200), even on the money line.

Against the spread

PASS.

If you want to play it safe, you can take the 5.5 points with New Orleans, but I’m riding on the moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 43 (-110).

The total for this game dropped from 45.5 to 42.5, highlighting the offensive struggles on both sides. Kansas City is thin at receiver with Rice out and Kelce heavily covered (just 39.5 yards per game). Rookie WR Xavier Worthy isn’t ready to be the top target, and Hunt’s role remains uncertain. Even with Mahomes, the Chiefs may need to rely on their defense.

Carr and the Saints face a tough task as well. Kansas City’s defense is stout against the run (3.8 yards per carry allowed) and strong in the red zone. Carr has struggled at Arrowhead, averaging 227 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT per game in his last 7 starts there. Even with new playmakers, DC Steve Spagnuolo’s defense will be tough for New Orleans to crack.

Expect a low-scoring, defensive matchup with both teams focused on ball control.

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Kansas City Chiefs at LA Chargers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at LA Chargers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) and LA Chargers (2-1) meet Sunday. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Chargers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs are coming off a cover as 3-point favorites in a 22-17 win at the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football in Week 3 with the Under (46.5) hitting. QB Patrick Mahomes was 26-of-39 passing for 217 yards with 2 TDs and an INT.

The Chargers lost 20-10 as 2.5-point underdogs at the Pittsburgh Steelers Sept. 22 as the Under (36) cashed. QB Justin Herbert (ankle) was pulled late in the 3rd quarter and is questionable for Sunday.

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Chiefs at Chargers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Chargers +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -7 (-115) | Chargers +7 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Chiefs at Chargers key injuries

Chiefs

  • WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
  • DE Mike Danna (calf) out
  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) out
  • DE Charles Omenihu (knee)
  • RB Isiah Pacheco (fibula) out

Chargers

  • RT Joe Alt (knee) doubtful
  • LB Joey Bosa (hip) out
  • CB Kristian Fulton (knee) questionable
  • QB Justin Herbert (ankle) questionable
  • S Derwin James (suspension) out
  • LT Rashawn Slater (pectoral) out

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Chiefs at Chargers picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 17, Chargers 16

Moneyline

Kansas City (-350) will likely win — especially if Chargers QB Taylor Heinicke is in for Herbert — but this ML is too expensive for a team that has barely avoided last-minute disasters in 3 straight games.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS this season and have been somewhat lucky to even cover 2 games.

In their 27-20 win vs. the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, they needed a last-second Ravens TD to get reversed — TE Isaiah Likely’s toe was on the endline — to save the cover as 2.5-point favorites.

Their Week 3 cover at Atlanta was also somewhat surprising. The Falcons had a late third-and-goal from the Kansas City 6 trailing by 5 points, and the officials did not throw a flag on what appeared to be pass interference by Chiefs S Bryan Cook in the end zone.

If Likely’s shoe was a half-size smaller and the officials didn’t miss a crucial call in Atlanta, the Chiefs would likely be 0-3 ATS heading into Sunday. This is not a team I want to back to win by margin, especially if Herbert is out and the spread inflates even more.

BET CHARGERS +7 (-105).

Over/Under

The Under is 3-0 in Chargers games this season, as LA has allowed just 11 points per game under coach Jim Harbaugh. Whether an injured Herbert starts or Heinicke takes his place, we know Harbaugh’s key to victory will be running the ball and controlling time of possession.

The Chiefs offense was nothing special at Atlanta, putting up just 22 points, and should look even more pedestrian at the No. 3 defense in the NFL Sunday.

BET UNDER 39.5 (-105).

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[lawrence-newsletter]

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Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) and Atlanta Falcons (1-1) meet Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs didn’t cover as 6.5-point favorites, but still pulled off a 26-25 victory over the visiting Cincinnati Bengals in Week 2 as the Over (47.5) hit. K Harrison Butker kicked a game-winning 51-yard FG as time expired. The kick was set up by a crucial pass interference call on 4th down that went against Cincinnati.

An odd storyline for Kansas City this season has been the lack of a connection between QB Patrick Mahomes and TE Travis Kelce. Mahomes has targeted Kelce a total of just 7 times in 2 games for 4 receptions, 39 yards and no TDs. Kelce’s Over/Under for receiving yards Sunday is set at 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -125) at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Falcons covered as 5.5-point underdogs in a 22-21 win at the Philadelphia Eagles Monday with the Under (46.5) cashing. QB Kirk Cousins (20 of 29, 241 yards, 2 TDs) threw a go-ahead TD to WR Drake London with 34 seconds remaining to pull off the last-minute upset.

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Chiefs at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 5:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Falcons +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -3 (-115) | Falcons +3 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Chiefs at Falcons key injuries

Chiefs

  • WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) out
  • RB Isiah Pacheco (fibula) out

Falcons

  • None

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Chiefs at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Falcons 20

Moneyline

Since 2022 — the year WR Tyreek Hill was traded to Miami — the Chiefs (-165) have the best away record in the NFL at 15-4. They will likely win Sunday, but this line has too much vig.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

This line was Chiefs -4.5 (-110) last Sunday, and the market has been overreacting to news ever since. The Chiefs have been downgraded due to their injuries at RB, and the Falcons have been upgraded after Eagles RB Saquon Barkley dropped a pass that would’ve sealed a Philadelphia victory Monday.

The Falcons scored just 10 points in a Week 1 loss to the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers, and if Barkley didn’t have a crucial drop Monday, they would’ve only scored 15 points in Week 2. I don’t see how Atlanta scores enough to keep this one close.

BET CHIEFS -3 (-115).

Over/Under

The Under is 6-3 since 2022 when the Chiefs have a rest advantage, according to TeamRankings.com. The Falcons are 2-0 to the Under this season and should continue to struggle offensively against a Chiefs defense that was 5th in opponent yards per play (4.8) last year.

BET UNDER 46.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:
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[lawrence-newsletter]

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Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) renew their rivalry with the Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Bengals vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

In one of the more surprising outhouse explosions in Week 1, the Bengals were dropped by the New England Patriots 16-10 as 7.5-point favorites. QB Joe Burrow was 21-for-29 for 164 yards, 0 TDs and 0 INTs. RB Zack Moss rushed 9 times for 44 yards and a score, and that was about it for the Bengals, who moved the chains just 13 times.

The Chiefs impressed with a 27-20 victory over the Baltimore Ravens that really never felt that close. WR Xavier Worthy popped eyes with his blinding speed, rushing for a 21-yard touchdown and catching 2 balls for 47 yards and another TD. QB Patrick Mahomes had a so-so day, going 20-for-28 for 291 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. WR Rashee Rice also proved to be a problem with 7 catches for 103 yards.

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Bengals at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bengals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Chiefs -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bengals  +6 (-115) | Chiefs -6 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Bengals at Chiefs key injuries

Bengals

  • WR Tee Higgins (hamstring) doubtful
  • DT Kris Jenkins Jr. (thumb) out

Chiefs

  • WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) out
  • DE Charles Omenihu (knee) out

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Bengals at Chiefs picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Bengals 17

Moneyline

The most impressive thing about the Chiefs in Week 1 was they had QB Lamar Jackson flushed from the pocket constantly. Their D-line dominated Baltimore’s O-line, and Cincinnati’s isn’t great. Burrow seemed a little dumbfounded when answering questions about the way he gripped a water bottle, which made people wonder if he was nursing a hand or thumb injury. I look for him to run for his life as well.

I’m high on Kansas City here, but not at this price. Instead, I’m targeting PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 269.5 PASSING YARDS (-115). He threw for 291 last week in what really wasn’t that good of a game, and TE Travis Kelce had just 3 catches.

Against the spread

I’m on board with the Chiefs here, but not for any more than this even 6 here. The Chiefs have won the last 2 meetings, by 8 and 3, but the Bengals had won 3 straight before that. That led the Bengals to provide the bulletin board material calling Arrowhead, “Burrowhead.” Kansas City still remembers that, and this has become an intense rivalry.

Take the CHIEFS -6 (-105).

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in 4 straight meetings between the teams, and Kansas City hasn’t scored more than 27 in their last 10 games. It would take something like that to hit the Over.

Take the UNDER 48 (-110).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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[lawrence-newsletter]

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Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Baltimore Ravens visit the Kansas City Chiefs to open the NFL season Thursday. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Ravens vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Ravens finished the preseason 1-2 after falling 30-7 at the Green Bay Packers in their final game Aug. 24. QB Lamar Jackson was kept on the sidelines during the preseason to prevent injury and start the season fully healthy. Over the offseason, the Ravens made some significant changes with the biggest being the addition of RB Derrick Henry.

Kansas City dropped all 3 games during the preseason, including its final game against the Chicago Bears 34-21 Aug. 22. QB Patrick Mahomes saw limited snaps in the first 2 games and did not play in the preseason finale. The Chiefs are looking to win their 3rd straight Super Bowl this season.

In last season’s AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs covered as 4.5-point underdogs in a 17-10 win at the Ravens Jan. 28 with the Under (44) hitting.

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Ravens at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ravens +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Chiefs -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ravens  +3 (-115) | Chiefs -3 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Ravens at Chiefs key injuries

Ravens

  • None

Chiefs

  • WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out

Ravens at Chiefs picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Ravens 20

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Chiefs to cover the spread Thursday.

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Against the spread

BET CHIEFS -3 (-105).

Kansas City is 9-2 straight up and 7-4 ATS in Week 1 games with coach Andy Reid. It made fewer offseason adjustments and is closer to form compared to a Ravens team that sees Henry in the backfield and made critical changes on both sides of the ball. While Jackson and company will surely look for a strong start to the season, the reigning champions will have the last laugh Thursday.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 47 (-110).

While this game features 2 of the NFL’s top offenses, history shows the Under is the way to go. Both teams not only have top offenses, but they also have top defenses. The Chiefs have hit the Under in 18 of their last 22 games at home, and with both teams readjusting after a long offseason, the Under is the best bet.

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[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @seth_orlemann on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:
BetFTW | TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWireTitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire

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