Tag: College Football Predictions

Auburn vs Alabama Prediction Game Preview

Auburn vs Alabama game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Auburn vs Alabama prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

Auburn vs Alabama Prediction Game Preview

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Auburn vs Alabama How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Auburn (5-6), Alabama (9-2)
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Why Auburn Will Win

Is Lane Kiffin there yet?

Is he or isn’t he going to be the next Auburn head coach? At the very least that has turned into a nice distraction for an Auburn team that should be able to play loose and free in this.

No matter what, there’s going to be a big change after this. Either Auburn loses and the program’s new direction is underway, or it pulls this off and 1) it’s going bowling and 2) it means it beat Alabama.

The Tigers have been solid under interim head man and Tiger running back legend Cadillac Williams. They beat Texas A&M, held down the WKU high-powered passing attack in a 41-17 win, and they came into this with a rolling ground game that should be able to move a bit.

Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter each hit the 100-yard mark against the Hilltoppers making it three straight games – and four in the last five – with 250 rushing yards or more.

The Alabama run defense has been solid overall, but LSU, Ole Miss, and Tennessee were all able to crank up the production against it. Now it’s Auburn’s turn.

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Alabama Will Win

It’s still crazy possible.

It would take a whole slew of things to happen, but Alabama still has a teeny tiny little bit of a shot at making the College Football Playo…

Okay, so that’s almost certainly not going to happen, but by any normal measure going 10-2 with a win over the arch-rival on the way to a New Year’s Six bowl is a great year. Of course, Alabama always expects more, but there’s still plenty to play for.

The offense should steadily be able to keep things moving. Auburn is bad on both sides of the line on third downs, the Tide defensive front should live in the backfield, and there isn’t enough coming from the Tiger passing game to be too worried about.

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Throw out the Austin Peay scrimmage of last week, and for the most part Alabama doesn’t have a problem with turnovers. It’s not going to give up enough mistakes for Auburn to take over and win this.

Even so, the Tigers will be strong for about 20 minutes as they hang around and make it a battle. The Alabama offense will take over with a few quick scoring drives and will coast from there.

It might not be a total wipeout – the Tide will pull away late – but it’ll be a strong, efficient finish to a rough regular season.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

Auburn vs Alabama Prediction, Line

Alabama 41, Auburn 19
Line: Alabama -22.5, o/u: 49.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Auburn vs Alabama Must See Rating (out of 5): 3

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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– Bowl Projections | Rankings

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction Game Preview

Oregon vs Oregon State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Oregon vs Oregon State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction Game Preview

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Oregon vs Oregon State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
How To Watch: ABC
Record: Oregon (9-2), Oregon State (8-3)
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Why Oregon Will Win

The Pac-12 Championship is there for the taking.

USC is already in, and Oregon can punch its ticket to Las Vegas with a win. If it loses, the door is open for Washington and Utah.

The Ducks bounced back fast from the tough loss to Washington with a gut-check 20-17 win over Utah. Bo Nix played banged up but he’s supposed to be ready to go after getting knocked around late, but it’s the defense that needs to make the difference.

Coming up with third down stops hasn’t been easy, and the pass defense has been hit too hard at times, but the takeaways have been there with two or more in three of the last four games and 13 in the last six games.

Oregon State is 7-0 when running for more than 175 yards and 1-3 when running for that many or fewer. For all of its faults and flaws, Oregon’s defense has only allowed more than 160 yards once – 186 in the win over UCLA.

However …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Oregon State Will Win

The Oregon State defense and overall style of play should be a problem.

A monster against the run, the Beavers only allowed more than 100 yards once in the last six games. There isn’t much of a pass rush and there’s not much of disruption happening in the backfield, but that’s by design.

The results are there. The D won’t hold Oregon to under three yards per carry like Utah did last week, but it should be able to keep Nix from taking off.

Offensively, it’s all about the balance and keeping the chains moving. The Beavers are great at controlling the clock, they should own third downs, and they’ll average over four yards per carry.

Oregon is 1-2 when allowing over five yards per pop, but …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Oregon State has only been able to average over five yards per carry three times, and Colorado, Arizona State, and Montana State weren’t exactly the most dangerous teams on the slate.

The rivalry aspect of this matters. Oregon State won the last time around in Corvallis and twice in the last three times at home. Underestimate this year’s team at your own peril, but …

It came up short three times – USC, Utah, Washington. Those were the three best teams on the slate, and Oregon is right there, if not better.

The Ducks will come up with two quick scoring drives in the fourth quarter to finally put it away.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction, Line

Oregon 31, Oregon State 27
Line: Oregon -3.5, o/u: 58.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Oregon vs Oregon State Must See Rating (out of 5): 4

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction Game Preview

Louisville vs Kentucky game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Louisville vs Kentucky prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction Game Preview

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Louisville vs Kentucky How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 3:00 ET
Venue: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
How To Watch: SEC Network
Record: Louisville (7-4), Kentucky (6-5)
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Why Louisville Will Win

The Kentucky offense just sort of stopped.

It wasn’t exactly ripping through everyone in the 4-0 start, but at least it was effective. Now it’s struggling behind a leaky offensive line, the ground attack has been brutally inconsistent, and QB Will Levis has been beaten, battered, and bruised.

And Louisville’s defense is there for all of it. It leads the nation in sacks, it’s great at generating tackles for loss, and only WKU comes up with more takeaways.

Shock of shocks, when the UK offense comes up with a ton of yards, it wins. It’s 4-0 when gaining 350 yards or more and 2-5 when it doesn’t.

Louisville allows 347 yards per game.

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Kentucky Will Win

Is Malik Cunningham playing?

He’s hoping he can and thinks he might after suffering a concussion against Clemson and missing the NC State game, but no matter what he’s hardly 100%.

Brock Domann stepped in last week and wasn’t awful in the win over NC State, but the running game did most of the work. No matter who’s under center, the Kentucky pass defense should shine.

The run D has been a bit hit-or-miss – it struggled against Vanderbilt and wasn’t great against Georgia – but the D hasn’t allowed 200 passing yards in any of the last three games.

Louisville’s defense might be terrific at coming up with takeaways, but Kentucky can do that, too. It forced two in each of the last three games and is solid on third downs.

Overall, the D has the ability to keep the Louisville ground attack in check, but …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Louisville has been balanced enough to find ways to keep things moving, and the defense is taking care of the rest with all the takeaways.

This is where the Cardinal defensive front has to shine. Will Levis might be good enough to overcome a slew of problems, and he’s used to dealing with a pass rush, but he’s going to get hit a bit too often.

The Kentucky deliberate style won’t be enough to overcome a great day from the Cardinal defense.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction, Line

Louisville 23, Kentucky 21
Line: Kentucky -2.5, o/u: 43.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Louisville vs Kentucky Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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Notre Dame vs USC Prediction Game Preview

Notre Dame vs USC game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Notre Dame vs USC prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

Notre Dame vs USC Prediction Game Preview

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Notre Dame vs USC How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
How To Watch: ABC
Record: Notre Dame (8-3), USC (10-1)
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Why Notre Dame Will Win

The Irish are going to run the ball.

It’s been easy to dismiss the season because of the 0-2 start and loss to Marshall, and the inexplicable loss to Stanford always gets brought up, but the team is 8-1 in the last nine game for a reason.

The running game has found it.

The passing attack hasn’t been consistent enough, but the offensive line has kicked it in, the trio of backs and QB Drew Pyne are producing, and it’s getting stronger and stronger with 220 rushing yards or more in four of the last five games.

Notre Dame is 6-0 when it runs for 200 yards or more. UCLA just powered away for over 200 in the thrilling 48-45 USC win, but it’s more than just that.

The Trojan D gives up 4.6 yards per carry, but most teams abandon the ground game to start throwing in an attempt to keep up the pace. The Irish have to keep running no matter what until the O breaks through.

They’re 8-0 when running 38 times or more, and Stanford is the only team to run that many times – 45 in the 41-28 loss – against the Trojans.

But …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why USC Will Win

Caleb Williams is just that good.

He had the performance he needed to have against UCLA – 75% for 470 yards and two scores and 33 rushing yards and a touchdown – and now the Heisman might be his for the taking with one more monster game when everyone is watching.

But USC is more than 13.

Even without Travis Dye the running game kept on rolling last week – the Trojans average 5.3 yards per carry – the line gives Williams a ton of time to work, and it all meshes with a relentless style that will be impossible for Notre Dame to match.

Only Tennessee averages more yards per game, no one is better in turnover margin, and only Washington is more effective on third downs.

Again, the turnover margin. Notre Dame has forced multiple takeaways in three of the last four games, but USC has only given it away four times. So …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

USC might turn it over once, but it won’t turn it over two or more times that Notre Dame will need.

USC will give up 450 yards, but it won’t give up the 500 Notre Dame will need.

Williams will struggle in the first half, find his groove in the second half, and then it’ll come down to the USC defense and its second takeaway of the game to seal the thriller.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

Notre Dame vs USC Prediction, Line

USC 40, Notre Dame 34
Line: USC -5.5, o/u: 64.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Notre Dame vs USC Must See Rating (out of 5): 5

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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UCF vs USF Prediction Game Preview

UCF vs USF game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

UCF vs USF prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

UCF vs USF Prediction Game Preview

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UCF vs USF How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: ESPN2
How To Watch: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Record: UCF (8-3), USF (1-10)
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Why UCF Will Win

Just win and let it all go from there.

The Tulane-Cincinnati winner will host the American Athletic Conference championship, and UCF can get there with a win and a Tulsa win over Houston, or by breaking through all the crazy tie-breaking scenarios. For the moment, though, beat USF.

Just run. QB John Rhys Plumlee is banged up with a shoulder injury – he’s questionable – but the ground game should be just fine with the backs able to take over right from the start.

Even though Navy was able to stuff the Knights last week, don’t think that’s going to happen again.

The Knights are 6-0 when running for over 250 yards and 8-1 when rumbling for 160 or more. USF only held two teams to fewer than 160 yards, and that’s because East Carolina and Houston bombed away at will with the passing game.

But …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why USF Will Win

The losses keep on piling up, but the offense is a whole lot of fun.

The defense is the big problem – it’s dead last in the nation allowing 514 yards per game – but the O rips up rushing yards in chunks and should push for 400 yards in this.

It’s the end of a lost season, there aren’t any wins over FBS teams, and things are about to change in the offseason, but it’s still a rivalry game that often defies all logic and reason. And that’s why …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

There will be lots and lots and lots of offense.

Last year was a 17-13 UCF win. That might be the first quarter.

58-46 UCF in 2020. 49-42 UCF in 2017. 48-31 USF in 2016. That’s what this might be with both attacks going off.

UCF’s running game will be too much. It’ll blast for well over 300 yards, and it’ll need all of them before finally pulling away.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

UCF vs USF Prediction, Line

UCF 49, USF 30
Line: UCF -19.5, o/u: 68.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
UCF vs USF Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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Utah vs Colorado Prediction Game Preview

Utah vs Colorado game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Utah vs Colorado prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

Utah vs Colorado Prediction Game Preview

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Utah vs Colorado How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Folsom Field, Boulder, CO
How To Watch: Pac-12 Network
Record: Utah (8-3), Colorado (1-10)
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Why Utah Will Win

The Utes will be doing a little scoreboard watching.

They need Oregon to lose to Oregon State – that starts about 90 minutes before this starts – and then it gets potentially weird if Washington beats Washington State later that night.

First, Utah has to take care of business and roll through a Colorado team about to put a merciful end to its season.

The Buffs are dead last in the nation against the run. That’s a big, BIG problem against the Utah offensive line.

The Utes average over 200 yards per game on the ground and are 6-1 when averaging over 4.5 yards per carry – the one loss coming in the final seconds against Florida.

Colorado allowed 4.5 yards per carry or more in every game but two. It’s about to get hammered on hard, but …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Colorado Will Win

Utah struggles on the road.

It’s been a disastrous season, and it would be a heavy lift to get past a team good enough to potentially play for the Pac-12 Championship, but there’s Salt Lake City Utah and there’s everywhere else Utah.

Salt Lake City Utah is 6-0, beat USC, and totally destroyed everyone else. Everywhere else Utah is 2-3 and had to fight to get past Washington State.

For Colorado, it starts with not turning the ball over. The offense might struggle to move the chains, but the multiple turnovers every game are the killer.

The offensive line hasn’t been awful. It has to keep the Utes out of the backfield, the running game has to be decent, and …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Dead last in the nation in scoring defense. Dead last in the nation in sacks. Dead last in the nation against the run. Dead last in the nation in third down defense. Second-to-last in the nation in total defense.

It’s been a rough run for Colorado. It’s about to add to that total of 232.5 rushing yards per game allowed as Utah starts running, keeps running, and doesn’t stop.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

Utah vs Colorado Prediction, Line

Utah 40, Colorado 13
Line: Utah -29.5, o/u: 52.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Utah vs Colorado Must See Rating (out of 5): 2

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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BYU vs Stanford Prediction Game Preview

BYU vs Stanford game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

BYU vs Stanford prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

BYU vs Stanford Prediction Game Preview

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BYU vs Stanford How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 11:00 pm ET
Venue: Stanford Stadium, Palo Alto, CA
How To Watch: FS1
Record: BYU (6-5), Stanford (3-8)
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Why BYU Will Win

The passing game has kicked it back in.

Rolling for 455 yards against Utah Tech was no big deal, but that came off a 377-yard, three touchdown day against Boise State. Jaren Hall has thrown for two or more touchdowns in nine straight games and ten of the last 11, and even better are the downfield throws.

BYU has a ground attack – it’s 5-2 when running for over 115 yards – but it’s better when it’s cranking up the downfield plays. Stanford can’t stop the run – going 0-7 when giving up 160 yards or more – but in this, BYU will grind to set up the big throws from Hall. But …

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Why Stanford Will Win

BYU’s defense has been struggling, too.

It got the job done against the terrific Boise State running attack, but it’s about to get tested after allowing over 200 yards on the ground in five straight games before that.

Stanford’s passing attack has to keep things moving, but it can’t abandon the running game that couldn’t get going against the better Pac-12 defenses but should have a little success here.

It has to establish the run early, hit a few third down plays, and it has to keep BYU from consistently moving the chains – it’s the best in the Pac-12 at coming up with third down stops.

There aren’t going to be a lot of turnovers or penalties, and …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Stanford just doesn’t score enough.

It’s possible the defense rises up in the final game of the year, but the three wins came when allowing 14 points or fewer and allowed 27 or more against everyone else.

BYU is 0-4 when scoring fewer than 26 points and 6-1 when scoring that many or more. The BYU offense will struggle to get past 26 points, but it’ll do it.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

BYU vs Stanford Prediction, Line

BYU 27, Stanford 23
Line: BYU -6.5, o/u: 57.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5
BYU vs Stanford Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction Game Preview

LSU vs Texas A&M game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

LSU vs Texas A&M prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction Game Preview

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LSU vs Texas A&M How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: LSU (9-2), Texas A&M (4-7)
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Why LSU Will Win

Can LSU crank its game up a few notches even though this doesn’t matter that much?

Of course it matters. It’s an SEC game against Texas A&M, and winning is a must to stay in the national title chase, but whether it’s by one or 41, beating Georgia next week in the SEC Championship is everything to the College Football Playoff chase.

First, the Tigers have to roll through an A&M team that’s struggling way too much to get the offense going.

Yeah, the weather wasn’t great, but 20 points against UMass wasn’t anything special for A&M in last week’s win.

The passing attack is painfully inconsistent and not sharp enough, it’s awful on third downs, and worst of all considering the team’s style under Jimbo Fisher, the O isn’t controlling the clock.

However …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Texas A&M Will Win

The pressure is all on the other side of the field.

LSU does need to win this and it does need to be relatively impressive. The College Football Playoff thing might be a media discussion, but this team knows what’s at stake.

It knows it might just have a shot to play in the tournament if it can win next week, and … that’s next week. This week it gets a Texas A&M team that’s going to pull out all the stops in its final game of the season.

The LSU offensive line is struggling against anyone with a pass rush. Texas A&M struggles up front, but it should have its moments.

LSU lost to Florida State away from Baton Rouge. It was in a fight until the final few minutes at Florida. It couldn’t throw in the 13-10 win over Arkansas, and it struggled in the 21-17 at Auburn. Granted, LSU won three true road games against okay-to-mediocre SEC teams, but all were tough to get through.

Again, this is where the Texas A&M defensive line has to rise up. LSU is 9-0 when it runs for over 175 and 0-2 when it doesn’t. Texas A&M has allowed more than 175 rushing yards six times and all four wins came when it gave up fewer than five yards per carry.

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Texas A&M is going to make this very, very scary for LSU.

The home side has won the last five games in the series, and the Aggies are going to play like this is everything for the program. Win, and it’ll make the next nine months a whole lot easier – and promising.

But the offense just isn’t there.

A&M will fight the good fight, but LSU will push through late with the scoring drives it needed to get to Atlanta with the CFP dreams still alive.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction, Line

LSU 26, Texas A&M 21
Line: LSU -9.5, o/u: 47.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
LSU vs Texas A&M Must See Rating (out of 5): 4

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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Pitt vs Miami Prediction Game Preview

Pitt vs Miami game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Pitt vs Miami prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

Pitt vs Miami Prediction Game Preview

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Pitt vs Miami How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
How To Watch: ACC Network
Record: Pitt (7-4), Miami (5-6)
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Why Pitt Will Win

The balance of the Pitt offense might be too much for the Miami defense.

The Panthers might not be cranking up the production, and they might not be all that explosive, but they’ve been steady, the run defense has been a rock, and the pass rush should live behind the Hurricane line.

The Miami offensive front is struggling for the running game, the Pitt pass rush is the third best in America, and it all feeds into a slight tweak of styles overall compared to the last few years.

That balanced offense is dominating the clock. Miami has to win the time of possession battle, and it won’t. However …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Miami Will Win

Miami has to keep the Pitt ground game from taking over.

The Canes are 0-4 when allowing more than 130 yards on the ground and 2-5 when giving up more than 95. Load up against the Panther running game, get the pass rush working, and takeaways, takeaways, takeaways.

The defense forced seven over the last two games and two or more six times. The offense isn’t doing enough consistently well to produce without a little bit of help, and that might come from the Pitt offense that’s had its moments giving it away.

The three turnovers were a killer in the loss to Georgia Tech, the four were a disaster in the loss to Louisville, and …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

The Miami defensive front might come up with two takeaways, but it won’t be strong enough against the run.

Pitt has only failed to hit 100 rushing yards once this year – a win over West Virginia – and it’ll get the ground attack moving early on in this. The other side will come up with at least five sacks to stall too many promising Miami drives.

The Canes are 0-7 when allowing more than 14 points. Pitt only scored fewer than 19 in the 24-10 loss to Louisville.

– Expert Picks College Week 13 | NFL Week 12

Pitt vs Miami Prediction, Line

Pitt  27, Miami 20
Line: Pitt -6.5, o/u: 43.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Pitt vs Miami Must See Rating (out of 5): 3

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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– Bowl Projections | Rankings

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction Game Preview

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction Game Preview

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Tennessee vs Vanderbilt How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 7:300 ET
Venue: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN
How To Watch: SEC Network
Record: Tennessee (9-2), Vanderbilt (5-6)
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Why Tennessee Will Win

The Vol offense is still going to be explosive.

Everything went wrong in the blowout loss to South Carolina. The College Football Playoff dream is gone, and worse yet, star QB Hendon Hooker suffered a torn ACL.

Backup Joe Milton isn’t Hooker, but he has all the tools and skills to bomb away deep, and the running game is there to take over to keep the pressure off the new guy under center.

Tennessee is known for it’s high-flying fun show down the field, but it also ran for 200 yards or more six times – it’s 8-0 when it gets past 152 rushing yards.

Vanderbilt gives up 154 rushing yards per game, but …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Vanderbilt Will Win

Can the Commodores really go bowling?

They managed to shock Kentucky and Florida over the last two weeks to make this for six wins and bowl eligibility. How?

The defense is giving up big plays, but not a slew of little ones – if that makes any sense.

Florida’s Anthony Richardson bombed away for 400 yards, but he only hit 58% of his throws and there wasn’t any running game. Kentucky’s passing attack didn’t do anything – Will Levis didn’t have any time – but the ground attack worked. Vanderbilt managed to win both games because of …

Completion percentage.

Vandy is 4-0 when teams hit fewer than 60% of their passes, and 1-6 when allowing more than that.

Joe Milton has a lot of positives. Being accurate isn’t one of them, but …

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Can Tennessee pick itself up off the mat?

The running game will do most of the heavy lifting and the defense will be good enough. Vanderbilt will throw well, but it won’t take over on the ground like it’ll need to.

It’ll make this interesting, but there will be just enough explosion from the Vols to get out alive.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Line

Tennessee 38, Vanderbilt 27
Line: Tennessee -13.5, o/u: 64.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Must See Rating (out of 5): 3

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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– Bowl Projections | Rankings