Browns 2022 NFL draft positioning with estimate after Adofo-Mensah hiring

Estimating what draft positions the Browns picks will be in assuming compensatory picks including a third-rounder to the Browns after the Vikings hired Adofo-Mensah:

The Cleveland Browns next big offseason move could be an extension with CB Denzel Ward but most likely will come with the opening of the league year with free agency and trades. Prior to that, most of the focus will be on the upcoming 2022 NFL draft.

March will bring the NFL Combine in Indianapolis, perhaps for the last time, with the draft late in April. In between those two events (at least officially because many free-agent deals are negotiated during the Combine) is when the league year opens.

Free agency and trades could totally change both the Browns needs as well as what draft picks they will have in April’s draft. While we know where Cleveland will draft in the first round, their entire set of selections does not become official until compensatory picks are assigned. Most of those picks will go to teams who lost more players in 2021 free agency than they brought in.

A couple of picks will go to teams who have minority candidates hired off of their team into general manager or head coaching positions. Last year, four of those picks were handed out. For the 2022 draft, a lot is still up in the air with very few head coaches hired and Las Vegas still deciding on their front-office position.

The Browns are in line to get a third-round compensatory pick after the Minnesota Vikings hired Kwesi Adofo-Mensah to be their GM. With that in mind, a quick look (and estimate) of where the team’s selections will be in the upcoming 2022 NFL draft:

  • 1st Round – Pick #13
  • 2nd Round – Pick #44
  • 3rd Round – Pick #78
  • 3rd Round – Pick #102 (Compensatory Pick)
  • 4th Round – Pick #114 (Lions Trade)
  • 4th Round – Pick #124
  • 5th Round – Pick #171
  • 6th Round – Pick #218
  • 7th Round – Pick #257

If you use any mock draft simulators, they currently will not have the compensatory picks assigned. That does two things when looking at where Cleveland is picking: 1) Pick #102 won’t be assigned to them and 2) Picks in the fourth round and beyond will be assigned higher positions before the NFL assigns the compensatory picks and drops later picks down.

As an estimate, this gives a great look at where the Browns sit prior to the official announcement of compensatory picks. Four picks of the top 102 players in the upcoming draft should help stock the talent or give them ammunition to make moves.

NFL Draft: Which position will the Indianapolis Colts draft first?

Assessing 2020 NFL Draft odds centered around which position the Indianapolis Colts will draft first.

The Indianapolis Colts have been movers and shakers this offseason ahead of the 2020 NFL Draft. One of the major moves they made was trading the 13th overall pick to the San Francisco 49ers for DeForest Buckner, which makes their No. 34 overall selection on Day 2 their first pick of the draft. Let’s handicap BetMGM’s odds of which position the Colts will be drafting with their first pick:

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Colts draft first? Odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 3:15 p.m. ET.

POSITION ODDS
Wide receiver +140
Defensive lineman +500
Quarterback +500
Safety +700
Running back +900
Offensive lineman +900
Cornerback +1000
Linebacker +1200
Tight End +2500
Kicker/punter/long snapper +15000

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Colts draft first? Best bets

Defensive lineman (+500)

Despite the Colts acquiring Buckner this offseason, the value of +500 for Indianapolis to draft a defensive lineman with their first draft pick is too enticing.

The addition of Buckner alone probably won’t lead to a major swing in defensive line performance. In 2019, they were 21st in QB pressure percentage, and, according to Football Outsiders, they were 15th in adjusted line yards and 21st in adjusted sack rate.

Also, defensive linemen didn’t get much love on the first night of the NFL draft, leaving a whole bunch on draft gurus’ best available lists. Only four were drafted in the first round and two of them are technically EDGE rushers that can be used as outside linebackers in 3-4 schemes.

DraftWire editor Luke Easterling’s best available players for Day 2 include defensive line prospects A.J. EpenesaYetur Gross-Matos and Ross Blacklock. These guys have first-round talent but are still available and should make it tough for the Colts to pass up on adding depth to a weak spot on their roster.


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Safety (+700)

No safety was drafted in the first round last night (the first time that’s happened since 2016, (even though Ha Ha Clinton-Dix has since been converted to a safety), leaving top-graded prospects Xavier McKinney and Grant Delpit available. But, why do the Colts really need a safety?

First, their pass defense was bad last year. The Colts allowed the 10th-most passing yards and ninth-most passing touchdowns while ranking 26th in opposing quarterbacks’ QB rating. They were second-to-last in opposing quarterbacks’ completion percentage.

Second, they addressed cornerback early in the 2019 NFL Draft by selecting Rock Ya-Sin 34th overall and by signing free agent Xavier Rhodes this offseason. Malik Hooker has been a starting safety for the Colts since they drafted him 15th overall in 2017 and has never lived up to his potential.

Hooker hasn’t played all 16 games in any of his first three seasons and was downright awful last season. Pro Football Focus graded him 37th out of 87 safeties. Furthermore, Hooker gave up the most yards per target in the NFL, 76% of targeted throws were completed against him and quarterbacks had a 123.7 QB rating when targeting Hooker.

Safety is a position the Colts should address, and with the best safety prospects still on the board, gimme +700 Indy will take a safety at No. 37.

Quarterback (+500)

The elephant in the Colts’ quarterback room is that neither Philip Rivers nor Jacoby Brissett is a long-term answer as the franchise quarterback. Rivers was inked to a one-year, $25 million deal this offseason and will turn 39 this season. Brissett signed a two-year deal last offseason after Andrew Luck‘s abrupt retirement and didn’t exactly wow people with his 2019 performance.

love the value of this prop given the Colts’ circumstances, however, I only LEAN toward +500 Indy takes a quarterback first because there are too many good prospects at positions of need and the remaining quarterbacks—Jalen Hurts, Jacob Eason and Jake Fromm—should be available for the Colts’ next pick at No. 44 or in the following rounds.

Want action on NFL draft betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 NFL Draft: When and where will Jalen Hurts be drafted?

Assessing the 2020 NFL Draft odds and looking at when and where QB Jalen Hurts will be selected on Day 2.

Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts remains on the board after the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. He heads into Day 2 as one of the top remaining options at his position with several NFL teams still in need of a quarterback, either for 2020 or beyond. Below, we’ll look at the BetMGM odds for which round Hurts will be selected in and which team will make the pick.

Jalen Hurts’ college stats

Hurts, 21, played his first three college seasons at Alabama as a four-star recruit. After being surpassed by Tua Tagovailoa, he transferred to Oklahoma for his final season, and it was his best. He completed 69.7% of his passes for 3,851 yards and 32 touchdowns against just eight interceptions. He also added 1,298 rushing yards and 20 scores on the ground.

He’s the best dual-threat QB in the 2020 draft class


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NFL Draft: In which round will Jalen Hurts be drafted?

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 1:35 p.m. ET.

ROUND ODDS
2 -239
3 +200
4-7 +1000
Undrafted +10000

Hurts is a heavy favorite to go in the second round Friday night. He’s one of the top remaining options at the position, along with Jacob Eason and Jake Fromm after four quarterbacks were selected in Thursday’s first round.

The risk now is with quarterback-needy teams being content to wait to take the last of these three remaining options. At much better odds, betting Hurts to be selected in ROUND 3 (+200) is the way to go.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Hurts to be selected in the third round of the NFL draft will return a profit of $20. The same bet for Round 2 fetches a profit of just $4.18.

NFL Draft: Which team will draft Jalen Hurts?

All 32 teams are listed with odds to draft Hurts, with those options ranging from the Indianapolis Colts at +300 to the Cincinnati Bengals at +50000. Below, we’ll look at the best bets based on team needs and odds.

New England Patriots (+600)

The Patriots’ need for a quarterback is widely known following the departure of Tom Brady. Veteran Brian Hoyer and 2019 fourth-round pick Jarrett Stidham are currently slated to compete for the Week 1 starting job this offseason.

Hurts would instantly add some excitement to the competition and could also be viewed as a long-term option under center.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+800)

The Jaguars focused on defensive needs in Thursday’s first round. They’re left with several needs on the offensive side of the ball. Sophomore Gardner Minshew is the expected Week 1 starter, but the 2019 sixth-round pick showed plenty of holes as a rookie in 2019.

The Jaguars could still look at free agents Cam Newton or Jameis Winston, or look ahead to the 2021 draft and Trevor Lawrence or Justin Fields. Hurts would give them yet another competitive option at a position they’ve failed to fill far too many times.

New Orleans Saints (+1800)

The Saints lost backup QB Teddy Bridgewater to free agency this offseason and are left with utility man Tayson Hill to back up 41-year-old Drew Brees. Hurts better fits the mold of a true quarterback and getting him on a rookie contract would help prepare New Orleans for Brees’ likely retirement at some point within that timeframe.

San Francisco 49ers (+5000)

If you want a long shot, look to the West Coast. The 49ers stood by Jimmy Garoppolo this offseason while passing on Brady in free agency. Backups Nick Mullens and C.J. Beathard both have starting experience from the 2018 campaign, but Hurts is a considerable upgrade.

Hurts could come in and help push Garoppolo, and he’d still be on his rookie deal when Jimmy G is set to reach free agency following the 2022 season.

Want action on NFL draft betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Draft: Which position will the New England Patriots draft first?

Assessing 2020 NFL Draft odds centered which position the New England Patriots will draft first.

The New England Patriots once again traded out of the first round of the NFL draft when they dealt the 23rd overall pick to the Los Angeles Chargers Thursday in exchange for picks No. 37 and 71. As Bill Belichick gets set to make the fifth overall selection of the second round Friday, April 24, we look at BetMGM‘s odds for which position the Patriots will be looking to draft.

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Patriots draft first? Odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 12:30 p.m. ET.

POSITION ODDS
Defensive lineman +400
Tight end +400
Linebacker +500
Quarterback +500
Wide receiver +500
Safety +600
Offensive lineman +700
Cornerback +1000
Running back +5000
Kicker/punter/long snapper +25000

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Patriots draft first? Best bets

Tight end (+400)

Future Hall of Fame TE Rob Gronkowski came out of retirement this week only to be traded to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for a reunion with QB Tom Brady. It was blatantly evident how much Gronk’s absence hurt the 2019 Patriots. Veteran TE Ben Watson led the team’s positional group with 173 yards on 17 receptions without a touchdown.

While Brady has moved on, Belichick and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels‘ system has hinged on having elite tight end play. Notre Dame TE Cole Kmet had emerged as a first-round hopeful in the days leading up to the first round, but he remains on the board. Florida Atlantic’s Harrison Bryant and Dayton‘s Adam Trautman round out the top remaining options at the position as Day 2 picks.


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Quarterback (+500)

The Patriots’ offseason quarterback competition is set be staged between veteran journeyman and former Patriots QB Brian Hoyer and 2019 fourth-round pick Jarrett Stidham. Stidham attempted just four passes with two completions for 14 yards and an interception.

It still seems odd for the Pats to be caught flat-footed with Brady’s departure after the days of grooming Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett, among others. It’s tough to envision the Patriots ever going into full-on tank mode with Belichick still at the helm, so they’re apt to do what they can to address the most important position as they reset for years to come.

Jacob EasonJake Fromm and Jalen Hurts represent three viable options who could be brought in to learn from Hoyer (and to a lesser extent, Stidham) before taking over either late in 2020 or in 2021.

Wide receiver (+500)

Veteran Julian Edelman remains the Patriots’ top option in the passing game. N’Keal Harry, the Patriots’ 2019 first-round pick, was unimpressive as a rookie last season, finishing with just 105 yards and two touchdowns over seven games. Veteran Mohamed Sanu accomplished little following a mid-season trade with the Atlanta Falcons.

Targeting a top remaining rookie such as Michael PittmanTee Higgins or Laviska Shenault Jr. could go a long way in luring one of the top remaining free-agent QBs in Cam Newton or Jameis Winston to town on a one-year deal.

If the Pats are serious about riding with Hoyer and Stidham, then a true No. 1 option may be all the more important.

Want action on NFL draft betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 NFL Draft: When will Chase Young be drafted?

Analyzing betting odds centered around the 2020 NFL Draft, and looking at Ohio State DE Chase Young’s projected draft position.

If there was a defensive accolade to earn, chances are Chase Young of The Ohio State Buckeyes earned it. These honors included the Chuck Bednarik Award, the Bronko Nagurski Trophy, the Nagurski–Woodson Defensive Player of the Year, a finalist for the Heisman Trophy, a unanimous All-American selection, etc. … Young is so blessed with talent that it’s actually a question who’s a more NFL-ready prospect coming out of college between him and former Ohio State teammate DE Nick Bosa, who was drafted No. 2 overall in last year’s draft by the San Francisco 49ers and won the 2019 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year.

Could Young be a gamechanger like Bosa? He has all the tools, but let’s discuss the odds of when he is drafted and what team he be selected by.

2020 NFL Draft odds: Chase Young’s draft position

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 22 at 3:35 p.m. ET.

DRAFT POSITION OVER UNDER
2.5 +220 -304

The two most important things in today’s NFL are protecting the quarterback and getting to the quarterback. When a team is on the clock and there’s an elite prospect at quarterback, EDGE rusher or defensive end that is a consensus good pick, then it’s imperative it selects that player. Every mock draft on the internet has the Cincinnati Bengals drafting LSU Tigers QB Joe Burrow No. 1 overall, but Young is that good of a pass-rushing prospect.

Listed at 6-foot-5 and 265 pounds, Young is a manchild who spent his final season in college football throwing around student-athletes. He had one less sack last season (16.5 in 12 games) than Bosa had his whole college career (17.5 in 29 games). Young’s seven forced fumbles tied for first in the country and was more than Von Miller, Jadeveon Clowney and both Bosa brothers combined for in their final college football seasons – former Buckeye DE Joey Bosa was the No. 3 overall pick in 2016.

Since there isn’t an obvious second can’t-miss quarterback in this draft and Young is every bit as good as previous pass rushers to get drafted in the top two of the draft, BET UNDER 2.5 (-304). 


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Chase Young’s likely landing spot 

The Washington Redskins, who hired coach Ron Rivera to replace Jay Gruden, have the No. 2 pick in this draft. Riverboat Ron obtained his nickname by going for it on fourth downs during his coaching tenure with the Carolina Panthers over the previous nine seasons. But his Carolina teams have typically been defensive-minded, which makes sense as Rivera was a Chicago Bears linebacker from 1984-92. Rivera’s Panthers finished in the top 10 in sacks six times and top five four times.

BetMGM‘s odds for the Redskins to draft Young is -223. BetMGM listed odds for eight other teams to draft Young.

TEAM ODDS TEAM ODDS
Detroit Lions +250 New York Giants +600
Cincinnati Bengals +1400 Los Angeles Chargers +1600
Miami Dolphins +2200 Carolina Panthers +2600
Arizona Cardinals +3400 Jacksonville Jaguars +3400

While last year’s first-round draft pick for Redskins, QB Dwayne Haskins, might not be long for that job, there isn’t buzz that they’ll draft Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa No. 2. Maybe Rivera has confidence that he’ll be able to get Haskins on the proper professional trajectory. Aside from being traded a king’s ransom for the No. 2 pick, the Redskins will be drafting Chase Young. So bet the UNDER 2.5 (-304).

Want action on Chase Young’s draft position? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter, and follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 NFL Draft Odds: When will Tua Tagovailoa be drafted?

Analyzing betting odds centered around the 2020 NFL Draft, and looking at Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa’s projected draft position.

Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa entered the 2019 college football season as the presumed future No. 1 pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. When his season ended after just nine games due to a dislocated hip, it cleared the way for LSU QB Joe Burrow to rise to fame and move into the top spot in mock drafts across the country. Below, we’ll look at Tagovailoa’s projected 2020 NFL Draft position with odds and picks on where he’s most likely to end up.

2020 NFL Draft odds: Tua Tagovailoa’s draft position

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, March 18 at 12:20 p.m. ET.

DRAFT POSITION OVER UNDER
2.5 -304 +220

The line for Tagovailoa’s draft position was set rather conservatively. It’s setting the first and second overall picks against all the rest. With Burrow essentially locked into the No. 1 pick by the Cincinnati Bengals, this line asks if the Washington Redskins will choose Tagovailoa as a replacement to Dwayne Haskins, who was selected 15th overall last year.

While this is a strong possibility following an unimpressive rookie campaign from Haskins, Tagovailoa is viewed as more likely to go to the Miami Dolphins or Los Angeles Chargers at No. 5 or 6, respectively. Washington just has too many needs elsewhere to give up completely on Haskins after just one year.

The OVER 2.5 (-303) – for Tagovailoa to be selected third overall or later – is the play, although it’s rather chalky. A $10 bet will return a profit of just $3.29 if Tua is not selected either first or second overall.


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Tua Tagovailoa’s likely landing spot

As mentioned above, the Dolphins and Chargers are widely viewed as the most likely destinations for Tagovailoa. The other would almost certainly turn their attention toward Utah State’s Jordan Love or Oregon’s Justin Herbert.

Tagovailoa didn’t participate in drills at the 2020 NFL Scouting Combine, but has been checked out medically and seems to be on track for the beginning of the season.

Expect the DOLPHINS to pick up their new franchise quarterback at No. 5. They’ve been active in free agency and Tua could now be the final – and most important – piece to a turnaround from a 5-11 2019 campaign.

Want action on Tua Tagovailoa’s draft position? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter, and follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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