denny-hamlin – Syndication Server

2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Homestead-Miami Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400. The green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET (NBC) for the second race of three Round of 8 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

Straight Talk Wireless 400: What you need to know

23XI Racing driver Tyler Reddick captured the pole for Sunday’s race with a best speed of 167.452 mph in qualifying. He is sixth in the NASCAR Cup Series playoff standings
Reddick has 4 career Cup starts at HMS, posting 3 top-5 finishes and 1 DNF with an 11.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) and 4 laps led
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell leads all drivers with a 10.0 AFP in 4 Cup starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway, with 1 win, 2 top-10 finishes and 30 laps led
JGR’s Denny Hamlin has picked up 3 checkered flags at HMS to lead all active drivers, while finishing inside the top 10 in 12 of his 19 Cup starts (63.2%) at the South Florida track. Hamlin will start 4th Sunday
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson qualified second for Sunday’s race with a speed of 167.053 mph. He is also second in the playoff standings
JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. makes his final Homestead-Miami Cup start. He has a win among his 7 top-5 finishes and 12 top-10 runs in 19 career starts with a 10.9 AFP and 387 laps led
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott, eighth in the playoff standings, is second among all drivers with a 10.4 AFP in 8 career Cup starts at the South Florida track. He will start in the lucky seventh spot Sunday
Florida native Ross Chastain has had a tough time at Homestead in his career, posting a 23.6 AFP in 5 career Cup starts with 1 DNF
Ricky Stenhouse Jr., who qualified fifth for Sunday’s start, has a 21.7 AFP in 12 career Cup starts with 2 DNFs

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Straight Talk Wireless 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:35 p.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+800) is always a threat to take checkers at Homestead-Miami Speedway. The JGR program in general has had tremendous success at the track, winning 3 of the past 5 races.

The driver of the No. 11 machine has posted 3 career wins among his 5 top-5 finishes and 12 top-10 showings with 428 laps led in 19 career Cup starts. He has an impressive 10.9 AFP with an Average Driver Rating of 98.1.

If you’re conservative, playing HAMLIN TOP-5 FINISH (+110) still has value as a plus-money wager.

Straight Talk Wireless 400 – Contender

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1600) is worth a look as he figures to drive with some urgency. He is eighth in the playoff standings heading into this second race of the Round of 8.

Elliott has had tremendous success in his career at Homestead-Miami Speedway. While he has never won, he has been a runner-up before, while finishing inside the top 5 in 2 of his 8 career starts at the track.

If you’re not feeling an outright-winner wager, betting ELLIOTT TOP-5 FINISH (+210) is a solid play for the opportunity to potentially more than double up.

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2024 Cook Out 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Cook Out 400, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series is back after the Olympic break, returning Sunday for the 2024 Cook Out 400 at to Richmond Raceway. Green flag is slated to drop shortly after 6 p.m. ET (USA Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Cook Out 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Cook Out 400: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin, the Chesterfield, Va. native, won the Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond back on March 31 earlier this season, leading just 17 of the 407 laps. He is on the pole for Sunday
Hamlin has 5 checkered flags at Richmond, while posting 19 top-5 finishes and 2,243 laps led in 35 Cup starts with an 8.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
Richard Childress Racing driver Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with a 7.4 AFP (min. 3 Cup starts) and 6 wins at Richmond, although most of that production came as a member of JGR. He goes off from the 12th spot
Team Penske’s Joey Logano has 2 wins in 30 career Cup starts with 14 top-5 finishes, 951 laps led and a 9.7 AFP at Richmond. He starts 9th on Sunday
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson has 2 career Cup wins at Richmond, while posting 5 top-5 runs and 9 top-10 showings with 329 laps led and a 10.8 AFP in 19 starts. Larson starts 15th in the grid
TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain will start 22nd Sunday. He has just a single top-5 finish in 11 Cup tries at Richmond with a dismal 20.7 AFP
23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace is starting 8th Sunday. His best-career finish at Richmond is 12th, posting a 21.8 AFP in 12 Cup starts

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2024 Cook Out 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:29 a.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+350) is the best bet for Sunday’s race. He normally gets up for these races on his home track and he is difficult to beat.

Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson (+700) is a better value, but he doesn’t have the advantage of picking his pit stall first. Pit road is cramped at Richmond, and picking an advantageous pit stall can be the difference between contending, and simply having to struggle to get a top-10 finish.

2024 Brickyard 400 – Contender

RCR’s KYLE BUSCH (+4000) just hasn’t been himself in the No. 8 machine, but you have to keep playing him, even of a little bit of money, at the tracks he has traditionally dominated.

While Busch ended up just 20th in the Toyota Owners 400 back in late March, he goes off 12th Sunday. Don’t be surprised to see Busch challenge for a win, and a potential playoff spot.

If you’re a little more conservative, KYLE BUSCH — TOP-10 FINISH (+135) at plus-money is still a value.

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2024 Brickyard 400 – Prop Bet

JOSH BERRY — TOP-10 FINISH (-155) is moderately priced, but still worth a roll of the dice for this prop.

Berry will go off from the 3rd spot Sunday after posting a speed of 117.601 mph in qualifying. He is the top qualifying Ford in the field. He doesn’t have a lengthy Cup history at Richmond, but he was 2nd and 11th in his 2 previous starts. A top-10 showing would not be surprising in the least.

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2024 Grant Park 165 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Grant Park 165, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series returns to the Chicago Street Course Sunday for the 2024 Grant Park 165. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 4:30 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Grant Park 165 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Grant Park 165: What you need to know

Kaulig Racing’s Shane van Gisbergen is behind the wheel of the No. 16 Chevrolet, looking to defend his title after winning the inaugural Chicago Street Race in 2023 while leading 9 laps. His win last season came in a Trackhouse Racing car
Rick Ware Racing’s Justin Haley was the runner-up in last season’s inaugural race, finishing 1.259 seconds behind van Gisbergen. Haley led the 2nd-most laps, turning 23 circuits in front of the pack
Chevrolet finished 1 through 5 in last season’s inaugural race. Team Penske’s Austin Cindric was the top Ford, finishing 6th, while Joe Gibbs Racing driver Ty Gibbs was the top Toyota in 9th
JGR’s Christopher Bell led 37 laps in last season’s inaugural race, most of any driver, but he ended up finishing 18th
Hendrick Motorsports driver Alex Bowman had a terrible time on the Chicago Street Course, finishing last in 37th place after an accident
Brothers Ty Dillon and Austin Dillon finished 35th and 36th, respectively, last July. Austin is in the field this season, but Ty is not
JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. and Team Penske’s Ryan Blaney ended up 32nd and 33rd, respectively, a year ago

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2024 Grant Park 165 – Expert pick

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:15 a.m. ET.

CHRISTOPHER BELL (+750) is tied with Tyler Reddick for the 4th-shortest odds to win the race — behind last season’s winner in van Gisbergen (+195), Kyle Larson (+400) and Ty Gibbs (+600).

Bell led the most laps of any drivers in last season’s inaugural Chicago race, but he tumbled to an 18th-place finish. He comes in with a lot of confidence after winning recently in New Hampshire 2 weekends ago for his 3rd checkered flag of the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series season. Bell also won the first 2 stages at Nashville Superspeedway last Sunday, before a wild overtime finish shuffled him out of the mix.

2024 Grant Park 165 – Contender

While Chevrolet dominated last year by finishing 1 through 5, look for Toyota to do well under dry conditions Sunday. JGR’s TY GIBBS (+600) acquitted himself well on the street setup last season, even leading 1 lap.

2024 Ally 400 – Prop Bets

DENNY HAMLIN — TOP-10 FINISH (-120) is a strong play on the street course.

Under adverse conditions last year, Hamlin ended up bringing it home 11th. It was a sloppy, wet mess last season, but conditions are expected to be dry, and fast this time around. It won’t take much for the driver of the No. 11 machine to work his way into the top 10, and at this price, he is a steal.

TOYOTA (+165) — WINNING MANUFACTURER is also a solid play. You’ll notice a theme above. Bell, Gibbs and Hamlin are all under the JGR umbrella, representing Toyota, and a strong day for the team is expected.

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2024 USA Today 301 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 USA Today 301, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2024 USA Today 301. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 2:30 p.m. ET (USA Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 USA Today 301 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 USA Today 301: What you need to know

Qualifying on Saturday was washed out for Sunday’s race on the 1.058-mile oval. While Goodyear brought wet-weather tires for the weekend, NASCAR competition officials deemed the track too wet for time trials
The starting grid is set by NASCAR’s rule book, meaning series point leader Chase Elliott is on the pole with Team Penske’s Ryan Blaney on the outside of Row 1
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin leads all active drivers with 3 career Cup wins at NHMS, and he has a 9.4 Average-Finish Position (AFP) which also tops the charts in 30 Cup runs at the track
RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski has a 9.8 AFP in 23 Cup starts, 2nd only to Hamlin. He has picked up 2 wins, 10 top-5 finishes and 598 laps led, mostly during his time with Team Penske
JGR’s Martin Truex Jr., who announced last week that he is retiring after the 2024 season, is the defending champ at NHMS. His average speed of 101.572 mph last season was the best at Loudon since Kevin Harvick’s 104.062 mph average on July 21, 2019
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson has not won in New Hampshire in 13 Cup tries, but he does have a runner-up finish, while posting 5 top-5 finishes and 7 runs inside the top 10
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has 21 Cup starts under his belt in Loudon, but he has never finished higher than 13th, posting an abysmal 31.5 AFP
Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has struggled over the years at New Hampshire, posting just a single top-10 finish in 12 Cup starts with a dismal 23.4 AFP
Richard Childress Racing driver Kyle Busch is tied with Hamlin for the most wins among active drivers at NHMS (3). He has also led 1,134 laps at the flat track, behind only Truex (1,170) among active drivers
The winner has started 14th or higher in 7 of the past 8 Cup races since July 2017, and 13 times in the past 16 runs since Sept. 2012

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2024 USA Today 301 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:59 a.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+600) has had his way with the field when it comes to New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Now that Kevin Harvick is retired, the driver of the No. 11 machine is the new King of New Hampshire.

Not only does he have the 3 checkered flag in 30 career Cup starts, but he leads all drivers with a 9.4 AFP, while finishing inside the top 10 on 19 different occasions. He has never had a DNF, while leading all active participants with a 103.6 driver rating, too.

2024 USA Today 301 – Contender

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+1000) has fared well at this track across the years, although most of that solid work was done behind the wheel of a Team Penske car.

Still, Keselowski is slowly starting to resemble the driver we saw during those days. He produced a top-10 run at the inaugural Iowa Corn 350 last weekend. He was 3rd at the Enjoy Illinois 300 at World Wide Technology Raceway. He was 2nd at the Coca-Cola 600, and he punched his ticket to the playoffs with a win at Darlington in mid-May. Since the Kansas race May 5, Kes has an AFP of 6.7 in 6 starts.

If you’re not comfortable taking him straight up, a KESELOWSKI TOP-10 FINISH (-160) is not priced out of line.

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2024 Goodyear 400 odds, picks and predictions

The best bets for Sunday’s 2024 Goodyear 400 from Darlington Raceway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series Darlington Raceway Sunday for the 2024 Goodyear 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 3 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Goodyear 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Goodyear 400: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin leads all active drivers with 4 wins and an 8.4 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 23 career Cup starts at Darlington
Hamlin also leads all drivers with 978 laps led, and he has posted 12 top-5 finishes among 16 top-10 runs
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson has managed just 1 win in his 12 career Darlington Cup starts, but he has a 9.4 AFP and 770 laps led. His AFP is 2nd only to Hamlin among active drivers
23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick ranks 3rd among all active drivers with an 11.3 AFP in 9 career Cup starts at Darlington, but he has no wins with 3 top-5 finishes and 102 laps led
Penske Racing’s Joey Logano has a win among 6 top-5 finishes and 10 top-10 runs with 293 laps led with a 13.2 AFP in 20 career Cup starts at the “Lady in Black”
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has just 2 top-10 finishes in 17 career Cup starts at Darlington, posting a dismal 26.8 AFP
Trackhouse Racing’s Daniel Suarez has struggled over the years at Darlington, posting a poor 23.9 AFP with just 1 top-10 finish and 1 lap led with 3 DNFs in 12 career Cup starts at the track
Penske’s Austin Cindric has also struggled at Darlington. In his 4 career Cup starts here, he has a 21.0 AFP. His best finish at the South Carolina oval is 16th
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott has a dismal 17.0 AFP in 14 career Darlington Cup starts with 4 top-5 finishes among 7 top-10 runs at with 3 DNFs

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2024 Goodyear 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:13 a.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+450) has the 2nd-shortest odds to win at Darlington, right behind the chalk, which is Larson (+400).

Hamlin has dominated over the years at the venerable South Carolina track, while posting 4 checkered flags in 23 career Cup starts. He has managed 12 top-5 finishes in those Cup runs, which equates to 52.2% of his career starts at the track. That’s easily the best rate among all active drivers. Plus, 16 of his runs have resulted in top-10 finishes, or a 69.6% conversion rate.

2024 Goodyear 400 – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+2500) hasn’t had a great season by his standards, ranking just 17th in the NASCAR Cup Series standings with 269 points, 198 behind the leader (Larson) through 12 starts.

Logano is coming off a dismal 34th-place showing at the AdventHealth 400 last weekend in Kansas, and he has finished 11th or worse in 4 straight starts.

While there haven’t been a lot of signs of Logano pulling out of his nosedive, perhaps a start at Darlington will get him going. He has a checkered flag in 20 career Cup starts among his 10 top-10 finishes with 293 laps led and a 13.2 AFP. He is certainly worth a roll of the dice for a chance to multiply up by 25 times.

If you’re a little more conservative, LOGANO TOP-10 FINISH (+100) is still reasonably priced.

2024 Goodyear 400 – Props and matchbets

KYLE BUSCH (+126) over Brad Keselowski (-164) is a solid matchbet play.

Busch has a win among 6 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs with a 13.3 AFP in 24 career Cup starts at Darlington, while leading the pack in 899 laps.

While Keselowski actually has a higher career AFP (11.4) at Darlington, he is really struggling lately. The RFK Racing driver had back-to-back runner-up finishes at Texas and Talladega, but he also has 5 finishes of 24th or higher in 12 starts this season. Busch is a little steadier, and will get the job done H2H.

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2024 Toyota Owners 400 odds, picks and predictions

The best bets for Sunday’s 2024 Toyota Owners 400 from Richmond Raceway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Richmond Raceway Sunday for the 2024 Toyota Owners 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 7 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Toyota Owners 400: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson posted a best speed of 120.332 mph in qualifying, just edging out teammate Chase Elliott (120.321 mph), to secure the pole for Sunday night’s race
Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain was the only other driver with a best speed faster than 120 mph (120.059 mph), and he’ll go off 3rd
Hendrick’s Alex Bowman rounds out Row 2 with a best speed of 119.861 mph in qualifying, giving Chevrolet the top 4 starting spots
23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace is the top non-Chevy, as he’ll go off 5th in his Toyota after a best speed of 119.819 mph in qualifying
Front Row Motorsports driver Todd Gilliland was the top Ford in qualifying, turning in a best speed of 119.760 mph. He’ll go off from the 6th spot in the grid. Gilliland has a poor 23.0 AFP in 4 career Cup starts at the track despite an Average Start spot of 16.8
Stewart-Haas Racing driver Josh Berry, who was the runner-up last spring at Richmond in his first-ever Cup race at the track, goes off from the 30th starting spot
Richard Childress Racing’s Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with 6 checkered flags, 19 top-5 finishes and 36 Cup starts at Richmond, and he has the best Average-Finish Position (AFP) at 7.1 of any driver. He’ll start 15th
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. starts 7th. He has 3 career wins at the track, while posting 17 top-10 finishes and 1,359 laps led in 35 carer Cup starts with a 15.3 AFP
JGR’s Denny Hamlin is 2nd only to Kyle Busch, as the driver of the No. 11 machine has 4 career wins in Richmond, with 18 top-5 finishes in 34 Cup starts, while leading 2,226 laps with an 8.5 AFP
Michael McDowell has struggled over the years at Richmond, posting a dismal 30.1 AFP in 25 career Cup starts with just a single top-10 finish and 10 DNFs

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2024 Toyota Owners 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 a.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+650) has been dominant over the years at Richmond, which is basically the Chesterfield, Virginia native’s home track.

While Chevrolet dominated in qualifying, Hamlin cannot be overlooked. He has 4 victories with 18 top-5 finishes and a circuit-best 2,226 laps led in 34 career Cup starts at the track, while turning in an impressive 8.5 AFP. He has also qualified well over the years, posting a 9.2 AFP, which is 2nd-best to Hendrick’s Kyle Larson, the pole sitter.

Pit stall selection is important at Richmond, but it isn’t a deal breaker. He starts from the 11th position, so his pit stall selection is just so-so. However, all but 4 of the past 18 Richmond winners have started 13th or better.

2024 Toyota Owners 400 – Contender

KYLE BUSCH (+2500) is worth a roll of the dice at this price. He leads all drivers with 6 checkered flags in 36 career Cup starts at the track, while posting a circuit-best 7.1 AFP (min. 2 starts), while leading the pack for 1,530 laps.

Busch has actually never finished lower than 24th in his 36 starts in Richmond, too, which is rather impressive considering how hot the brakes can get on the short track, as well as tempers. He has never had a DNF in Virginia’s capital city.

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2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 NASCAR odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 in Lond Pond, Pa., with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Pocono Raceway in Long Pond, Pa., Sunday for the 2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (USA Network). Below we analyze the 2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Sunday’s race is scheduled for 160 laps and 400 miles on the 2½-mile, 3-turn track, also known as “The Tricky Triangle.” The track has 14-degree banking in Turn 1, 8-degree banking in Turn 2 and 6-degree banking in Turn 3.

The 2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 is the only NASCAR race of the season at Pocono for the first time since 1981.

2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch picked up the victory in the second end of a Saturday-Sunday doubleheader at Pocono last June after starting from the 19th position.
In the front end of the double dip last year, Hendrick Motorsports driver Alex Bowman posted a win after starting from the unlucky 13th position.
The last 5 winners at Pocono Raceway have started from the 9th position or higher.
Toyota has dominated in Long Pond, posting victories in 7 of the last 9 races at the track, while Ford and Chevy have just 1 win apiece during the span.
JGR’s Denny Hamlin leads all active drivers with 6 victories and an 11.1 average-finish position (AFP), while leading 797 laps with 14 top-5 runs in 32 Cup starts.

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M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:35 p.m. ET.

HAMLIN (+750) has dominated at Pocono over the years, and it’s difficult to bet against him. Two of those victories have been recent, in 2019 and 2020. He has had 3 DNFs in his 32 career Cup starts at Pocono, but he also had finished outside of the top 5 on just 18 occasions. He is a better bet than anyone in the field.

KYLE BUSCH (+750) is also a strong play. He is 2nd among all drivers with 4 Pocono wins. He has been up and down at this track, posting a 15.1 AFP with 6 DNFs while also leading 522 laps. What a perfect story it would be if the M&M’s-sponsored car wins the M&M’s race.

M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 picks – Long shot

Sure, KURT BUSCH (+2000) isn’t a super long shot, but he also isn’t among the favorites. He has been to Victory Lane on 3 different occasions at the Tricky Triangle, posting a 14.4 AFP with 14 top-5 finishes among 21 top-10 runs and 596 laps led.

M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 prop picks

WINNING MANUFACTURER – TOYOTA (+162)

Toyota has won 7 of the past 9 Cup races at this track, and Hamlin and Kyle Busch are 1-2 in terms of active driver wins in Long Pond. Toss in the fact Martin Truex Jr. also has 2 victories here with a 14.7 AFP in 32 Cup starts, and it’s hard to argue against Toyota.

ERIK JONES TOP-10 FINISH (+200)

The Petty GMS Motorsports driver had success in the JGR program in his recent Pocono starts. He has a respectable 14.4 AFP with 5 top-5 runs in 10 career Cup starts at the 3-turn track. For a chance to double up, Jones is worth taking a flier. He had a 4th-place finish in Atlanta 2 weeks ago, and he is 11th or better in 2 of his previous 4 starts.

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2022 Ambetter 301 NASCAR odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Ambetter 301 in Loudon, N.H., with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway in Loudon Sunday for the 2022 Ambetter 301. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (USA). Below we analyze the 2022 Ambetter 301 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Sunday’s race is scheduled for 301 laps on the 1.058-mile flat track quad-oval at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

Since the start of the 2018 season New Hampshire has hosted just one race per year, and it has bounced up and down between July and August on the schedule. Last July, it was Aric Almirola steering his Ford to Victory Lane, claiming checkers for that manufacturer for the 4th consecutive race.

2022 Ambetter 301: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin leads all drivers with a 9.6 Average-Finish Position in 28 career starts on the flat track at Loudon. He is tied with teammate Kyle Busch and his older brother Kurt Busch with 3 victories.
Kevin Harvick leads all drivers with 4 wins at NHMS in 38 career starts, posting a 12.4 AFP with 13 top-5 finishes and 22 top-10 runs.
Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with 1,134 laps led at this track, while turning in a 14.3 AFP in 30 career starts.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Alex Bowman has struggled mightily at this New England stop, posting a 23.2 AFP while managing just 1 top-10 finish in 10 Cup starts.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. hasn’t been much better than Bowman, posting just 1 top-10 finish in 19 Cup starts, leading just 13 laps while posting a 22.7 AFP.

[tipico]

Ambetter 301 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 a.m. ET.

HAMLIN (+1000) is a strong play based upon his career numbers at this track. In his 28 career Cup starts he has finished outside of the top 10 just 11 times, leading 755 laps. He has also never had a DNF at the track.

KEVIN HARVICK (+1200) has been one of the strongest drivers on flat tracks, and he has certainly had his share of success at New Hampshire. In his 38 Cup starts, he has finished inside the top 10 an amazing 22 times. He has led 831 laps, and his 12.4 AFP is among the best.

Ambetter 301 picks – Long shot

COLE CUSTER (+20000) is worth a small-unit play. He has been a quick study in his 2 Cup starts at NHMS, finishing 8th and 14th, good for an 11.0 AFP. That’s 3rdd-best among active drivers with at least 2 Cup starts at the track. He is worth a roll of the dice for a big-time payday.

Ambetter 301 prop picks

DENNY HAMLIN – TOP TOYOTA (+270)

It’s a little bit of a risk, but I like Hamlin to have a strong race Sunday. Hamlin can help you earn more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, and his biggest competition will be from Kyle Busch (+230) and Martin Truex Jr. (+270). Both of those drivers have been strong at NHMS, too.

COLE CUSTER TOP-10 FINISH (+750)

Again, Custer has finished 8th and 14th in his 2 Cup runs at Loudon. While the chances of him winning are rather slim, a top-10 finish is certainly a lot more doable. This number represents a tremendous value that’s too hard to pass on.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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2022 Ally 400 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s 2022 Ally 400 odds at Nashville Superspeedway, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Nashville Superspeedway in Lebanon, Tenn., Sunday for the 2022 Ally 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 5 p.m. ET (NBC). Below we analyze the 2022 Ally 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Sunday’s race is scheduled for 300 laps and 400 miles on the 1.3-mile oval at Nashville Superspeedway. The Cup Series made its debut at the track in 2021.

2022 Ally 400: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson posted the victory in last season’s inaugural race, leading 264 of the 300 laps after starting from the 5th position. Larson goes off 3rd Sunday.
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin picked up the pole honors after Saturday’s rain-shortened, qualifying session. He finished 21st last season in Nashville after starting 13th.
Current TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, who drove for Chip Ganassi last season, was a runner-up to Larson at this track last year. He started 19th and led 4 laps before his 2nd-place finish. The Florida watermelon farmer will start from the 7th spot Sunday.
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott actually led the 2nd-most laps to his teammate Larson last season in Nashville, turning 13 laps in first. However, a disqualification after a post-race inspection due to loose lug nuts dropped him to 39th.

[tipico]

Ally 400 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.

LARSON (+480) is listed as the favorite, and rightly so after he dominated this track last season en route to the Cup Series inaugural win. Nobody was better, or even close, to the No. 5 machine.

However, HAMLIN (+900) is worth a roll of the dice since he is going off from the pole position. He struggled at the track in 2021, dropping 8 spots from his original starting spot. But it’s always nice to be out front and see a bunch of clean air to start.

Ally 400 picks – Long shot

ARIC ALMIROLA (+4000) ended up in 4th place at last season’s inaugural Music City race. He has been a bit uneven this season in what will be his final time racing a full schedule.

The “Cuban Missile” is also a worth a look in the props section. Playing an ALMIROLA TOP-10 FINISH (+130) is still plus-money.

Ally 400 prop picks

AUSTIN DILLON TOP-10 FINISH (+220)

The driver of the No. 3 machine, who is also now a reality TV star, posted a respectable 12th-place showing last season after scooting up from a starting spot of 28th.

DANIEL SUAREZ TOP-10 FINISH (-125)

Suarez has had 2 weeks to celebrate, becoming just the 5th foreign-born driver to secure checkers in a Cup Series win with his successful Sonoma run. He will look to build upon the confidence of that victory, and should be able to run inside the top 10 on the 1.3-mile oval.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. The green flag drops Sunday at 3 p.m. ET with the race televised on NBCSN. Below, we analyze the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

O’Reilly Auto Parts 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:05 a.m. ET.

Sunday’s race at Texas Motor Speedway will be the 39th installment since its NASCAR Cup Series debut race back in 1997 – won by Jeff Burton.

Kevin Harvick won last season’s race from the pole, and has taken checkers in three of the past five Cup races in Fort Worth. Last year’s win from the pole was the first time that had been done in 13 Texas races when Kyle Busch turned the trick in the spring 2013 race.
Harvick has registered 10 straight finishes inside the top 10 at Texas, and has been 10th or better in 22 of his 34 Cup starts at the track.
Joe Gibbs Racing’s Erik Jones leads all drivers with a 9.43 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in seven Cup starts, while Ganassi Racing’s Matt Kenseth is second among active drivers with a 9.47 AFP in 30 Texas starts.
Chevrolet has been to Victory Lane just once in the past eight Texas starts, while Ford has three wins and Toyota has four checkered flags during the span.
Seven-time champ Jimmie Johnson leads all active drivers with seven Cup victories at Texas. Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin and Harvick each have three victories at the track.

Who is going to win the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500?

HARVICK (+350 for Sunday’s race) has not only been the gold standard at Texas Motor Speedway lately, but he and HAMLIN (+600) have been the two most consistent drivers since NASCAR resumed the regular season.

Harvick has two wins in the past four Cup races, and has been 10th or better in 14 of his 17 starts overall this season.

JOHNSON (+2200) hasn’t won since the June 4, 2017, Dover race. Eventually the No. 48 machine is going to return to Victory Lane. Why not in Texas? Johnson, who will start out of the 20th spot in Sunday’s grid, won from the 24 spot in the 2017 spring race. J.J. is certainly worth a small-unit bet at this price point.

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JOEY LOGANO (+1100) is a pretty strong value at this price given the fact he has finished seventh or better in seven of the past eight Texas starts. He hasn’t won since the Duck Commander 500 back in spring 2014, but his 10 top-5 finishes in 23 Cup starts at TMS is certainly impressive.

Texas Motor Speedway long-shot bets

WILLIAM BYRON (+3500) has rather long odds, but he is worth a look this weekend. He was 17th in the fall race at Texas, but he has finished 10th and sixth in the previous two spring runs in Fort Worth.

MATT KENSETH (+3500) has a pair of Texas wins on his resume, while posting 14 top-5 runs, 19 top-10 finishes and 883 laps led in 30 career Cup starts with a 9.47 AFP. As such he certainly warrants plenty of consideration.

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