The Atlanta Braves (18-9) and New York Mets (15-12) meet for a doubleheader Monday as they wrap up a truncated 3-game series. First pitch for Game 1 from Citi Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 1-0
This was originally supposed to be a 4-game series, but Saturday’s and Sunday’s games were postponed due to rain. Monday was originally supposed to be the finale of the 4-game set and now features a doubleheader with a makeup of Sunday’s game. Saturday’s game will be made up later in the season.
Atlanta won 4-0 as a -132 road favorite Friday in a series opener that was called after the 5th inning due to rain. All 4 of the Braves’ runs came in that final inning thanks to an RBI single by OF Ronald Acuna Jr. and a 3-run home run by 1B Matt Olson. Atlanta has won 4 of its last 5 after dropping 4 straight games from April 21-23.
New York is on a cold streak, losing 5 of its last 6 including a 4-game losing skid from Apr. 22-26. The Braves have more runs (138-122), hits (231-213), home runs (41-27), and a better batting average (.255-.240) than the Mets so far this season. Atlanta also has an edge in pitching, with a team ERA almost 1 full run better than New York’s team ERA (3.37-4.36) and with 251 strikeouts to New York’s 230.
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Braves at Mets starters
RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Denyi Reyes
Strider (3-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 14.7 K/9 through 30 IP.
- Last start vs. New York was Aug. 15, 2022: 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, and 4 K in a 13-1 win
- Went 5-4 with a 3.25 ERA, 61 IP, 41 H, 22 ER, 24 BB, and 88 K in 10 starts and 5 relief appearances on the road last season
Reyes (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start and 6th appearance. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 6 1/3 IP.
- Has just one previous career start on May 28, 2022, at the Boston Red Sox with 3 2/3 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 2 K as a member of the Baltimore Orioles
- Is 0-0 with 0 ER, 2 H, 0 B and 3 K in 2 relief appearances at home this season
Braves at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Mets +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-165) | Mets +1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Braves at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Mets 2
Moneyline
AVOID.
The Braves (-250) should be able to win this game but they are far too heavy of a favorite, especially as the away team, to wager on. The risk here is not worth the reward.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BRAVES -1.5 (-165).
The Braves have been the hotter team recently and beat the Mets by multiple runs in the series opener Friday. Only 1 of the last 10 meetings between these clubs was a 1-run game, a 3-2 Braves win on Aug. 18, 2022. The Braves are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, meaning they consistently beat the Mets and do so by at least 2 runs.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).
Only 2 of the last 10 meetings have eclipsed 8.5 total runs and the Over/Under has been pretty even in recent matchups between these teams.
The Over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 meetings but the Under is safer here because matchups between these teams, at least recently, have rarely eclipsed the 8.5 total run mark.
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