Notre Dame still ranked in updated USA TODAY AFCA Coaches Poll

A fair assessment for the Irish

The loss last night to USC wasn’t as bad as some other losses around the country, which is why Notre Dame didn’t fall too far in this weeks USA TODAY AFCA Coaches Poll. With teams just having a championship game left on the schedule, the College Football Playoff picture has become much clearer.

Georgia and Michigan are the clear top teams, which was shown in the rankings, TCU and USC control their own destiny while Ohio State and Alabama have outside shots at getting in. The coaches poll should resemble what we see on Tuesday. Find out below where each team ended up being ranked after this weeks action, with last weeks ranking in parenthesis.

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction Game Preview

Oregon vs Oregon State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Oregon vs Oregon State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26


Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction Game Preview

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Oregon vs Oregon State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
How To Watch: ABC
Record: Oregon (9-2), Oregon State (8-3)
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Why Oregon Will Win

The Pac-12 Championship is there for the taking.

USC is already in, and Oregon can punch its ticket to Las Vegas with a win. If it loses, the door is open for Washington and Utah.

The Ducks bounced back fast from the tough loss to Washington with a gut-check 20-17 win over Utah. Bo Nix played banged up but he’s supposed to be ready to go after getting knocked around late, but it’s the defense that needs to make the difference.

Coming up with third down stops hasn’t been easy, and the pass defense has been hit too hard at times, but the takeaways have been there with two or more in three of the last four games and 13 in the last six games.

Oregon State is 7-0 when running for more than 175 yards and 1-3 when running for that many or fewer. For all of its faults and flaws, Oregon’s defense has only allowed more than 160 yards once – 186 in the win over UCLA.

However …

Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why Oregon State Will Win

The Oregon State defense and overall style of play should be a problem.

A monster against the run, the Beavers only allowed more than 100 yards once in the last six games. There isn’t much of a pass rush and there’s not much of disruption happening in the backfield, but that’s by design.

The results are there. The D won’t hold Oregon to under three yards per carry like Utah did last week, but it should be able to keep Nix from taking off.

Offensively, it’s all about the balance and keeping the chains moving. The Beavers are great at controlling the clock, they should own third downs, and they’ll average over four yards per carry.

Oregon is 1-2 when allowing over five yards per pop, but …

Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Oregon State has only been able to average over five yards per carry three times, and Colorado, Arizona State, and Montana State weren’t exactly the most dangerous teams on the slate.

The rivalry aspect of this matters. Oregon State won the last time around in Corvallis and twice in the last three times at home. Underestimate this year’s team at your own peril, but …

It came up short three times – USC, Utah, Washington. Those were the three best teams on the slate, and Oregon is right there, if not better.

The Ducks will come up with two quick scoring drives in the fourth quarter to finally put it away.

Expert Picks College Week 12NFL Week 11

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction, Line

Oregon 31, Oregon State 27
Line: Oregon -3.5, o/u: 58.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Oregon vs Oregon State Must See Rating (out of 5): 4

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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What’s new with Oregon State since Oregon last played the Beavers?

The Oregon Ducks and Oregon State Beavers will play their annual rivalry game on Saturday, with unusually high stakes.

Call it whatever you like, but the annual matchup between the Oregon Ducks and Oregon State Beavers is a tradition unlike any other – and this year the stakes are high as these two top 25 teams descend into Corvallis, Oregon looking to secure bragging rights for the next calendar year.

Jonathan Smith has an experienced, deep Beavers squad that can really limit damage with strong defense and an exceptional running game, led by Damien Martinez.

Quarterback play is perhaps the Beavs’ biggest weakness right now, but with an 8-3 record and four wins in their last five contests – this is not a team to be taken lightly. Not that they ever are, considering the weight of this rivalry game which has gone on for over 100 years.

Oregon State has a lot of familiar faces still on the roster, but newcomers at key positions have helped push this team over the edge. Here is a look at who is new, and who is back, for the Beavers heading into Saturday’s matchup:

Notre Dame at USC now a Top-15 matchup according to USA TODAY AFCA Coaches Poll

Lots on the line next week for top teams

It wasn’t as easy for USC as it was for the Irish on Saturday but both teams prevailed and made moves north in the latest USA TODAY AFCA Coaches Poll. The matchup next weekend will have plenty of implications, Notre Dame has a chance to play spoiler to the Trojans hopes of making the College Football Playoff.

Around the rest of the college football world there was plenty of shakeups in the top 10 and beyond. Former top ten teams in Tennessee and Utah lost and plenty of more movement in the updated coaches poll. Find out below where each team is now ranked with last weeks ranking in parenthesis.

Oregon State vs Arizona State Prediction Game Preview

Oregon State vs Arizona State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 12 game on Saturday, November 19

Oregon State vs Arizona State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 12, Saturday, November 19


Oregon State vs Arizona State Prediction, Game Preview

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Oregon State vs Arizona State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 19
Game Time: 2:15 ET
Venue: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Oregon State (7-3), Arizona State (3-7)
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Why Oregon State Will Win

The Beavers keep on rolling along.

They’re already bowl eligible, and the game that really matters is next week against Oregon, but they’re in the hunt for a ten-win season if they win the next two games and the bowl.

The offense hasn’t been anything special, but it’s functional. It doesn’t make a ton of mistakes – the turnover problem over the first half of the season cleared up nicely – and the running game is averaging close to five yards per carry.

There doesn’t have to be anything fancy here.

Keep the chains moving against the second-worst defense in America on third downs, assume everyone will get time to work against a solid offensive line that should handle the non-existent ASU pass rush, and continue to bend-without-a-lot-of-breaking on defense.

Bowl Projections

Why Arizona State Will Win

It’s been a disastrous season, but it can end strong with a win in the final home game before going to Arizona for the rivalry showdown.

The team is still pushing. The offense wasn’t awful in the loss to Washington State, the passing attack rocked in the win over Colorado and was strong in the loss to UCLA, and the yards will be there against the Oregon State D.

Can the offense be ultra-efficient through the air? It’s asking for way too much out of quarterbacks Emory Jones and Trenton Bourguet, but the team is 3-1 when connecting on 72% of its passes and 0-6 when it doesn’t

Oregon State’s pass defense can be thrown on, but …

Schedules, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Utah is the only team to get to 70% through the air on the Beavers.

Oregon State will be methodical. The run defense will be a rock, the offense won’t make enough mistakes to matter – the Sun Devil D doesn’t force takeaways – and it’ll get past a few big scoring drives from the home side to get out with a good win.

Expert Picks College Week 12NFL Week 11

Oregon State vs Arizona State Prediction, Line

Oregon State 34, Arizona State 30
Line: Oregon State -7.5, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Oregon State vs Arizona State Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Bowl Projections | Expert Picks Week 12
Week 12 Schedule, Predictions | Bowl Bubble
Path to the Playoff: 9 teams still in the race
CFP Top 25: Week 3 | CFP rankings reaction

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Cal vs Oregon State Prediction Game Preview

Cal vs Oregon State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 11 game on Saturday, November 12

Cal vs Oregon State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 11, Saturday, November 12


Cal vs Oregon State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 12
Game Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
How To Watch: Pac-12 Network
Record: Cal (3-6), Oregon State (6-3)
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Cal vs Oregon State Game Preview

Why Cal Will Win

The Bears are in desperate need of a win.

On a five-game losing streak, the defense has crashed, but it’s more about the team not being able to break through with a lick of luck in several close games.

The offense and passing game keep on working with three touchdown passes in each of the last three games – Jack Plummer went off for over 400 yards against USC – and it all has to crank up against a leaky Oregon State defense.

Cal can’t stop anyone from throwing, so as long as Plummer is on – he’ll get time against an Oregon State defense that doesn’t have a pass rush – this will be a fight.

CFP Rankings: Think, Know, Believe

Why Oregon State Will Win

Yeah, the Cal defense. It’s not slowing anyone down.

To be fair, it had to go against USC, Oregon, and Washington over the last three weeks, but everyone is throwing at will against a secondary allowing 300 yards per game.

Oregon State’s offense is coming off a rough day with just 262 yards in the 24-21 loss to Washington last week. It might not bomb away on the Bears, but the ground game will hit 200 yards and there should be a good balance to keep everything going.

Schedules, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Oregon State gets to have fun now.

It’s bowl eligible, it has a trip to Arizona State next week before dealing with Oregon, and it can play a little looser. However, it had all that last week and it didn’t work in the bad weather against Washington. Now the team is back home.

This week it’ll deal with a desperate Cal team that will get the O going, but won’t be able to get enough out of the defensive line to be disruptive.

Expert Picks College Week 11NFL Week 10

Cal vs Oregon State Prediction, Line

Oregon State 30, Cal 17
Line: Oregon State -13.5, o/u: 48.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Cal vs Oregon State Must See Rating (out of 5): 3
Predictions of Every Game

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Oregon State vs Washington Prediction Game Preview

Oregon State vs Washington game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 10 game on Friday, November 4

Oregon State vs Washington prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 10, Friday, November 4


Oregon State vs Washington How To Watch

Date: Friday, November 4
Game Time: 10:3 ET
Venue: Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Oregon State (6-2), Washington (6-2)
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Oregon State vs Washington Game Preview

Why Oregon State Will Win

Very, very quietly the Beavers have worked their way back up the Pac-12 standings, became bowl eligible, and they even made the first round of the College Football Playoff top 25 – even if they were disrespected a bit being put at 23.

They’re on a three-game winning streak with the defense dominating against the run – they haven’t allowed 100 yards in any of the last three games – and with a decent enough pass defense to get by.

It’s the other side that might get this done.

The ground attack has been fantastic over the last three games, the downfield passing game should bother the Dawgs for a few big moments.

Oregon State is 6-0 when running for 175 yards or more, but …

Breaking down the CFP Top 25 rankings

Why Washington Will Win

No one’s pounding away on the Huskies.

There are issues are against the decent passing teams – allowing 240 yards or more in each of the last six games –  and Oregon State can throw when it has to. Again, though, this Beaver offense has to run and keep running to control the game, and it’s going against a Washington defense that allowed over 150 yards twice.

Granted, those two times came in the two losses to UCLA and Arizona State, but those were on the road. The team is far, far better at home, especially through the air.

The No. 1 passing attack in the country might not bomb away – Oregon State has been decent at keeping most offenses from going off – but the big plays should be there.

Michael Penix Jr. throws for 300 yards, the defensive front holds up and gets behind the line on a regular basis, and all will be fine.

Schedules, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Oregon State really is better than it’s being given credit for. It’s solid enough to keep this from getting out of hand, and it’ll be able to match Washington’s offense for a while with a good day from the passing attack.

However, the Huskies will get into the backfield and be disruptive enough to come through in the fourth quarter. Penix Jr. will struggle at times, but a burst of points in the second half will finally make the home crowd breathe a little easier.

Expert Picks College Week 10NFL Week 9

Oregon State vs Washington Prediction, Line

Washington 30, Oregon State 24
Line: Washington -4.5, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Oregon State vs Washington Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5
Predictions of Every Game

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College football power ratings: Josh Pate’s latest top 20

Reminder: Ratings and rankings are not the same things.

If you’re a college football fan and are unfamiliar with the work of Josh Pate then do yourself an immediate favor and become familiar.  In a world of screaming, yelling, and forced debate, Pate is a breath of fresh air that can deliver a well-thought-out point without having to put on a sideshow in order to do so.

You can check out his YouTube page here as his regular podcast is the best of any national college football show/podcast I’ve heard and he just announced that he’s locked up a new deal with CBS/247Sports so that is good news for college football fans everywhere.

Pate releases his JP Poll each week which is done entirely by formula and not by the old “eye test” or anything of the sort.  That’s why sometimes teams with a few losses are ranked ahead of unbeaten squads and until these formulas can account for teams that just seemingly know how to execute late and those who don’t, I’ll have some reservations.

When looking at this look at with the question in mind “who would be favored if they met tomorrow?” they probably make a lot more sense.

With that in mind here are the top 20 in the JP Poll rankings this week.

Colorado vs Oregon State Prediction, Game Preview

Colorado vs Oregon State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 8 game on Saturday, October 22

Colorado vs Oregon State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 8, Saturday, October 22


Colorado vs Oregon State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 22
Game Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
How To Watch: Pac-12 Network
Record: Colorado (1-5), Oregon State (5-2)
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Colorado vs Oregon State Game Preview

Why Colorado Will Win

Break up the Buffaloes.

Good for Colorado – it was having a miserable season stuck in a miserable situation and with no hope for anything but more misery. But the team rose up under interim head coach Mike Sanford and pulled off a stunning 20-13 win over Cal for the first win of the year.

What was different? The defense showed up.

The worst D in college football allowed 500 yards or more in its previous three games, and then it held the Bears to under 300 and generated a slew of big stops.

Oregon State’s offense is good, but it’s not so unstoppable that it’s a sure thing to roll for over 400.

It gave up four picks in each of the two losses, it’s a bit underwhelming lately though the air, and overall it relies more on balance than anything too explosive.

It took a minor miracle to get by Fresno State and a major one to beat Stanford. The 5-2 record is nice, but if Colorado can bring the defense for a second week in a row, it might have a shot.

But …

NFL Expert Picks, Week 7

Why Oregon State Will Win

The Colorado offense. It’s still a problem.

The defense might have pulled the win out of the fire against Cal, but the other side turned it over three times – the third three-giveaway game of the season – and it can’t get away with that this week.

Oregon State doesn’t force takeaways, but the run defense has been terrific over the past few weeks, the secondary has been good enough, and it’s not going to have to worry about the Buff attack going off.

Slow and steady can win this race. There’s no Colorado pass rush, so hit the mid-range throws, keep the ball for 35 minutes, get out with a win.

– Game Previews, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Colorado might not go all the way back to being completely horrible, but it’s not going to have the offense to get back in the game after the balanced Oregon State attack comes up with two early scores.

This won’t be a total wipeout – the Beavers don’t have the O to do that – and there might be a moment of concern in the third quarter, but the stress level should be relatively low as they get bowl eligible.

College Football Expert Picks, Week 8

Colorado vs Oregon State Prediction, Line

Oregon State 37, Colorado 17
Line: Oregon State -23.5, o/u: 48.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Colorado vs Oregon State Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5
Predictions of Every Game

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Washington State vs Oregon State Prediction, Game Preview

Washington State vs Oregon State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 7 game on Saturday, October 15

Washington State vs Oregon State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 7, Saturday, October 15


Washington State vs Oregon State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 15
Game Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
How To Watch: Pac-12 Network
Record: Washington State (4-2), Oregon State (4-2)
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Washington State vs Oregon State Game Preview

Why Washington State Will Win

This hasn’t been the Washington State offense it was supposed to be – it’s been good, but it’s not its normal dominant passing self. That’s fine because the defense is getting it done.

So the Cougars couldn’t slow down Oregon or keep USC off the board – almost no one can. The D has been solid against the run – no one has hit 200 yards yet – and the secondary is holding up well enough in a bend-but-don’t-break sort of way.

And yes, the offense is fine. It’s scoring when it gets the chance, Cameron Ward is working around the interceptions, and everything should click a little better against an Oregon State defense that doesn’t bring the pass rush.

But …

NFL Expert Picks, Week 6

Why Oregon State Will Win

Sorry to get mystical, but there’s something about this Oregon State team.

It got rocked by Utah in Salt Lake City, but it gave USC all it could handle and it found a way to get it done late against Fresno State and Stanford – pulling off a miracle against the Cardinal.

The defense isn’t doing anything too special, but it’s holding up okay against the run – even if it’s giving up 4.6 yards per carry – and the secondary is doing just enough late in games to stay alive.

Washington State doesn’t have a running game to worry about, the O doesn’t stay on the field long enough – Oregon State should have the ball for 35 minutes – and …

– Schedules, Previews CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Washington State should be able to hold up late.

The Oregon State quarterback situation is still a question mark with starter Chance Nolan questionable at best. He was out against Stanford, but Ben Gulbranson got the job done in the thriller.

The difference this week will be the pressure no matter who’s at quarterback – Washington State can get to the quarterback a whole lot better than the Cardinal can.

College Football Expert Picks, Week 7

Washington State vs Oregon State Prediction, Line

Washington State 26, Oregon State 23
Line: Oregon State -3.5, o/u: 53
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Washington State vs Oregon State Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5
Predictions of Every Game

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