Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction Game Preview

Louisville vs Kentucky game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

Louisville vs Kentucky prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26


Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction Game Preview

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Louisville vs Kentucky How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 3:00 ET
Venue: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
How To Watch: SEC Network
Record: Louisville (7-4), Kentucky (6-5)
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Why Louisville Will Win

The Kentucky offense just sort of stopped.

It wasn’t exactly ripping through everyone in the 4-0 start, but at least it was effective. Now it’s struggling behind a leaky offensive line, the ground attack has been brutally inconsistent, and QB Will Levis has been beaten, battered, and bruised.

And Louisville’s defense is there for all of it. It leads the nation in sacks, it’s great at generating tackles for loss, and only WKU comes up with more takeaways.

Shock of shocks, when the UK offense comes up with a ton of yards, it wins. It’s 4-0 when gaining 350 yards or more and 2-5 when it doesn’t.

Louisville allows 347 yards per game.

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Why Kentucky Will Win

Is Malik Cunningham playing?

He’s hoping he can and thinks he might after suffering a concussion against Clemson and missing the NC State game, but no matter what he’s hardly 100%.

Brock Domann stepped in last week and wasn’t awful in the win over NC State, but the running game did most of the work. No matter who’s under center, the Kentucky pass defense should shine.

The run D has been a bit hit-or-miss – it struggled against Vanderbilt and wasn’t great against Georgia – but the D hasn’t allowed 200 passing yards in any of the last three games.

Louisville’s defense might be terrific at coming up with takeaways, but Kentucky can do that, too. It forced two in each of the last three games and is solid on third downs.

Overall, the D has the ability to keep the Louisville ground attack in check, but …

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What’s Going To Happen

Louisville has been balanced enough to find ways to keep things moving, and the defense is taking care of the rest with all the takeaways.

This is where the Cardinal defensive front has to shine. Will Levis might be good enough to overcome a slew of problems, and he’s used to dealing with a pass rush, but he’s going to get hit a bit too often.

The Kentucky deliberate style won’t be enough to overcome a great day from the Cardinal defense.

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Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction, Line

Louisville 23, Kentucky 21
Line: Kentucky -2.5, o/u: 43.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Louisville vs Kentucky Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race 

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Louisville at Kentucky odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats sports betting odds and lines, with NCAA basketball betting picks and tips.

The Louisville Cardinals (11-1, 2-0 ACC) and Kentucky Wildcats (8-3, 0-0 SEC) square off at Rupp Arena in Lexington at 3:45 p.m. ET Saturday. We analyze the Louisville-Kentucky odds and betting lines, while providing college basketball betting tips and advice on this matchup.

The Cardinals are ranked fourth in the USA TODAY Sports men’s basketball coaches poll.

Louisville at Kentucky: Three things you need to know

1. The Cardinals covered the spread in five of their past six games, and they’re 4-1 against the spread in the past five as a road favorite, too.

2. Kentucky has cashed in just one of its past five against the spread, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five at home. The favorite has cashed in four of the past five meetings in this series, which bodes well for Big Blue.

3. Kentucky still ranks 330th in the nation with just 27.8% of its 3-pointers made. The Wildcats are 14th in the country with 78.5% free throws made.


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Louisville at Kentucky: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Louisville 67, Kentucky 62

Moneyline (ML)

The moneyline wasn’t available at the time of publishing.

Against the Spread (ATS)

LOUISVILLE (+1.5, -121) is the play, as the No. 4-ranked Cardinals are slight dogs on the road. You can expect the Cardinals to feel a little disrespect and come out with a chip on their shoulders against the rival Wildcats (-1.5, +100).

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 131.5 (-110) is the way to go, as it has been the dominant trend for the ‘Ville. The Under is 4-1-1 in the past six for the Cards, and 14-5 in the past 19 against teams with a winning record, too. The Under is 19-7 in the past 26 at home for the Wildcats, and 20-8 in the past 28. Unless Kentucky suddenly gets well and starts banging 3-pointers, something the Wildcats have struggled with all season, this game should stay Under the projected number.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Louisville vs. Kentucky Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Louisville vs. Kentucky fearless prediction and game preview.

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Louisville vs. Kentucky fearless prediction and game preview.


Louisville vs. Kentucky Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 30
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
Network: SEC Network

All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Louisville (7-4) vs. Kentucky (6-5) Game Preview

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Why Louisville Will Win

The defense might be a bit hit-or-miss, but the offense is going off.

The downfield passing game has opened up with the most efficient attack in the ACC – even better than Clemson’s – but the offense can still control the clock and is still great at dominating the time of possession battle.

The Cardinals have thrown for 200 yards or more in eight of their last ten games and averaged over ten yards per throw in all eight of those. Micale Cunningham is averaging more than 12 yards per pass in his last four games with 12 touchdown passes and just two picks.

Kentucky’s offense has been better and stronger lately and closing out drives with points, but it’s a one-dimensional attack. The Wildcat passing game only hit the 100-yard mark once in the last seven games, but …

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Why Kentucky Will Win

The running game has been devastating.

The Wildcats had to adapt after injuries hit the quarterbacks, and WR Lynn Bowden took over under center and the ground attack took off – by necessity.

The offense has rushed for close to 300 yards or more five times in the last six games, and over 400 in each of the last two.

Louisville isn’t awful defensively compared to last year, but it’s hardly a rock, allowing close to five yards per carry and giving up multiple scores six times.

On the other side, the Cardinal offensive line is great for the ground game, but it’s allowing way too many plays in the backfield. UK’s pass rush is just good enough to bother Cunningham.

What’s Going To Happen

Kentucky needs to own the clock, keep the score relatively low, and can’t get into a shootout. The problem is that Louisville controls games, but in a different sort of way.

The Cardinals will take advantage of their offensive opportunities, and UK won’t quite be able to keep up the pace. The Wildcat running game will roll, but Louisville will be more effective. UofL’s defense will be a bit better on third downs.

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Louisville vs. Kentucky Prediction, Line

Louisville 24, Kentucky 20
Bet on this with BetMGM, or for latest line 
Kentucky -3, o/u: 53.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Get Tickets For This Game

Must See Rating: 3.5

5: The fried chicken sandwich of your choice (and side)
1: All things Thanksgiving dinner

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Predicting The Rest of the Season

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