This week on the Twilight 9 podcast: Scottie Scheffler’s gutsy win, Rory McIlroy’s comments, and a look at the Players Championship.
People love to throw around the phrases “open the flood gates” and “once he gets that first win, watch out.” The same things were said about Scottie Scheffler after his first PGA Tour win at the WM Phoenix Open a few weeks ago. But after his performance at Bay Hill, the flood gates may be officially open.
Scheffler made gutsy par after gutsy par down the stretch at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and eventually slipped on the famous red cardigan with a winning score of 5 under. Yup, Bay Hill was a monster on the weekend. But, it was a challenge Scheffler faced head-on, and because of that, is now a two-time Tour winner.
This week on the Twilight 9 podcast, Andy and I dive into the week in Orlando and discuss comments Rory McIlroy made after Sunday’s final round about course set up and the games best maybe not returning to Arnie’s place.
We also discuss Andy’s experience playing in the Wednesday Pro-Am at Bay Hill and how nervous he was to hit his first tee shot in front of Jason Kokrak, his playing partner for the day.
Finally, we previewed the Players Championship including an overview of the stacked field, the golf course, the betting odds, who we’re keeping an eye on, and our favorite picks.
Andy recaps his Pro-Am experience: 3:00 Bay Hill’s setup: 16:10 The NBC telecast is the worst: 23:18 Betting odds: 39:50 Players Championship betting preview: 40:35
Can Daniel Berger rebound from a tough finish at the Honda Classic this week at TPC Sawgrass?
This week in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, there are a plethora of big-name players ready to compete for the title at the 2022 Players Championship. Jon Rahm, the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Ranking, is the favorite among them all at TPC Sawgrass sitting at +1200. Justin Thomas, the event’s defending champion, follows closely behind at +1300 with
Pete Dye’s Players Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass will play as a par 72 this week measuring 7,256 yards.
Among all the favorites this week in the field comprised of 46 of the world’s top-50, here are players to bet on, to fade, and to consider for your betting cards.
Analyzing the best fantasy golf picks for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational at TPC Southwind.
Nine of the top 10 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings are part of the 78-man field at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, this week for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. We’ve looked at the best bets to win, and below is my Top 30 fantasy golf power rankings for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational at TPC Southwind.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational: Fantasy Golf Top 30
Jul 19, 2020; Dublin, Ohio, USA; Sergio Garcia plays his shot from the fifth tee during the final round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports)
Garcia is coming off back-to-back T-32 finishes in similar strengths of fields at the Travelers Championship and the Memorial Tournament. He’s second on Tour in the 2019-20 season in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green.
29. Paul Casey (+6600)
Casey is coming off consecutive missed cuts, but he has performed well in two trips to TPC Southwind with an average of 1.10 total strokes gained per round across eight rounds, according to Data Golf.
28. Michael Thompson (+12500)
Thompson cruised through a much weaker field at last week’s 3M Open en route to his first PGA Tour win since the 2013 Honda Classic. He’ll need to be a little sharper off-the-tee and around the greens against the stiffer competition this week.
27. Shane Lowry (+12500)
The reigning Champion Golfer of the Year has missed three of five cuts since play resumed, but his lone other PGA Tour victory was at the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. He didn’t play this event last year.
26. Jordan Spieth (+4500)
Spieth is a much better fantasy selection than he is for bettors. The no-cut nature of WGC events allows him a full 72 holes of scoring opportunities and doesn’t penalize him nearly as badly for his blow-up holes. He can take his risks here.
Jul 18, 2020; Dublin, Ohio, USA; Billy Horschel plays his shot from the fairway on the ninth hole during the third round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports)
25. Billy Horschel (+4500)
Horschel tied for ninth in this event last year, and he posted the same result at the WGC-Mexico Championship earlier this year. He’s averaging 0.79 SG: Tee-to-Green in 2020.
24. Corey Conners (+10000)
Conners held his own in the difficult conditions of the Memorial and finished T-22 for his fourth made cut in five events since play resumed. He tied for 27th last year in his first WGC event.
23. Marc Leishman (+7000)
Leishman finished alone in third at this event last year at minus-12 while averaging 1.63 SG: Approach per round. He tied for 40th at the Memorial for his best finish since the restart.
22. Dustin Johnson (+3300)
Johnson withdrew from the weak field at the 3M Open following an opening-round 78. It came on the heels of his 80-80 start and missed cut at the Memorial, but he is just a month removed from his Travelers Championship victory.
21. Abraham Ancer (+5000)
Ancer is in the top 25 of the Tour in SG: Approach; SG: Tee-to-Green; and Par 4 Performance. He tied for fourth at the WGC-HSBC Champions last fall and tied for 12th in the WGC-Mexico Championship this spring.
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20. Tommy Fleetwood (+3300)
Fleetwood returned from his prolonged layoff to miss the cut last week as one of the top betting favorites. He was oddly poor with the irons and lost 0.87 strokes per round on approach.
19. Hideki Matsuyama (+3300)
Matsuyama typically excels among these stronger fields, but he missed the cut at both the RBC Heritage and the Memorial. He has two career WGC victories and a T-6 at this year’s Mexico Championship.
18. Jason Day (+3300)
Day has shown some of his best form in several years with a T-7 at the Workday Charity Open and a T-4 at the Memorial. He’ll try to transition to a course with which he’s less familiar than Muirfield Village GC.
17. Tony Finau (+3300)
It was disappointing to see Finau struggle late in Round 4 against a weak field at the 3M Open. He was eighth at the Memorial in a field stronger than this week and is consistently getting top results, even without victory.
Jul 23, 2020; Blaine, Minnesota, USA; Brooks Koepka walks with his caddie Ricky Elliott on the 9th hole during the first round of the 3M Open golf tournament at TPC Twin Cities. (Photo Credit: David Berding – USA TODAY Sports)
16. Brooks Koepka (+3300)
What to do with Brooks? He has two missed cuts and a T-62 in his last three events and was outperformed by brother Chase last week. Still, the PGA Championship is next week. He may repeat at both events despite entering this week outside the FedExCup Playoff picture.
15. Sungjae Im (+9000)
Im took a rare break while skipping the 3M Open last week. He has struggled mightily since a T-10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and the oddsmakers have clearly soured on him.
14. Gary Woodland (+4500)
Woodland has been inconsistent off-the-tee and shaky around the greens of late, but he’s still averaging 0.95 strokes per round on approach. He finished just 55th here a year ago but sets up for better results this time.
13. Patrick Reed (+3300)
Reed, who has eight PGA Tour victories, won his first WGC event at the Mexico Championship in late February. He has been inconsistent since the midseason suspension of play, but he’s coming off a T-10 at the Memorial as he preps for the major season.
12. Viktor Hovland (+2800)
Hovland’s T-48 at Muirfield Village was his worst result since the restart, but he took last week off for his first break. He’ll be playing his first WGC event and ranks T-8 in SG: Approach; and 12th in SG: Tee-to-Green this season.
11. Matthew Fitzpatrick (+3000)
Fitzpatrick tied for fourth last year at minus-11 while gaining 1.26 strokes per round from tee-to-green. His third-place finish at the Memorial was his best PGA Tour result since coming second at the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational.
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10. Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Schauffele hasn’t won a full-field PGA Tour event since the 2017 Greenbrier Classic, but he won the 2018 WGC-HSBC Champions and went to a playoff against Rory McIlroy last year in that same event. He tied for 27th in this tournament in 2019.
9. Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Cantlay hasn’t finished worse than his T-32 at the Memorial since returning to tournament play. He tied for 12th in his first visit to TPC Southwind last year.
8. Daniel Berger (+2800)
Berger missed the cut at the Memorial after winning the Charles Schwab Challenge and finishing T-3 at the RBC Heritage. He’s gaining 1.14 strokes from tee-to-green in 2020.
7. Collin Morikawa (+2800)
Morikawa won last year’s Barracuda Championship as the alternate event to the WGC. He got his second career win at the Workday Charity Open and will play his second WGC event following a T-42 in Mexico.
6. Webb Simpson (+2200)
Simpson was the runner-up in Memphis last year, and he has since picked up two victories at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and RBC Heritage. He’s looking to move past a rare missed cut at the Memorial.
5. Justin Thomas (+1200)
Thomas, fourth in the Golfweek rankings, enters the week third by the betting odds to win in Memphis. He won the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational in 2018 and tied for 12th at TPC Southwind last year.
Jun 21, 2020; Hilton Head, South Carolina, USA; Tyrrell Hatton reacts on the tenth hole during the final round of the RBC Heritage golf tournament at Harbour Town Golf Links. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
4. Tyrrell Hatton (+2200)
Hatton tied for 43rd in this event a year ago while losing 1.37 strokes per round on the greens. Flip forward a year, and he leads the Tour in SG: Putting through 16 measured rounds in the 2019-20 season. Also, he has finished outside the top 20 in just one of his last 10 international events with two victories and two top 5’s.
3. Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)
DeChambeau’s run of four consecutive finishes of T-8 or better, including his victory at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, was snapped with a missed cut at the Memorial. He has lost 0.08 strokes per round over 10 trips around TPC Southwind, but his results prior to the 2020 midseason break aren’t worth much.
2. Rory McIlroy (+1100)
Since 2014, McIlroy has won three WGC events (including match play), with 11 other top-10s and seven top-5’s, including a fifth-place finish in Mexico in February. He’s second by the betting odds.
1. Jon Rahm (+1000)
Rahm’s the betting favorite following his dominant win over an even stronger field at the Memorial. He was seventh here last year and T-3 in Mexico.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Barracuda Championship with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
The 2020 Barracuda Championship serves as the alternate event to this week’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and returns to Montreaux Golf & Country Club in Truckee, Calif. Below, we look at the BetMGM outright betting odds, and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets for the Barracuda Championship.
Note: This tournament uses Modified Stableford scoring. Collin Morikawa and Andrew Putnam won in 2019 and 2018, respectively, with 47 points.
Jun 20, 2020; Hilton Head, S.C.; Alex Noren plays his shot from the 18th tee during the third round of the RBC Heritage golf tournament at Harbour Town Golf Links. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Noren, a 10-time winner on the European Tour, fell just shy of his first PGA Tour victory at last week’s 3M Open. He went 5-under par in his final round but finished T-3 at minus-16 and three shots back of champion Michael Thompson.
He gained 1.71 strokes putting per round over the tournament, according to Data Golf, but was also steady on approach, off-the-tee and from tee-to-green. He was able to move to 98th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings with the performance and will try again for his first victory against an even weaker field.
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Matthias Schwab (+2800)
Schwab tied for 32nd last week at minus-10 despite losing a dreadful 1.70 strokes putting per round on the putting surfaces. He led the field with 2.76 SG: Tee-to-Green per round and was second with 2.05 SG: Approach. Bank on the more repeatable swings and get him at a number much higher than he should have against this competition.
Jul 16, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Sebastian Munoz plays his shot from the fairway on the ninth hole during the first round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports)
Sebastian Munoz (+6600)
Munoz tied for 48th in a strong field amid difficult conditions at the Memorial Tournament before taking last week off. He had previously missed three straight cuts following a T-28 showing at the RBC Heritage. His victory at the Sanderson Farms Championship earlier in the 2019-20 season was in a field more comparable to what he’ll face this week.
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Bronson Burgoon (+8000)
Burgoon finished alone in fifth last year at minus-13 despite losing 0.44 strokes per round on the greens. He averaged 2.50 SG: Tee-to-Green over the tournament. He missed three consecutive cuts before finishing T-61 at the Workday Charity Open and T-41 last week and finally seems to be trending in the right direction.
2020 Barracuda Championship Betting Picks – Long shots
Mar 1, 2020; Palm Beach Gardens, Fla.; Robby Shelton lines up his putt on the eighth green during the final round of the 2020 Honda Classic golf tournament at PGA National (Champion). (Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports)
Robby Shelton (+10000)
Shelton’s price is a mystery after he fired a Sunday round of 7-under to finish T-3 at minus-16 in a stronger field last week. He averaged 2.66 SG: Tee-to-Green per round, 1.42 SG: Approach and 1.13 SG: Off-the-Tee. He’s one of the top values on the board in an open competition.
Sahith Theegala (+15000)
We’re going back to Theegala yet again to try to capitalize on his high odds and college pedigree in a weaker field. He has begun his professional career with three straight missed cuts but will look to follow suit of Morikawa (2019 Barracuda Championship) and Viktor Hovland (2020 Puerto Rico Open) as top college golfers to get their first wins in these alternate events.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
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The 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational serves as the final tune-up for the PGA Championship, and the top six golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings head to TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. Below, we look at the BetMGM outright betting odds and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets to win the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
The 78-man field includes 2019 champion Brooks Koepka, plus the reigning winners of the Memorial Tournament (Jon Rahm) and the 3M Open (Michael Thompson).
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 1
Jul 5, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Tyrrell Hatton putts on the third green during the final round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic golf tournament at Detroit Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Hatton has been on a tear since winning the European Tour’s Turkish Airlines Open near the end of 2019. He picked up his first PGA Tour win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March and has come out of the break with a T-3 at the RBC Heritage and a T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He tied for sixth at the WGC-Mexico Championship earlier this season, as well.
The 12th-ranked golfer in the world ranks second on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach; fifth in SG: Tee-to-Green; fifth in Par 4 Performance; and first in SG: Putting.
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Collin Morikawa (+2800)
Morikawa followed up his victory at the Workday Charity Open at Muirfield Village Golf Club with a T-48 result in the more challenging Memorial Tournament the following week. He won last year’s Barracuda Championship as the alternate field event to the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational but has now been invited to the bigger stage with two PGA Tour wins under his belt.
He’s eighth in the field by the Golfweek rankings and ninth by the odds to win at BetMGM.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 2
Jun 14, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; Sungjae Im plays his shot from the third tee during the final round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament at Colonial Country Club. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)
Abraham Ancer (+5000)
Ancer was in strong form out of the break prior to a T-58 finish at the Memorial. He’s in the top 25 on Tour in SG: Approach, SG: Tee-to-Green; and Par 4 Performance.
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Sungjae Im (+9000)
Im, the winner of The Honda Classic, has been in poor form since a T-10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He missed the cut at the RBC Heritage and the Memorial while finishing outside the top 50 in his three other events.
He’s coming off a rare one-week break and has much higher odds than we’ve seen for much of the last two years.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Long shots
Jul 26, 2020; Blaine, Minnesota, USA; Max Homa hits a tee shot on the 11th hole during the final round of the 3M Open golf tournament at TPC Twin Cities. (Photo Credit: David Berding – USA TODAY Sports)
Max Homa (+12500)
Homa ranked sixth and seventh, respectively, in last week’s field in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach, according to Data Golf. He lost a woeful 2.31 strokes per round putting but was still able to finish T-3. He’ll face much stiffer competition this week, but his odds remain ripe for the picking.
Mackenzie Hughes (+15000)
Hughes has a T-3 at the Travelers Championship and a T-6 at the Memorial as his best results in five events since returning to play. He has been much better in SG: Putting and SG: Around-the-Green than in approach and from tee-to-green, but his flat stick is absolutely worth backing at this high of a number.
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Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour odds, picks and best bets for the top matchup, placing and FRL options.
TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., hosts the 2020 3M Open with the opening round Thursday. Matthew Wolff tries to defend his 2019 victory in the inaugural event against the weakest field we’ve seen since the PGA Tour returned to play. As a result, there’s plenty of betting value beyond the top names of Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau and Tommy Fleetwood. Below, we look at the best prop bets for the 3M Open, including matchups, placings and first-round leader picks.
Johnson and Koepka are the first and fourth betting favorites at +1000 and +1600, respectively. They’re the class of a weaker field, but there’s no value in betting them outright in what’s likely their final preparations for the PGA Championship.
Johnson missed the cut last week at plus-16 after opening 80-80 in the tough conditions at Muirfield Village Golf Club. He’ll bounce back on a much easier course following his weekend off.
Tony Finau (-125) vs. Tommy Fleetwood
Finau collapsed last week at the Memorial Tournament as Jon Rahm went on to win by three strokes over Ryan Palmer and Finau finished eighth. Finau will recover in easier scoring conditions and against a weaker field as Fleetwood makes his first appearance since The Players Championship was canceled.
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2020 3M Open: Placing bets
Top 5: Ryan Armour (+1600)
Armour finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday Charity Open. He finished at minus-15 and minus-16 in his two top results and should have little trouble lighting up TPC Twin Cities.
Top 10: Bernd Wiesberger (+850)
The golf betting community missed on Wiesberger last week, as he missed the cut at plus-7. Typically playing only majors and World Golf Championship events while dominating the European Tour, the 3M Open will feature one of the easiest courses and weakest fields of any PGA Tour event he has played.
Top British/Irish: Tommy Fleetwood (+120)
Fleetwood doesn’t hold much value at +1500 to win the first tournament he has played in four months. He is +100 to be the top English player, but his odds rise with only Russell Knox (+900) and Seamus Power (+1600) being added as competition.
Top player from the rest of the world: Emiliano Grillo (+1400)
Grillo is priced sixth in this group led by South African Erik Van Rooyen at +600. Grillo missed the cut last week while losing 2.46 strokes per round putting, but he gained 0.88 strokes off-the-tee. The latter is the much more important statistic at TPC Twin Cities, and he’ll be able to contend without needing to worry as much about the flat stick.
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2020 3M Open: First-round leader bet
Derek Ernst (+17500)
Ernst, a former PGA Tour winner, returns to a PGA Tour event for the first time since a T-52 finish at the Puerto Rico Open in February. He has dominated the Korn Ferry Tour of late with three straight finishes of T-12 or better and looks to carry his top form to the next level.
Lucas Glover (+4500)
Glover finished T-7 last year at minus-16 after firing a Sunday round of 62. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events since returning to play, as he has been one of the most consistent in the strong fields. He’s ready to break through against softer competition.
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Analyzing the best fantasy golf picks for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities.
The 2020 3M Open will see Matthew Wolff try to defend his 2019 victory at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., against Tommy Fleetwood, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and the rest of a rather lackluster field. Fleetwood makes his first appearance since the midseason pause and is the top-ranked player in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities
Oct 26, 2017; Jackson, MS, USA; Derek Ernst chips the ball from a 18th hole bunker during the first round of the Sanderson Farms Championship golf tournament at Country Club of Jackson. (Photo Credit: Spruce Derden – USA TODAY Sports)
Ventura tied for 21st at the Rocket Mortgage Classic amid a strong stretch of play on the Korn Ferry Tour which included a T-8 finish at the TPC San Antonio Challenge at the Canyons. He should be able to earn a quality finish in a soft field this week.
29. Charley Hoffman (+7000)
Hoffman picked up a T-7 at the Workday Charity Open but didn’t play in the Memorial Tournament. He missed the cut in this event last year but lost a woeful 1.71 strokes per round putting, according to Data Golf.
28. Chase Seiffert (+10000)
Seiffert was off last week following his breakout fourth-place finish at the Workday Charity Open. He relied heavily on his putter in that performance but also managed to gain 0.92 strokes per round on approach.
27. Derek Ernst (+30000)
Like Ventura, Ernst is on a heater on the KFT and looks to take the next step in a soft field on the PGA Tour. He tied for fifth at the TPC San Antonio Championship at the Oaks following a T-12 at the Canyons. He won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2013 but made the cut in just three PGA Tour events since the beginning of 2019.
26. Emiliano Grillo (+10000)
Grillo’s struggles with the flat stick won’t be as much of a concern at TPC Twin Cities with a much stronger emphasis on the driver and approach game. He tied for third on a similar course for the Puerto Rico Open in February.
Feb 27, 2020; Palm Beach Gardens, Fla., USA; Roger Sloan lets go of his grip in the 16th tee box during the first round of the 2020 Honda Classic golf tournament at PGA National (Champion). (Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports)
25. Roger Sloan (+20000)
Sloan finished T-15 here last year while gaining 1.22 strokes per round tee-to-green. He tied for 27th at the Workday Charity Open for his best result since play resumed.
24. Wyndham Clark (+9000)
Clark tied for fifth last year while leading the field in Driving Distance at 327.9 yards and gaining 1.33 strokes tee-to-green. His missed cut at the Memorial last week doesn’t carry much weight with easier conditions and a weakened field on hand this week.
23. Charles Howell III (+9000)
Howell tied for 23rd in 2019 in a neutral putting performance. He has two missed cuts since play resumed with a T-49 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T-48 last week.
22. Matthias Schwab (+8000)
Schwab missed the cut last week in his first PGA Tour event since the WGC-Mexico Championship. He previously tied for 21st at the European Tour’s Qatar Masters and can certainly compete in fields like these.
21. Ryan Armour (+8000)
Armour is 47th on Tour this season in Birdie or Better Percentage. He finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday.
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20. Brian Harman (+5000)
Harman is tied for the 14th-best odds to win this event despite entering off of three straight missed cuts. He tied for seventh last year with just 0.85 SG: Putting per round.
19. Carlos Ortiz (+6600)
Ortiz finished T-5 in 2019 with 2.32 SG: Tee-to-Green and 1.29 SG: Approach per round. He has made the cut in three of five events since play returned.
18. Rafa Cabrera Bello (+7000)
Cabrera Bello has just two made cuts in five events since the midseason suspension was lifted. He has slipped all the way to 139th in the Golfweek rankings but will benefit from the weaker competition.
17. Dylan Frittelli (+6600)
Frittelli’s best result since play returned was a T-8 at the RBC Heritage. He missed his next two cuts but tied for 22nd last week. He’s tied for 34th on Tour this season in Par 5 Performance and will be able to take advantage of the easier holes here.
16. Harris English (+3300)
English is the second-best player in attendance by the Golfweek rankings at No. 19 in the world. He finished T-17 at the RBC Heritage and T-13 last week.
Jul 4, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Sepp Straka tees off on the 2nd during the third round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic golf tournament at Detroit Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
15. Sepp Straka (+6600)
Straka finished 61st at plus-11 last week, but he had done no worse than 10-under in his previous three events in which he made the cut. He can go low over four rounds and should easily make the cut in this field.
14. Max Homa (+6600)
Homa missed the weekend in each of his last three events, but he gained 1.28 strokes around the greens and 1.63 strokes tee-to-green at the 2019 3M Open before withdrawing during the third round.
13. Sam Burns (+4500)
Burns’ T-7 here last year was one of his best results of 2019 and he returns with three straight made cuts in tougher fields.
12. Bubba Watson (+3300)
Watson has more than enough distance for this course and should take advantage of the weaker field in a tune-up for the 2020 PGA Championship.
11. Luke List (+4000)
List averaged 1.21 SG: Off-the-Tee and 1.75 SG: Tee-to-Green last week. Normally held back by his putter, he’ll benefit from the easier putting surfaces of TPC Twin Cities.
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10. Brooks Koepka (+1400)
Koepka is running out of time to correct the issues with his driver and short game ahead of the PGA Championship. The fact he’s still playing in a tournament like this just two weeks out is at least a sign he’s trying to fix the problems.
9. Will Gordon (+7000)
Gordon followed up his surprising T-3 result at the Travelers with a missed cut at the Rocket Mortgage Classic but returns after two weeks off. His long game is well suited for this course.
8. Doc Redman (+5000)
Redman missed the cut last year with a horrendous performance from tee-to-green, but he returns while averaging 0.76 SG: T2G in 2020. He came out of the break with four straight weekend appearances before a missed cut last week.
7. Erik Van Rooyen (+3300)
Rooyen shares the eighth-best odds to win the tournament. He’s tied for 20th on Tour this season with 0.539 SG: Approach. He’ll face one of the weaker PGA Tour fields he has played against.
Mar 12, 2020; Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., USA; Tommy Fleetwood watches his tees shot on the 11th hole during the first round of the 2020 edition of The Players Championship golf tournament at TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course. (Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports)
6. Tommy Fleetwood (+1400)
Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance by the Golfweek rankings but will play for the first time since The Players Championship was canceled after the opening round. He’s 10th on Tour while averaging 0.610 SG: Off-the-Tee through 10 measured rounds.
5. Matthew Wolff (+2500)
The defending champ has the sixth-best odds to win. He was the runner-up at the RMC in a similar-caliber field.
4. Paul Casey (+2200)
Casey has had a disappointing return to golf with a T-32 at the Travelers and a missed cut last week. He still enters the week 25th in the Golfweek rankings as the fourth-best golfer in the field.
3. Dustin Johnson (+900)
Johnson, the winner of the Travelers Championship, missed the cut at plus-16 last week while losing 3.12 SG: Putting per round. He enters as the betting favorite following his weekend of rest.
2. Lucas Glover (+3300)
Glover has been one of the best and most consistent golfers since play resumed. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events. He’s 26th in SG: Approach and 36th in Birdie or Better Percentage on Tour this season.
1. Tony Finau (+1200)
Finau suffered a Sunday collapse with a final round of 78 last week to finish in eighth place. The weaker field and softer conditions will allow for a quality bounce-back performance.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
Matthew Wolff looks to defend his 2019 title at this week’s 3M Open – which begins Thursday – at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. He’ll face a much weaker field than what was in attendance for Jon Rahm’s victory at last week’s Memorial Tournament. Tommy Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our picks and best bets for the 2020 3M Open.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 1
Jul 3, 2020; Detroit; Erik van Rooyen at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Glover shares the seventh-best odds to win the 3M Open following a T-38 finish last week at Muirfield Village Golf Club in more difficult conditions and against a much stronger field. He tied for seventh in this event last year and has made the cut in each of his five events since the PGA Tour returned to play following the midseason pause.
He’s 26th on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach and 36th in both SG: Off-the-Tee and Birdies or Better Percentage.
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Erik Van Rooyen (+4500)
Van Rooyen finished T-22 last week. He tied for 21st at the RBC Heritage but missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge and Rocket Mortgage Classic.
He averaged 2.08 Strokes Gained: Approach and 2.19 SG: Tee-to-Green last week, according to Data Golf. The 30-year-old South African is still looking for his first win on the PGA Tour but will play against a weaker field than what’s usually at the tournaments in which he plays.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 2
Jun 11, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas; Max Homa at the Charles Schwab Challenge. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)
Max Homa (+6600)
Homa has missed the cut in three straight events and four of his last five since play returned. He withdrew during the third round last year after making the cut at 5-under par. He’s 38th on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee and 49th in SG: Approach this season.
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Charles Howell III (+9000)
Howell tied for 48th at plus-8 last week with a final round of 77. He was T-23 in this event last year at 13-under while averaging 1.50 SG: Tee-to-Green per round. He’ll be looking for his first top-10 result in his 10th event this year, but he had five top 10s in 30 events last year. His last win came at the 2018 RSM Classic in a more similar field than what we’ve seen lately.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Long shots
Jul 12, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Chase Seiffert at the Workday Charity Open. (Photo Credit: Joseph Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports)
Chase Seiffert (+10000)
Seiffert took last week off following his breakout fourth-place finish in the Workday Charity Open. He gained 0.92 strokes on approach and 1.44 from tee-to-green per round at Muirfield Village and his odds remain high following the week away.
Sahith Theegala (+25000)
Theegala has his highest odds since turning pro after missing the cut at the Travelers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Classic. The former top amateur will play in his weakest field and has his best chance for success.
Wolff won here in 2019 as a +12500 long shot in his third start as a pro.
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Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 Memorial Tournament, with PGA Tour odds, picks and best bets for the top matchup, placing and FRL options.
The 2020 Memorial Tournament is set to tee off Thursday with a star-studded field featuring 23 of the top 25 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, including Tiger Woods. Below, we’ll look at the best prop bet offering at BetMGM and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets for the 2020 Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club.
Morikawa was victorious at this venue last week in the Workday Charity Open. The course is expected to undergo some minor alterations this week and will see faster greens and thicker rough. It won’t matter for Morikawa. Take him as only a modest favorite. Rahm tied for 27th last week and lost 0.25 strokes per round around the greens, according to Data Golf.
Rickie Fowler vs. Gary Woodland (-106)
Fowler and Woodland are both veterans of this event with multiple top-10 finishes each. Woodland fared better last week, finishing T-5 at 12-under par to Fowler’s T-22 at minus-8. Take the US Open champ with the conditions and field being more reminiscent of a major.
Webb Simpson (-118) vs. Xander Schauffele
Simpson was off last week while Schauffele finished T-14 at 10-under. Take the two-time winner in 2020 in a pick ’em. Simpson has 12 more career rounds played at Muirfield Village GC than Schauffele.
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2020 Memorial Tournament: Placing bets
Top 5: Patrick Cantlay (+375)
Cantlay tied for seventh last week on the back of a final-round, 7-under 65. The 2019 Memorial champ hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in a PGA Tour event since the Safeway Open and should improve on last week’s finish despite the stronger field.
Top 10: Abraham Ancer (+450)
Ancer ranks 11th on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach. He finished T-14, 2nd and T-11 in the first three events back before taking the last two weeks off. Expect the strong form to continue in his third appearance at this event.
Group B: Viktor Hovland (+400)
Hovland’s the biggest long shot in a group with Morikawa (+320), Rahm (+320), Simpson (+375) and Schauffele (+375). Hovland led the field in SG: Off the Tee and SG: Tee-to-Green last week and his third-place finish was his best result since play resumed.
Top Austrian: Bernd Wiesberger (+170)
Wiesberger has higher odds than Sepp Straka (+150), who finished T-14 last week at 10-under in his debut at Muirfield Village. Wiesberger won three times on the European Tour in 2019 and ranks 96 spots higher in the Golfweek rankings.
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2020 Memorial Tournament: First-round leader bet
Rory McIlroy (+2200)
McIlroy leads the PGA Tour with 1.883 SG: Tee-to-Green through 27 measured rounds this season. His Round 1 scoring average of 67.56 through nine events is also No. 1 on Tour. He has four top 10s here since 2010.
Adam Hadwin (+7000)
Hadwin sat second last week after an opening round of 6-under 66. He broke par in just one other round last week, but still managed to finish 35th.
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Looking at Tiger Woods’ chances of winning the 2020 Memorial Tournament, including PGA Tour betting options at Muirfield Village GC.
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Tiger Woodsreturns to PGA Tour tournament play for the first time since mid-February this week at the 2020 Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. He’ll attempt to win for a record-setting 83rd time on the PGA Tour at one of six tournaments he has won a minimum of five times. Below, we’ll look at Tiger Woods’ betting odds to win the 2020 Memorial Tournament and make our picks for the most profitable prop bets centered him this week.
Woods enters the week ranked 25th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Just two of the top 25 aren’t included in the star-studded field at Jack Nicklaus’ tournament this week. World No. 1 Rory McIlroy, 2019 Memorial champ Patrick Cantlay, 2020 Workday Charity Open champ Collin Morikawa and Bryson DeChambeau are among them.
Golf fans last saw Woods at The Match: Champions for Charity with Phil Mickelson, Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. His irons seemed to be in top form as he battled through the pouring rain.
Tiger Woods’ history at Muirfield Village Golf Club
It’s quite fitting that Woods has another chance to set the PGA Tour’s wins record with a sixth win at a tournament founded by Nicklaus on a course the Golden Bear designed. Tiger’s winning scores have ranged from minus-9 (2012) to minus-19 (2000).
Tiger won this event five times from 1999 to 2012. He tied for ninth last year, finishing 10 shots back at 9-under par. This was his lone tournament in between a missed cut at the 2019 PGA Championship and the US Open.
He’s likely using this week’s event as his final tune-up for the 2020 PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park from Aug. 6-9.
Woods is ranked 23rd in the field by the Golfweek rankings, but he shares the ninth-best odds to win at +2500 with Hideki Matsuyama, Webb Simpson and Xander Schauffele.
There isn’t much value in backing Tiger, especially compared to the fourth-ranked and two-time 2020 winner Simpson. Still, golf fans will want a piece of Big Cat as he chases down history. Sprinkle a small wager on Tiger to win the Memorial and hedge with other prop bets.
Best props on Tiger Woods at the Memorial Tournament
To finish in the top 10: +260
Woods is priced right for a top-10 finish with the 10th-best odds reflecting his odds to win the tournament. A $10 wager here would return a profit of $26, as he looks to replicate last season’s T-9 finish.
He tied for ninth at the Farmers Insurance Open in his first tournament of 2020 before finishing just 68th at The Genesis Invitational. Hedge against your outright bet with some insurance in this incredibly strong field.
Lowest score over 72 holes – Group C: +320
Woods is the second favorite in a group with Matsuyama, Daniel Berger, Rickie Fowler and Gary Woodland. Matsuyama won here in 2014 and has two top-10 finishes since. Berger won the Charles Schwab Challenge in the PGA Tour’s restart. Woodland finished T-5 last week, and Fowler finished T-22 at this same venue.
Woods has better odds to win the tournament than all but Matsuyama from this group. There’s value here when removing the top-8 favorites from the pool.
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Will Tiger Woods make the cut? No: +200
Hedge against everything else going wrong with an offsetting wager on Tiger to miss the cut. While not the result any golf fan should be rooting for, turning a $10 bet into a $20 profit can cover losses on the bets made for higher returns.
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