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The Arlington Renegades (2-7) and the DC Defenders (4-5) wrap up the regular season Sunday at Audi Field in Week 10. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.
The Renegades have come alive late in the season, posting 2 wins in the past 3 games, including a 36-22 win over the playoff-bound St. Louis Battlehawks in Week 9 to cover as a 3-point underdog. The Over (46) cashed in Week 9, and the total has gone high in 3 of the past 4 outings.
The Defenders also picked up a much-needed win last week in Memphis, posting a 36-21 victory as 5.5-point favorites. The Defenders are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 games, while going 4-2 ATS in the previous 6 outings after an 0-1-2 ATS start. The Over has hit in consecutive games, while going 5-3 in the past 8 outings.
These teams met in the XFL Championship last season with a 35-26 win, with QB Luis Perez securing MVP honors. DC avenged that loss with a 29-28 at Choctaw Stadium in Arlington back in Week 3, cashing as a 1-point favorite to push at most shops. The Over (43.5) easily came through, and is 2-0 in the previous 2 meetings.
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Renegades at Defenders odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Renegades +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Defenders -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Renegades +1 (-110) | Defenders -1 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Renegades at Defenders key injuries
Renegades
- RB Leddie Brown (undisclosed) injured reserve
- RB Jeremy Cox (undisclosed) out
- RB Dae Dae Hunter (undisclosed) injured reserve
- WR JaVonta Payton (undisclosed) injured reserve
Defenders
- TE Ben Bresnahan (undisclosed) out
- DB Kentrell Brice (shoulder) out
- QB Deondre Francois (undisclosed) injured reserve
- WR Kelvin Harmon (hamstring) injured reserve
- DB Nydair Rouse (hamstring) out
- RB Abram Smith (knee) out
- WR Monroe Young (undisclosed) out
Renegades at Defenders picks and predictions
Prediction
Defenders 29, Renegades 25
Moneyline
The Defenders (-125) will cost you a little more on the moneyline, and that doesn’t make sense. Laying the single point costs significantly less.
PASS.
Against the spread
When these teams meet, it’s generally close. But take the DEFENDERS -1 (-110) at home in front of the beer snake building fanbase.
DC erupted for 36 points last week in Memphis. The Defenders are a respectable 2-2 SU and 1-2-1 ATS at home this season. However, as a favorite, DC has won 3 in a row, while going 1-0-2 ATS in those outings.
The Renegades +1 (-110) surprised the Battlehawks last week, showing off the offense with 83 points in the past 2 home games. However, Arlington is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in 4 road contests, and it lost by 1 at home to DC in Week 3.
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Over/Under
OVER 46.5 (-110) is worth a look in this finale.
The Renegades and their vaunted pass attack has rolled up 36 or more points in 2 of the past 3 games, and 27 or more points in 3 of the past 4 outings. However, on the road, Arlington is averaging just 17.0 PPG in the past 3 trips, so be a little cautious.
The Defenders registered a season-high 36 points last week in Memphis, but its season-high in points at home came back in Week 2 against the lowly Houston Roughnecks in a 23-18 win. The Over is still the recommended play, but don’t be surprised if it takes some time to get across the finish line.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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