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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (63-56) and Baltimore Orioles (71-50) open a 4-game set Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 5-1

The Red Sox are coming off a 2-1 series win against the visiting Texas Rangers. Boston lost 9-7 as a -129 favorite in the Wednesday finale as the Over (9.5) hit. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, 7½ games back of the division-leading New York Yankees, and 2 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot.

The Orioles spilt a 2-game set with the Washington Nationals in Baltimore, wrapping up the series with a 4-1 win as -168 favorites Wednesday with the Under (9) cashing. The Orioles are a half-game behind the Yankees in the division and hold a 3½-game lead over the Minnesota Twins for the top Wild Card.

Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Pivetta (5-7, 4.44 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 95 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-2 victory at Rangers Aug. 4
  • Skipped start over weekend due to arm fatigue
  • 2024 road stats: 3-3, 3.76 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 8-2, 3.18 ERA (68 IP, 24 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 12 starts, including 1-0 with 0.00 ERA (7 IP) in 1 start last year

Eflin (8-7, 3.83 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, MLB-leading 1.0 BB/9, and 7.2 K/9 in 129 1/3 IP with the Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-1 victory at Rays Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-2, 2.52 ERA (50 IP, 14 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 1 road start (May 13), 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 5-3 win with Rays
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 6.00 ERA (24 IP, 16 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Orioles -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The ORIOLES (-135) have won 5 of the 6 meetings between these teams this season, and the Red Sox have lost 3 of Pivetta’s last 5 starts. Pivetta has allowed 13 runs in 14 innings over his last 3 outings and given up 6 or more hits in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Neither team has been winning at a high clip recently — Boston is 5-5 in its last 10 and Baltimore is 6-4 — but the Orioles should have the edge in this spot with how inconsistent Pivetta has been this season.

BET ORIOLES (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

Boston +1.5 (-190) likely hits Thursday, but there’s too much vig in this line to recommend a play.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Baltimore is the best Over bet in MLB this season, hitting Overs at a 68-44-9 (60.7%) clip. Boston is 16-7-4 (69.6%) to the Over in divisional games, and the Over has hit in 3 straight contests when Pivetta takes the mound.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (55-65) visit the Baltimore Orioles (70-50) on Wednesday to conclude their season series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 2-1

The Nationals got back in the win column on Tuesday with a 9-3 win over the Orioles to cover as +165 road underdogs. 3B Ildemaro Vargas led the way on offense with 3 RBIs while RHP Jake Irvin allowed 2 ER in 6 IP to pick up the win.

The Orioles have lost back-to-back games after Tuesday’s loss as -180 home favorites. LHP Trevor Rogers allowed 5 ER in 5 IP to take the loss.

Nationals at Orioles projected starters

LHP DJ Herz vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Herz (2-4, 4.41 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 49 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 9-5 loss against San Francisco Giants Thursday
  • Made debuting June 4; 1st time facing Orioles

Kremer (4-9, 4.70 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 7-6 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
  • Career vs. Nationals: 2-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 12 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2 starts; last outing in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Nationals at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Orioles -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Orioles -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Baltimore (-185) to win on Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-135).

While the Orioles hold the advantage, the pitching matchup is the difference. The Nationals have won 3 of their last 4 games and have scored 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 while the Orioles have scored 3 or fewer runs in back-to-back games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115).

The Nationals have avoided the Under in 7 of their last 10 games and have hit the Over in back-to-back games. They have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games.

The Orioles have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games and have allowed 5 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games. They have scored 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games.

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (68-48) and Tampa Bay Rays (58-56) open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is at 6:50 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 6-1

The Orioles lost 7-6 Toronto on Thursday afternoon against the Blue Jays, cashing the Over (9) for the 6th time in the past 7 outings. However, the O’s are just 3-4 in the 7-game span.

The Rays salvaged a game in their interleague series Thursday in St. Louis, winning the final 6-4 as an underdog (+106) as the Over (8) cashed. Like Baltimore, Tampa Bay is 3-4 in the past 7 outings. The Under was on a 5-0 run until Thursday’s Over result.

These teams have met 7 times, with the Rays winning just once. The good news is that the victory was in one of RHP Zack Littell‘s 2 starts against the O’s. He gets the ball for Friday’s series opener.

For the O’s, RHP Zach Eflin makes his 1st start against the Rays after being traded to the Orioles at the MLB non-waiver trade deadline in late July.

Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Zack Littell

Eflin (7-7, 4.05 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 122 1/3 IP with the Rays and Orioles.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-4 road victory vs. Cleveland Guardians last Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-5, 5.10 ERA (72 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.27 WHIP, .279 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 10 BB, 57 K in 13 starts with Rays and Orioles
  • Career vs. Rays: 0-1, 4.91 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 1 start (2 appearances)

Littell (1-1, 3.72 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 29 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 6-1 road victory vs. Houston Astros last Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-3, 3.00 ERA (66 IP, 22 ER), 1.08 WHIP, .239 OBA, 11 BB, 63 K in 11 starts
  • 2024 vs. Orioles: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (12 IP, 6 ER), .340 OBA, 2 BB, 6 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 0-1, 3.66 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 in 3 starts (5 appearances)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Rays +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+126) | Rays +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

The RAYS (+114) are a solid play in this series opener against old friend Eflin and the visiting Orioles (-134).

Yes, Baltimore is 6-1 against Tampa Bay this season, but the lone win came with the Burlington, N.C., native Littell on the bump June 2 in 1 of his 2 outings against the O’s.

Eflin has been shaky on the road, and the Rays certainly know his tendencies.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re not feeling Tampa Bay straight up, and you’d like a little insurance instead, consider RAYS +1.5 (-152), as they’re not priced out of line. Tampa Bay is 9-1 in the past 10 games as an underdog on the run line, winning 6 of those games since July 23 straight up.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.

While the Under is 5-1 in the past 6 games for the Rays, the Over cashed Thursday. The Over is 6-4 in Littell’s past 10 outings, including his most recent start June 9 against the O’s in a 9-2 setback.

For the O’s, the total has gone high in 7 of the past 8 games, and 18 of the past 21 outings. The Over is 2-1-1 in the 4 previous meetings in St. Petersburg this season, too.

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Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (65-46) and Cleveland Guardians (67-42) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Progressive Field is at 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 4-1

The Guardians doubled up the Orioles 8-4 in Friday’s game, and Cleveland has now outscored Baltimore 18-7 in the first 2 games of the series.

The Guards have won 5 in a row, averaging 7.0 runs per game (RPG) during the span, while allowing just 2.8 RPG. The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 contests, too.

The O’s have dropped 3 of the past 5 games while going a dismal 5-8 across the previous 13 outings. The Over has connected in both games of this series, and the total has gone high at an 11-1 clip in the past 12 contests while going 14-2 in the past 16 outings.

Orioles at Guardians projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. LHP Joey Cantillo

Eflin (6-7, 4.11 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 116 IP with the Tampa Bay Rays and Orioles.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 10 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 7 K in 11-5 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays in his team debut Monday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-5, 5.32 ERA (66 IP, 39 ER), 1.30 WHIP, .285 opponents’ batting average, 9 BB, 54 K in 8 starts with Rays
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 18.00 ERA (3 IP, 6 ER), 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 9-2 home loss Aug. 13, 2023, with Rays

Cantillo (0-0, 8.10 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He allowed 3 earned runs on 4 hits and 3 walks with 3 K’s in 3 1/3 innings in his debut, a 4-3 victory at the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday.

  • 2024 stats with Triple-A Columbus: 1-1, 2.79 ERA (29 IP, 9 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts)
  • Is starting in place of RHP Tanner Bibee (shoulder)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+134) | Guardians +1.5 (-162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 7, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The ORIOLES (-118) are a solid play behind the veteran Eflin, who looks to have a new lease on life after coming over from AL East rival Tampa Bay.

The Guardians (+100) have played well in this series, piling up the offense against Baltimore pitching, but they cannot be trusted behind the rookie Cantillo. The pitching scales are tipped in Baltimore’s favor Saturday.

Run line/Against the spread

Obviously, don’t play both the moneyline and the run line. But, if you’re a little less conservative, take ORIOLES -1.5 (+134). Baltimore has 4 wins in the past 7 games, and it won each of those outings by at least 2 runs. So, if you like the O’s to win, you should also like them to get the job done on the run line.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is a strong play, especially with the rookie going up against an angry Baltimore offense which has struggled in the first 2 games of the series.

The Over is on an 11-1 run in the past 12 games for the O’s while going 3-1 in the past 4 outings for the Guardians. Go high, and feel confidently in doing so.

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Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (65-45) and the Cleveland Guardians (66-42) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Progressive Field is at 6:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-1

The Guardians rolled up an impressive 10-3 win in the series opener Thursday behind RHP Ben Lively. Cleveland produced 11 hits, with 4 players posting 2 or more knocks. Newcomer OF Lane Thomas, a deadline acquisition, went 2-for-4 with a pair of doubles, a walk and 2 runs scored.

The Orioles saw LHP Trevor Rogers get pounded in the opener, allowing 5 ER, 6 H and 3 BB across 4 1/3 IP in his team debut on Friday.

The 10 runs allowed by the O’s was the most since a 19-8 loss on the road against the Oakland Athletics. The Over (9) cashed Thursday, and the total has now went high at a 10-1 pace in the past 11 games for Baltimore, while going 13-2 in the past 15 outings since July 14, the final game prior to the All-Star break.

Orioles at Guardians projected starters

RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Kremer (4-7, 4.20 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 75 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 R (1 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 9-4 home setback vs. San Diego Padres last Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-3, 3.05 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP, .174 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 13 BB, 37 K in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-2, 6.23 ERA (13 IP, 9 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 in 3 starts

Carrasco (3-9, 5.68 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 95 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 8-0 setback at Philadelphia Phillies last Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-4, 5.36 ERA (42 IP, 25 ER), 1.45 WHIP, .307 OBA, 11 BB, 38 K in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Orioles: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in 4-2 road loss June 26
  • Career vs. Orioles: 4-2, 2.23 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 7 starts (8 appearances)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -122 (bet $122 to win $100) | Guardians +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+128) | Guardians +1.5 (-154)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Guardians 5

Moneyline

The ORIOLES (-122) are worth a look as they look to avenge Thursday’s beatdown with the southpaw Rogers.

The Guardians (+104) have struggled in games which Carrasco has started, going 0-3 in his past 3 outings. Cleveland has been outscored 18-2 in those 3 starts. Cookie took a no-decision in a 4-2 loss in Baltimore on June 26, too.

Back the O’s, as they get the rebound win.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the conservative side, consider the GUARDIANS +1.5 (-154) catching the run and a half at home.

The Guardians are 3-1 in 4 meetings against the Orioles this season, but that only setback was a game Carrasco started, so be careful.

Over/Under

OVER 9 (-115) might be the best play on the board.

The Under might be 5-3 in the past 8 games for the Guardians at home. However, the total has gone high in 13 of the past 15 games for the Orioles.

With these 2 sub-.500 pitchers on the bump, the offenses should be able to pile up the runs.

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Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (65-44) and the Cleveland Guardians (65-42) open a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field is at 6:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 2-1

The Guardians swept a quick 2-game series at the Detroit Tigers Monday and Tuesday. They have won 3 in a row, while going 6-2 across the past 8 games. The Under is 6-1 in the past 7 for Cleveland, while cashing at a 12-3 clip in the previous 15 contests.

The Orioles took 3 of 4 games at home from the Toronto Blue Jays earlier this week, including a doubleheader split Monday. Opposite of the Guards, the O’s have hit the Over in 9 of the past 10 games, and 12-2 across the past 14 outings.

These teams met June 24-26 in Baltimore, with Cleveland taking 2 of 3 and the Under hitting in 2 of the contests.

Watch this game with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Orioles at Guardians projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Ben Lively

The Orioles haven’t named a starting pitcher at the time of this publishing.

Lively (9-6, 3.44 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 99 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 3-1 victory at Philadelphia Phillies last Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-1, 2.66 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.08 WHIP, .233 opponents’ batting average, 9 BB, 35 K in 7 starts
  • Has never faced Orioles

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Guardians -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+136) | Guardians +1.5 (-164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Orioles at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-108) are a strong play in this clash of potential playoff teams.

Lively has been one of the more consistent starting pitchers for Cleveland, and he’ll get the job done against Baltimore in this series opener.

The Guardians are an MLB-best 33-15 at home, easily the best mark in the American League. This should be a close contest, though, as the Orioles are 31-19 on the road, the 2nd-best mark in the AL — behind the Yankees (38-22).

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a much more conservative bettor, and you don’t want to play the Guardians on the moneyline, Cleveland +1.5 (-164) isn’t priced out of line if you prefer a bit of insurance.

As a favorite, Cleveland is 4-1 on the run line in the past 5 tries.

Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-120) is an outstanding bet in this series opener.

The Under has cashed in 3 straight starts for Lively, while cashing at a 12-3 mark in the past 15 outings. At home, Cleveland has hit the Under at a 5-2 clip in the previous 7 outings.

For the O’s, while the Over is 12-2 across the past 14 games, the Under is 2-1 in 3 meetings with Cleveland this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (50-58) meet the Baltimore Orioles (64-44) on Wednesday to finish off their 4-game series. First pitch from Camden Yards is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 5-4

The trade deadline is over and the Orioles were a buyer as they push to the playoffs. The AL East leaders beat the Blue Jays 6-2 on Tuesday for their 2nd win in the 3-game series. The Blue Jays left 7 men on base in the loss.

The teams split Monday’s doubleheader with the Orioles winning 11-5 and the Blue Jays winning the nightcap 8-4.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Kikuchi (4-9, 4.75 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 115 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 6-5 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Friday
  • 2024 road stats: 2-2, 4.69 ERA (48 IP, 25 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 10 starts

Rodriguez (12-4, 3.82 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 110 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 6-4 home loss vs. San Diego Padres Friday.
  • 2024 home stats: 5-2, 3.19 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 9 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Orioles -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-105) | Orioles -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

As a road underdog the Blue Jays post a 37.8% win rate (14-23). Plus, the Orioles appear to have ended their slump right before the All Star break, and look closer to their old selves. But at the current odds it is best to PASS and look to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

As a home favorite, Baltimore fails to cover more often than not. They are 24-27 in these situations. And, on the road, Toronto is 33-21 (61.1%) against the spread, the highest hit rate in the AL.

BET BLUE JAYS +1.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

As an underdog the Blue Jays are 33-20-2 (62.3%) to the Over. On top of that the Orioles are 49-29-8 (62.8%) as a favorite. Tuesday’s game broke a 7-game Over streak for Toronto and an 8-game Over streak for Baltimore, I expect both teams to come out swinging.

LEAN OVER 9 (-120).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (50-57) and Baltimore Orioles (63-44) tangle Tuesday as they continue a 4-game AL East series in Charm City. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

Toronto downed the Orioles 8-4 in the nightcap of a Monday twin bill (Baltimore won the opener 11-5). Over their last 5 games, the Blue Jays have scored 6.60 runs per contest while notching a robust .922 OPS.

Baltimore pitching continues to have mid-summer struggles at home. Since June 29, the Orioles are 4-9 alongside the B&O Warehouse. Over that stretch, Baltimore has registered a 5.85 ERA.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Bassitt (8-9, 3.78 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 119 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 13-0 loss vs. Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 3-2, 4.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 38 H, 10 BB, 39 K in 6 starts

Burnes (10-4, 2.45 ERA) is making his 22nd start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 132 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7.1 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-6 win at Miami Marlins Thursday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 2.18 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 15 H, 5 BB, 16 K in 3 starts
  • Squaring off against the Blue Jays for a 3rd time this season: allowed just 2 ER across 13 IP over the 1st 2 meetings
  • Has 2.03 ERA for the season at Camden Yards (1.50 ERA last 36 IP)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Orioles -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-115) | Orioles -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

Current Baltimore bats own an aggregate 1.083 OPS against Bassitt, per ESPN. With the way Burnes has pitched against Toronto this season and the way he’s pitched at Camden, the Orioles are a slight lean here. But so is a higher-than-projected total score.

So, PASS on the ML and look to get the home nine by with a cushion.

Run line/Against the spread

Figure Toronto’s recent surge with the bats as being accompanied by some fortunate rates around the margins. Over the last week, the Blue Jays have gotten by with a .318 batting average on balls in play.

Burnes gets a lot of ground balls, and Toronto scuffles against ground-ball pitchers. Look for the Orioles to get out in front and file a win by 2-plus in this Tuesday battle of the birds.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a better leverage tag here. BACK BALTIMORE -1.5 (+104).

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 7 straight Toronto games and in 9 of its last 10 contests on the road. And the Over is 8-for-8 in Baltimore’s last 8 games.

The Over is 5-1 across the last 4 Toronto-Baltimore games. Rain is in the weather forecast, but so is some heat, humidity and an outward breeze. With the expected-ERA numbers for both starters being higher than their surface numbers, the OVER 8.5 (-110) is the value play.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (48-56) and Baltimore Orioles (61-43) meet Monday as they swing into a 4-game series, beginning  with a twin bill at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The opening contest is set for a 3:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

Toronto is 5-4 in the 2nd half and is on the road for the 1st time since July 14. The Blue Jays arrive in Baltimore with a 3-game win streak in tow after sweeping the Texas Rangers over the weekend. Toronto clocked a high-contact .957 OPS over that trio of wins.

The AL East-leading Orioles have been on a slide. Baltimore is 2-5 over its last 7 games and 5-10 since July 9. Across their last 9 games at Camden Yards, the Orioles have a 2-7 record while posting a 5.67 ERA.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Rodriguez (1-3, 3.60 ERA) is making his 11th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 40 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-3 win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • Has made 4 starts since July 1, posting a 2.01 ERA in 22 1/3 IP
  • Has never faced the Orioles

Eflin (5-7, 4.09 ERA) makes his 20th start. He owns a 1.16 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 110 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-3 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-3, 5.90 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 50 H, 9 BB, 32 K in 5 starts
  • Making 1st start for Baltimore after being acquired from the Rays on Friday. Coincidentally, his last start with Tampa was against  Toronto

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Orioles -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-125) | Orioles -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

Toronto is 6-13 across its last 19 games against the Orioles.

In scoring 4.06 runs per game while allowing 4.75 RPG, the Blue Jays have likely been a bit fortunate to post a .467 win percentage to date. Rodriguez has gotten by with a .267 batting average on balls in play and is a bounce candidate.

In multiple parks over his career, Eflin has posted solid numbers at home. Over his 9-year career, he’s allowed a .796 OPS on the road but has held opposing bats to a .686 mark in games at home.

Since June 3 Toronto has played in 15 series. They have dropped 13 series lid-lifters over that stretch.

The price on the O’s makes for a high hurdle, but there is value on BALTIMORE (-190).

Run line/Against the spread

Four of 6 series meetings this season have been decided by 1 run, and the Jays have trended toward a lot of close games of late. But some bettors may want to avoid the ML price tag and back BALTIMORE -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 5 straight Toronto games and in 7 of its last 8 contests on the road. And the Over is 6-for-6 in Baltimore’s last half-dozen games.

It’s just a slight lean here, but the Over is 3-1 across the last 4 Toronto-Baltimore games, and on a warm day with an outward breeze in the forecast and 2 fly-ball pitchers starting, the OVER 9 (-105) is the value play.

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San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (57-50) and Baltimore Orioles (61-43) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

San Diego won its 7th straight game Saturday, 9-4 over the Orioles after winning the Friday opener 6-4. RHP Michael King quelled Baltimore’s offense to just 2 runs over 6 1/3 innings Saturday and Padres 3B Manny Machado put away the team that drafted him with a 3-run blast in the 7th. San Diego improved to 31-22 on the road and 56-51 against the spread (ATS).

Baltimore’s defense failed SP Dean Kremer (6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 1BB, 7 K) with 2 costly errors early in the game. CF Cedric Mullins provided all of the Orioles offense, going 2-for-4 with a HR, double and 4 RBIs. Baltimore has lost 5 of its last 6 games and is 13-18 during interleague play.

Padres at Orioles projected starters

RHP Randy Vasquez vs. RHP Albert Suarez

Vasquez (3-5, 4.17 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 69 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-0 victory at  Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-2, 5.01 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 in 7 games
  • Only start vs Orioles: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 1 K in a 6-3 loss on July 5, 2023, as member of New York Yankees

Suarez (5-4, 3.48 ERA) makes his 14th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-3 defeat at Miami Marlins Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 2.31 ERA (35 IP, 9 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 9 games
  • Has not pitched against the Padres since 2016

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Orioles -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-146) | Orioles -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Orioles 5

Moneyline

BET PADRES (+136).

The Padres continue to play great baseball. They’ve won 7 straight coming into Sunday’s game and I’m going to ride that momentum. The pitching staff has allowed just 11 total runs and tossed 3 shutouts over the 7-game run. Vasquez has found his groove over the last 5 starts, going 2-1 allowing just 5 total ER in 26 1/3 IP.

The Orioles are the better team, but right now they are in a bit of a funk coming out of the All-Star break. Saurez is 2-4 over his last 6 starts, allowing 12 ER over his last 3 starts. The continued pitching woes are why the Orioles acquired RHP Zach Eflin from the Tampa Bay Rays.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Since we’re backing the Padres’ moneyline, let’s stay away from the run line.

Over/Under

PASS.

I was confident the Saturday game would go Under, but obviously it did not. I’m gun-shy to give an official pick, but my lean would be the Over considering the pitching matchup.

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