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NL Wild Card Series Game 2: Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in Game 2 of their best-of-3 NL Wild Card Series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Padres lead 1-0; Regular-season series: Padres won 4-3

The Braves were running on fumes after playing a makeup doubleheader in Atlanta against the New York Mets Monday just to get into the postseason. After a cross-country flight, the Braves seemed to be lacking energy in a 4-0 loss to the Padres Tuesday in Game 1 of this series. Atlanta, which was a +170 underdog, had just 1 extra-base hit — a double — and 6 singles in the loss.

With ace Chris Sale dealing with back spasms, the Braves called up Triple-A SP AJ Smith-Shawver to make just his 2nd start this season for the big-league club in Tuesday’s Wild Card opener. It didn’t go well as he 21-year-old Texan gave up a leadoff single to NL batting champ DH Luis Arraez and a 2-run homer to RF Fernando Tatis Jr. to the Padres’ first 2 batters. Smith-Shawver allowed another run in the 2nd after hitting a batter followed by a single and a sacrifice fly to the first 3 batters of the inning before being removed. His final line: 1 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 1 K, throwing only 19 of 29 pitches for strikes.

On the flip side, Padres SP Michael King scattered 5 hits across 7 scoreless innings with 12 K’s while throwing 65 of his 89 pitches for strikes for his 1st-career postseason victory. His only previous playoff appearance came in 2 innings of relief for the New York Yankees in a 2020 ALDS.

The Padres were the only home team to win Tuesday out of the 4 Wild Card Games. C Kyle Higashioka had the Padres’ other 2 RBIs behind the 2nd-inning sacrifice fly and an 8th-inning solo homer..

Atlanta is still 8-4 across the past 12 games.

Braves at Padres projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Fried (11-10, 3.25 ERA) made 29 regular-season starts. He had a 1.16 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 174 1/3 innings with 1 complete game.

  • Last start: Win, 8 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-0 home victory vs. Kansas City Royals Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 7-6, 3.26 ERA (99 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 10 HR, 33 BB, 99 K, .215 opponents batting average (OBA), 1.12 WHIP in 17 starts
  • Last 7 starts: 4-3, 2.36 ERA (45 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 47 K
  • 2024 vs. Padres: 1 road start, loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-1 defeat May 17
  • Career vs. Padres: 3-1, 2.30 (31 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 23 K, 1 complete game in 5 starts
  • Career postseason: 2-4, 4.57 ERA (65 IP, 33 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 64 K in 11 starts and 8 relief appearances

Musgrove (6-5, 3.88 ERA) made 19 regular-season starts. He had a 1.17 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 7-2 loss at LA Dodgers Sept. 26
  • 2024 home splits: 4-4, 3.86 ERA (65 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 12 HR, 11 BB, 70 K, .241 OBA, 1.07 WHIP in 12 starts
  • Last 7 starts: 3-1, 2.38 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 50 K
  • Career vs. Braves: 3-1, 4.29 (42 IP, 20 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 41 K in 8 starts — last facing Atlanta in 2022
  • Career postseason: 2-1, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 21 K, 1.11 WHIP in 3 starts and 7 relief appearances

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Braves at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-250) | Padres -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Braves at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 3, Padres 2

Moneyline

The BRAVES (+100) are worth a look at even-money behind the southpaw Fried.

The Padres (-120) use the hometown pitcher Musgrove, who is from nearby El Cajon, Calif. Like Fried, he has pitched well down the stretch. The difference is that the lefty Fried has handled himself a little better over the years against San Diego.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves +1.5 (-200) will set you back 2 times the potential return. That’s too much risk for a little insurance. AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (+100) might be the best play on the board. I’d wait it out to see if the O/U line jumps to 7 though.

The Atlanta bats were asleep after the double dip Monday, overnight travel, quick turnaround and scrambling to find a starter for Game 1. Things are a little more back to normal with Fried toeing the slab.

The Under is 8-1-1 in the past 10 games for Atlanta, while going 4-1-1 in the past 6 games on the road.

For San Diego, the total has gone low at an 11-2-1 pace in the past 14 outings, while cashing at a 6-0-1 clip in the past 7 at Petco Park.

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NL Wild Card Series Game 1: Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres meet in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series on Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Padres won 4-3

The Braves saved their best for last. In a makeup doubleheader against the New York Mets on Monday, Atlanta lost 8-7 in a wild Game 1. In Game 2, the Braves needed a win, and they notched a 3-0 victory as a heavy favorite (-275) as the Under (9) cashed.

Atlanta wrapped up the regular season 8-3 in the final 11 games, while the Under went 7-1-1 in the last 9 outings. The Braves allowed 1 or 0 runs in 4 of the final 6 contests, too.

LHP Chris Sale missed the regular-season finale due to back spasms, and he will not be available to pitch until at least the NLDS, should the Braves qualify.

The Braves have not yet announced a starter for Game 1 at the time of publishing.

The Padres lost 11-2 on Sunday to the Arizona Diamondbacks in the regular-season finale, but they managed an 11-4 record since Sept. 13. The Under went 10-2-1 in the final 13 contests.

Braves at Padres projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Michael King

The Braves have 3 options for Game 1. RHP Ian Anderson, RHP Bryce Elder and RHP AJ Smith-Shawver.

  • Anderson (4-0, 1.26 ERA) 35 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 20 H (1 HR), 17 BB, 40 K, .159 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 0.94 WHIP in 8 postseason starts. Hasn’t appeared in MLB since 2022
  • Elder (2-5, 6.52 ERA) 49 2/3 IP, 36 ER, 64 H (8 HR), 17 BB, 46 K, .311 OBA, 1.63 WHIP in 10 MLB starts in 2024
  • Smith-Shawver (0-0, 0.00 ERA), 4 1/3 IP, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K, .188 OBA, 1.15 WHIP in 1 MLB start in 2024

King (13-9, 2.95 ERA) made 30 regular-season starts and 1 relief appearance. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-2 road victory vs. LA Dodgers Sept. 24
  • 2024 home splits: 4-5, 3.32 ERA, 78 2/3 IP, 29 ER, 8 HR, 29 BB, 109 K, .223 OBA, 1.22 WHIP in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-3, 2.11 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 32 H, 16 BB, 40 K, 1.25 WHIP
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-0, 0.00 (3 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 1 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 relief appearance in 2023
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 2 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 1 relief appearance with New York Yankees in 2020

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Braves at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Braves at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Braves 2

Moneyline

The PADRES (-165) are a moderate favorite against the Braves (+140), who are feeling fortunate to have made the postseason, but they’re likely to be a bit exhausted, too.

Atlanta had to expend a lot of energy to split a doubleheader against the Mets just to get into the postseason, and then it jumped a Delta Airlines charter flight which left Atlanta at 10:19 p.m. ET, arriving into San Diego at 2:24 a.m. ET. That’s a super-tough turnaround.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more ‘brave’, forget the moneyline and go straight to the PADRES -1.5 (+135) at plus-money.

Adrenaline will only go so far for the Braves +1.5 (-160), and they’re facing a tough customer in King. While the San Diego right-hander doesn’t have the postseason experience, he was red-hot down the stretch. And, Atlanta is scrambling for a starter after using top-tier pitching in the double dip just to get here.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-120) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play.

The Padres didn’t have to travel far from Arizona on Sunday, and they’ll likely have their hitting shoes on. However, expect the Braves to be a bit sluggish after the double dip, and the overnight travel. It’s a good combination to go low.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (88-72) take on the Atlanta Braves (88-72) in the 1st game of a doubleheader Monday at Truist Park. First pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-5

The Mets, Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks are in limbo for 2 playoff spots. The D-Backs can only be the 6th seed or miss the playoffs entirely.

  • The Mets make the playoffs by either splitting or sweeping the doubleheader.
  • The Braves make the playoffs by either splitting or sweeping the doubleheader.
  • The Diamondbacks make the playoffs if either the Mets or Braves sweep the doubleheader.

The Mets were one of the hottest teams in the league down the stretch, but they dropped 3 in a row before beating the Milwaukee Brewers 5-0 Sunday. They are 42-37 on the road this season. 1B Pete Alonso, aka the Polar Bear, has gone into hibernation recently. He’s 1-for-13 (.077) with 5 K’s over the last 7 days.

The Braves were left for dead after catastrophic injuries decimated them all season. They won 5 of 6 to put them into position where a victory punches their ticket. After battling injuries all season, OF Michael Harris is 6-for-15 (.400) with a homer and 2 RBIs over the last 7 days.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Megill (4-6, 3.98 ERA) makes his 15th start (16th appearance). He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 72 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home win Sept. 22 against Philadelphia Phillies
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-4, 4.94 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP (9 GS, 10 games)

Schwellenbach (8-7, 3.47 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 116 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home victory Tuesday against Mets
  • Last 3 starts: 3-0, 1.89 ERA, 15 K in 19 IP
  • 2 career starts vs. Mets: 2-0, 0.64 ERA, 0.43 WHIP, 15 K in 14 IP

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

Both teams are going to pull out all stops to win this one. The Braves have ace Chris Sale lined up for Game 2, but I would imagine he would be pushed back to the Wild Card round if they, scratch that, when they take this one. Schewellenbach has been great in his last 3 starts, and he has only had 1 bad start in his last 7 with a 2.41 ERA to boot.

The BRAVES -155 are right at the threshold of a ML play.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re going with MARCELL OZUNA OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIS (-155) here. He’s 6-for-12 (.500) with 2 homers and a double off of Megill. He has been the team’s MVP on offense, and he delivers Monday.

Over/Under

It’s 76 degrees with an 8-mph wind blowing in from right-center. The Over has cashed in 4 of the last 10 meetings. The Mets are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, but the Braves are just 2-7-1. I think the wind and the intensity keep this one UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (85-76) and Atlanta Braves (88-71) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Sunday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0; Atlanta won 3-0 in 2023

The Braves walked it off with a solo HR by Travis d’Arnaud to win 2-1 on Saturday, taking a 1-game lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets, as they vie for 1 of the 2 remaining NL Wild,Card playoff spots.

Atlanta has won 5 in a row, while going 7-1 across the past 8 games, showing the type of urgency a team needs in a postseason chase. Meanwhile, Arizona is just 2-5 in the past 7 games, and New York has dropped 3 in a row. The Braves and Mets have a make-up doubleheader at Truist Field set for Monday.

The Royals are into the postseason despite going just 3-9 across the past 12 games since Sept. 15. The good news is that Kansas City pitching has allowed just 11 runs in the past 6 games, or 1.8 runs per game (RPG). However, the offense has managed 3 or fewer runs in 9 of the past 10 games, averaging just 1.6 RPG in the 10-game span.

Royals at Braves projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Marsh (8-9, 4.65 ERA) makes his 25th start and 26th appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 124 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home setback vs. Detroit Tigers Sept. 18
  • 2024 road splits: 4-5, 4.66 ERA, 63 2/3 IP, 33 ER, 59 H, 11 HR, 17 BB, 65 K, .241 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.19 WHIP in 12 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.01 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 34 H, 10 BB, 37 K, 1.36 WHIP
  • Has never faced Braves

Morton (8-9, 4.08 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 161 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 4-3 road setbacks vs. Miami Marlins Sept. 20
  • 2024 home splits: 5-5, 3.54 ERA, 89 IP, 35 ER, 10 HR, 36 BB, 91 K, .256 OBA, 1.35 WHIP in 16 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.12 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 36 H, 19 BB, 44 K, 1.36 WHIP
  • Career vs. Royals: 2-2, 4.15 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 29 H, 3 HR, 8 BB, 30 K, 1.22 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Braves –250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Royals 2

Moneyline

The Braves (-250) are keeping their foot on the gas, as they close in on a postseason spot, but are way costly. They’ve won 5 in a row, and 7 of the past 8 games, and Morton is a good bet to pitch the home side to a sweep against Marsh and the Royals (+200).

Kansas City has already clinched a spot, and it has looked disinterested this weekend. The Royals are 3-9 in the past 12 games, too, and the offense has struggled to plate runs lately.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (+115) are worth a look on the run line.

The Royals have managed just a single run in 2 games in this series, and just 1.6 RPG across the past 10 outings. Morton is likely to keep them down, while Atlanta feasts on Marsh’s offerings, positioning itself well as it inches closer to the playoffs.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is a strong play yet again on Sunday.

The Royals, who have just 1 run in the 1st 2 games of the series, have cashed the Under in 5 of the past 6 games. The Under is 19-6-1 in the previous 26 outings, too.

As far as the Braves are concerned, the Under is 5-0-1 in the past 6 outings. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 starts by Morton, while going 6-2 in his past 8 starting assignments.

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Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (85-75) and Atlanta Braves (87-71) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series Saturday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0; Atlanta won 3-0 in 2023

The Braves miraculously played Friday night despite severe flooding in the Greater Atlanta area due to the recent passing for Hurricane Helene. Atlanta picked up a 3-0 win as a heavy favorite (-178) as the Under (7.5) came through.

With the 8-4 loss by the New York Mets in Milwaukee, the Braves pulled into a tie with the Mets at 87-71 with 4 games remaining for each team, including a makeup doubleheader Monday.

RHP Reynaldo Lopez (shoulder) returns from injury to start. He was limited to just 25 pitches in his last start in Washington Sept. 10.

With Minnesota’s loss Friday, the Royals clinched a postseason spot. While Kansas City is just 3-8 in the past 11 games since Sept. 15, it has allowed just 9 runs in the past 5 outings, or 1.8 runs per game (RPG), as the pitching staff has gotten untracked. The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Royals, while going 18-6-1 in the past 25 outings.

Royals at Braves projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Lugo (16-9, 3.03 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 204 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2-0 home setback vs. San Francisco Giants Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 9-3, 2.67 ERA, 97 2/3 IP, 29 ER, 79 H, 8 HR, 2 BB, 95 K, .218 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.03 WHIP in 15 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-2, 3.00 ERA (45 IP, 15 ER), 41 H, 8 BB, 43 K, 1.09 WHIP
  • Career vs. Braves: 5-5, 3.79 ERA (57 IP, 24 ER), 54 H, 7 HR, 19 BB, 54 K, 1.28 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 28 appearances (4 starts)

Lopez (8-5, 2.03 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 128 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 12-0 road victory vs. Washington Nationals Sept. 10 (25 pitches)
  • 2024 home splits: 4-2, 1.82 ERA, 74 IP, 15 ER, 6 HR, 28 BB, 84 K, .211 OBA, 1.14 WHIP in 13 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-2, 2.45 ERA (33 IP, 9 ER), 28 H, 8 BB, 42 K, 1.09 WHIP
  • Career vs. Royals: 5-5, 5.24 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 51 ER), 106 H, 20 HR, 24 BB, 65 K, 1.48 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 26 appearances (14 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-130) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-210) are worth a look as favorites in the 2nd game of this crucial series. Atlanta needs to keep pace with New York as the 2 NL East rivals jockey for a playoff spot.

The Royals (+170) haven’t been playing very good baseball lately anyway, but now that they’ve clinched a playoff spot, they won’t be playing with the same kind of urgency as the home side.

Run line/Against the spread

Kansas City +1.5 (-130) will probably hit, but laying $1.30 on the Royals isn’t recommended when they just clinched a playoff spot.

PASS, and if you like K.C., just play it straight up at plus money.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look in a game which should have a playoff feel.

Besides, it’s been all about the Under for Kansas City lately, going 4-1 in the past 5 games and 18-6-1 across the past 25 outings. The Under is 4-1 in Lugo’s previous 5 starts, too.

For the Braves, the Under is on a 4-0-1 run across the past 5 games.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, ppd.

Wednesday’s and Thursday’s Mets at Braves games were postponed due to Hurricane Helene and will be made up as a doubleheader Monday.

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Update 6:13 p.m. ET: Wednesday game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves was postponed due to heavy rains ahead of Hurricane Helene. Thursday’s game was also postponed. While the regular season was scheduled to end Sunday, the Mets and Braves will make up the 2 games with a traditional doubleheader in Atlanta Monday, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published Sept. 25, 1:39 a.m. ET)

The New York Mets (87-70) and Atlanta Braves (86-71) play the middle game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-5

The Mets could not get the bats going in a 5-1 loss against the Braves on Tuesday night. 3B Mark Vientos‘ solo HR was the only offense New York could muster. They are currently 2nd in the NL Wild Card race, a half-game up on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Atlanta’s much-needed win moved them 1 game behind the Mets and a half-game behind Arizona for the 3rd Wild Card spot. Starter Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 1 ER in 7 IP and CF Michael Harris II went 3-for-4 with a HR, a double and 2 RBI. DH Marcell Ozuna also parked his 39th homer of the season.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Chris Sale

Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home victory against Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.88 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Last start vs. Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 9-2 road loss July 28
  • Career vs. Braves: 3-5, 5.33 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 30 ER) 47 H, 22 BB, 64 K) in 11 appearance (10 starts)

Sale (18-3, 2.38 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 177 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 15-3 win at Cincinnati Reds Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 10-0, 2.28 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 23 R (22 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Last start vs. Mets: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 road loss July 25
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 2.70 ERA (23 IP, 7 ER) 13 H, 5 BB, 31 K) in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

PASS.

It’s really hard to bet against the Braves (-190) when Sale is on the mound, so I won’t do it. I’ll look to the run line to put a wager down on this game.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+120).

Atlanta is in a tight race for the postseason, and playing at home, where the Braves are 43-33, gives them a key advantage. With the likely NL Cy Young winner starting, Sale brings a perfect record at Truist Park (10-0) and has surrendered just 3 ER over his last 4 home outings (26 IP).

On the other side, Peterson has had a rough time against Atlanta, holding a 1-3 record and a 5.02 ERA in his last 5 starts against them. With everything on the line, the Braves are set to secure a critical win.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 6 of their last 8 meetings, highlighting a pattern of low-scoring contests. The Mets have gone Under in their last 2 games, while the Braves have seen the same in 4 of their last 6 games. Sale has been outstanding, not allowing more than 2 ER in a game since June 1, and the Under has cashed in 4 of his last 6 starts.

Meanwhile, Peterson has kept his runs allowed low, giving up more than 2 ER in a game just twice in his last 10 outings. With both pitchers in great form, a pitching duel seems likely, making the Under a solid bet.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (87-69) and Atlanta Braves (85-71) open a critical 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

New York came away with a 2-1 win over Philadelphia Sunday while covering as a +122 home underdog. New York has won back-to-back games and went 6-1 in its just-concluded 7-game homestand. The Mets hold the 2nd Wild Card spot and are 2 games ahead of the Braves.

Atlanta escaped with a 5-4 win over the Miami Marlins Sunday while covering as a -185 road favorite. RF Jorge Soler hit the tie-breaking RBI single in the 7th won it. The Braves have 2 straight games and return home for the final 6 games of the season. Atlanta is 1 1/2 games behind Arizona for the 3rd and final Wild card spot.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Severino (11-6, 3.79 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 178 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 10-6 outing vs. Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 1-1, 3.15 ERA (20 IP, 7 ER), 20 H, 10 BB, 20 K in 4 starts

Schwellenbach (7-7, 3.61 ERA) makes his 20th career start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 109 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-1 outing at Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Braves -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 7, Braves 4

Moneyline

BET METS (+115).

New York has won 6 of its last 7 games and is 7-3 in its last 10 while the Braves have lost their last 2 games at home and are 6-4 in their last 10.

The Mets have also played Atlanta very well as of late, being 3-2 in the last 5 overall matchups and 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Mets to cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but as currently set, the risk of betting on this line is not worth the reward. I recommend betting on the moneyline and/or total instead, but if you’re okay with the risk, you can divvy up units between the spread and ML plays.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 road games and is 5-1 in its last 6 overall. For Atlanta, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 at home. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meeting between these squads and is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (82-70) and Cincinnati Reds (74-79) conclude a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-1

The Braves finally broke through against the Reds Wednesday night with a 7-1 win, their first over Cincinnati this season. SP Spencer Schwellenbach was sharp, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits and 2 walks with 5 K’s over 6 innings. DH Marcell Ozuna went 3 for 4 with a homer and 2 RBIs while 3B Gio Urshela drove in 3 runs. The victory snapped a 3-game skid for Atlanta.

Reds SP Jakob Junis pitched 6 strong innings (1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K), but the Reds bullpen couldn’t hold up. RPs Tony Santillan and Justin Wilson gave up a combined 5 runs in 1 1/3 innings. CF TJ Friedl drove in the only run for Cincinnati on a sac fly in the 6th.

Braves at Reds projected starters

RHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Julian Aguiar

Sale (17-3, 2.35 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 172 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 10-1 home victory against LA Dodgers Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 7-3, 2.42 ERA (85 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Last start vs. Reds: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 8-2 home win June 1, 2023, as a member of Boston Red Sox

Aguiar (2-0, 4.88 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-4 victory at Minnesota Twins Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-0, 10.80 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2.25 WHIP, 4.1 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Has never faced Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Reds +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-125) | Reds +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Reds 1

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves (-200) win this game and the series Thursday afternoon, but I’ll take the better odds on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-125).

Betting on the Braves to cover the run line Thursday looks like a smart move with Sale taking the mound. He’s been lights out lately, not losing a start since June 27.

The Reds, on the other hand, really struggle against lefties, hitting just .226 as a team and going 16-25 against southpaws this season. Plus, Cincinnati hasn’t been great in day games, sitting at 24-35 on the season. With Atlanta only 2 games back in the Wild Card race, it’ll be motivated to grab the win.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

Betting the Under feels like a smart move with Sale pitching. He’s been lights out, giving up more than 2 earned runs only 3 times in 28 starts this year. In fact, he’s allowed 1 run or fewer in half of those games.

The big question is how much offense Atlanta can produce, but with Sale likely keeping the Reds in check, the Under looks like the way to go.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (81-70) and Cincinnati Reds (74-78) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-0

The Braves lost their 3rd straight game Tuesday, falling 6-5 to the Reds after a bullpen meltdown. Atlanta led 5-2 through the 6th inning, powered by HRs from RF Jorge Soler, 1B Matt Olson, and CF Michael Harris II. However, its bullpen surrendered 4 unanswered runs over the next 2 innings, allowing Cincinnati to pull ahead and secure the win.

Reds LF Spencer Steer hit a 7th-inning 2-run homer to put Cinncinati ahead for good. RP Alexis Diaz secured his 28th save of the season. Cincinnati remains unbeaten against Atlanta this year, improving to 4-0 in the season series.

Braves at Reds projected starters

RHP Spencer Schwellenbach vs. RHP Jakob Junis

Schwellenbach (6-7, 3.73 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 103 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-2 home victory against LA Dodgers Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-3, 3.53 ERA (51 IP, 20 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Has never faced Reds

Junis (4-0, 2.73 ERA) makes his 4th start and 21st appearance. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 56 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 6-1 defeat at St. Louis Cardinals Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-0, 2.10 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.70 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 10 appearances (2 starts)
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-1, 6.23 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3 appearances (2 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Reds +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Braves at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Braves 3

Moneyline

BET REDS (+125).

Betting Reds ML Wednesday is definitely worth considering, especially with those tempting plus odds. Cincinnati has been unbeatable against the Braves this season, winning all 4 meetings and outscoring Atlanta 20-10.

Meanwhile, the Braves are struggling, having lost their last 3 games. The Reds are in better form, winning 3 of their last 4, and Junis has been impressive on the mound, giving up just 1 earned run on 4 hits over his last 14 innings. With all these factors, backing the Reds seems like a solid choice.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll focus my wager on the moneyline and stay away from the run line.

Over/Under

PASS.

Despite the trends favoring the Over in this one, I’m going to avoid it. These pitchers have been good lately, and I personally don’t see it as a high-scoring affair.

If you want to go with the grain here, the Over has hit in 8 of the last 10 meetings. Both squads are also coming into this game hot offensively, having gone over the total in each of their last 4 games overall.

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Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (81-69) and Cincinnati Reds (73-78) begin a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 3-0

The Braves are heading out for a 6-game road trip after splitting a 4-game series with the LA Dodgers in Atlanta. They struggled in the final 2 games, getting outscored 18-2. Now just 1 game behind the Mets for the last Wild Card spot, Atlanta is looking to rebound and keep their playoff hopes alive.

The Reds return to Cincinnati after a balanced 10-game road stretch, finishing with a 5-5 record. They capped off the trip by taking their series against the Twins in Minnesota. Back at Great American Ballpark, the Reds have been on a roll, winning their last 4 home games and improving their season mark there to 36-39.

Braves at Reds projected starters

RHP Grant Holmes vs. LHP Brandon Williamson

Holmes (2-1, 3.79 ERA) makes his 5th start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP.

  • Last appearance: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 10-1 home victory against the Dodgers Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (28 IP, 12 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 10 games
  • Hasn’t gone more than 2 IP or 33 pitches in any of his last 8 appearances
  • Filling in for Reynaldo Lopez who is on 15-day IL with shoulder tightness

Williamson (0-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has a 0.77 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 13 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-1 defeat at the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-0, 2.70 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 0.90 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Braves at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Braves 4

Moneyline

BET REDS (-105).

Cincinnati has absolutely dominated Atlanta this season, going 3-0 while outscoring them 14-5 in those matchups. After a long road trip, the Reds will be happy to return home, where they’ve had some recent success. Meanwhile, the Braves are coming in limping, forced to start a reliever due to Lopez hitting the injured list.

On the other hand, Williamson has been solid since rejoining the rotation, allowing just 2 ERs in his 2 starts this season. This game is set up perfectly for another Cincinnati win.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll focus my wager on the moneyline and stay away from the run line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-110).

The Over has hit in 7 of their last 9 meetings, showing a clear trend when these teams play each other. Both squads are also coming into this game hot offensively, having gone over the total in each of their last 3 games.

Cincinnati has been averaging just under 4.5 runs per game (RPG) at home, while Atlanta has been putting up just over 4.5 RPG on the road. With both teams capable of scoring and a history of high totals, the Over looks like a solid bet here.

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[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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