Tag: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles odds predictions pick betting line spread

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (19-22) and Baltimore Orioles (26-14) meet at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Tuesday as they play the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for a 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0

Toronto took Monday’s series opener 3-2 in 10 innings. The solid Blue Jays pitching was a welcome sight for Toronto fans; the Jays had logged a 5.65 ERA over their previous 9 games.

Monday’s loss marked the 2nd in a row for Baltimore, and both setbacks have been in low-scoring fashion. A batting attack ranked 5th in MLB with 5 runs per game (powered by a robust .438 slugging percentage) has cooled of late. The Orioles have posted a .mere .690 OPS over their last 12 games.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Bassitt (3-5, 5.06 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has notched a 1.55 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 42 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-3 win at Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 3-2, 4.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 38 H, 10 BB, 39 K in 6 starts
  • Owns a 6.20 ERA over his last 4 starts

Bradish (0-0, 1.86 ERA) makes his 3rd start after missing all of April with an elbow injury. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 in 9 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 7-6 win at Washington Nationals Wednesday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-3, 5.25 ERA (36 IP, 21 ER), 40 H, 11 BB, 26 K in 7 starts

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Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Orioles -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-150) | Orioles -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

There is some overall fade to Toronto despite the club’s sub-.500 record, and the Orioles (-165) have not lost 2 in a row since April 12-13.

But Bassitt, who has been somewhat undone by a .333 batting average on balls in play, is likely being undervalued by bettors. Baltimore is worthy of a significant lean but not the current outright tag: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

This match-up has an Over lean, and that’s the strongest play in the game. But figure ORIOLES -1.5 (+125) as being worthy of a look, perhaps on a partial-unit basis.

Over/Under

An outward breeze is expected at Camden Yards, and the Blue Jays bullpen has been tagged with a lot of hard contact en route to clocking a hefty 5.04 ERA so far. Both rosters have solid match-up numbers against the starting moundsmen (Toronto .865 OPS vs. Bradish and Baltimore 1.036 OPS vs. Bassitt, per ESPN).

BACK THE OVER 8 (-115).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (18-22) and Baltimore Orioles (26-13) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; Orioles won 10 of 13 games in 2023

Toronto is back on the road after an abbreviated 3-game weekend homestand against the Minnesota Twins. The Twins took 2 of 3 from the Blue Jays, who are now just 5-12 since April 23.

Baltimore lost to the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday but is 7-2 with a 2.44 ERA over its last 9 games. The Orioles head into the middle week of May with the best record in the American League.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Berrios (4-3, 2.85 ERA) is lined up for his 9th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 47 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 10-1 loss at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 10-1, 2.98 ERA (90 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 82 H, 17 BB, 76 K in 14 starts, including 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts last season

Burnes (3-2, 2.83 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 47 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-0 loss at Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 3.52 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home victory with Milwaukee Brewers June 25, 2022

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Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BALTIMORE (-175) is 6-2 over its last 8 games against Toronto. In last year’s season series, the Orioles were a plus-35 in run differential.

Toronto has averaged just 3.68 runs per game while allowing 4.85, and a compelling case can be made that the Blue Jays have been fortunate to thus far log a .450 winning percentage.

Both starters have been a bit fortunate with batting averages on balls in play. Both have expected ERA figures over that of their surface numbers, but Berrios is likely much further from his settling point.

His BABIP in inning lead-off situations is .206; with runners in scoring position, his BABIP is .111. On the road, Berrios has registered a 4.96 ERA since 2022 (vs. 3.48 at home).

Burnes owns a 2.51 ERA at home this season. He gets more ground balls than Berrios, and they could prove as a big key with a weather report calling for a double-digit outward-blowing breeze.

BET THE ORIOLES (-175).

Run line/Against the spread

An Orioles -1.5 price of +130 or better would make for value here. Otherwise, PASS.

Over/Under

Toronto’s last road trip was comprised of 5 games, and the Over went 4-1.

The batter’s breeze, fade of the starters and Toronto bullpen (a bottom-5 unit) play into a solid Over lean in this one.

It looks like the pitching surface lines are getting too much credit here. There is value on the OVER 8 (-105).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (70-57) conclude a 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (78-48) on Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 9-3

The Blue Jays were shut out 7-0 on Wednesday by the Orioles, snapping a 3-game winning streak. Toronto is in 3rd place in the AL East and is 8 1/2 games back of Baltimore atop the division.

In Wednesday’s lopsided win, OF Anthony Santander delivered 2 HRs for the Orioles. Baltimore has won 7 of its last 10 contests and is 2 games ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays for 1st place in the AL East.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Kyle Gibson

Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 146 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 8 K in a 1-0 road loss to the Cincinnati Reds on Friday
  • Road stats: 5-4, 3.62 ERA (82 IP, 33 ER) in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 10-0, 2.66 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 25 ER) in 13 starts

Gibson (12-7, 4.97 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 150 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 9-4 road win over the Oakland Athletics on Friday
  • Home stats: 5-3, 5.34 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 7-2, 4.23 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 36 ER) in 13 starts

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Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Orioles +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

While both of the pitchers in this divisional matchup have had success against the opposing team in their career, I’ll back the BLUE JAYS (-110) on the road on Thursday. Berrios boasts a 10-0 record against the Orioles in 13 career starts, including a road win earlier this season.

Run line/Against the spread

Even though this game should be close, I’ll PASS on taking the run line as -175 odds for the Orioles to cover the spread isn’t worth the risk.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the play in this game despite Gibson’s recent struggles on the mound. The Under is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings overall.

The Blue Jays have also hit the Over in only 2 of their last 7 road games.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (70-56) and Baltimore Orioles (77-48) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 8-3

The Blue Jays won 6-3 in 10 innings as -101 underdogs in the series opener Tuesday. DH Brandon Belt hit a 2-run HR in the 10th inning as Toronto won for the 5th time in its last 7 games. The Blue Jays remain 1 game behind the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot.

The Orioles had a 3-game win streak snapped Tuesday. Baltimore’s lead over the 2nd-place Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East was been cut to just 2 games with the loss.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Gausman (9-7, 3.24 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 144 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 7 R (5 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-4 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 6-4, 3.38 ERA (69 1/3 IP, 26 ER) in 12 starts
  • 2023 vs. Orioles: 0-1, 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home loss Aug. 3
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-2, 5.06 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 12 ER) in 4 starts

Flaherty (8-8, 4.73 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 123 2/3 innings with the St. Louis Cardinals and Orioles.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 10-3 loss at San Diego Padres on Aug. 15
  • 2023 home stats: 4-4, 5.63 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 29 ER) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K on Aug. 3

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Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Orioles 2

Moneyline

Gausman should bounce back after one of his worst performances of the season last time out. The former Oriole is averaging just 0.5 earned runs per game this season after allowing 4 or more earned runs in his previous start. Gausman should keep this game low-scoring and set the Blue Jays up to finally hand Flaherty his 1st career loss vs. Toronto.

BET BLUE JAYS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles are 11-5 on the run line this season as home underdogs, according to TeamRankings.com. Baltimore will likely hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Toronto ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

Gausman has proven this season that he is capable of bouncing back after bad performances, and Flaherty has looked good vs. Toronto in 2 career starts.

The Under is 21-16 (56.8%) this season when the Blue Jays are road favorites and should hit again Wednesday with Toronto’s best starter on the mound.

BET UNDER 8 (+100).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (69-56) and Baltimore Orioles (77-47) open a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 8-2

The Blue Jays won 10-3 as -112 favorites at the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. DH Brandon Belt hit 2 HRs as Toronto won for the 4th time in its last 6 games. The Blue Jays are 1 game behind the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot.

The Orioles won 12-1 as -181 favorites at the Oakland Athletics Sunday. SS Jorge Mateo hit an inside-the-park HR as Baltimore completed a 3-game sweep. The Orioles have a 3-game lead over the 2nd-place Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Kikuchi (9-4, 3.44 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 128 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-2, 3.60 ERA (70 IP, 28 ER) in 13 starts
  • 2023 vs. Orioles: 1-1, 3.52 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 6 ER) in 3 starts — Most recent: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-1 home victory Aug. 2
  • Career vs. Orioles: 4-5, 5.40 ERA (45 IP, 27 ER) in 8 starts and 3 relief appearances

Rodriguez (3-3, 5.44 ERA) makes his 17th start. The rookie has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 81 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-1 victory at San Diego Padres on Aug. 14
  • 2023 home stats: 1-2, 6.69 ERA (39 IP, 29 ER) in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.22 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K on Aug. 2

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Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Orioles -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

Baltimore has owned Toronto this season and should continue its dominance Tuesday, especially after outscoring Oakland 28-7 over the weekend.

Toronto is just 11-23 vs. AL East opponents this year and has lost 4 of the last 5 meetings vs. Baltimore.

BET ORIOLES (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Four of the Blue Jays’ last 6 losses have been by just 1 run. Toronto +1.5 (-200) will likely hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Baltimore ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

Baltimore’s offense was impressive in its most recent series, scoring 7 or more runs in each game. The Over has hit in 3 straight contests for the Orioles and is 11-5-1 (68.8%) this season when Baltimore is coming off 1 day of rest, according to TeamRankings.com.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (38-31) and the Baltimore Orioles (42-25) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-1

The Blue Jays picked up their 1st victory in 5 tries against the Orioles this season with a 3-1 win Wednesday. The 3 runs were enough to back RHP Jose Berrios, who carried a no-hitter into the 7th inning.

The Orioles saw their 5-game win streak snapped Wednesday, and the lone run was their worst output since getting shut out 4-0 at the San Francisco Giants on June 3. Baltimore was averaging 6.3 runs per game (RPG) across its previous 8 games heading into Wednesday.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Tyler Wells

Kikuchi (6-2, 4.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 66 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 home loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 3-1, 5.00 ERA (36 IP, 20 ER – 11 HR) with a .287 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts
  • Allowed 3 ER on 4 H and 4 BB with 3 K in 4 2/3 IP vs. Baltimore in Toronto on May 19 and he has posted a 6.29 ERA in 9 career games against the O’s

Wells (5-2, 3.24 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th appearance. He has an 0.85 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 75 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Kansas City Royals Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-2, 2.49 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 12 ER) with a .188 OBA in 7 starts

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 5:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

The ORIOLES (-135) will get back on track against the Blue Jays Wednesday to win the series and improve to 5-1 on the season against their AL East rival.

Kikuchi struggled with his control in the meeting in mid-May against the O’s in Toronto, and he has terrible career numbers against Baltimore.

Look for the home side to get untracked after a rare low-scoring game Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

The ORIOLES -1.5 (+150) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line at plus money.

Baltimore is 3-1 in the past 4 games as a favorite on the run line, and 3 of its 4 wins against Toronto this season were by at least 2 runs.

The O’s have won 8 of the past 10 games against AL East foes and are 13-3 in the past 16 in Game 3 of a series. Baltimore is also 13-5 in the past 18 vs. left-handed pitchers, too.

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Over/Under

Playing the UNDER 9 (-120) is the lean, but it comes with risk if Baltimore does what it usually does against Kikuchi and the Jays.

The Under cashed comfortably in Wednesday’s game and is 9-4-1 in the past 14 games for Toronto against teams with a winning record.

The Under is 4-0 in the past 4 games for the O’s against left-handed starting pitchers while going 4-0 in the past 4 at home vs. LHP, too.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (37-31) and the Baltimore Orioles (42-24) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Wednesday in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-0

The Blue Jays limp into this game with 3 losses in the past 4 games, splashing cold water on the team after Toronto had won 3 of 4 games from the defending champ Houston Astros. Pitching has been the biggest concern lately, allowing a total of 26 runs across the past 3 outings.

The Orioles, meanwhile, are red-hot. Baltimore has won 5 in a row, scoring 6 or more runs in 4 of the 5 victories. Pitching has also been solid for the O’s, as the staff has allowed a total of just 15 runs over the past 5 outings.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Berrios (6-4, 3.61 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 77 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Houston Astros last Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 3-3, 4.40 ERA (47 IP, 23 ER – 5 HR) with a .264 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts

Bradish (2-2, 4.25 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 53 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 6-3 road win vs. the Milwaukee Brewers last Thursday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.74 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 9 ER) with a .241 OBA in 4 starts

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) | Orioles +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-115) will exact a little revenge on the Orioles (-105) in this AL East bird battle, as I like the way Berrios has been pitching lately.

The Toronto right-hander has quality starts in both of his 2 June appearances, and he has lasted 6 or more innings while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 7 of his past 10 outings. His only real rough outings came on May 1 at Boston, and his very 1st assignment of the season April 3 at Kansas City of all places.

Run line/Against the spread

The ORIOLES +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance, but can’t play the home team straight up. Baltimore has been white-hot lately, and it is unbeaten against Toronto in 4 matchups this season.

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Over/Under

Total 9 is a PASS for me, as I expect the total to come down right on the number.

The Under is 8-3-1 in the past 12 games for Toronto against winning teams, but the Over is 13-3 in the past 16 inside the division and 14-6 in the past 20 on the road.

The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 divisional games for the O’s, but the Under is 9-3-2 in the past 14 at home against winning teams. The trends are all over the place.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (37-30) begin a 3-game series with the Baltimore Orioles (41-24) Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

The AL East is daunting this season. There are multiple divisions where both team’s current record would put them in 1st place. Alas, Baltimore is 5.5 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays and the Blue Jays are 10.5 back.

Both teams won their last game. The Orioles swept the Kansas City Royals with an impressive 11-3 victory on Sunday. The Blue Jays avoided a sweep with a 7-6 win against the Al Central-leading Minnesota Twins. But division games have been an Achilles heel for Toronto who will need to right that ship as soon as possible.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Bassitt (7-4, 3.29 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 82 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 B, 5 K in a 3-2 win vs. the Houston Astros Wednesday.
  • Allows .244 BA when the batter is ahead in the count.

Kremer (6-3, 4.89 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 70 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K in an 10-2 road loss vs. the Milwaukee Brewers
  • Allows .333 average when the batter swings at the first pitch, .270 when they don’t.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Orioles +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Orioles 2

Moneyline

The AL East is a scary division this year, but Baltimore has an 11-6 division record vs. Toronto’s 6-15. But that hides that fact that the Blue Jays are a better team than their record indicates. They have the 2nd-best non-division record in baseball at 31-15.

The line is juicy, but I don’t like Toronto to cover so I will stick with the moneyline. LEAN BLUE JAYS -140.

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto is just 16-20 ATS after a win and 31-36 overall. I see more value betting Toronto to win straight up then taking them against the spread. PASS.

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Over/Under

Coming off a win Baltimore is a toss up in the totals market (19-19-2), but Toronto trends toward the Under (20-14-2). Combine that with that fact that Baltimore leans Under in Camden Yards (17-13-2). I see a low scoring game.

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (91-69) and Baltimore Orioles (82-78) play the second game of a season-ending 3-game set Tuesday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 9-8

The Blue Jays secured the top spot in the AL wild-card standings after a 5-1 rain-shortened win at the Orioles Monday. Toronto 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit his 32nd HR of the season in the 3rd inning. The game was called due to rain with the Blue Jays batting with 2 outs in the 8th inning after a 55-minute wait.

Toronto will host a best-of-3 AL wild-card series Friday vs. either the Seattle Mariners or the Tampa Bay Rays.

Baltimore lost Monday after closing as a +106 home underdog on the moneyline. Orioles starter RHP Dean Kremer allowed 3 ER on 6 H with 4 K through 6 IP in the loss.

Baltimore is 3-7 in its last 10 games.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Mitch White vs. RHP Mike Baumann

White (1-6, 5.21 ERA) makes his 19th start and 25th appearance of the season. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 95 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision vs. the New York Yankees Wednesday with 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 1 K
  • Only career start vs. the Orioles: Road loss Sept. 6 with 2 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K

Baumann (1-3, 4.34 ERA) makes his 4th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 29 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision at the Boston Red Sox Thursday with 4 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 2 K
  • 2022 vs. Toronto: 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS (-120).

White is still looking to record his first win as a Blue Jay and should be able to get it vs. an Orioles team that doesn’t have much to play for anymore. Baltimore has already secured its first winning season since 2016 and should be content with the progress it made this year. Toronto has more motivation to come away with a win.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+135).

The Blue Jays have been routing teams in recent wins. Eleven of Toronto’s last 12 wins have been by multiple runs and the Blue Jays have outscored opponents 30-4 in their last 4 games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (+100).

Monday’s game was called early due to rain, but the Blue Jays had the bases loaded at the time and could’ve put up more runs. Toronto is 1st in MLB with 7.00 runs per game in its last 3 games and the Over is 5-0 in White’s last 5 starts. Toronto’s impressive offense combined with White’s volatility on the mound should help the Over hit Tuesday.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (90-69) and Baltimore Orioles (82-77) open a season-ending 3-game set Monday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 8-8

Blue Jays RF Teoscar Hernández hit 2 HRs in Toronto’s 6-3 win at home vs. the Boston Red Sox Sunday. Toronto 2B Whit Merrifield also homered in the win as the Blue Jays increased their lead to 2.5 games over the Seattle Mariners for the top spot in the AL wild-card standings.

The Orioles did not allow New York Yankees OF Aaron Judge to break the AL home run record in a 3-1 win Sunday at Yankee Stadium. Baltimore won 2-of-3 games in the series and only allowed Judge to put 1-of-68 pitches in play over that span.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP José Berríos vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Berríos (11-7, 5.37 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 166 IP.

  • Last start: Lost Tuesday vs. the Yankees with 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 7 K
  • Has allowed 5+ ER in 2 consecutive starts and has lost 2 of his last 3 decisions
  • 2022 vs. Baltimore: 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA (19 IP, 7 ER) in 3 starts

Kremer (8-6, 3.17 ERA) makes his 21st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 119 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Lost Wednesday at the Boston Red Sox with 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K
  • Has allowed over 3 ER in 1 of his last 10 appearances
  • 2022 vs. Toronto: 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+127) | Orioles +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 3, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES +110.

Toronto has dominated Boston this season but has struggled vs. Baltimore in comparison. Expect a let-down game from the Blue Jays who just outscored the Red Sox by a combined 25-3 over their last 3 games.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-165).

If you would like a more conservative play than Orioles ML, Baltimore’s RL is still being offered at a good price. Kremer has been solid for the Orioles lately and Toronto’s offense may disappoint after putting up an unsustainable amount of runs vs. Boston.

Over/Under

PASS.

This line opened at 8 at most books and looks like it will end up closer to 7. I would lean toward the Under in this matchup, but I’m worried about how many runs Berríos may allow considering his play as of late.

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