Houston Roughnecks betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Houston Roughnecks at St. Louis Battlehawks odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Roughnecks at St. Louis Battlehawks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Roughnecks (1-4) travel to meet the St. Louis Battlehawks (4-1) Saturday at the Dome at America’s Center. Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Battlehawks odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks have had a rough season, winning just a single game in 5 tries, and that came against a winless Arlington team in Week 4 at Rice Stadium. Houston was pounded 32-9 against Birmingham last week, failing to cover as an 8.5-point underdog at home.

The Roughnecks are just 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) through 5 games, while the Under holds a slight 3-2 edge.

St. Louis picked up a 4th straight win in Week 5, routing the D.C. Defenders on the road at Audi Field, 45-12. The Battlehawks easily cashed as 3-point favorites, and they’re now 4-0 ATS in the past 4 games since losing as a favorite in Week 1 at Michigan. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row, too, with St. Louis going for 31 or more points in 3 straight games.

These teams met in Houston in Week 7 of the XFL season in 2023, with the Battlehawks coming away with a 24-15 win as a 3-point underdog as the Under (44.5) connected.

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Roughnecks at Battlehawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Battlehawks -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +11.5 (-110) | Battlehawks -11.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Battlehawks key injuries

Roughnecks

QB Kenji Behar (undisclosed) out
TE Woody Brandom (leg) injured reserve
RB Tiyon Evans (undisclosed) out
QB Nolan Henderson (undisclosed) out
WR Isiah Hennie (undisclosed) out
TE A.J. Lewis (undisclosed) out
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve

Battlehawks

WR Ja’Marcus Bradley (undisclosed) out
RB Mataeo Durant (toe) out
WR Kevon Latulas (undisclosed) out
QB Brandon Silvers (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks at Battlehawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Battlehawks 33, Roughnecks 16

Moneyline

The Battlehawks (-750) will set you back 7½ times your potential return, which is crazy risk for not nearly enough reward.

While it’s unlikely the Roughnecks (+525) will be able to pull off the road upset, St. Louis just doesn’t provide enough of a return.

PASS.

Against the spread

The BATTLEHAWKS -11.5 (-110) are just the 2nd double-digit favorite this season, with Birmingham also favored by double digits in its game in Memphis in Week 6.

The Battlehawks are on a roll with QB A.J. McCarron completing 68.5% of his pass attempts for 1,051 yards, a league-high 10 TD and just 1 INT. St. Louis would be even more effective if it could protect the signal caller, as the Battlehawks have allowed 11 sacks, 1 of just 3 UFL teams to allow double-digit sacks to the QB. As long as St. Louis can contain Ethan Westbrooks, who has racked up 3.5 sacks for Houston, the Battlehawks pass attack should roll.

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Over/Under

OVER 47.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Battlehawks rolled up 45 points at D.C. last weekend, and the offense is averaging 33.8 points per game (PPG) in the current 4-0 run to the Over. The defense has allowed 17 or more points in 4 of 5 games, so the Roughnecks should be able to help Over bettors somewhat.

Houston has scored 17 or more points in 3 of the past 4 games, although Birmingham stymied the Roughnecks offense last weekend, holding them to just 9 points.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Birmingham Stallions at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Birmingham Stallions at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (4-0) travel to meet the Houston Roughnecks (1-3) Saturday at Rice Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Roughnecks odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The defending USFL champion Stallions held on for a 20-18 win over the D.C. Defenders last weekend, but they came nowhere near covering as 9-point favorites. The Under (46.5) cashed, and the total has now gone low in 3 of 4 games to date.

Birmingham has averaged 23.5 points per game (PPG) in 2 road outings while allowing just 13.5 PPG. The Stallions are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) away from home while cashing the Under in both instances.

The Roughnecks got off the schneid last week with a 17-9 win over the Arlington Renegades at Rice Stadium. The defensive effort was easily the best of the season for Houston, as it had allowed 25.0 PPG in the first 3 outings, cashing the Over twice.

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Stallions at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Roughnecks +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -8.5 (-110) | Roughnecks +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stallions at Roughnecks key injuries

Stallions

RB CJ Marable (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks

QB Kenji Behar (undisclosed) out
RB Tiyon Evans (undisclosed) out
QB Jarrett Guarantano (ribs) out
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve
WR Reggie Roberson (undisclosed) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (undisclosed) out

Stallions at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 25, Roughnecks 13

Moneyline

The Stallions (-400) are easily the best team in the UFL, boasting the best record at 4-0. The Roughnecks (+310) are no longer winless after last weekend, but they topped the winless Renegades. Houston is simply a step above the worst team in the league.

Birmingham is all but likely going to win this game, but you can’t risk 4 times your potential return, especially on a road team.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -8.5 (-110) are a much better play on the road laying the points.

Birmingham has managed at least 20 points in each of its 4 games, but defense is what really sets the Stallions apart. The defending USFL champs have allowed 14 or fewer points in 3 of the first 4 games and 18 or fewer points in each outing.

The Roughnecks +8.5 (+110) are going to find the sledding difficult against the Stallions D. Houston has scored 20 or fewer points in every game this season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under is 3-1 in 4 games for Birmingham this season, and the only reason the Week 3 meeting with Memphis went Over was the poor D of the Showboats — Birmingham won 33-14.

Houston’s offense is subpar. The defense has performed well at home, allowing just 13.5 PPG, and that’s all the Roughnecks have to hang their hat on right now.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Roughnecks (0-1) and D.C. Defenders (0-1) meet Saturday at Audi Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Defenders odds and make our expert football picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks suffered an 18-12 loss last Sunday against the visiting Memphis Showboats, who won as 1.5-point underdogs as the Under (39.5) connected.

Memphis dominated time of possession at 39:32, to just 20:28 for Houston, while running 62 total plays, to just 37 for the Roughnecks. Houston did manage 4.7 yards per play, to just 3.7 for Memphis. The Roughnecks did a good job in rushing defense, too, holding the Showboats to just 1.8 yards per rush. Unfortunately, Houston lost 3 fumbles, and it was a minus-1 in turnover differential.

The Defenders went on the road and suffered a 27-12 loss to the San Antonio Brahmas last Sunday. Washington was actually favored by 6, but it came nowhere near threatening to cover as the Under (43.5) connected.

Washington held its own in total yards, posting 253 yards on 62 total plays, but it struggled in red-zone offense, going without a touchdown in 3 trips inside the opponents’ 20-yard line. The Defenders allowed 75 rushing yards and a rushing score while managing just 44 rushing yards on their own.

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Roughnecks at Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Defenders -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +5 (-110) | Defenders -5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Defenders key injuries

Roughnecks

WR Steven Dunbar Jr. (groin) out
QB Nolan Henderson (undisclosed) out
WR Isiah Hennie (undisclosed) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (undisclosed) out
RB Mark Thompson (knee) out

Defenders

QB Jalan McClendon (undisclosed) out
RB Abram Smith (knee) out
WR Vyncint Smith (elbow) out
RB Pooka Williams (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 25, Roughnecks 19

Moneyline

The Defenders (-230) will cost you almost 2 1/2 times your potential return as D.C. looks to bounce back after a disappointing opening weekend. Still, that’s way too much risk for not enough reward after losing last time out by a sizable margin.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The DEFENDERS -5 (-110) are worth playing lightly. Neither team really did anything to instill confidence for bettors, as both sides lost outright as a favorite.

Still, D.C. did some good things last week, while the Roughnecks +5 (-110) were just too turnover prone. If the Defenders get on the ball in red-zone offense, they will be able to grab the win and cover in front of their home fans and beer snakes.

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Over/Under

OVER 40.5 (-110) is the lean, but again, go very lightly with a half-unit at most.

D.C. racked up 253 total yards of offense, and it could be even better on its home field, spurred on by its raucous crowd.

Houston did a decent job in rushing defense last week, so that is the concern with not going more aggressively on the Over.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Memphis Showboats at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Showboats at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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Week 1 of the first season of the new UFL wraps up on Sunday as the Memphis Showboats face the Houston Roughnecks. Kickoff is at 3 p.m. ET at Rice Stadium (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Showboats vs. Roughnecks odds and make our expert football picks and predictions.

The Showboats come from the USFL and finished 5-5 last season. But coach Todd Haley was replaced by John DeFilippo, who coached the USFL New Orleans Breakers last season. Their starting QB is Case Cookus, who led the Philadelphia Stars to the USFL championship game two seasons ago.

The Roughnecks went 7-3 in the USFL last season but lost to Arlington in the division championship. QB Jarrett Guarantano, who started 4 college seasons at Tennessee and spent a preseason with the Arizona Cardinals in 2022, is their starter this season.

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Showboats at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Showboats +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Roughnecks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Showboats +1.5 (-110) | Roughnecks -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Showboats at Roughnecks key injuries

Showboats (link)

DL Conner Christian (calf) out
CB Jeff McCulloch (shoulder) probable
TE Sage Surratt (hamstring) probable
RB Trey Williams (calf) probable

Roughnecks

TE Woody Brandom (calf) out
S Jamari Brown (abdomen) out
DE Chris Odom (calf, hamstring) out
RB Mark Thompson (knee) out

Showboats at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Showboats 21, Roughnecks 17

Moneyline

Houston is missing several key players to injury, including Thompson, who was the No. 2 rusher in the USFL last season.

DeFelippo was once on the verge of getting an NFL head-coaching job and has the more experienced quarterback.

With little else to go on in a league with no preseason, that is where the edge goes this week.

BET SHOWBOATS (+100).

Against the spread

Expecting the underdog Showboats to be victorious at even-money odds, that is the better bet than taking them +1.5 at -110.

Both of Saturday’s games were decided by 2 or more points.

In the Saturday game in which the underdog covered the spread, it was an outright 18-16 win by Michigan (+6.5) over St. Louis.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both of Saturday’s games stayed Under the projected total. With no preseason to get an offensive rhythm, especially where there are new coaches and quarterbacks, don’t expect a lot of points.

BET UNDER 39.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Arlington Renegades at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arlington Renegades at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arlington Renegades (4-6) and the Houston Roughnecks (7-3) meet Saturday in the XFL South Division Championship. Kickoff from TDECU Stadium in Houston is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Roughnecks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Renegades backed into the playoffs after San Antonio lost a heartbreaker at home against DC in Week 10. Arlington lost 4 of its final 5 games, including a 25-9 setback as a 1-point favorite last week against Houston at home. The Under cashed in both meetings against Houston this season.

The Roughnecks won the final 3 games of the regular season while covering the spread in their past 2 outings. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games overall. Houston went 2-0 straight up and against the spread against Arlington this season, winning the first meeting 23-14 as a 4.5-point favorite as the Under (39.5) connected in Week 2.

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Renegades at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Renegades +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Roughnecks -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +6.5 (-110) | Roughnecks -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Renegades at Roughnecks key injuries

Renegades

WR Victor Bolden (shoulder, groin) out
DB Javaris Davis (groin) questionable
LB Isaiah Graham-Mobley (shoulder) out

Roughnecks

WR Michael Bandy (hip) questionable
RB Dejoun Lee (shoulder) questionable

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Renegades at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 24, Arlington 12

Moneyline

The Roughnecks (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite risky despite that they have beaten the Renegades in both regular-season meetings.

PASS, and look to the line instead.

Against the spread

The ROUGHNECKS -6.5 (-110) are a solid play worth pursuing rather aggressively, as long as the line doesn’t move to a flat 7 or 7.5.

Houston has won and covered both of its regular-season games against the Renegades, and it went 4-1 ATS in 5 home outings this season.

Arlington was a respectable 3-2 ATS in 5 games on the road, but it did fail to cover in its trip to Houston back in Week 2.

Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-110) is worth playing in this trilogy matchup.

The Under cashed in each of the regular season meetings, with Arlington managing just 11.5 points per game. The Under went 8-2 overall for the Renegades, while the Under was 3-1 in the past 4 home games for the Roughnecks.

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Houston Roughnecks at Arlington Renegades odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at Arlington Renegades Week 10 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The final day of the XFL regular season starts with the Houston Roughnecks (6-3) on the road against the Arlington Renegades (4-5). Kickoff is Sunday at 3 p.m. ET at Choctaw Stadium (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Renegades odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The two teams met in Week 2 with the Roughnecks winning 23-14 as 4.5-point home favorites.

The Roughnecks have won 2 straight games and are coming off a 28-21 home win over the Vegas Vipers, covering the 6.5-point spread as favorites. They started the season 4-0, lost 3 straight and since bounced back with 2 consecutive wins. They have locked up the South Division title and will host the Renegades again next week in an XFL semifinal.

The Renegades have lost 3 of their last 4 but clinched 2nd place in the division. They are coming off a 28-26 road loss in overtime to the D.C. Defenders, but they covered as 8.5-point underdogs.

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Roughnecks at Renegades odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Renegades -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +1 (-110) | Renegades -1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Renegades key injuries

Roughnecks

None

Renegades

WR Victor Bolden (shoulder) questionable
DB Javaris Davis (groin) questionable
RB De’Veon Smith (ankle) questionable

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Roughnecks at Renegades picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 20, Renegades 18

Moneyline

The Renegades are 2-2 at home this season, while the Roughnecks are 2-2 on the road.

The Renegades scored a season-high 26 points last week in their loss to the Defenders.

Even with the 26-point outburst, the Renegades still have scored the fewest points in the league with 137.

The Roughnecks have allowed an average of 15.2 points per game in their 6 wins.

Here it almost doesn’t matter whether you bet the money line or the spread. the price is almost the same.

Expecting a Houston win, it is a slightly better price here, so BET ROUGHNECKS (-105).

Against the spread

This game is essentially a pick-em.

With only a 1-point spread, the worst outcome is a push if you bet the Renegades and they only win by one.

But the price is -110 to bet the Roughnecks to cover (not lose by more than 1) and the price to bet them to win outright is -105. Save the $5 and bet the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

Only 2 of the Renegades’ games this season combined for more than 40 points, Week 1 and last week.

Only 4 of 9 games for Houston have had totals higher than this games’ projection and when the two teams met in Week 2, they had 37 points.

BET UNDER 41.5 (-110).

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Vegas Vipers at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Vegas Vipers at Houston Roughnecks Week 9 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Vegas Vipers (2-6) visit the Houston Roughnecks (5-3) in XFL Week 9 action Saturday. Kickoff from TDECU Stadium is at 12:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vipers vs. Roughnecks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Vipers covered as 7.5-point underdogs in a 21-17 loss to the St. Louis Battlehawks in Week 8. Vegas has alternated wins and losses the last 4 weeks after starting the season 0-4.

The Roughnecks failed to cover as 5.5-point favorites but snapped a 3-game losing skid with a 17-15 win over the San Antonio Brahmas Sunday. Houston remains as the top seed in the XFL South despite the 3-game skid.

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Vipers at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Vipers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Roughnecks -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Vipers +6.5 (-110) | Roughnecks -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Vipers at Roughnecks key injuries

Vipers

None

Roughnecks

OL Sage Doxtater (shoulder) out
LB Tim Ward (shoulder) out

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Vipers at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 22, Vipers 17

Moneyline

The Roughnecks (-225) found their defense again and held the Brahmas to 15 points as they snapped their 3-game losing skid.

Vegas hasn’t yet won on the road this season, but risking more than 2 times your potential return on the home side is too pricy.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Roughnecks have not covered the spread in the least 4 weeks.

The Vipers are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games.

BET VIPERS +6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Roughnecks have only had 3 games with totals higher than this week’s projection.

The Vipers have not had a game hit 40 in 3 weeks.

BET UNDER 43.5 (-110).

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Houston Roughnecks at San Antonio Brahmas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at San Antonio Brahmas odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The 1st of 2 XFL games on Sunday in Week 8 has the Houston Roughnecks (4-3) on the road against the San Antonio Brahmas (2-5). Kickoff at Alamodome is 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughneck vs. Brahma odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

After a 4-0 start, Houston has lost 3 games in a row. They lost 24-15 last week at home to the St. Louis BattleHawks as 3-point favorites.

The Brahmas have lost 4 of their last 5 games. They lost last week 26-12 on the road to the Vegas Vipers as 3-point underdogs.

The teams met in Week 3 with the Roughnecks winning 22-13.

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Roughnecks at Brahmas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Brahmas +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks -5.5 (-105) | Brahmas +5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Brahmas key injuries

Roughnecks

LB Tavante Beckett (quad) questionable
OL Sage Doxtater (shoulder) questionable
WR Ben Putnam (knee) questionable
QB Brandon Silver (elbow) questionable
LB Tim Ward (shoulder) questionable

Brahmas

OL Norman Price (knee) questionable
OL Maea Teuhema (ankle) questionable
DE Mike Tverdov (ankle) questionable

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Roughnecks at Brahmas picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 23, Brahmas 13

Moneyline

Although Houston has lost 3 straight it should get back on track against a San Antonio team that hasn’t scored more than 15 points in any game. Plus, the Brahmas have not won a game at home this season yet.

But having to bet twice what you can win on the Roughnecks on the moneyline isn’t the best bet here. PASS and look to the spread.

Against the spread

Houston has scored 22 or more points in 5 of 7 games this season and the Roughnecks’ 4 wins have all been by at least 9 points.

Three of the Brahmas’ 5 losses have been by 9 or more points. San Antonio needs its defense to hold off the Roughnecks, because the offense has scored only 9 TDs and hasn’t topped 15 points in a game this season.

BET ROUGHNECKS -5.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Only 3 of Houston’s 7 games have had more than 40 points. Meanwhile, the Brahmas have only had 1 game all season go past 40 total points. Scoring 15 points or less in every game makes that hard to do.

BET UNDER 40.5 (-110).

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St. Louis Battlehawks at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Battlehawks at Houston Roughnecks Week 7 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Battlehawks (4-2) visit the Houston Roughnecks (4-2) Sunday in Week 7 XFL action at TDECU Stadium in Houston. Kickoff is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Battlehawks vs. Roughnecks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Battlehawks posted a 29-6 win at Vegas last week as a 3-point favorite, bouncing back from a loss at home to the undefeated DC Defenders in Week 5. St. Louis has alternated losses and wins against the spread (ATS) in each of the first 6 weeks.

QB A.J. McCarron has completed an XFL-best 67.5% of his pass attempts while posting 1,322 yards with a league-best 14 TD and 4 INT through 6 games. It isn’t all great for McCarron, though, as he has been sacked an XFL-most 20 times.

While the offense gets a lot of the headlines, the defense has allowed just 12.5 points per game (PPG) in its 4 games against all teams other than DC.

The Roughnecks started out 4-0 SU and ATS, but it has dropped the last 2 games at Seattle and DC, going 0-2 ATS while allowing 29.0 PPG. Houston made headlines signing former Los Angeles Chargers WR Michael Bandy this week, looking to boost the offense.

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Battlehawks at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Battlehawks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Roughnecks -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Battlehawks +3 (-110) | Roughnecks -3 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Battlehawks at Roughnecks key injuries

Battlehawks

None

Roughnecks

S AJ Hendy (groin) questionable
CB Raleigh Texada (back) questionable
EDGE Tim Ward (shoulder) quetionable

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Battlehawks at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Battlehawks 25, Roughnecks 22

Moneyline

The BATTLEHAWKS (+130) are a solid play on the road, as this offense is really humming. McCarron is solid, especially on the off chance he actually gets protection, and the defense is on a roll, too.

There have been some rumblings that the Roughnecks (-155) could potentially change up the QB position, even though Brandon Silvers has completed 61.8% of his passes for 1,300 yards, 11 TD and 5 INT. That’s because of the 2-game losing streak, and the fact QB Cole McDonald provided a spark last week in DC. Stay tuned.

Against the spread

The BATTLEHAWKS +3 (-110) are worth playing if you don’t trust them straight up. It will be especially solid if you can catch St. Louis with 3 and the hook at some point before kickoff.

The Roughnecks -3 (-110) opened 4-0 ATS, but they have failed to cover the last 2 games, yielding 29.0 PPG in the process. Facing the pass-happy Battlehawks will be bad news for the Houston defense.

Over/Under

The OVER 44.5 (-110) is quite a high number. In fact, it’s the 2nd-highest total this season in the XFL. Both of these teams are 3-3 on totals, so there isn’t much to glean there. But McCarron has had a great season, helping the team roll up 20 or more points in 5 straight games, and Houston has allowed 29.0 PPG in the last 2 outings.

We might not get into the 50’s in this Week 7 clash, but high 40’s is a very good possibility as the XFL wraps up the week with a good game on Sunday.

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Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders Week 6 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Roughnecks (4-1) come to the nation’s capital to face the D.C. Defenders (5-0) on Monday at 7 p.m. ET at Audi Field (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Defenders are the last undefeated team in the XFL and they are taking on a Houston teams that’s best in the South Division.

The Roughnecks lost for the 1st time this season last week, 21-14 to the Seattle Sea Dragons. Houston forced 4 turnovers, but was held scoreless until the 4th quarter.

The Defenders beat the St. Louis Battlehawks 28-20 behind a solid run game. While QB Jordan Ta’amu did not throw a TD, RB Abram Smith ran for 3 scores.

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Roughnecks at Defenders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 6:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Defenders -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +2.5 (-110) | Defenders -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks vs. Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 18, Defenders 15

Moneyline

The Roughnecks are a TD machine, leading the league with 18 scores, 4 more than the Defenders. Where they really get you is from the deep ball. The Roughnecks have 7 passes of at least 40 yards, and no other team has more than 3; the Defenders have 1.

LEAN ROUGHNECKS +125.

Against the spread

Both of these teams not only win but cover as well. Last week’s loss was the only time Houston did not cover and D.C. is 5-0 ATS. Since I am riding Houston, you can bet BET ROUGHNECKS +2.5 (-110), although the moneyline is a better value.

Over/Under

The Roughnecks and Defenders are 1-2 in interceptions and 1-2 in the number of kickoff returns per game. I expect field goals, but not touchdowns.

LEAN UNDER 42.5 (-110).

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