Tag: Analytics

Who do the Commanders land in new analytics-based mock draft?

Washington lands elite cornerback talent in a new analytics-based mock draft.

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In assembling a mock draft, most make their choices based on team needs. There is also who is available at the time each team picks. For instance, if a team desperately needs a quarterback, but the draft class doesn’t have one graded as a top-ten talent, should the team pick a quarterback inside the top 10?

The 2022 NFL draft has several solid quarterback prospects. However, the consensus is none of the passers are worthy of a top-10 selection. Fortunately for the Washington Commanders, they addressed the quarterback position via trade, landing Carson Wentz last month, meaning they aren’t desperate to select a rookie at No. 11 overall.

Cynthia Frelund is the analytics expert at NFL.com, and her mock drafts are predictably analytics-driven. She recently released her latest mock draft, and it does not feature a quarterback in the first round. Frelund admits that is unlikely to happen, but her model is highlighted by win-share value for the upcoming season. Frelund considers some of the offseason moves and even factors in some potential moves that could be coming.

It makes her mock drafts different than most — and that is a good thing.

Who does Frelund have the Washington Commanders selecting at No. 11 overall?

Much like her colleague at NFL.com, Bucky Brooks, Frelund also has LSU cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. heading to Washington.

Here is her analysis:

PFF charted Stingley’s LSU career completion percentage allowed at 41.1. That kind of sticky coverage would be a huge boon to a Commanders defense that just allowed a 100.8 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks in 2021. Pairing Stingley with Kendall Fuller, who was the bright spot of this secondary last season, creates the most value.

There are questions about Stingley, but they aren’t talent-related. He’s arguably one of the five most talented players in the 2022 NFL draft. He’d be a plug-and-play option for the Commanders at cornerback, joining Kendall Fuller and William Jackson III in what would be an excellent trio of cornerbacks.

 

Tyronn Lue on Daryl Morey: Last time he tweeted he cost the NBA a billion dollars

Tyronn Lue on Daryl Morey: Last time he tweeted he cost the NBA a billion dollars

Ohm Youngmisuk: Asked about Morey’s tweet, Ty Lue said his original comment was taken out of comment but added, “should he really be tweeting right now? Last time he tweeted he cost the NBA a billion dollars. So I don’t think he should be doing too …

What’s the buzz on Twitter?

Mirjam Swanson @MirjamSwanson
Tyronn Lue says “we gotta crank it up” minutes-wise starting Tuesday with Utah. Notes that the Clippers have been trying to rest their vets of late, but going into the backstretch that’ll pick up again. – 1:15 AM
Mirjam Swanson @MirjamSwanson
Is Tyronn Lue’s team running out of gas? “Looks like it a little bit, yeah.”
“They played well, we didn’t play our best game.” – 1:11 AM
Law Murray @LawMurrayTheNU
Tyronn Lue is challenging Robert Covington foul on Tobias Harris drive. – 11:20 PM

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Analytics MVP 4.0: Who are the best players based on advanced analytics and impact metrics?

As part of a series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics.

For this survey, each impact metric was included because it was considered among the most trustworthy by NBA executives when asked by HoopsHype during this past offseason.

The metrics pulled included Daily Plus-Minus (DPM), Estimated Plus-Minus (EPM), LEBRON (BBall-Index), RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight), Player Efficiency Rating (Basketball-Reference), Box Plus-Minus (Basketball-Reference). We also added the alternative model of Box Plus-Minus from Backpicks.com as well as the newest impact metric, Daily-Updated Rating of Individual Performance (DRIP).

For the first time thus far, ESPN’s Real Plus-Minus (RPM) was also included.

Coley Cleary

Because all of these metrics (except PER) are graded on a per-100 possession scale, we adjusted for playing time by multiplying their impact contribution on each metric by the percentage of possible minutes they have played for their team so far this season.

As with the official vote, the top player received 10 points, the second received seven points, the third received five points, the fourth received three points, and the fifth player received one point. If a player finished outside of the Top 5, they didn’t receive any votes from that measurement.

Only players that made the Top 5 on least one of these nine metrics were included in our rankings below. Some of the most notable omissions include Kevin Durant, Rudy Gobert, Devin Booker, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Mitchell, Jimmy Butler, Fred VanVleet, James Harden, and Ja Morant.

To see who is performing the best based on HoopsHype’s Global Rating, click here. All stats are accurate as of March 27, 2022. 

Some of Gobert’s defensive metrics are …