Predicting every Big 12 football team’s final 2021 record

We are nearly 100 days away from the 2021 season. Here’s a look at a projection of every Big 12 football team’s final record this year.

In just over 100 days, Texas will kick off the season against Louisiana on Sept. 4. For Steve Sarkisian, the goal is simple: Get over the ‘Tom Herman only goes 8-4 or worse” hump and bring momentum into the program.

As for the rest of the Big 12, a return to normalcy is back. There will be a full nonconference slate this season, along with everyone being able to play all nine conference games. Baylor, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas all missed out on a Big 12 matchup last season due to COVID-19.

Once again, Lincoln Riley and the Oklahoma Sooners are the favorites to bring back the Big 12 crown. This season, however, there will be more than just conference championship hopes for the Sooners. Oklahoma is looking to make another College Football Playoff and not get blown out by an SEC program again. National championship buzz is palpable in Norman.

Here’s a look at a projection of every Big 12 football team’s final record for the upcoming 2021 season:

Texas is the third favorite to win the Big 12 per BetMGM odds

Oklahoma is once again the odds-on favorite to win the Big 12 championship. Only the Sooners and Iowa State are slated ahead of Texas.

2009 was the last time Texas hoisted the Big 12 Trophy after a Hunter Lawrence game-winning field goal against Nebraska. Since then, 2018 was the only time the Longhorns have sniffed another conference championship. Kyler Murray and Grant Calcaterra ended the dream late in the fourth quarter at Jerry World.

Former head coach Tom Herman preached how the ultimate goal of the program was to win the Big 12. The same can be said for Steve Sarkisian. The latter has aspirations on the national level but winning your conference is step one.

Heading into the 2021 season, expectations have been lowered with a new head coach. Making the Big 12 championship game would be a plus and somehow winning it would be a real achievement. According to BetMGM, only two teams have better odds than Texas to win the conference.

Oklahoma is once again the odds-on favorite in the Big 12. Lincoln Riley’s squad is the only team not listed at plus odds. The gap between second-place Iowa State and third-place Texas is slimmer than Iowa State and Oklahoma.

Check where every team in the Big 12 stands:

  • Oklahoma -150
  • Iowa State +300
  • Texas +450
  • Oklahoma State +1000
  • TCU +1800
  • Kansas State, West Virginia +3500
  • Baylor +5000
  • Texas Tech +6600
  • Kansas +15000

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Texas will only play two of the top seven teams at home this season. Of course, Oklahoma is at the Cotton Bowl for the Red River Shootout. Iowa State, TCU, and West Virginia will be road games this season.

Iowa State Cyclones: CFN College Football Preview 2021

College Football News Preview 2021: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Iowa State season with what you need to know.

College Football News Preview 2021: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Iowa State season with what you need to know.


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– What You Need To Know: Offense | Defense
Top Players | Key Players, Games, Stats
What Will Happen, Win Total Prediction
Iowa State Cyclones Schedule Analysis
– Iowa State Cyclones Previews
2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015

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2020 Record: 9-3 overall, 8-1 in Big 12
Head Coach: Matt Campbell, 6th year, 35-28 (70-43 overall)
2020 CFN Final Ranking: 16
2020 CFN Preview Ranking: 36
2019 CFN Final Ranking: 63

Iowa State Cyclones College Football Preview 2021: Offense

The Cyclone offense wasn’t always perfect, but it was balanced, consistent, and brutally effective. It led the Big 12 in third down conversions, it averaged 436 yards and 33 points per game, and it should all be even better with ten starters expected back with a whole slew of all-conference players and longtime veterans to work around.

Brock Purdy is still around. It only seems like he’s been the Iowa State quarterback for 14 years, but he’s got the next-level passing talent and he’s got the three years of starting experience to be even better. He threw for close to 9,000 yards with 62 touchdowns and with 18 rushing scores so far, and he’s got a loaded group around him.

If Charlie Kolar isn’t the best tight end in college football, he’s close – he made 44 catches for 591 yards with a team-high seven scores – and 6-7, 240-pound Chase Allen is an NFL prospect, too. 6-3 senior Xavier Hutchinson is an All-Big 12 performer coming off a team-high 64-catch season, but the O needs more wide receiver options. 6-6 Sean Shaw and 6-2 Joe Scates bring even more size to the mix.

The offensive front was the best in the Big 12 in pass protection and terrific for the ground game. C Colin Newell and OG Derek Schweiger are All-Big 12 talents to work the veteran line around. The group has a superstar in Breece Hall to block for – he ran for 1,572 yards and 21 scores – with 6-0, 200-pound sophomore Jirehl Brock the likely backup option now that Keke Nwangwu is a Minnesota Viking.

– What You Need To Know: Defense
Top Players | Key Players, Games, Stats
What Will Happen, Win Total Prediction
Iowa State Cyclones Schedule Analysis

NEXT: Iowa State Cyclones College Football Preview 2021: Defense

Iowa State Football Schedule 2021, Analysis, Best & Worst Case Scenario

Iowa State Cyclones 2021 football schedule, analysis, and best and worst case scenarios.

Iowa State Cyclones 2021 football schedule, analysis, and best and worst case scenarios.


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Iowa State Cyclones Football Schedule 2021

2021 Big 12 Football Schedule

Sept. 4 Northern Iowa

Sept. 11 Iowa

Sept. 18 at UNLV

Sept. 25 at Baylor

Oct. 2 Kansas

Oct. 9 OPEN DATE

Oct. 16 at Kansas State

Oct. 23 Oklahoma State

Oct. 30 at West Virginia

Nov. 6 Texas

Nov. 13 at Texas Tech

Nov. 20 at Oklahoma

Nov. 27 TCU

Iowa State Football Schedule Analysis: It’s certainly an interesting non-conference schedule – but it’s winnable. Northern Iowa is going to be one of the best teams in the FCS, Iowa has to come to Jack Trice, and playing in Allegaint Stadium to face UNLV will sure be fun.

Get through that, and the relative easy-looking games against Baylor and Kansas are up first in Big 12 play before getting a week off.

There’s a problem, though, with three road games in four weeks late in the year – and with a run of three road games in four road dates early – and the home game in the mix is against Texas. Going to Oklahoma won’t be easy, especially considering that it comes at the end of that road run.

Iowa State Football Schedule Best Case Scenario: With a win over Iowa, the Cyclones start 5-0 without blinking, they get that week off and before taking care of Kansas State, and then comes the big kick.

There’s going to be at least one close loss along the way, but key road wins at Kansas State and West Virginia lead to a showdown against Texas. After splitting the dates with the Longhorns and Oklahoma, it’s back to the Big 12 Championship.

Iowa State Football Schedule Worst Case Scenario: A loss to Iowa sours what was hoped to be a huge start to the season, and a slip against Baylor on the road screws everything up.

If everything really goes wrong in a worst case scenario, losses to both Texas and Oklahoma make a Big 12 title run long gone and make the team sweat about just getting bowl eligible.

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College Football News releases pre-spring Big 12 rankings

There’s always time to power rank teams in the early stages of the year. Here is how CFN ranked the Big 12 before spring practice begins.

After witnessing most of the Big 12 go through coaching changes throughout the past two seasons, only one team will bring in a new head coach going into 2021. Steve Sarkisian comes over from Alabama in an attempt to restore Texas into the national power it expects to be.

For the other nine programs in the conference, it’s time for the coaches to perform at a high level. Neal Brown, Chris Klineman, Les Miles, and Matt Wells will all be entering year three at their respective schools and Dave Aranda will be going into his second year at Baylor. It will be a decisive year for all five coaches.

As national signing day comes and goes, the next step for teams is beginning spring practice. Of course, there is always time to power rank teams in the early stages of the year. Here is how College Football News ranked the Big 12 before spring practice begins.

Three reasons Texas lost to Iowa State

A disappointing loss against Iowa State, a lot went wrong for the Longhorns. The offense struggled and two mental errors cost Texas.

For the fourth time this year, Texas is on the losing side in frustrating fashion. Suffering a soul-crushing defeat to Iowa State on Saturday, a lot went wrong for the Longhorns. Offensively struggling all game and a couple of mental errors is the difference between a disappointing season and one with potential still in sight.

Here are three reasons Texas lost to Iowa State:

The offense’s poor play

Throughout the season, the Texas offense has been a strong suit for the team and the defense was the reason for the losses. Against Iowa State, the script was flipped. The Longhorns punted the ball a total of nine times and eight of them were after the offense went three-and-out. The inability to move the ball was something Texas had not shown all season.

Running backs Roschon Johnson and Keaontay Ingram struggled, combining for 14 carries and 27 yards. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger had the same amount of rushing yards as the two combined but on 12 carries. Even when designed plays were called for Ehlinger to run it, he got stuffed.

Throwing the ball, Ehlinger only completed 55% of his passes. In the first half, he was only able to get out 12 attempts due to the constant three-and-outs. He has been the glue to this offense all year and when he does not play well, the entire offense suffers. That was evident in Saturday’s loss.

Deshaunte Jones’ 75-yard touchdown

Going into halftime, Texas finally got some momentum, scoring a touchdown in 30 seconds to cut the Iowa State lead to three before the break. Texas kicked the ball off to start the second half and ruined all the momentum they had built up. On the first play of the third quarter, Purdy escaped pressure by scrambling to his left, launched the ball downfield, and found a wide-open Deshaunte Jones.

Without this total collapse in the secondary, Iowa State is going for a game-winning touchdown instead of a field goal in their final drive. The Cyclone offense struggled the rest of the second half, kicking two field goals, punting the ball four times, and turning it over on downs once. If the Longhorn defense does not allow that touchdown, the game could have been different.

Jumping offsides on the field goal attempt

After scoring touchdowns on two straight offensive possessions, the Texas offense went three-and-out (again), giving Iowa State the ball back with three minutes left in the game. After a couple of big plays from Brock Purdy and a pass interference call against Caden Sterns, Texas stopped the Cyclone offense and forced a field goal with two minutes and 16 seconds left in the game. Theoretically, that would have been enough time for Ehlinger to go win the game for himself.

However, Joseph Ossai jumped offsides on the field goal attempt, giving Iowa State a fresh set of downs from the Texas 20. Using their timeouts on the previous three plays, the Longhorns had no way of stopping the clock to give themselves an opportunity to win the game. The Cyclones were able to drain the clock down to four seconds before Connor Assalley hit the game-winning field goal from 36 yards.

This loss was a detrimental one to the Longhorns who are nearly out of the Big 12 Championship discussion. A miracle would be required and is looking more and more unlikely. Beating Iowa State would have allowed the Longhorns to control their own destiny, but now can only play the role of spoiler to Baylor.

Texas will face Baylor on Saturday at 2:30 p.m. CST on FS1.