Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour odds, picks and best bets for the top matchup, placing and FRL options.
TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., hosts the 2020 3M Open with the opening round Thursday. Matthew Wolff tries to defend his 2019 victory in the inaugural event against the weakest field we’ve seen since the PGA Tour returned to play. As a result, there’s plenty of betting value beyond the top names of Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau and Tommy Fleetwood. Below, we look at the best prop bets for the 3M Open, including matchups, placings and first-round leader picks.
Johnson and Koepka are the first and fourth betting favorites at +1000 and +1600, respectively. They’re the class of a weaker field, but there’s no value in betting them outright in what’s likely their final preparations for the PGA Championship.
Johnson missed the cut last week at plus-16 after opening 80-80 in the tough conditions at Muirfield Village Golf Club. He’ll bounce back on a much easier course following his weekend off.
Tony Finau (-125) vs. Tommy Fleetwood
Finau collapsed last week at the Memorial Tournament as Jon Rahm went on to win by three strokes over Ryan Palmer and Finau finished eighth. Finau will recover in easier scoring conditions and against a weaker field as Fleetwood makes his first appearance since The Players Championship was canceled.
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2020 3M Open: Placing bets
Top 5: Ryan Armour (+1600)
Armour finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday Charity Open. He finished at minus-15 and minus-16 in his two top results and should have little trouble lighting up TPC Twin Cities.
Top 10: Bernd Wiesberger (+850)
The golf betting community missed on Wiesberger last week, as he missed the cut at plus-7. Typically playing only majors and World Golf Championship events while dominating the European Tour, the 3M Open will feature one of the easiest courses and weakest fields of any PGA Tour event he has played.
Top British/Irish: Tommy Fleetwood (+120)
Fleetwood doesn’t hold much value at +1500 to win the first tournament he has played in four months. He is +100 to be the top English player, but his odds rise with only Russell Knox (+900) and Seamus Power (+1600) being added as competition.
Top player from the rest of the world: Emiliano Grillo (+1400)
Grillo is priced sixth in this group led by South African Erik Van Rooyen at +600. Grillo missed the cut last week while losing 2.46 strokes per round putting, but he gained 0.88 strokes off-the-tee. The latter is the much more important statistic at TPC Twin Cities, and he’ll be able to contend without needing to worry as much about the flat stick.
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2020 3M Open: First-round leader bet
Derek Ernst (+17500)
Ernst, a former PGA Tour winner, returns to a PGA Tour event for the first time since a T-52 finish at the Puerto Rico Open in February. He has dominated the Korn Ferry Tour of late with three straight finishes of T-12 or better and looks to carry his top form to the next level.
Lucas Glover (+4500)
Glover finished T-7 last year at minus-16 after firing a Sunday round of 62. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events since returning to play, as he has been one of the most consistent in the strong fields. He’s ready to break through against softer competition.
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Analyzing the best fantasy golf picks for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities.
The 2020 3M Open will see Matthew Wolff try to defend his 2019 victory at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., against Tommy Fleetwood, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and the rest of a rather lackluster field. Fleetwood makes his first appearance since the midseason pause and is the top-ranked player in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities
Oct 26, 2017; Jackson, MS, USA; Derek Ernst chips the ball from a 18th hole bunker during the first round of the Sanderson Farms Championship golf tournament at Country Club of Jackson. (Photo Credit: Spruce Derden – USA TODAY Sports)
Ventura tied for 21st at the Rocket Mortgage Classic amid a strong stretch of play on the Korn Ferry Tour which included a T-8 finish at the TPC San Antonio Challenge at the Canyons. He should be able to earn a quality finish in a soft field this week.
29. Charley Hoffman (+7000)
Hoffman picked up a T-7 at the Workday Charity Open but didn’t play in the Memorial Tournament. He missed the cut in this event last year but lost a woeful 1.71 strokes per round putting, according to Data Golf.
28. Chase Seiffert (+10000)
Seiffert was off last week following his breakout fourth-place finish at the Workday Charity Open. He relied heavily on his putter in that performance but also managed to gain 0.92 strokes per round on approach.
27. Derek Ernst (+30000)
Like Ventura, Ernst is on a heater on the KFT and looks to take the next step in a soft field on the PGA Tour. He tied for fifth at the TPC San Antonio Championship at the Oaks following a T-12 at the Canyons. He won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2013 but made the cut in just three PGA Tour events since the beginning of 2019.
26. Emiliano Grillo (+10000)
Grillo’s struggles with the flat stick won’t be as much of a concern at TPC Twin Cities with a much stronger emphasis on the driver and approach game. He tied for third on a similar course for the Puerto Rico Open in February.
Feb 27, 2020; Palm Beach Gardens, Fla., USA; Roger Sloan lets go of his grip in the 16th tee box during the first round of the 2020 Honda Classic golf tournament at PGA National (Champion). (Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports)
25. Roger Sloan (+20000)
Sloan finished T-15 here last year while gaining 1.22 strokes per round tee-to-green. He tied for 27th at the Workday Charity Open for his best result since play resumed.
24. Wyndham Clark (+9000)
Clark tied for fifth last year while leading the field in Driving Distance at 327.9 yards and gaining 1.33 strokes tee-to-green. His missed cut at the Memorial last week doesn’t carry much weight with easier conditions and a weakened field on hand this week.
23. Charles Howell III (+9000)
Howell tied for 23rd in 2019 in a neutral putting performance. He has two missed cuts since play resumed with a T-49 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T-48 last week.
22. Matthias Schwab (+8000)
Schwab missed the cut last week in his first PGA Tour event since the WGC-Mexico Championship. He previously tied for 21st at the European Tour’s Qatar Masters and can certainly compete in fields like these.
21. Ryan Armour (+8000)
Armour is 47th on Tour this season in Birdie or Better Percentage. He finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday.
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20. Brian Harman (+5000)
Harman is tied for the 14th-best odds to win this event despite entering off of three straight missed cuts. He tied for seventh last year with just 0.85 SG: Putting per round.
19. Carlos Ortiz (+6600)
Ortiz finished T-5 in 2019 with 2.32 SG: Tee-to-Green and 1.29 SG: Approach per round. He has made the cut in three of five events since play returned.
18. Rafa Cabrera Bello (+7000)
Cabrera Bello has just two made cuts in five events since the midseason suspension was lifted. He has slipped all the way to 139th in the Golfweek rankings but will benefit from the weaker competition.
17. Dylan Frittelli (+6600)
Frittelli’s best result since play returned was a T-8 at the RBC Heritage. He missed his next two cuts but tied for 22nd last week. He’s tied for 34th on Tour this season in Par 5 Performance and will be able to take advantage of the easier holes here.
16. Harris English (+3300)
English is the second-best player in attendance by the Golfweek rankings at No. 19 in the world. He finished T-17 at the RBC Heritage and T-13 last week.
Jul 4, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Sepp Straka tees off on the 2nd during the third round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic golf tournament at Detroit Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
15. Sepp Straka (+6600)
Straka finished 61st at plus-11 last week, but he had done no worse than 10-under in his previous three events in which he made the cut. He can go low over four rounds and should easily make the cut in this field.
14. Max Homa (+6600)
Homa missed the weekend in each of his last three events, but he gained 1.28 strokes around the greens and 1.63 strokes tee-to-green at the 2019 3M Open before withdrawing during the third round.
13. Sam Burns (+4500)
Burns’ T-7 here last year was one of his best results of 2019 and he returns with three straight made cuts in tougher fields.
12. Bubba Watson (+3300)
Watson has more than enough distance for this course and should take advantage of the weaker field in a tune-up for the 2020 PGA Championship.
11. Luke List (+4000)
List averaged 1.21 SG: Off-the-Tee and 1.75 SG: Tee-to-Green last week. Normally held back by his putter, he’ll benefit from the easier putting surfaces of TPC Twin Cities.
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10. Brooks Koepka (+1400)
Koepka is running out of time to correct the issues with his driver and short game ahead of the PGA Championship. The fact he’s still playing in a tournament like this just two weeks out is at least a sign he’s trying to fix the problems.
9. Will Gordon (+7000)
Gordon followed up his surprising T-3 result at the Travelers with a missed cut at the Rocket Mortgage Classic but returns after two weeks off. His long game is well suited for this course.
8. Doc Redman (+5000)
Redman missed the cut last year with a horrendous performance from tee-to-green, but he returns while averaging 0.76 SG: T2G in 2020. He came out of the break with four straight weekend appearances before a missed cut last week.
7. Erik Van Rooyen (+3300)
Rooyen shares the eighth-best odds to win the tournament. He’s tied for 20th on Tour this season with 0.539 SG: Approach. He’ll face one of the weaker PGA Tour fields he has played against.
Mar 12, 2020; Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., USA; Tommy Fleetwood watches his tees shot on the 11th hole during the first round of the 2020 edition of The Players Championship golf tournament at TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course. (Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports)
6. Tommy Fleetwood (+1400)
Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance by the Golfweek rankings but will play for the first time since The Players Championship was canceled after the opening round. He’s 10th on Tour while averaging 0.610 SG: Off-the-Tee through 10 measured rounds.
5. Matthew Wolff (+2500)
The defending champ has the sixth-best odds to win. He was the runner-up at the RMC in a similar-caliber field.
4. Paul Casey (+2200)
Casey has had a disappointing return to golf with a T-32 at the Travelers and a missed cut last week. He still enters the week 25th in the Golfweek rankings as the fourth-best golfer in the field.
3. Dustin Johnson (+900)
Johnson, the winner of the Travelers Championship, missed the cut at plus-16 last week while losing 3.12 SG: Putting per round. He enters as the betting favorite following his weekend of rest.
2. Lucas Glover (+3300)
Glover has been one of the best and most consistent golfers since play resumed. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events. He’s 26th in SG: Approach and 36th in Birdie or Better Percentage on Tour this season.
1. Tony Finau (+1200)
Finau suffered a Sunday collapse with a final round of 78 last week to finish in eighth place. The weaker field and softer conditions will allow for a quality bounce-back performance.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
Matthew Wolff looks to defend his 2019 title at this week’s 3M Open – which begins Thursday – at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. He’ll face a much weaker field than what was in attendance for Jon Rahm’s victory at last week’s Memorial Tournament. Tommy Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our picks and best bets for the 2020 3M Open.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 1
Jul 3, 2020; Detroit; Erik van Rooyen at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Glover shares the seventh-best odds to win the 3M Open following a T-38 finish last week at Muirfield Village Golf Club in more difficult conditions and against a much stronger field. He tied for seventh in this event last year and has made the cut in each of his five events since the PGA Tour returned to play following the midseason pause.
He’s 26th on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach and 36th in both SG: Off-the-Tee and Birdies or Better Percentage.
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Erik Van Rooyen (+4500)
Van Rooyen finished T-22 last week. He tied for 21st at the RBC Heritage but missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge and Rocket Mortgage Classic.
He averaged 2.08 Strokes Gained: Approach and 2.19 SG: Tee-to-Green last week, according to Data Golf. The 30-year-old South African is still looking for his first win on the PGA Tour but will play against a weaker field than what’s usually at the tournaments in which he plays.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 2
Jun 11, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas; Max Homa at the Charles Schwab Challenge. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)
Max Homa (+6600)
Homa has missed the cut in three straight events and four of his last five since play returned. He withdrew during the third round last year after making the cut at 5-under par. He’s 38th on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee and 49th in SG: Approach this season.
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Charles Howell III (+9000)
Howell tied for 48th at plus-8 last week with a final round of 77. He was T-23 in this event last year at 13-under while averaging 1.50 SG: Tee-to-Green per round. He’ll be looking for his first top-10 result in his 10th event this year, but he had five top 10s in 30 events last year. His last win came at the 2018 RSM Classic in a more similar field than what we’ve seen lately.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Long shots
Jul 12, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Chase Seiffert at the Workday Charity Open. (Photo Credit: Joseph Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports)
Chase Seiffert (+10000)
Seiffert took last week off following his breakout fourth-place finish in the Workday Charity Open. He gained 0.92 strokes on approach and 1.44 from tee-to-green per round at Muirfield Village and his odds remain high following the week away.
Sahith Theegala (+25000)
Theegala has his highest odds since turning pro after missing the cut at the Travelers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Classic. The former top amateur will play in his weakest field and has his best chance for success.
Wolff won here in 2019 as a +12500 long shot in his third start as a pro.
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Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 Memorial Tournament, with PGA Tour odds, picks and best bets for the top matchup, placing and FRL options.
The 2020 Memorial Tournament is set to tee off Thursday with a star-studded field featuring 23 of the top 25 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, including Tiger Woods. Below, we’ll look at the best prop bet offering at BetMGM and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets for the 2020 Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club.
Morikawa was victorious at this venue last week in the Workday Charity Open. The course is expected to undergo some minor alterations this week and will see faster greens and thicker rough. It won’t matter for Morikawa. Take him as only a modest favorite. Rahm tied for 27th last week and lost 0.25 strokes per round around the greens, according to Data Golf.
Rickie Fowler vs. Gary Woodland (-106)
Fowler and Woodland are both veterans of this event with multiple top-10 finishes each. Woodland fared better last week, finishing T-5 at 12-under par to Fowler’s T-22 at minus-8. Take the US Open champ with the conditions and field being more reminiscent of a major.
Webb Simpson (-118) vs. Xander Schauffele
Simpson was off last week while Schauffele finished T-14 at 10-under. Take the two-time winner in 2020 in a pick ’em. Simpson has 12 more career rounds played at Muirfield Village GC than Schauffele.
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2020 Memorial Tournament: Placing bets
Top 5: Patrick Cantlay (+375)
Cantlay tied for seventh last week on the back of a final-round, 7-under 65. The 2019 Memorial champ hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in a PGA Tour event since the Safeway Open and should improve on last week’s finish despite the stronger field.
Top 10: Abraham Ancer (+450)
Ancer ranks 11th on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach. He finished T-14, 2nd and T-11 in the first three events back before taking the last two weeks off. Expect the strong form to continue in his third appearance at this event.
Group B: Viktor Hovland (+400)
Hovland’s the biggest long shot in a group with Morikawa (+320), Rahm (+320), Simpson (+375) and Schauffele (+375). Hovland led the field in SG: Off the Tee and SG: Tee-to-Green last week and his third-place finish was his best result since play resumed.
Top Austrian: Bernd Wiesberger (+170)
Wiesberger has higher odds than Sepp Straka (+150), who finished T-14 last week at 10-under in his debut at Muirfield Village. Wiesberger won three times on the European Tour in 2019 and ranks 96 spots higher in the Golfweek rankings.
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2020 Memorial Tournament: First-round leader bet
Rory McIlroy (+2200)
McIlroy leads the PGA Tour with 1.883 SG: Tee-to-Green through 27 measured rounds this season. His Round 1 scoring average of 67.56 through nine events is also No. 1 on Tour. He has four top 10s here since 2010.
Adam Hadwin (+7000)
Hadwin sat second last week after an opening round of 6-under 66. He broke par in just one other round last week, but still managed to finish 35th.
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Looking at Tiger Woods’ chances of winning the 2020 Memorial Tournament, including PGA Tour betting options at Muirfield Village GC.
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Tiger Woodsreturns to PGA Tour tournament play for the first time since mid-February this week at the 2020 Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. He’ll attempt to win for a record-setting 83rd time on the PGA Tour at one of six tournaments he has won a minimum of five times. Below, we’ll look at Tiger Woods’ betting odds to win the 2020 Memorial Tournament and make our picks for the most profitable prop bets centered him this week.
Woods enters the week ranked 25th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Just two of the top 25 aren’t included in the star-studded field at Jack Nicklaus’ tournament this week. World No. 1 Rory McIlroy, 2019 Memorial champ Patrick Cantlay, 2020 Workday Charity Open champ Collin Morikawa and Bryson DeChambeau are among them.
Golf fans last saw Woods at The Match: Champions for Charity with Phil Mickelson, Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. His irons seemed to be in top form as he battled through the pouring rain.
Tiger Woods’ history at Muirfield Village Golf Club
It’s quite fitting that Woods has another chance to set the PGA Tour’s wins record with a sixth win at a tournament founded by Nicklaus on a course the Golden Bear designed. Tiger’s winning scores have ranged from minus-9 (2012) to minus-19 (2000).
Tiger won this event five times from 1999 to 2012. He tied for ninth last year, finishing 10 shots back at 9-under par. This was his lone tournament in between a missed cut at the 2019 PGA Championship and the US Open.
He’s likely using this week’s event as his final tune-up for the 2020 PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park from Aug. 6-9.
Woods is ranked 23rd in the field by the Golfweek rankings, but he shares the ninth-best odds to win at +2500 with Hideki Matsuyama, Webb Simpson and Xander Schauffele.
There isn’t much value in backing Tiger, especially compared to the fourth-ranked and two-time 2020 winner Simpson. Still, golf fans will want a piece of Big Cat as he chases down history. Sprinkle a small wager on Tiger to win the Memorial and hedge with other prop bets.
Best props on Tiger Woods at the Memorial Tournament
To finish in the top 10: +260
Woods is priced right for a top-10 finish with the 10th-best odds reflecting his odds to win the tournament. A $10 wager here would return a profit of $26, as he looks to replicate last season’s T-9 finish.
He tied for ninth at the Farmers Insurance Open in his first tournament of 2020 before finishing just 68th at The Genesis Invitational. Hedge against your outright bet with some insurance in this incredibly strong field.
Lowest score over 72 holes – Group C: +320
Woods is the second favorite in a group with Matsuyama, Daniel Berger, Rickie Fowler and Gary Woodland. Matsuyama won here in 2014 and has two top-10 finishes since. Berger won the Charles Schwab Challenge in the PGA Tour’s restart. Woodland finished T-5 last week, and Fowler finished T-22 at this same venue.
Woods has better odds to win the tournament than all but Matsuyama from this group. There’s value here when removing the top-8 favorites from the pool.
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Will Tiger Woods make the cut? No: +200
Hedge against everything else going wrong with an offsetting wager on Tiger to miss the cut. While not the result any golf fan should be rooting for, turning a $10 bet into a $20 profit can cover losses on the bets made for higher returns.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Memorial Tournament, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
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Tiger Woods is one of 23 members of the top 25 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings in the field for this week’s Memorial Tournament, beginning Thursday at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. Below, we look at the BetMGM PGA Tour betting odds and make our picks to win the 2020 Memorial Tournament.
World No. 1 Rory McIlroy returns to play for the first time since a T-11 finish at the Travelers Championship. Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau and Collin Morikawa all seek to defend wins in their last tournaments.
2020 Memorial Tournament Betting Picks – Tier 1
Jul 12, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Collin Morikawa celebrates his Workday Charity Open victory. (Photo Credit: Adam Cairns – The Columbus Dispatch via USA TODAY NETWORK)
Morikawa shares just the sixth-best odds to win this week. Justin Thomas, who Morikawa toppled in a Sunday comeback ending in a playoff, is the tournament’s co-favorite with DeChambeau at +1000.
While Muirfield Village GC is expected to undergo some quick alterations this week to change tee boxes, rough length and green speeds, it’s still the same venue. The field will be considerably stronger, but Morikawa is still well worth a bet at 20-1 as he looks to go back-to-back on the same course.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Morikawa to win the 2020 Memorial Tournament returns a profit of $200. The same bet on Thomas would return a profit of just $100.
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Daniel Berger (+4000)
Berger hasn’t participated in an event since following up his resurgent victory at the Charles Schwab Challenge with a T-3 finish at the RBC Heritage. He enters this week with the longest odds of any winner since the PGA Tour’s restart.
He gained averages of 1.36 strokes per round on approach and 1.90 strokes per round from tee-to-green in his win at Colonial Country Club, according to Data Golf. He hasn’t played this event since finishing 67th in 2016, but claimed his first victory at the FedEx St. Jude Classic the week after.
2020 Memorial Tournament Betting Picks – Tier 2
Jun 27, 2020; Cromwell, Conn.; Abraham Ancer chips onto the 15th green at the Travelers Championship. (Photo Credit: Bill Streicher – USA TODAY Sports)
Abraham Ancer (+5000)
Ancer has been playing some of the best golf of his career since the PGA Tour returned to play and enters the week 16th in the Golfweek rankings. He was T-14 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, second at the RBC Heritage and T-11 at the Travelers Championship. He’s 11th on Tour this season while gaining 0.795 strokes per round on approach through 34 measured rounds.
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Sergio Garcia (+7000)
Garcia is fourth on Tour with 1.653 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green through 18 rounds on the 2019-20 season. He has averaged 1.63 strokes gained per round over 16 career rounds at Muirfield Village GC. He hasn’t played here since a 45th-place finish in 2008, but was a co-runner-up in 2001 and has three top-10 results in eight events in 2020.
2020 Memorial Tournament Betting Picks – Long shots
Jul 12, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Rory Sabbatini at the Workday Charity Open. (Photo Credit: Joseph Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports)
Rory Sabbatini (+10000)
Sabbatini finished in a five-way tie for 17th last week, with a Sunday round of plus-1 that knocked him out of the top 10. He gained 1.13 strokes per round from tee-to-green last week and broke 70 in each of his first three rounds of the Workday Charity Open. He’s sixth among those with a minimum of five rounds played at Muirfield Village with 2.02 strokes gained per round at this venue.
Shane Lowry (+12500)
Lowry is coming off of a 39th-place finish last week at Muirfield with opening and closing rounds of 69 bookending his tournament. He uncharacteristically lost 0.72 strokes per round off the tee, though was able to gain 0.95 strokes on approach.
The odds are far too high for the reigning Champion Golfer of the Year.
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Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 Workday Charity Open, with odds and picks for the best matchup, placing and FRL best bets.
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The Workday Charity Open replaces the canceled John Deere Classic on the PGA Tour schedule this week and will be the first of two straight tournaments played at the Jack Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club. Jon Rahm fronts the strong 156-man field as the No. 2 golfer in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Below, we look at the best matchup, placing and first-round leader bets to pair with your outright picks for the Workday Charity Open.
Cantlay won the 2019 Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village while Matsuyama finished sixth. The two are priced at +1500 and +1600, respectively, to win the tournament, making Cantlay a slight favorite in this matchup.
Cantlay has gained an average of 3.23 strokes across 12 career rounds at Muirfield Village to lead the field this week, according to Data Golf. Matsuyama tied for 21st in a weaker field at the Rocket Mortgage Classic last week, while Cantlay tied for 11th at the Travelers Championship in his only event since play resumed.
Rickie Fowler vs. Justin Rose (-125)
Fowler’s T-12 finish last week was his best result since returning to play after he missed the cut in his first two events. Rose took a week off following a missed cut at the Travelers, but had previously tied for 14th at the RBC Heritage and third at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
Rose has averaged 2.39 strokes gained per round across 46 rounds played here.
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2020 Workday Charity Open: Placing bets
Top 10: Tom Hoge (+1200)
Hoge has missed the cut in three of four events since returning to play, but returns to a course where he last finished T-13 in 2018. He ranks fifth in SG: Approach and second in Proximity from 175-200 Yards across everyone’s last 50 rounds on courses over 7,400 yards in length, according to Fantasy National.
Top European: Justin Rose (+500)
Rose is the third favorite behind Jon Rahm (+240) and Viktor Hovland (+400) in this group. Rose won the Memorial in 2010 and was the runner-up in 2008 and 2015, and showed great form in his first two events back.
Top Canadian Player: Adam Hadwin (+138)
We cashed this bet on Hadwin at a chalky -200 last week as he finished T-4 while gaining 1.37 strokes tee-to-green, to accompany his usually strong putter. His odds have risen considerably this week with Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes back in the field as two of the next best three Canadians, but Hadwin is still in the best form.
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2020 Workday Charity Open: First-round leader bet
Patrick Cantlay (+2800)
As noted above, Cantlay is just +1500 to win this event outright and is a much more profitable play to lead after Round 1 in his defense of Muirfield Village. He leads the PGA Tour with a first-round scoring average of 67.33 through six rounds in the 2019-20 season. His 5-under 65 in the final round of the Travelers was his best round since returning to play.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Workday Charity Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
The 2020 Workday Charity Open begins Thursday, replacing the John Deere Classic on the 2019-20 PGA Tour schedule, and takes place before next week’s Memorial Tournament as the first of back-to-back events at the Jack Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. Below, we look at the tournament betting odds at BetMGM and make our picks to win the 2020 Workday Charity Open.
Jon Rahm, who enters the week at No. 2 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings highlights another strong 156-man field. Bryson DeChambeau is taking the week off after winning last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit and rising to No. 6 in the Golfweek rankings.
2020 Workday Charity Open Betting Picks – Tier 1
Jun 19, 2020; Hilton Head, S.C.; Justin Rose lines up a putt at RBC Heritage. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Only three golfers in the field have played more career rounds than Rose’s 46 at Muirfield Village. He ranks third among all golfers in attendance with an average of 2.39 strokes gained per round, according to Data Golf.
Rose leads my stat model at Fantasy National with field ranks of third in both Strokes Gained: Approach and Birdies or Better Gained over his last 50 rounds played on courses longer than 7,400 yards. The course has been lengthened to 7,456 yards for this week’s event.
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Matt Kuchar (+4000)
Kuchar matches Rose’s experience at Muirfield Village and has gained 2.75 strokes per round on the field. The 2013 Memorial Tournament champion missed the cut last year in an uncharacteristically poor performance from tee-to-green and on approach. He has taken the last two weeks off following a T-41 showing at the RBC Heritage.
2020 Workday Charity Open Betting Picks – Tier 2
Jun 20, 2020; Hilton Head, S.C.; Matthew Fitzpatrick on the 18th hole during the third round of the RBC Heritage. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+5000)
Fitzpatrick tied for 68th at last year’s Memorial Tournament while losing 1.56 strokes per round on the field putting. The star of the European Tour will play his fourth of five events since the PGA Tour returned to play after skipping out on the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He’s linking up with veteran caddie Jim “Bones” MacKay this week and should be able to gain a better feel for the Bentgrass/Poa Annua greens.
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Corey Conners (+8000)
Conners tied for 65th here in 2019. He finished at plus-four in his debut at Muirfield Village. He’s coming off a missed cut at the Travelers Championship and a week off, but had previously tied for 19th at the Charles Schwab Challenge and 21st at the RBC Heritage in strong fields. He has plenty of distance for this venue and is an expert ball-striker.
2020 Workday Charity Open Betting Picks – Long shots
Jun 20, 2020; Hilton Head, S.C.; Ian Poulter on the 10th fairway during the third round of the RBC Heritage. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Ian Poulter (+10000)
Poulter ranks sixth in my stat model and leads the field in Proximity from 175-200 Yards. He’s also fifth in Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 Yards and ninth in SG: Approach on courses longer than 7,400 yards. The veteran Englishman has averaged 0.89 strokes gained per round across 17 career trips around Muirfield Village.
Keith Mitchell (+25000)
Mitchell’s lone career victory came at the Nicklaus redesigned-PGA National Resort and Spa last March. The strong field this week results in him being buried in the odds, as he missed the cut at both the RBC Heritage and Travelers Championship following a T-64 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge in his return to play.
He ranks fifth in this field in Birdies or Better Gained and 10th in SG: Tee-to-Green on long courses, and he’s one of the longest hitters on Tour.
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Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic, with odds and picks for the best matchup, placing and FRL best bets.
[jwplayer GSXT56dF]
After placing your bets for the outright winner of the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic and setting your fantasy golf lineup, it’s time to flush out your weekly betting card with a wide selection of prop bets.
The 7,334-yard, par-72 Detroit Golf Club welcomes Webb Simpson, Bryson DeChambeau and yet another strong field – starting Thursday – for the fourth event in the PGA Tour’s return to play. Simpson leads all in attendance while ranking third in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. The RBC Heritage winner returns after withdrawing from the Travelers Championship last week amid COVID-19 concerns.
Poston, who finished T-11 here last year, is in a pick’em with Na, who debuts at this event. Na finished fifth last week at the Travelers Championship, while Poston missed the cut after finishing T-8 at the RBC Heritage and T-10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Trust his modest experience here to spark a return to form.
Sungjae Im vs. Tony Finau (-106)
Both golfers have disappointed in stronger fields the last two weeks. Finau ranks first in this field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and eighth in SG: Approach over everyone’s last 50 rounds, according to Fantasy National, and he’s a value as a slight underdog in this matchup.
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2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic: Placing bets
Top 5: Cameron Tringale (+2800)
Tringale will need to repeat last year’s finish in Detroit despite the significantly stronger field in attendance. He was second among those who made the cut with 2.02 SG: Tee-to-Green per round last year, according to Data Golf, while finishing eight shots off the lead at minus-17. He ranks fourth overall by my stat model this week.
Who will the best player from the Rest of The World be? Hideki Matsuyama (+400)
Matsuyama is getting much better odds here than he is for Top Asian Player (+125), despite his top competition being Im in both pools. Matsuyama topped Im with a T-13 to T-21 finish at Detroit Golf Club in 2019. He ranks third in SG: Tee-to-Green, and ninth in SG: Approach and Bogey Avoidance.
Top South African Player: Erik Van Rooyen (+220)
Van Rooyen is the best course fit with the best tee-to-green game in a pool that includes Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Branden Grace and Charl Schwartzel. Top-ranked South African Louis Oosthuizen isn’t in attendance.
Top Canadian Player: Adam Hadwin (-200)
Sometimes it’s OK to eat a little chalk. At 19th in the Golfweek rankings, Hadwin is easily the top-ranked Canadian. No. 2, Corey Conners (69th), and No. 3, Mackenzie Hughes (234th), are off this week. Roger Sloan (+450) ranks 343rd.
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The odds for DeChambeau to lead after Round 1 are much better than his +600 odds to win the tournament. He’s third on Tour in the 2019-20 season and first in this field with a first-round scoring average of 67.80 through 10 rounds. Plus, he has started two of his last three tournaments with an opening-round 65.
Doc Redman (+5500)
Redman was last year’s runner-up, losing by six strokes to Nate Lashley. Redman resurfaced last week with a T-11 finish at the Travelers Championship. Like DeChambeau, his first-round leader odds are much better than his tournament price of +4500. He has a scheduling advantage by being in the second group off the first tee Thursday.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
[jwplayer GSXT56dF]
Detroit Golf Club hosts this week’s Rocket Mortgage Challenge, beginning Thursday in Detroit. Webb Simpson highlights the field as the third-ranked player in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. He’s joined by sixth-ranked Bryson DeChambeau as heavy betting favorites this week. Below, we look at the best bets and long shots to target in our 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic betting picks.
Dustin Johnson, now ranked 10th in the world following his Travelers Championship victory, is among the best in the world taking the week off.
Detroit Golf Club measures 7,334 yards and plays to a par of 72.
Jun 19, 2020; Hilton Head, S.C.; Hideki Matsuyama and his caddie during the second round of the RBC Heritage. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Matsuyama is playing for the second time since the PGA Tour resumed the 2019-20 schedule. He missed the cut at the RBC Heritage, but finished T-13 here last year in the first running of the Rocket Mortgage Classic as one of the top names in the field. He hasn’t won anywhere in the world since the 2017 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, but has excelled in strong fields over his career with five PGA Tour wins, including two in WGC events.
Matsuyama is third in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and ninth in both SG: Approach and Bogey Avoidance.
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J.T. Poston (+4000)
Poston’s strength among the key stats for this week is in Sand Saves Gained. Detroit Golf Club features 87 bunkers as the primary hazard. He tied for 11th last year while gaining an average of 1.32 strokes per round on the field, according to Data Golf. He tied for 10th at the Charles Schwab Challenge and eighth at the RBC Heritage before missing the cut last week. This is the weakest field of the four events in the Tour’s return.
Jun 11, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas; Adam Hadwin and his caddie during the first round of the Charles Schwab Challenge. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)
Adam Hadwin (+6000)
Hadwin took last week off following a T-43 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T-41 at the RBC Heritage. He ranks fifth in this field in Sand Saves Gained and 19th in the Golfweek world rankings as the sixth-best golfer in attendance, but he’s 18th by the odds to win.
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Harold Varner III (+6600)
Varner once again flashed his potential by starting the Charles Schwab Challenge with opening rounds of 63-66, before finishing T-19. He finished 32nd in last week’s scoring fest at 10-under par, while shooting in the 60s all four rounds. He ranks sixth in the field in SG: Approach and fifth in SG: Tee-to-Green. He’ll need to go low with last year’s winner, Nate Lashley, finishing 25-under par.
2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic Betting Picks – Long shots
Jun 13, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas; Matthew Wolff from the ninth tee at the third round of the Charles Schwab Challenge. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)
Matthew Wolff (+12500)
Wolff ranks 96th in the Golfweek rankings coming into the event. The one-time PGA Tour winner has missed the cut in back-to-back weeks, doing so on the cutline last week in Connecticut. He’s not a strong statistical fit and missed the cut last year, but his odds are grossly inflated for a PGA Tour champion in a softened field.
Cameron Tringale (+17500)
Tringale trails only Simpson (+1100), DeChambeau (+650) and Doc Redman (+4500) in my stat model at Fantasy National. Tringale is 10th in the field in Bogey Avoidance and finished T-5 here last year, while ranking third with 2.02 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round.
Get some action on the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
