Tag: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies odds predictions pick betting line spread

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (2-1) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (1-2) on Monday with 1st pitch from Citizens Bank Park scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 4 of 7 games last season

Cincinnati won its 1st series of the year over the Washington Nationals on Sunday with a 6-5 home win on back-to-back 2-out home runs from CF Will Benson and 1B Christian Encarnacion-Strand, who had the walk-off. The Reds used 6 different pitchers with RP Lucas Sims (1-0) picking up the win.

Philadelphia avoided a sweep against the Braves with a 5-4 win on Sunday. First baseman Alec Bohm had 2 RBIs, both coming during a 3-run 7th inning which gave the Phillies the lead. The Phillies used 6 pitches with RP Matt Strahm (1-0) picking up the win and RP Jose Alvarado (1) earning his 1st save of the season.

Reds at Phillies projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Abbott went 8-6 with a 3.87 ERA in 21 starts during his rookie year. He had a 1.32 WHIP, 3.62 BB/9 and 9.88 K/9 in 109.1 IP.

  • Abbott was named to the NL All-Rookie Team in 2023
  • Opened his career with 17 2/3 scoreless innings pitched to become 1st pitcher to have 3 consecutive starts without allowing a run with at least 5 innings since 1983

Sanchez went 3-5 with a 3.44 ERA in 18 starts last season. He had a 1.05 WHIP, 1.45 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 99.1 IP.

  • Has appeared in 41 games in 3 years,  22 as  a starter
  • Pitched 59.1 more innings in 2023 than the previous year and his ERA dropped more than 2 runs and he had 1 less walk (16) than the year prior (17)

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Reds at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Reds at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Phillies 4

Moneyline

BET REDS (+125).

Abbott made a name for himself last year with his ability to keep runs off the board and faces a test in his 1st start of the season against a tough Phillies team. The Reds have scored 20 runs in their 1st 3 games. With their hot bats to start the season, and the momentum for a 2-out rally to win their last game, expect the Reds to take the 1st game of the series from Philadelphia.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents more profit for Cincinnati.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (+100).

Cincinnati has been red-hot on offense to start the season and has hit the Over in each of its 3 game this season, allowing 12 total runs in its past 2 games. Philadelphia has also hit the Over in each of its 1st 3 games and has allowed 25 runs while scoring just 12. Both bullpens have not been able to keep runs off the board which will be the key factor in the Over hitting.

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Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (48-74) and Philadelphia Phillies (69-55) meet Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET to close out a 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-1

The Reds have dropped the first 3 games of this series and are just 4-11 in their last 15 games. Five of those 10 losses have come against Philadelphia.

The Phillies have won 4 of their last 5. When not playing the New York Mets, who are 14-5 against them, the Phillies are a robust 17-3 since July 27.

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Reds at Phillies projected starters

RHP Justin Dunn vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Dunn (1-1, 6.08 ERA) is making his 4th start of the season. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 13 1/3 IP.

  • Didn’t start his season until Aug. 8 due to a shoulder injury
  • The 26-year-old has a 4.19 ERA, 1.40 WHIP in 116 career IP

Nola (8-10, 3.25 ERA) is making his 25th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 157 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off a clunker that saw him allow 5 runs in as many innings in a Friday home start against the New York Mets
  • Has struggled with home run issues at home and owns a 4.54 ERA across 73 1/3 IP at Citizens

Reds at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Phillies -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +2.5 (-112) | Phillies -2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Reds at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Reds 3

Money line

Way too much juice here. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Nola’s numbers are for real. Look for a bounce-back after his dodgy effort last time out.

Dunn is an extreme fly-baller tasked keeping the Phillies in check in their hitter-friendly home park on what is forecasted as a breeze-blowing-out evening in Philadelphia. And this is a Phils attack that has batted .294/.360/.525 (.885 OPS) in its last 14 home games.

The Phillies have won only 1 game in this series by 3 runs or more and only 3 of their last 10 wins have been by more than 3.  LEAN PHILADELPHIA -2.5 (-108).

Over/Under

This series has some low-score bias in the analytics, but the Under has thus far gone 1-2. Again, when the Phils aren’t playing the Mets their production has been at high levels.

PASS.

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Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (48-73) and Philadelphia Phillies (68-55) meet Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET as they continue a 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 4-1

The Reds have dropped the first 2 games of this series and are just 4-10 in their last 14 games. Four of those 10 losses have come against Philadelphia.

The Phillies have won 3 of their last 4. When not playing the New York Mets, who are 14-5 against them, the Phillies are 16-3 since July 27.

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Reds at Phillies projected starters

RHP T.J. Zeuch vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Zeuch (0-2, 13.50 ERA) is lined up for his 3rd start of the season. He has a 2.50 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 8 IP.

  • Made starts on Aug. 10 and Aug. 16 and allowed 6 runs in each and was sent down to Triple-A; was recalled Tuesday
  • Coughed up 3 HR in his Aug. 16 start at home turn against the Phillies

Sanchez (1-1, 3.80 ERA) has appeared in 10 games this season (2 as a starter). He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 23 2/3 IP.

  • Has been at Triple-A Lehigh Valley since mid-July; is expected to be recalled for this turn
  • Owns a 4.78 ERA, 1.44 WHIP in 6 Triple-A starts since July 17

Reds at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Phillies -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Reds at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Reds 3

Money line

Way too much juice here. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Just a sliver of a lean on the home nine here. The Phillies have been undone by a 17-19 record in 1-run games. BACK PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

This series has some low-score bias in the analytics (the Under has thus far gone 1-1).

The starting pitching gray area for Wednesday muddies the water. But the bullpens figure to be underrated, and much of this game figures to be in their hands.

TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-105). Consider a partial-unit play unless the price gets to +100.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (48-72) and Philadelphia Phillies (67-55) meet Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET as they continue a 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 3-1

The Reds went into this set having won 3 of their last 4 games. That stretch opened Wednesday against these Phillies, so these 2 clubs are meeting for the 2nd time in as many weeks. And Tuesday’s southpaw duel — Nick Lodolo vs. Ranger Suarez — is a rematch of that Wednesday tilt, won by the Reds 1-0.

The Phillies took Monday’s opener 4-1. Philadelphia pitching has been up and down of late. In their last 6 games, the Phillies have allowed 7 or more runs 3 times and held teams to 1 run 3 times.

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Reds at Phillies projected starters

LHP Nick Lodolo vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Lodolo (3-4, 4.12 ERA) has made 11 starts this season. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP.

  • Threw 7 shutout innings in Wednesday’s start vs. Phillies (5 H, 2 BB, 8 K)
  • Owns a 2.54 ERA in his last 5 starts

Suarez (8-5, 3.31 ERA) is making his 22nd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 114 1/3 IP.

  • Threw 7 shutout innings in Wednesday’s start vs. Reds (3 H, 2 BB, 8 K)
  • Has struggled at home with a 4.60 ERA in 47 IP

Reds at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-115) | Phillies -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Reds at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Reds 3

Money line

Way too much juice here. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Lodolo has been beaten up by a .390 batting average on balls in play. He’s done well to keep hard contact in check.

In a game where the 7.5 total is likable, CINCINNATI +1.5 (-115) has some value.

Over/Under

Cincinnati’s bats have struggled on the road. Philadelphia’s have fallen flat of late. The Phillies have been shut out 4 times in the last 2 weeks and they’ve averaged just 3.83 runs per game since Aug. 11.

Peg both bullpens as being a little undervalued.

There is enough 7-and-under probability here to warrant a moderate lean on the UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (48-71) and Philadelphia Phillies (66-55) clash Monday at 7:05 p.m. ET as they open a 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 2-1

The Reds head into this set having won 3 of their last 4 games. That stretch opened Wednesday against these Phillies, who took 2 of 3 from the Reds in a Monday-Wednesday series last week.

The Phillies have lost 4 of their last 5. After an early-August surge, Philadelphia is just 3-6 in its last 9 games.

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Reds at Phillies projected starters

RHP Luis Cessa vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Cessa (3-1, 5.50 ERA) has notched a 1.46 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 37 2/3 IP in 37 games. Monday will mark his 2nd start, 1st since April 14.

  • Is not seemingly stretched out by long relief stints, but the Reds are not outwardly treating this effort as an opener start (1-2 IP)
  • Has pitched 7 scoreless innings since July 7

Syndergaard (7-8, 3.95 ERA) has logged a 1.27 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 98 IP in 18 starts.

  • Facing the Reds in a 2nd straight start: Allowed 3 R, 8 H, 0 BB, 6K in 7 IP last Monday
  • Current Cincinnati batters own an aggregate .638 OPS against him

Reds at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Reds at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Phillies 3

Money line

Early in the season, the Reds were woeful on the road. But since late-June, they have won a few series against over-.500 clubs, and they’ve played good enough lately to warrant a win probability in the high 30s here.

That makes for value on the REDS (+200) action.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: The Reds are a lean, but pass on a Cincy +1.5 play costing more than +100.

Over/Under

Cincinnati’s bats have struggled on the road. Philadelphia’s have fallen flat of late. The Phillies have been shut out 4 times in the last 2 weeks and they’ve averaged just 3.09 runs per game since Aug. 11.

Peg both bullpens as being a little undervalued.

There is enough 8-and-under probability here to warrant some UNDER 8.5 (-102) action.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (63-54) look to make it two in a row against the Philadelphia Phillies (60-56) when they meet Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Reds RHP Luis Castillo (6-11, 4.53 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 131 IP.

  • Castillo had been on a roll until his last start when he equaled a season-high with 8 ER allowed in just 3 1/3 IP at Cleveland. He had allowed just 6 ER combined over his six previous outings.
  • Most of Castillo’s troubles this season have come on the road where he sports a 5.40 ERA, 8.1 K/9 and 1.6 HR/9 through 12 starts.

Phillies LHP Matt Moore (1-3, 6.79 ERA) makes his 18th appearance (10th start) of the season. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 50 1/3 IP.

  • Moore has been especially bad lately as he has surrendered 17 ER and 5 HR in 14 1/3 IP over his last four appearances.
  • He has a 9.89 ERA in 23 2/3 IP at home this year. A .382 BABIP has played a role but he hasn’t done himself any favors with 7 HR and 16 BB (6.1 BB/9) allowed.

Reds at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:36 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (+111) | Phillies +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

Reds 7, Phillies 4

Money line (ML)

The Reds won six of Castillo’s previous eight starts heading into his most recent outing, and he recorded an outstanding 1.78 ERA during that span. His career-high BB/9 continues to get him into some trouble but he should bounce back against a Philadelphia offense that is 22nd in runs per game at home.

The Reds are 27th in wRC+ vs lefties but they haven’t faced many as weak as Moore. He has been getting knocked around every time he takes the mound, and this game probably won’t be any different. Take the REDS (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Reds are 13-7 in their last 20 road games, with 12 of their 13 wins during that time coming by more than one run. They should score enough to win by multiple runs again Saturday, so go with the REDS -1.5 (+111) or consider pushing it to ALTERNATE GAME SPREAD REDS -2.5 (+160).

Over/Under (O/U)

Castillo hasn’t been nearly as dominant as the past two seasons as his walks are up and strikeouts are well off his usual pace. He has been more good than bad lately but still walked too many during the hot streak, has struggled on the road and showed last time out he is still susceptible to the occasional blowup.

Moore has been getting pummeled lately and has done nothing to inspire any confidence at home. While the Reds have struggled to get much going against lefties, they are in a good spot here and a small play on OVER 9.5 (-122) is the call.

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Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (62-54) visit Citizens Bank Park Friday to start a three-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies (60-55). First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincy snapped a three-game losing streak by clubbing the Atlanta Braves 12-3 in the series finale of their set and is 6-4 in its last 10 games.

Philly has stormed to the front of the NL East thanks to an 8-2 record in their last 10 games and a 13-7 mark across the last 20. However, they did just lose two of three games against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Season series: Reds lead 2-1.

RHP Tyler Mahle is Cincinnati’s projected starter. Mahle is 9-3 with a 3.78 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-2, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 10 K Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • 2021 road splits: 6-1 with a 2.06 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.05 WHIP and 3.1 K/BB in 12 starts.

RHP Zack Wheeler makes his 24th start for the Phillies. Wheeler is 10-6 with a 2.42 ERA (156 IP, 42 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-0, CG with 9 IP, 2 H, 1 BB and 11 K Sunday against the New York Mets.
  • 2021 home splits: 6-3 with a 2.02 ERA (98 IP, 22 ER), 0.83 WHIP and a 7.7 K/BB in 14 starts.

Reds at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-150) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Reds 5, Phillies 2

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the REDS (+140) because I’m taking Cincy’s run line, Mahle has been terrific on the road this year, Cincy’s lineup is more productive against right-handed pitching and the Reds relievers have pitched much better than Philly’s since the All-Star Game.

For instance, the Reds rank sixth wRC+, seventh in hard-hit rate and first in wOBA vs. righties. While the Phillies are 21st in wRC+, 16th in wOBA and 23rd in hard-hit rate.

Also, Cincy’s bullpen has been mediocre to above average in the second half of the season (10th in xFIP and 13th in SIERA) while Philly’s bullpen has been awful (27th in both SIERA and K-BB% and 25th in xFIP).

Wheeler is coming off perhaps his best pitching performance of the year with a 108-pitch CG shutout so I’m banking on slight regression or at least a lesser workload.

Furthermore, according to pregame.com, there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market as nearly 70% of the cash and action is on the Phillies. However, the line hasn’t adjusted much from Tipico’s opener and most sportsbooks have stuck near their original price despite the one-sided action.

I’m okay putting a LIGHT WAGER on the REDS (+140) and fade the market because Wheeler is the favorite to win the NL Cy Young on most sportsbooks who’s coming off an amazing start so all the public action adds up.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the REDS +1.5 (-150) heavier than or instead of their money line because of Cincy’s bullpen, pitching and hitting edges described above. On top of that, Philly is 14-23 ATS as a home favorite and Cincy is 28-13 ATS as a road underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 8.5 (-110) because we have a “pros vs. joes” situation in the betting market as, per pregame.com, nearly 90% of the cash wagered on the total is with the Under and more than 70% of the bets placed are on the Over.

Typically in sports betting it’s sharper to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the masses.

Lastly, the Phillies are 8-14 O/U when Wheeler gets the start and the Reds are 4-6-2 O/U in Mahle’s 12 road starts.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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