The Jacksonville Jaguars (5-10) conclude their 2019 season by hosting the Indianapolis Colts (7-8) in TIAA Bank Field at 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday. Neither team is headed to the playoffs and the only postseason implications are if the Titans lose, then a Colts loss could potentially help the Oakland Raiders or Pittsburgh Steelers earn a playoff berth.
We analyze the Colts-Jaguars odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 17 NFL matchup.
Colts at Jaguars: Week 17 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Colts are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus the AFC South.
- The Colts ran all over the Jaguars in their first meeting of the season with 36 carries for 264 yards and three touchdowns.
- Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 9-3 in Jaguars’ last 12 home games.
- The Jaguars lead the NFL in penalties committed and penalty yards on offense.
Colts at Jaguars: Key injuries
Colts: RB Jordan Wilkins (knee) and CB Quincy Wilson (shoulder) are out. LB Darius Leonard (back), CB Kenny Moore II (ankle), G Quenton Nelson (concussion), DT Denico Autry (concussion) are all questionable.
Jaguars: RB Leonard Fournette (neck), OL Cam Robinson (knee), DE Calais Campbell (back/shoulder), DE Josh Allen (shoulder), CB A.J. Bouye (wrist), QB Gardner Minshew (shoulder) and OL Brandon Linder (knee) are all questionable.
Colts at Jaguars: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:45 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Colts 23, Jaguars 17
Moneyline (?)
I am not crazy about the value, but COLTS -189 is a relatively safe bet. Aside from a random second-half comeback against the Raiders in Week 15, the Jaguars have been essentially a no-show for the past seven weeks. They are 1-6 straight up and against the spread, while just scoring an average 12.7 points per game with an average margin of loss of -17.8 PPG in those seven games.
Don’t you get the feeling that the Colts would like to end the season at .500 after being left for dead by a lot of people in the media when former star QB Andrew Luck abruptly retired just a week or so before the season started? Expect the Colts to end 2019 on a high note.
Against the Spread (?)
The COLTS -3.5 (-115) is too low of a number to pass on. The strengths and weaknesses of the two squads align perfectly for the Colts to have their way with the Jaguars. The Colts rank fourth in the NFL in rushing yards per game (133.2) while the Jaguars defense ranks 28th in rushing yards allowed per game (139.8). Also, don’t expect the Jaguars to capitalize on red-zone appearances: Jaguars rank 31st in offensive red zone scoring percentage (38.1) and the Colts rank eight in defensive red zone scoring % (51.1). TAKE THE COLTS -3.5 (-115).
Over/Under (?)
PASS on the 43.5 TOTAL. Unders are trending in Jaguars home games (9-3 in their last 12 home games). And the best version of the Colts are when they can grind games out by feeding their ball carriers RB Marlon Mack and RB Jordan Wilkins. Since we are on the Colts -3.5 and -189, we are hoping the best version of Indianapolis shows up in Week 17 (though Wilkins will not play). Given the spotty nature of rookie quarterbacks, especially Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew, and a 22nd-ranked Colts pass defense, the over/under is a stay away.
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