The Cincinnati Reds (48-72) and Philadelphia Phillies (67-55) meet Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET as they continue a 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 3-1
The Reds went into this set having won 3 of their last 4 games. That stretch opened Wednesday against these Phillies, so these 2 clubs are meeting for the 2nd time in as many weeks. And Tuesday’s southpaw duel — Nick Lodolo vs. Ranger Suarez — is a rematch of that Wednesday tilt, won by the Reds 1-0.
The Phillies took Monday’s opener 4-1. Philadelphia pitching has been up and down of late. In their last 6 games, the Phillies have allowed 7 or more runs 3 times and held teams to 1 run 3 times.
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Reds at Phillies projected starters
LHP Nick Lodolo vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Lodolo (3-4, 4.12 ERA) has made 11 starts this season. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP.
- Threw 7 shutout innings in Wednesday’s start vs. Phillies (5 H, 2 BB, 8 K)
- Owns a 2.54 ERA in his last 5 starts
Suarez (8-5, 3.31 ERA) is making his 22nd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 114 1/3 IP.
- Threw 7 shutout innings in Wednesday’s start vs. Reds (3 H, 2 BB, 8 K)
- Has struggled at home with a 4.60 ERA in 47 IP
Reds at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-115) | Phillies -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Reds at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Reds 3
Money line
Way too much juice here. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
Lodolo has been beaten up by a .390 batting average on balls in play. He’s done well to keep hard contact in check.
In a game where the 7.5 total is likable, CINCINNATI +1.5 (-115) has some value.
Cincinnati’s bats have struggled on the road. Philadelphia’s have fallen flat of late. The Phillies have been shut out 4 times in the last 2 weeks and they’ve averaged just 3.83 runs per game since Aug. 11.
Peg both bullpens as being a little undervalued.
There is enough 7-and-under probability here to warrant a moderate lean on the UNDER 7.5 (+100).
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