Alabama has the third best FPI rankings for reaching 2020 CFB Playoff

Alabama not only has the third best chance to make it to the 2020 CFB Playoff,they also have the third best chance to win the national title

The Alabama Crimson Tide is looking to showcase an epic comeback this season after finishing the 2019 season 11-2 including a 35-16 Citrus Bowl win over Michigan. Last season was the first time Alabama didn’t make it to the College Football Playoff since it was created in 2014.

But the 2019 season started with strong hopes and potential to win it all for Alabama. Led by juniors Tua Tagovailoa, Jerry Jeudy, and Henry Ruggs III, Alabama was the easy favorite until they weren’t. Tua Tagovailoa’s season-ending injury last November was the nail in the coffin for the Tide’s hopes of winning a national championship.

But Alabama QB Mac Jones is looking to prove he’s the guy for the job, and with him returns RB Najee Harris, wide receivers DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle, and a whole lot of other talent on both sides of the ball.

And according to ESPN, Alabama not only has the third best chance to make it to the 2020 CFB Playoff, they also have the third best chance to win the national title as well.

It’s also important to note that as of right now, Alabama’s FPI is a 29.0, behind Clemson with a 32.0 and Ohio State with a 30.0.

The Crimson Tide also has a 17.2% chance to win the 2020 National Title. Clemson currently has a 35.6% chance, and Ohio State has a 20.6% chance.

ESPN does note that besides Clemson returning quarterback Trevor Lawrence, the Tigers have a fairly easy schedule.

“Clemson’s toughest scheduled game this year, per FPI, is a road trip to South Bend, where the Tigers have “only” an 87% chance to come away victorious against Notre Dame. Clemson has a better than 90% chance to win every ACC contest it is set to play, the result of both the Tigers’ strength and a favorable conference schedule: They get Louisville at home and don’t play against the ACC’s second-best team, Virginia Tech.”

As for Alabama, there’s a chance the Tide could be facing 6 teams in the Top 25, including USC, Georgia, LSU, Auburn, Tennessee, and Texas A&M.

“We’ve already mentioned the value the model sees in powerhouse programs like Clemson bringing back high-end quarterbacks. The same is true of Ohio State, which has Justin Fields (third in QBR in 2019) back in 2020. And it’s kind of true for Alabama too. We got more than a cursory look at the Crimson Tide with Mac Jones at the helm last season (spoiler alert: The change to FPI we made means the model knows when Jones was playing!) and all in all the performance was strong. While not Tua Tagovailoa, Jones put up a 91.1 QBR after opponent adjustment, which means there’s reason to be optimistic about the Tide offense in 2020. Alabama’s offensive FPI ranks behind only Ohio State.”

And according to ESPN, the SEC and Big Ten have a 93% and 91% chance to put at least one team in the playoff.

There’s no doubt that Alabama will be returning this season with a mission to prove their still the best team in the country, and that the dynasty at Alabama is still alive and well.

Alabama has 2nd best odds to win 2021 National Championship

According to BET MGM, Alabama is tied with Ohio State for the 2nd best odds to win the 2021 National Championship. 

According to BET MGM, Alabama is tied with Ohio State for the 2nd best odds to win the 2021 National Championship.

As of Monday March 16th, here are the top 25 odds to win the 2021 CFB Champiosnhip:

  1. Clemson +250
  2. Ohio State +250 and Alabama +250
  3. Georgia +900
  4. LSU +1200
  5. Florida +1400
  6. Notre Dame +2000
  7. Oklahoma +2500
  8. Oregon +4000, Texas A&M +4000, Texas +4000, and USC +4000
  9. Penn State +5000, Auburn +5000, Michigan +5000, Wisconsin +5000, and Washington +50000.
  10. Iowa +8000

Alabama who finished the 2020 season 11-2, opens up the 2021 season with USC in Dallas in a kickoff neutral site game on September 5th. The Crimson Tide are 13.5 point favorites over the Trojans.

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CFB National Championship: 4 matchups to watch between top Saints draft prospects

The Saints have many top 2020 NFL Draft prospects to watch when LSU kicks off against Clemson in the CFB Playoff National Championship game.

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We’re hours away from the College Football Playoff National Championship game between the LSU Tigers and the Clemson Tigers, and as luck would have it, the game will be played in the New Orleans Saints’ home stadium — the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

That presents a great opportunity for Saints shot-callers like coach Sean Payton, general manager Mickey Loomis, and scouting director Jeff Ireland to see some of the 2020 NFL Draft’s best prospects perform live in such a high-pressure situation. That doesn’t mean the Saints will draft anyone who plays in this game; but it does give these soon-to-be rookies a shot at making a memorable first impression.

Here are four matchups we’ll be watching closely:

When LSU has the ball

WR Justin Jefferson vs. CB A.J. Terrell

Jefferson went off against Oklahoma in the semifinals, posting 227 yards and catching four touchdown passes, but he’ll face a serious challenge in Terrell. According to Pro Football Focus charting, Terrell hasn’t allowed more than 60 yards in a game all season, and has surrendered just 14 completed passes into his coverage. That’s a natural collision point where both teams will be trying to compete with strength versus strength.

Either of these players would be huge additions for the Saints, but Jefferson’s success in a similar scheme has to be enticing. He excels at finding the open spaces within zone coverage, just like past Saints success stories like Marques Colston and Willie Snead once did. But Jefferson has better size and agility, and more upside, than any of those other potential predecessors.

TE Thaddeus Moss vs. LB/S Isaiah Simmons

Moss is an enthusiastic blocker and a fearless pass-catcher, even if he’s been more of an afterthought in the passing game than a featured piece (his 42 receptions rank fifth-most). Jared Cook is entering the final season of his two-year Saints contract, and the Saints struggled to adjust when blocking tight end Josh Hill missed time with a concussion. It’s easy to see Moss taking a year to learn the ropes as the third tight end before the Saints unleash him the next season, though he still has a year of college eligibility left as a redshirt junior.

Simmons would give the Saints rare versatility in the back seven, especially if paired with C.J. Gardner-Johnson. PFF graded him well at every position he played (which ranged from weakside linebacker to strong and free safety), so it’s easy to see the Saints disguising their coverage by trotting out Simmons alongside the equally-versatile Gardner-Johnson. However, with multiple starting linebackers returning from injuries (Alex Anzalone and Kiko Alonso), it might be easier to slot Simmons in as a day-one starter at the second level.

When Clemson has the ball

WR Tee Higgins vs. CB Kristian Fulton

Higgins has steadily improved at the college level from one year to the next, and now he’s seen as one of the best route runners in the country. He’s also one of the best at catching the ball when it’s sent his way, even when covered tightly by opposing defensive backs. Fulton will challenge him more than anyone else he’s faced, however, as there are few cornerbacks better in press coverage. But Higgins doesn’t need much space to break a tackle and take off at a sprint after the catch.

Just like with the matchup between Jefferson and Terrell, the Saints are short-handed at both wide receiver and cornerback going into 2020. Michael Thomas turned in a one-man show in the passing game and could benefit from some real help. The only cornerbacks the Saints have under contract next season are Marshon Lattimore, Janoris Jenkins, and Patrick Robinson.

RB Travis Etienne vs. S Grant Delpit

Delpit has a great reputation as one of the country’s best safeties — as seen by him winning the Jim Thorpe Award — and there aren’t many players who can run with him in pass coverage. But there’s a serious flaw in his game as a tackler, with PFF crediting him a sky-high 27% whiff rate on tackle attempts. Etienne will punish him and the rest of the LSU defense should Delpit slip and miss when he has a chance to bring the runner down; Etienne led FBS in both yards gained after contact per attempt (5.2) and tackles broken per attempt (.45).

Every team can use more defensive backs, but the Saints secondary is in a tough spot with starting strong safety Vonn Bell headed for free agency. Delpit could be a good replacement if he’s available at their draft slot. Also, Alvin Kamara has just one year left on his contract, and he turned in a disappointing performance last season. Etienne looks like a natural fit should the Saints plan to move on.

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Fiesta Bowl: Clemson vs. Ohio State odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Fiesta Bowl between the Clemson Tigers and Ohio State Buckeyes, with NCAA football betting odds, picks and best bets.

The Clemson Tigers (13-0) battle Ohio State Buckeyes (13-0) in Saturday’s Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Az. The game will kick off at 8 p.m. ET. We analyze the Clemson-Ohio State odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Ohio State heads into the national semifinal ranked No. 2 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA Today Sports. Clemson is ranked No. 3.

Clemson vs. Ohio State: Three things you need to know

1. Clemson has averaged 46.5 points per game (fourth in FBS) while allowing just 10.6 PPG (first). Ohio State has averaged 48.7 PPG (first) while yielding 12.5 PPG (second). The Tigers are making their fifth straight appearance in the playoff and are the defending national champions. The Buckeyes are making their third appearance in the playoff.

2. The game features RB Travis Etienne (Clemson) and RB J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State), both standouts among college football rushers. Etienne has piled up 1,500 yards on 182 carries (8.2 average) while rushing for 17 touchdowns. Dobbins has rushed for 1,829 yards and 20 TDs on 283 attempts (6.5). Both runners headed into the latter stages of the season with fresh legs due to many a second half on the bench watching understudies close out 35-point margins. Dobbins, however, has been used a lot (100 carries) in OSU’s tough three-game stretch at the end of the season (Penn State-Michigan-Wisconsin).

3. Stopping the run and an ability to shut down good offenses makes Ohio State a worthy play as a narrow underdog. The Buckeyes and Tigers played wildly divergent schedules in 2019. In no other area is this more evident than in the offensive averages (and underlying analytics) of opponent offenses. OSU’s smothering of good offensive teams like Wisconsin, Penn State, Michigan and Indiana represent a collection of good-on-good that simply can’t be found in Clemson’s schedule. Allowing a combined 13 points to Louisville, Charlotte and Boston College is the closest the Tigers get to the Buckeyes’ list. And it’s a pale comparison.


Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM!


Clemson vs. Ohio State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:15 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Ohio State 31, Clemson 24.

Moneyline (ML)

Play OHIO STATE (+105) and leave the spread alone. The chances of a close game are nearly dead-even, but Ohio State may well turn out to be an all-time top-10 caliber squad. I peg the odds of a two-score victory much in favor of the Buckeyes.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Ohio State returns a profit of $10.50.

Against the Spread (ATS)

PASS on Ohio State (+2.5, -110).

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 62.5 (-106) is the play for a smaller piece, with the thought this game plays out similarly to OSU versus Wisconsin (twice) and Penn State. All three games played to the Under.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Alabama still at No. 5 in latest College Football Playoff rankings

After a fantastic 66-3 win over WCU on Saturday, the Crimson Tide is still in the No. 5 spot in the College Football Playoff. 

After a fantastic 66-3 win over WCU on Saturday, the Crimson Tide is still in the No. 5 spot in the College Football Playoff.

Alabama, who is clearly still in the CFB Playoff hunt still have a chance to get in with Oregon’s loss against Arizona State on Saturday that dropped them to the No. 14. If Alabama can beat No.15 Auburn on the road in big fashion, and if LSU beats Georgia in the SEC Championship game, there’s a big chance Alabama could once again slide into the playoff.

But with Utah at No.6 in the rankings with the chance of winning the PAC 12, things will certainly be interesting to watch the next few weeks.

Stay tuned for more analysis and breakdowns of the rankings from Roll Tide Wire!

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Alabama ranked No. 5 in latest College Football Playoff Rankings

The Alabama Crimson Tide fell to No. 5 after losing to now, No. 1 LSU, 46-41 at home on Saturday. 

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On Tuesday night, week two of the College Football Playoff Rankings were announced, and the Alabama Crimson Tide fell to No. 5 after losing to now, No. 1 LSU, 46-41 at home on Saturday.

There is still hope for Alabama to make it back into the top 4, especially since No. 12 Auburn hosts No. 4 Georgia on Saturday. If the Tigers beat Georgia, and Alabama has a big road win over Mississippi State on Saturday, the Tide could be back in playoff contention.

Here are the Week 2 Top 25 College Football Playoff Rankings:

1. LSU 9-0
2. Ohio State 9-0
3. Clemson 10-0
4. Georgia 8-1
5. Alabama 8-1
6. Oregon 8-1
7. Utah 8-1
8. Minnesota 9-0
9. Penn State 8-1
10. Oklahoma 8-1
11. Florida 8-2
12. Auburn 7-2
13. Baylor 9-0
14. Wisconsin 7-2
15. Michigan 7-2
16. Notre Dame 7-2
17. Cincinnati 8-1
18. Memphis 9-1
19. Texas 6-3
20. Iowa 6-3
21. Boise State 8-1
22. Oklahoma State 6-3
23. Navy 7-1
24. Kansas State 6-3
25. Appalachian State 8-1

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