Check out Jess Root’s betting picks for all the games left on the schedule in Week 11.
The NFL has 13 games left on the schedule between Sunday and Monday. That means 13 games in which to make some money with basic wagers on the moneyline (straight-up winner), the spread and the total.
Are you looking for some help with your picks?
Below are my betting picks for all three basic bets for all 13 games left on the schedule.
Check out Jess Root’s betting picks for all the games left in Week 6.
Week 6 began with a stinker of a game between the Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears. The Commanders won 12-7 despite the Bears getting inside the five-yard line three times. They managed to get no points in those three trips.
With the Lions, Texans, Raiders and Titans on their bye week, there are only 13 games remaining on the Week 6 schedule.
That leaves 13 games to have some betting action on.
Below are my picks for the moneyline, the spread and the total for each game left on the schedule.
You can track my season performance at Tallysight.
Among all the big names, there are several sleepers to keep an eye on in Tampa.
After a wild week in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, at the Players, the PGA Tour heads to Tampa for the Valspar Championship.
Sam Burns enters the week as the defending champion and sits at +2000.
Despite a late finish at TPC Sawgrass, some of the best players in the world are still in the field to tee it up at the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort.
Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland, and Collin Morikawa all sit at +1000 to win.
Despite numerous big names, there are several players further down the odds list that have a great chance of hoisting the hardware come Sunday afternoon (or at least we can hope it’ll be Sunday afternoon).
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Will the Genesis Invitational runner-up raise the hardware at PGA National?
After seeing one of the most loaded fields we’ll have all season long last week at the Genesis Invitational, the group of players teeing it up at the Honda Classic in Palm Beach Gardens, Flordia, in a few days may be underwhelming.
However, that may open the door for an underdog to come out of nowhere and steal a win.
2020 Honda Classic winner and king of the Florida swing, Sungjae Im, enters the week as the betting favorite at +1200 followed closely by local man Daniel Berger at +1500.
Let’s start the list with one of the runner-ups from last week at Riviera Country Club.
Young has never played in the Honda Classic, however, he’s been rounding into form over the last few weeks. Aside from his T-2 finish at the Genesis Invitational, he tied for 26th at the WM Phoenix Open the previous week and signed for a T-20 at the Farmers.
Of the players in this field, over his last 12 rounds, Young is 3rd in SG: Ball-striking and 1st in SG: Off the Tee.
Russell Knox (+6000)
Knox has not had success at PGA National in recent years with four of his last five appearances ending in missed cuts. However, from 2014-16 he had two top threes and a top 30.
He’s played well so far in 2022 with a T-7 at the Sony Open and three straight T-33 finishes in his last three starts.
Lucas Glover (+7000)
This is a man who has loved PGA National over the past several years. In his last five appearances at the Honda, Glover has four finishes of 21st or better, including a top five in 2019.
His last four starts on Tour: T-5, T-33, MC, 37. In a weaker field, he should be able to rise to the top.
Sam Ryder (+10000)
Ryder missed the cut at the Farmers Insurance Open a few weeks ago but has since finished T-23 at the WM Phoenix Open and T-26 at the Genesis Invitational. Last year at the Honda, Ryder played well, eventually tying for 8th.
Michael Thompson (+8000)
The bearded one has been a bit inconsistent in 2022. He missed the weekend at Pebble, in Scottsdale, and earlier this year at the American Express, but has also finished T-5 at the Sony Open and T-11 at Torrey Pines.
Thompson won the Honda Classic back in 2013 and has finished T-24 or better in four of his last five appearances.
Max Homa won the Genesis Invitational last year at +7000. Can his buddy Joel Dahmen follow in his footsteps?
It’s almost time for one of the best events on the PGA Tour. The Genesis Invitational delivers every single year, with the biggest stars in the sport annually finding the top of the leaderboard by the weekend.
Although the field consists of each of the top 10 players in the world, there are numerous names further down the odds list that have a chance to hoist the trophy come Sunday.
Last season, California native Max Homa entered the week at +7000 to win and left Riviera Country Club victorious. Will another underdog triumph this week? We’ll have to wait and see.
If you’re looking outside the favorites in L.A., here’s a list of five longshots who may just compete for the title this weekend.
It’s hard to call the defending champion an underdog, but Homa enters the week at +5000. The L.A. native is coming off a solid performance in the desert, finishing T-14 at the WM Phoenix Open. This golf course means everything to him and has called it his favorite course on the planet.
Outside of his win at Riviera, Homa finished T-5 here in 2020.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)
Again, tough to call a player sitting at +4000 to win an underdog, but remember, Fitzpatrick has yet to win on the PGA Tour.
The Englishman is playing really good golf so far in 2022, racking up a T-6 finish at Pebble Beach a few weeks ago and a T-10 at last week’s WM Phoenix Open. Fitzpatrick finished T-30 at Riviera two years ago and T-5 last season.
Alex Noren (+9000)
There’s a big number. Noren has finally found some form over the last several months and is back to playing the golf we saw him play a few years ago.
After missing the cut at the American Express to start his 2022, Noren finished inside the top 40 at Torrey Pines and grabbed a T-6 at the WM Phoenix Open. The Swede tied for 12th at Riviera last season and had another top 20 back in 2018.
Adam Hadwin (+10000)
The Canadian is coming into the week a bit under the radar. He ended the week in Scottsdale tied for 26th, but he played much better than that shows. He limped home on Sunday shooting 74, but in his previous three rounds, 68 was his worst score.
Despite missing the cut at the Farmers, Hadwin grabbed a T-25 at the American Express and a T-16 at Pebble Beach. In seven starts at Riviera, Hadwin has finished 26th or better in five, which includes a career-best T-6 in 2018.
Joel Dahmen (+20000)
Dahmen has a chance to contend this weekend, but any opportunity to use this photo in a story is just too hard to pass up.
Dahmen has missed the cut at the Genesis in three of his four starts at Riviera, but the one weekend he did make ended with a top five. He was in the mix a few weeks ago at Pebble, eventually tying for 6th.
Not sure we’ll see this move again even if he wins. But hey, ya never know.
Every player in the Official World Golf Ranking top 10 will tee it up in LA.
We got one. We finally got one. After having Russell Henley at the Sony Open (lost in a playoff) and Will Zalatoris at the Farmers Insurance Open (lost in a playoff), we cashed an outright ticket with Scottie Scheffler (+3000) at the WM Phoenix Open. Now it’s time to grab another one at the Genesis Invitational.
This is one of the best weeks of the year. In my opinion, outside of Augusta National, Riviera is the best golf course the PGA Tour plays on an annual basis. It’s a true test of ball-striking and does a fantastic job of separating players who are on their game, and who are not.
The top 10 players in the world are here. Let’s have a week.
Golf course
Riviera Country Club
Par 71 – Genesis Scorecard
7,322 yards Greens: Poa Defending champion: Max Homa
Weather
Day
Temperature
Conditions
Percent chance of rain
Wind & Direction
Tuesday
58
Rainy
46 percent
10 MPH (SSE)
Wednesday
67
Sunny
2 percent
7 MPH (SSE)
Thursday
72
Sunny
2 percent
6 MPH (SW)
Friday
75
Sunny
0 percent
7 MPH (SSW)
Saturday
73
Sunny
0 percent
8 MPH (SSW)
Sunday
66
Partly Cloudy
2 percent
7 MPH (SSE)
Key statistics
SG: Ball-striking: This course is the ultimate test of golf. If the guys don’t have every aspect of their game in top-notch form, they won’t be able to contend. Riviera is a ball-strikers paradise.
Par 4s Gained (450-500): Six of the 11 par 4s at Riv play to yardage in this range. Performing well on these will be critical, and may even act as a separator on the leaderboard.
Data Golf Information
Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. Nine Bridges, 2. Ridgewood CC, 3. Plantation Course at Kapalua
Trending: 1. Patrick Cantlay (Last three starts: 9, T-4, 2), 2. Hideki Matsuyama (1, T-30, T-8), 3. Justin Thomas (T-5, T-20, T-8)
Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Jon Rahm (8.4 percent), 2. Patrick Cantlay (8 percent), 3. Justin Thomas (5.6 percent)
Latest Twilight 9 episode
This week on the show, Andy and I discuss Charley Hoffman’s Instagram post and how it completely backfired on him. We discuss Scheffler’s first PGA Tour win, and preview this week’s Genesis Invitational which includes our favorite picks of the week.
Bubba Watson – Top 20: Cash (+175)
Xander Schauffele – Top 20: Cash (+115)
Scottie Scheffler – Top 20: Cash (+135)
Viktor Hovland – Top 10: Miss
Russell Henley – Top 20: Miss
Corey Conners – Top 20: Miss
Scottie Scheffler – Outright: Cash (+3000)
Viktor Hovland – Outright: Miss
Justin Thomas – Outright: Miss
+1.25 units on position plays (+125), and +28 units on outrights at WM Phoenix Open.
+8.79 units on position plays in 2022. +20.5 units on outright plays in 2022.
Rory McIlroy
Surprise, surprise – Rory McIlroy is back playing on the PGA Tour and he’s on my card. Get used to it folks, he’ll be on my card somewhere pretty much every week.
McIlroy missed the cut here last season but recorded top five finishes in 2020 and 2019. His last two starts were on the DP World Tour where he played nicely: T-12 at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, and 3rd at the Dubai Desert Classic.
Adam Scott – Top 20 (+170)
Scott finished T-38 here last season, won in 2020, and finished inside the top 10 in 2019. So far in 2022, Scott has two top 10 finishes on the DP World Tour, and tied for 38th at the WM Phoenix Open last week. He’s always one of the best ball-strikers on the planet and feels comfortable around this track.
Will Zalatoris – Top 20 (+140)
His last PGA Tour start ended with a playoff loss to Luke List at the Farmers Insurance Open. He finished 15th here last season and is one of the best ball-strikers on Earth. Not much else to say, just feels like a place Zalatoris will eventually win at in his career.
Only cause for concern: He is coming off COVID-19, so hopefully that hasn’t affected his body too much.
Other players to consider
Bubba Watson: He’s a three-time winner of this event. He was the runner up to HV3 in Saudi, and cashed a top 20 last week in Scottsdale. He has missed the cut here each of the last two seasons, but it’s hard not to like his overall course history and recent form.
Viktor Hovland: Man, he killed me last week. Missed the cut at the WMPO. But, he finished in the top five here last season, is a ball-striking machine and has still won 3 times in his last 6 starts.
Cameron Smith: He has two top six finishes in the last four years at the Genesis. Smith hasn’t made a start on Tour since the Sony Open where he missed the cut, but he won the week before at the TOC. Data Golf actually has Smith with the 4th best percent chance to win this week.
Matt Fitzpatrick: He finished 30th at the Genesis in 2020 and 5th in 2021. In 2022 on Tour, Fitzpatrick has finished T-6 at Pebble and T-10 in Scottsdale. Another guy that seems to play better at tougher golf courses, an absolute grinder.
*Full betting card will be on my Twitter sometime Wednesday, February 16th.
Patrick Cantlay went out early Friday during his second round of the WM Phoenix Open and fired a 5-under 66 to give him, at the time, the clubhouse lead. Cantlay continues to fire on all cylinders – the man hasn’t finished outside the top 10 at a golf tournament since last year’s Northern Trust. That week, he tied for 11th.
PGA Tour rookie Sahith Theegala continued to rip up the back nine Friday, putting four circles on the card over his last six holes. He drained a birdie bid on 18 to close with a 7-under 64 and walked off the golf course with a three shot lead.
Thanks to Brooks Koepka, Theegala’s lead going into the weekend is just two as the WM Phoenix Open defending champion continues to show he feels very comfortable at this track. Slim Shady dropped in six birdies on Friday to go along with a bogey for a second day 5-under 66. Xander Schauffele, runner-up to Koepka here last season, also sits at 10 under.
*odds above are as of 7:45 ET on Friday, Feb. 11, 2022
Picks for the WM Phoenix Open
Justin Thomas (+2700)
JT hasn’t been sharp so far this week and he’s still managed to be 5 under after two rounds. He has two third place finishes here in the last three seasons. There isn’t a player on Earth that cooks as well as JT does when he is on. Due to the fact he can explode for an 8- or 9-under round at any time, hard not to take a chance on him over the weekend.
Max Homa (+1800)
Homa’s tee-to-green game this week has been sick – hitting nearly 78 percent of fairways and 85 percent of greens. His putter finally came alive on Friday leading him to a bogey-free 6-under 65. He’s beat loaded fields before (2021 Genesis), and sits at 8 under, four back.
Xander Schauffele (+360)
Schauffele could have shot 10 under on Friday. He failed to convert on a bunch of chances and still shot a bogey-free 65. He’s due — like DUE. His last win came at the 2019 Sentry TOC. His tee-to-green game is on another level right now, so if that putter gets going even a little, it could be a blood bath for the rest of the field.
The rowdy crowds of Scottsdale, Arizona are being blessed this week with one of the best fields ever compiled for a non-major event. World No. 1 Jon Rahm is joined by the likes of Justin Thomas, the aforementioned Spieth, and defending champion Brooks Koepka.
Overall, six of the world’s top 10 players are in the field. Stacked.
Before jumping into some plays I like for the week, let’s cover some information about the course.
Golf course
TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)
Par 71
7,261 yards
Weather
I was going to put together my normal weather graph for the week, however, it’s the desert. Zero percent chance of rain every tournament day with nothing but sun. There ya go.
Key stats
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee: Having length and accuracy around this track is important, the guys won’t want to play from the desert all week.
Approach from 150-200: Almost 50 percent of approach shots hit at TPC Scottsdale over the last several seasons are from this range. Overall, we’ll be targeting tee-to-green studs this week and hope we run into a hot putter.
Data Golf Information
Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. Annandale Golf Club, 2. Southern Hills Country Club, 3. Silverado Resort and Spa
Trending: 1. Patrick Cantlay (Last three starts: 4, 9, T-4), 2. Viktor Hovland (T-30, T-4, 1), 3. Justin Thomas (T-5, T-5, T-20)
Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Jon Rahm (10.8 percent), 2. Patrick Cantlay (7.1 percent), 3. Justin Thomas (5.7 percent)
Latest Twilight 9 episode
This week’s episode of Twilight 9 will be released Wednesday (February 9th). This will be updated with links and player once available.
The only bet we cashed was Christiaan Bezuidenhout for Top South African at +180. Down 3.2 units last week. Time to bounce back.
+7.54 units in 2022.
Bubba Watson – Top 20 (+175)
Watson finished runner-up to Harold Varner III at last week’s Saudi International.
The two-time Masters champ hasn’t made an official start this season on the PGA Tour but has played well at the WMPO in recent years. He’s finished inside the top five in two of the last three seasons.
Xander Schauffele – Top 20 (+115)
Schauffele finished T-34 at Torrey Pines a few weeks ago but is coming off a top 20 performance at the Saudi International.
He’s finished inside the top 20 at the last four installments of this event, including a runner-up effort to Brooks Koepka last season.
Scottie Scheffler – Top 20 (+135)
I will not stop betting on Scottie until he wins. So he’s on the card again.
Scheffler’s last start was at Torrey and he tied for 20th. Last season, the Texan cashed a top 10 check at the WMPO. Come on Scottie, let’s get it done.
Other bets to consider
Andrew Putnam (Top 20, +320): He’s trending in the right direction. His last 3 starts: T-27, T-14, T-6 (Pebble). Last season, Putnam finished 7th at the WMPO after missing the cut in two consecutive appearances there.
Luke List (Top 20, +240): List is coming off a win at the Farmers Insurance Open and hasn’t finished outside the Top 22 in his last four starts. He’s finished inside the Top 30 in three of the last four Phoenix Opens.
*Full betting card will be on my Twitter sometime Wednesday, February 9th.
After a solid week at Torrey Pines, can Jason Day return to his winning ways?
Despite personal feelings for the course, Torrey Pines delivered an amazing finish once again resulting in Luke List’s first win on the PGA Tour taking down the reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year Will Zalatoris in a playoff.
Another playoff loss for one of my outright picks. Hate to see it, but that just means we’re destined to land one soon.
Anyway, this week the PGA Tour heads down to the Monterey Peninsula for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am won last year by Daniel Berger. He opens the week as the second betting favorite (+1200), only behind Patrick Cantlay (+750).
Like many of the tournaments we see in the early calendar year, several venues will be used throughout the week before the final round is back at Pebble.
Course(s)
Pebble Beach Golf Links
Par 72
6,972 yards
Spyglass Hill
Par 72
7,041
Monterey Peninsula Country Club (Shore)
Par 71
6,957 yards
Weather
Day
Conditions
Percent chance of rain
Wind & Direction
Tuesday
Sunny
2 percent
13 MPH (N)
Wednesday
Sunny
0 percent
11 MPH (NNE)
Thursday
Mostly Sunny
3 percent
8 MPH (N)
Friday
Sunny
3 percent
5 MPH (NW)
Saturday
Mostly Sunny
3 percent
8 MPH (N)
Sunday
Sunny
3 percent
7 MPH (N)
Key stats
Strokes Gained: Approach: Fairways are easy to find around these courses, so making sure the iron play stands above the rest is going to be critical.
Proximity from 100-150 yards: These three tracks are on the shorter side so the majority of the field is going to have a lot of wedges and short irons into greens. Stuffing those opportunities will maximize birdie potential.
Data Golf information
Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. La Quinta Country Club, 2. Cog Hill Golf and Country Club, 3. CordeValle
Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Patrick Cantlay (13.5 percent), 2. Daniel Berger (7.8 percent), 3. Will Zalatoris (3.8 percent)
Latest Twilight 9 episode
This week on the show Andy and I dive into List’s win at the Farmers Insurance Open, how Zalatoris’ first win is coming soon, a preview for this week’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and tons more. Listen, download, and subscribe to the show for free here.
Betting card for the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Last week’s results (Farmers Insurance Open)
Tony Finau (Top 20): Miss
Maverick McNealy (Top 20): Miss
Will Zalatoris (Top 20): Hit, +155
Joaquin Niemann (Top South American): Hit, +250
Ryan Palmer (Top 20): Hit, +300
Luke List (Top 20): Hit +300
+802 (8.02 units) at the Farmers Insurance Open
+10.74 units in 2022
Jason Day – Top 20 (+115)
Day, after a hole-out eagle on the 14th, tied for the lead in the final round at the Farmers. After a few late bogeys, he dropped, but still finished inside the top five (T-3).
Day’s last seven starts at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am: T-7 (2021), 4 (2020), T-4 (2019), T-2 (2018), T-5 (2017), T-11 (2016), and T-4 (2015).
Maverick McNealy – Top 20 (+150)
Despite his finishing position, McNealy continued his stretch of good play at the Farmers Insurance Open. He ended the week T-30, but really only struggled on Sunday making six bogeys before pouring in a birdie on 17 and an eagle on 18.
Mav finished solo runner-up to Berger at the Pro-Am last year and signed for T-5 the year before. The California native feels comfortable at Pebble and is in great position for another solid week.
Mito Pereira – Top 20 (+250)
Pereira has three straight top 30 finishes, with another one coming last week at the Farmers (T-25). He’s seventh on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach.
He finished solo third at the Fortinet Championship earlier this season on poa anna greens. On top of everything, the Chilean has won a pro-am event before on the Korn Ferry Tour.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout – Top South African (+180)
Bezuidenhout grabbed a top 20 earlier this season at the Sony before two consecutive mediocre performances (T-40, T-46 the last two weeks). He has a thing for performing well at short golf courses.
*Based on Average Finish over the past 4 years. **Min 3 starts.
This week on the show Andy and I talk about Torrey Pines, and despite mixed feelings about the golf course, it delivers every single time the PGA Tour is there. It’s uncanny.
We also dive in on Will Zalatoris and his, let’s just say less than confident, putting stroke from inside five feet.
Then we jump into our preview for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. It’s always good to be back on the Monterey Peninsula, and not only is the PGA Tour back, but the amateurs are as well after a year hiatus due to COVID-19.
Our betting segment is loaded with players we’re targeting this week and hopefully, we can finally capitalize on an outright winner.
Listen, download, and subscribe to the show for free here: Apple | Spotify