Yes, a loss to the Illinois Fighting Illini hurts the Wisconsin Badgers. Just when it seemed this team was beginning to round into form and establish a clear winning identity, a 71-70 setback suffered in the Kohl Center on Wednesday night puts a halt to Wisconsin’s momentum. When one realizes that two of the Badgers’ four previous wins (part of their four-game winning streak) were against Milwaukee and Rider, it is clear that they have to do a lot more to prove that they can be consistently good. Consistency is very relative when part of “consistency” involves games against downmarket opponents. Wisconsin still has to show that in a two- or three-week stretch of Big Ten play, it can maintain a strong identity.
So, to be clear, we are aware of the bad-news components of Wednesday’s loss, and will discuss those unsettling developments in other articles. In this article, however, it is worth underscoring one point: Even though the Badgers watched the end of their 15-game winning streak over Illinois, it is also true that losing to Illinois isn’t a profile-killer. That applied to the previous two Illinois seasons. Losses to the Illini in 2018 or 2019 were especially bad.
This year, Illinois should win at least 18 games and will have a great chance to win at least 20. The Big Ten is deep and cutthroat — no one needs an explanation of that statement — and Illinois is showing it can hang with other formidable teams in the conference. The Illini notched their 11th win of the season and are 3-2 in the conference. Their three wins haven’t been against the dregs of the league. Brad Underwood’s team has beaten Michigan, Purdue, and Wisconsin. That looks like a bubble team at worst. If Wisconsin wants to take at least some comfort from a very uncomfortable and upsetting loss, that is the main note to emphasize. Illinois is not going to drag down the Badgers’ profile. The problem is that Wisconsin didn’t enhance its own resume.
Can you make the argument that Wisconsin and Illinois are both competing for an at-large NCAA Tournament bid? Yes. However, when comparing Wisconsin to lots of bubble teams in other conferences, the presence of a loss to Illinois won’t be a reason to disqualify the Badgers. If anything, it might be a good loss more than a true negative, a failure to add to a resume rather than a subtraction. There is a difference.