Tag: Braves Mets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Atlanta Braves (55-48) visit the New York Mets (55-49) on Sunday for the 3rd game in a 4-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 5-4

The Braves snapped a 6-game losing streak on Saturday with a 4-0 win to cover as +102 road underdogs. Four Atlanta players had an RBI while RHP Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 0 ER in 7 IP with 11 strikeouts to pick up the win.

The Mets had a 5-game winning streak snapped with the loss as -111 home favorites. They were held to just 4 hits while RHP Tylor Megill allowed 4 ER in 6 IP to take the loss.

The Braves are in 2nd place in the NL East, a half-game ahead of the Mets.

Braves at Mets projected starters

RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. LHP David Peterson

Lopez (7-4, 2.12 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.19 BB/9 and 8.85 K/9 in 101 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-1 loss against Cincinnati Reds Monday
• Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 18 H, 13 BB, 18 K in 3 starts
• Last start vs. Mets: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-5 victory April 9

Peterson (5-0, 3.14 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.25 BB/9 and 6.66 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 6-4 win at Miami Marlins Monday
• Career vs. Braves: 3-4, 5.12 ERA (45 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 43 H, 19 BB, 57 K in 9 starts; last outing in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Braves 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-110).

While Lopez has been an All-Star caliber starter for the Braves, they have lost 3 of his last 4 starts. Atlanta is just 3-7 in its last 10 games, including 1-6 in the last 7, and the Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 road games. They have scored 4 runs or fewer in each of their last 6 games while the Mets have scored 8 or more in 2 of their last 4.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line is this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

Both Lopez and Peterson have low ERAs and do well at limiting runners. The Braves have scored 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 6 games while the Mets have scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. Expect a slower game due to top pitchers.

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The Atlanta Braves (54-47) and New York Mets (54-48) meet Friday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 4-3

New York came away with a 3-2 win over Atlanta Thursday while covering as a +107 home underdog. LF Jeff McNeil went 2-for-4 and hit the walk-off RBI single in the bottom of the 10th.

Reliever Pierce Johnson was the losing pitcher as Atlanta has lost 5 straight games while the Mets increased their win streak to 4.

Braves at Mets projected starters

RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Kodai Senga

Morton (5-5, 3.92 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 103 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 win over St. Louis Saturday
• Career vs. New York: 7-6, 3.58 ERA (130 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 across 23 starts and 1 relief appearance

Senga is set to make his 1st start of the year after missing the entire season thus far due to a shoulder strain and tricep injury.

• Has a career 12-7 record with a 2.98 ERA in 29 starts
• Career vs. Atlanta: 1-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 4 H 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Braves 3

Moneyline

LEAN METS (-145).

New York enters as the much hotter team, being 7-3 in its last 10 while the Braves are only 3-7 over that same span. The Mets have also won back-to-back games vs. Atlanta, but the teams are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Atlanta should cover here as a +1.5 (-175) underdog, especially with how competitive recent matchups between these squads have been, but the line is set too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The Under has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 and is 4-2 in its last 6 games. For Atlanta, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 on the road and 7-3 in its last 10 overall.

The Under has also hit in each of the last 4 Atlanta-New York meetings.

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The Atlanta Braves (52-48) take on the New York Mets (60-43) Wednesday in the opener of a 4-game set at Citi Field at 7:10 p.m. ET Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Braves have been singing to the Creedence Clearwater Revival tune: “Who’ll Stop the Rain?” They were rained out Tuesday and tried to play a doubleheader Wednesday but only got the early 9-4 loss in. Not only are they dealing with the actual downpour, but they are reeling due to injuries after losing 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) for potentially 8 weeks. DH Marcell Ozuna is doing everything he can with a .412 BA, 4 homers and 5 RBIs over the last 15 days. The Braves have lost 3 straight.

Conversely, the Mets have won 3 straight after pounding the New York Yankees and RHP Gerrit Cole 12-3 Wednesday. SS Francisco Lindor went 3-for-6 with 2 homers and 5 RBIs. Mets 2B Jeff McNeil is also raking at .400 with 4 homers and 8 RBIs the last 7 days.

Braves at Mets projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Luis Severino

Sale (13-3, 2.70 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a league-leading 0.96 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 110 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-3 victory July 14 at San Diego Padres
• Last start against Mets: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 12-5 home victory Sept. 22, 2021, with Boston Red Sox (his previous starts were in 2018 and 2013)

Severino (7-3, 3.58 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 115 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 1-0 victory Saturday at Miami Marlins
• Last start vs. Braves: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home win May 12
• 3 career starts vs: Atlanta: 1-1, 3.00 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 14 K in 15 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

The Braves are fading quickly, but Sale has been unreal. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in his last 7 starts. He’s now the front runner for the NL Cy Young Award (+120 at BetMGM Sportsbook).

The Braves also have a massive advantage in the pen with their 2nd-best 2.95 ERA. The Mets are 18th at 4.12.

That’s why I’m taking the BRAVES -115.

Run line/Against the spread

I don’t like either side of the RL here. But I am feeling LUIS SEVERINO OVER 1.5 WALKS (-125). He has 3, 3, and 2 walks in his last 3 starts against Miami, Washington and Pittsburgh. Those offenses aren’t scaring anyone, but Atlanta’s still can.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 80 degrees with a 7-mph wind blowing in from left-center. The Braves are 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and the Mets are 6-4. With the wind backing 2 pitchers who have dealt of late, I like the UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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The Atlanta Braves (24-12) take on the New York Mets (18-20) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at Citi Field on Sunday Night Baseball at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-2

The Braves took won the first 2 games of the series by 4-2 and 4-1 finals and enter Sunday on a 4-game win streak. Saturday was nearly a special day as the team combined for a no-hitter into the 9th inning. That 27th out proved to be elusive, though, as Mets DH J.D. Martinez ruined that with a homer one out shy of the no-no.

The Mets have lost 6 of their last 9 games and are just 9-12 at home. They’ve allowed 3 runs or more in 8 straight games but still own the 4th-best ERA (3.74) in the NL — and 11th in MLB. The offense is where the issue has been as it ranks 8th in the NL and 16th in MLB with 4.3 runs per game. 1B Pete Alonso is starting to heat up a bit, hitting .308 with a homer, 2 doubles and 4 RBIs in his last 4 games.

Braves at Mets projected starters

RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Luis Severino

Elder (1-1, 5.28 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 15 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 11-2 setback at Los Angeles Dodgers May 4
• Career starts vs. Mets: 2-0, 3.97 ERA (11 1/3 IP 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 2 HR, 5 BB, 11 K in 2 outings, both last season

Severino (2-2, 2.93 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 40 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 6 BB, 6 K in 7-6, 10-inning loss at Tampa Bay Rays May 5
• Career vs. Braves: 1-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 2 HR, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts, including a 5-0 road loss (5 IP, 3 ER) with Yankees last season

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Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:18 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Braves 4

Moneyline

It seems like when a team is no-hit, or narrowly escapes it, its bats come out blazing the next game. While I don’t really expect the Mets’ lumber to incinerate, I do think they avoid the sweep. If Severino can avoid walking the ballpark like he did in his last start, he’ll keep the Braves at bay.

Take METS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

The books have handicapped this well. They don’t give much plus-money on the Mets’ ML and juiced up their RL to make insurance negligible.

PASS.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 53 degrees with a 6-mph gust blowing out. We’ve had 2 Unders cash in this series, including Saturday’s game which was 1 out shy of a no-hitter.

Look for the Mets to take advantage of a starter that has allowed 9 earned runs in his last 2 starts. The Braves are always dangerous at the plate, ranking 4th in the NL and 5th in MLB with 5.0 runs per game.

Take OVER 8 (+100).

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The Atlanta Braves (23-12) and New York Mets (18-19) meet for the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

Atlanta has won 3 straight after beating New York 4-2 in Friday’s series opener while cashing as a -148 road favorite. The Braves hit 3 HRs and jumped out to a 4-0 lead by the end of the 3rd inning.

New York had only 4 hits to Atlanta’s 7 and 8 total bases to Atlanta’s 16. LHP Jose Quintana picked up the loss, allowing 4 earned runs on 6 hits and 2 walks with 3 K’s in 5 innings. Friday’s victory ended a 2-game win streak for the Mets.

Braves at Mets projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Christian Scott

Fried (2-1, 4.23 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-1 setback at Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
• Career vs. Mets: 8-5, 2.65 ERA (102 IP, 30 ER), 89 H, 30 BB, 108 K across 17 starts and 5 relief appearances

Scott (0-0, 1.35 ERA) makes his 2nd start. The rookie allowed 1 earned run on 5 hits and 1 walk with 6 K’s in 6 2/3 innings in his MLB debut, a 3-1 loss at the Tampa Bay Rays May 4.

• 2024 stats with Triple-A Syracuse: 3-0, 3.20 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.71 WHIP in 5 starts

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Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:35 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET BRAVES (-155).

Atlanta has won 3 consecutive games, while New York has lost 4 of its last 6. The Braves are also 2-1 in their last 3 matchups vs. the Mets overall and 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in New York.

Be aware that the Braves are only 2-5 in their last 7 road games.

Run line/Against the spread

BET METS +1.5 (-135).

Four of the last 8 matchups between these teams have finished with a 1-run margin, and 2 of the last 3 of those instances ended with the Mets taking the loss.

With both teams being equally hot and the recent series between these squads being so close, this is a very safe bet.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 4 consecutive games for Atlanta and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 games. For New York, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 games overall and is 5-1 in its last 6 at home. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Atlanta-New York matchups in Queens.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Atlanta Braves (22-12) take on the New York Mets (18-18) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Citi Field at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Braves were idle Thursday after taking both games at home against the Boston Red Sox Tuesday and Wednesday. They took Wednesday’s tilt 5-0 as DH Marcell Ozuna sent 2 into the seats and had 4 RBI. He leads the majors with 12 homers and 38 RBI.

The Mets were rained out in St. Louis Wednesday but took both games against the Cardinals. They came back Tuesday from an early 3-0 hole with 6 runs in the 5th. OF Brandon Nimmo and 1B Pete Alonso each homered and drove in 3 runs.

Braves at Mets projected starters

RHP Charlie Morton vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Morton (2-0, 3.50 ERA) makes his 7th start. The rookie has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 36 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K last Friday against Los Angeles Dodgers
• April 8 vs. Mets: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 8-7 loss

Quintana (1-3, 5.20 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 36 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 2 K last Friday in 10-8 loss against Tampa Bay Rays
• April 11 vs. Braves: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 16-4 win
• Last 5 starts vs. Braves: 1-4, 5.06 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 20 K in 26 2/3 IP

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Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Mets 3

Moneyline

The Braves are taking this game. Quintana is not missing enough bats at this stage of his career, and he has allowed 8 ER in 10 2/3 IP in his last 2 starts against Atlanta.

It’s more feasible to take the RL, though.

Instead, I’m going MARCELL OZUNA OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIs. He hit safely in all 3 previous games against the Mets, but he only had 2+ total bases in 1 of them. So that’s why we’re avoiding his total bases prop.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves are just 4-6 over the last 10, but 3 of those were by multiple runs – including the last 2 against Boston. Atlanta is tied for 3rd with 5.1 R/game.

Take BRAVES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

The Over is just 1-8-1 in Atlanta’s last 10, and the Mets are 4-6. When playing one another, the Over is 6-4 in the last 10. All 3 games in Atlanta went Over this number earlier this season.

It’s slated to be a chilly, 50 degrees with a 10-mph gust coming in from right-center. It won’t matter, though, this is going OVER 8 (-120).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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