The 2023 XFL season comes to a close Saturday with the championship game between the Arlington Renegades and D.C. Defenders. Kickoff at the Alamodome in San Antonio is at 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Renegades finished 4-6 in the regular season and lost 4 of their final 5 games before the postseason. But they defeated the South Division champion Houston Roughnecks in the semifinal game 26-11 as 6.5-point underdogs.
The Defenders went 9-1 in the regular season, had the best record in the league and blew out the Seattle Sea Dragons 37-21 in the semifinal game as 3-point favorites.
The Defenders beat the Renegades 28-26 in the regular season.
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Renegades vs. Defenders odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:16 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Renegades +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Defenders -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +6.5 (-105) | Defenders -6.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Renegades vs. Defenders key injuries
Renegades
- WR Rannell Hall (foot) questionable
Defenders
- CB Michael Joseph (abductor) questionable
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Renegades vs. Defenders picks and predictions
Prediction
Defenders 32, Renegades 22
Moneyline
The Defenders enter the title game having won 4 games in a row while the Renegades have 2 wins in their last 6.
The Defenders were the highest-scoring team in the XFL at 29.8 points per game while the Renegades were 8th averaging 14.6.
The Renegades scored 26 in their win over Houston and 26 against the Defenders, but in 6 games they did not score more than 16.
The Defenders have been the best team in the league all season and should win the title, but at -275 on the moneyline, it isn’t worth the action.
PASS.
Against the spread
D.C. won its semifinal game by 16 points, but the Defenders won their final 4 games of the regular season by no more than 2 points.
Four of the Renegades’ 6 losses were by at least 9 points.
BET DEFENDERS -6.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The last 9 games for the Defender have had at least 48 total points while only one of the Renegades’ games all season reached 48 points and that was against the Defenders.
BET OVER 47.5 (-115).
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