Tag: Air Force Falcons

Air Force at Annapolis: How the Falcons can sink Navy

Air Force at Annapolis: How the Falcons can sink Navy The Battle for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy Starts in Annapolis Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire Can Air Force win their 4th straight against the Midshipmen? WEEK 8: Air Force Falcons 6-0 …

Air Force at Annapolis: How the Falcons can sink Navy

The Battle for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy Starts in Annapolis

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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Can Air Force win their 4th straight against the Midshipmen?

WEEK 8: Air Force Falcons 6-0 (4-0) vs. Navy Midshipmen 3-3 (2-2)

WHEN: Saturday, October 21st — 10:00 A.M. MT/ 9:00 A.M. PT

WHERE: Navy-Marine Corp Stadium (Annapolis, MD)

WEATHER: Rain showers early with some sunshine later in the day. High 63F. Winds WNW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

TV: CBS Sports Network
Rich Waltz (play-by-play), Aaron Taylor (analyst), Amanda Guerra (sidelines)

STREAM: FuboTV

RADIO: KVOR AM 740 in Colorado Springs, 104.3 the Fan in Denver, SIRIUS XM 380, SXM 970
Jim Arthur (play-by-play), Jesse Kurtz (analyst)

SERIES RECORD: Air Force leads the series record 33-22

WEBSITES: NavySports.com, the official Wyoming athletics website | GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website

GAME NOTES (PDF): Navy | Air Force

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 17.6

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 17

PARKER FLEMING PROJECTIONS: Air Force has an 80.67% chance to win (26.18-13.2)

The biggest game of the Air Force season is being played in Annapolis this Saturday. Coincidentally, it’s also the biggest game of the year for Navy as well. Yes, by Sunday, the biggest game of the year for one of these two teams will have changed and involve that Military Academy in New York, but that game has little relevance until Air Force plays Navy.

This is where the battle for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy begins!

Navy has looked underwhelming more times than not, with an up and down 3-3 start to the year. By some though, three wins at this point in the season may be a tic above expectation. Despite a revolving door of quarterbacks, and generally inconsistent output from their offense, the Mids are still in bowl contention, as well as vying for the all important CiC Trophy.

Navy will likely be relying on a very experienced Senior Tai Lavatai at quarterback on Saturday. He’s been the on and off again starter for what seems the last three seasons. But this is the same guy that last beat Army for Navy, so he’s no stranger to big games. Expect to see Braxton Woodson, the Freshman direct enrollee to see some playing time as well.

The quarterback situation at Air Force got very interesting late in their thrilling win over Wyoming last week. Jensen Jones entered the game when Zac Larrier went down with a knee injury. The offense stumbled at first with the change under center fumbling twice, but settled after under Jones control, masterfully executing an option pitch to the boundary that John Lee Eldridge II took to the house from 70 yards out. Jones also put the game on ice with their last possession, getting tough yards inside converting a first down to put the game on ice.

As if this game needed any additional juice, Navy is going to be honoring All-Time great Roger Staubach with a ceremony at the game. If the Falcons want Staubach’s jersey number adorning the field to be the only cause for celebration for the Mids, they had better come prepared for four quarters of football. Otherwise, Air Force’s stint being ranked, along with their possession of the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy may be abbreviated.

HERE’S HOW AIR FORCE CAN SINK THE MIDS

There is likely to be precipitation at some point during Saturday’s game. Ball security is always critical when you run some version of a time consuming option offense. I know many at Navy contend they have changed from the conventional triple option offense, but ultimately both of these teams have very similar philosophies. They run a lot, and they run very well.

Which brings up the biggest threat that the Falcons need to take inventory of, Alec Tecza. The Navy fullback is in a similar mold to Brad Roberts, minus a career suggesting he’s an all-time great at the program. Yet. Tecza is just a sophomore and has been a game changer with the ball in his hands.

Averaging over 230 yards per game on the ground, 5th best nationally, Navy has a lot of talent in their backfield. The fullbacks are an absolute strength with Daba Fofana and Tecza. The Air Force front seven have got to limit what the Mids backs are able to do on early downs especially.

Another area of the game to pay close attention to is turnovers. In games like this, the impact of a turnover seems to be magnified. Despite some very lopsided losses, Navy is one of the best at creating turnovers, forcing 12 of them. That’s twice as many as Air Force on the season. Neither team has thrown an interception this year, it will be interesting to see how many times the Falcons put the ball in the air with Jones getting his first start. The Falcons need a clean game in Annapolis.

I suspect the biggest deciding factor in this game is going to come through sustainability. The ability to keep drives alive, even if to flip field position, and conversely the ability to get off of the field. Both of these teams feature strong third down defenses. But where Air Force really stands out among the competition is in their ability to convert third downs. They are the best in the country, converting almost 60% of their third downs.

That defensive unit of Brian Knorr’s, not Newberry, is one of the best in the country. They aren’t going to make it easy for Navy to find daylight, a rhythm, conversions or points.

Even if the Navy run defense which allows double (148 yards per game) what the Falcons surrender on the ground, I don’t see it being sustainable. Eventually the dam is going to break from fatigue, as Air Force has shown a much better ability to maintain drives offensively and end them defensively. A slow suffocation.

I realize much of this relies on a quarterback making their first start on a critical stage. But all those diesels in front of Jensen Jones have experience to spare, and the supporting cast in the backfield is as dynamic and deep as any. Ask Wyoming if Jensen Jones can make a play to put you out.

And even if the game does come down to special teams, thankfully for Air Force, they have a dynamic kicker in Mathew Dapore who is perfect on the year.

Air Force Sings Second.

Air Force 20 – Navy 15

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Air Force vs. Wyoming: How the Falcons can win

Air Force vs. Wyoming: How the Falcons can win Can Air Force Remain the Lone Unbeaten in the Mountain West? Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire It’s Double Chin Strap Time as the Pokes Invade Colorado Springs WEEK 7: Air Force Falcons 5-0 (3-0) vs. …

Air Force vs. Wyoming: How the Falcons can win

Can Air Force Remain the Lone Unbeaten in the Mountain West?

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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It’s Double Chin Strap Time as the Pokes Invade Colorado Springs

WEEK 7: Air Force Falcons 5-0 (3-0) vs. Wyoming Cowboys 5-1 (2-0)

WHEN: Saturday, October 14th — 5:00 P.M. MT/ 4:00 P.M. PT

WHERE: Falcon Stadium (Colorado Springs, CO)

WEATHER: Sunny. High around 55F. Winds NE at 10 to 20 mph.

TV: CBS Sports Network
Rich Waltz (play-by-play), Aaron Taylor (analyst), Justin Walters (sidelines)

STREAM: FuboTV

RADIO: KVOR AM 740 in Colorado Springs, 104.3 the Fan in Denver, SIRIUS XM 380, SXM 970
Jim Arthur (play-by-play), Jesse Kurtz (analyst)

SERIES RECORD: Air Force leads the series record 30-27-3

WEBSITES: GoWYO.com, the official Wyoming athletics website | GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website

GAME NOTES (PDF): Wyoming | Air Force

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 10.9

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 13.8

PARKER FLEMING PROJECTIONS: Air Force 93.61% Win Probability (31.3-11.45)

For the second week in a row, the Wyoming Cowboys find themselves battling another Mountain West contender. Coming off of an impressive win over Fresno State, Wyoming packs their bags, leaving the comforts of Laradise as they head South to Colorado Springs.

The Pokes are usually a difficult draw for Air Force, defeating Troy Calhoun’s squad in Laramie last year. So they will not be lacking for confidence coming to Falcon Stadium on Saturday, fresh off of a very impressive performance. Typically, a physical team that likes to run the ball, paired with good defense (sound like another team you know?), the Pokes got a boost from their quarterback, Andrew Peasley who had a very good game.

Peasley is no stranger to Air Force, as he’s had some of his best performances against the Falcons. Brian Knorr’s defensive unit could have their hands full with the Mountain West’s reigning offensive player of the week. If they aren’t able to do a better job than the prior two years, Air Force may be handed their first conference loss of the season by Andrew Peasley for the third season in a row.

HERE’S HOW AIR FORCE CAN DEFEAT THE COWBOYS

It wasn’t just that Wyoming beat the defending conference champs last week, but how they did so that should have the attention of Air Force, and the rest of the Mountain West. Outside of an uncharacteristic, missed 47 yard field goal from their Lou Groza Award Watchlist kicker, John Hoyland, the Pokes were dominant in all aspects of the game.

To avoid the same fate as Fresno State, the Falcons can’t let Wyoming’s passing game catch them off guard early. Andrew Peasley tossed three touchdowns in the first half last week. In similar fashion, he took advantage of generous cushions offered by the Air Force secondary in last year’s game. As one of the nation’s best defenses, their pass defense being 4th best in the country, the Falcons have to play like it early.

Craig Bohl wants his team to impose their will by running the ball. And they are very good at it, racking up over 170 yards per game on the ground. But it’s when the passing game is going that the Cowboys are really dangerous, because the honesty with which the defense has to dignify the pass attack leaves them vulnerable to an already imposing rushing attack. It’s not that dissimilar from Air Force’s approach.

There is going to be a lot of pressure on C.J. Boyd at spur and the standout safeties, Trey Taylor and Jayden Goodwin to consistently defend the run and the pass. Thankfully, this is a collective that has been up to the task week in and week out.

Now to the offense. Air Force has been as good as anyone in the country coming away with points every time they have the ball. They will be facing the best defensive front this week though, that is probably the best they’ll play all season. The Wyoming defensive line is insanely deep and talented. And it doesn’t get any easier when you get to their linebackers, with two of the best in the conference in Easton Gibbs and Shae Suiaunoa.

This unit was the leading cause of what was largely an ineffective Air Force offense last year. They can’t let that be the narrative in 2023. Quarterback Zac Larrier is a different kind of problem with his speed. They are going to be relying on his legs and timely gashes through the air to keep drives alive. One of the nation’s best on a per carry average, John Lee Eldridge II is going to have to continue with his impressive numbers. With what has become a relentless and multiple offense, it should afford these playmakers opportunities to make a difference in situations that simply weren’t there last year.

Last and certainly not least, they cannot turn the ball over. They’ve done a great job taking care of the rock the last few weeks and it will be critical that continues this week. That includes recovered fumbles because getting behind the sticks because of a poor pitch or penetration can be a drive ender.

My good friend and writer for the Mountain West Connection Nittany Falcon said something that stuck with me as we were discussing this game. Wyoming isn’t doing anything that impressive. They gave up a lot of points to New Mexico, looked underwhelming against Portland and their win against Appalachian State looks less and less impressive each week.

I think my friend and Falcon contributor is right. There is matching mediocrity to the moments of brilliance for Wyoming. But despite that, I simply cannot see how Air Force is a two-score favorite. It was a very similar story last year, and we’ve documented ad nauseam here. Maybe I respect that defensive front too much, but I see this as a closely contested affair to the very end. The Air Force offense is better though, their defense is better, and they are going to prove that their (lack of) strength of schedule is an overblown narrative.

Air Force 24 – Wyoming 20

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Air Force vs. San Diego State: Why The Falcons Will Win

Air Force vs. San Diego State: Why The Falcons Will Win The Falcons will try and build another winning streak against the Aztecs Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire Air Force Tries To Win Their 10th Straight WEEK 5: Air Force Falcons 4-0 (2-0) vs. San …

Air Force vs. San Diego State: Why The Falcons Will Win

The Falcons will try and build another winning streak against the Aztecs

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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Air Force Tries To Win Their 10th Straight

WEEK 5: Air Force Falcons 4-0 (2-0) vs. San Diego State Aztecs 2-3 (0-1)

WHEN: Friday, September 22nd — 8:30 P.M. MT/ 7:30 P.M. PT

WHERE: Falcon Stadium (Colorado Springs, CO)

WEATHER: Partly cloudy skies. Low near 50F. S winds shifting to NW at 10 to 15 mph.

TV: CBS Sports Network (Rich Waltz (play-by-play), Aaron Taylor (analyst), Tiffany Blackmon (sidelines)

STREAM: FuboTV

RADIO: KVOR AM 740 in Colorado Springs, 104.3 the Fan in Denver, SIRIUS XM 380, SXM 970
Jim Arthur (play-by-play), Jesse Kurtz (analyst)

SERIES RECORD: Air Force leads the series record 20-18

WEBSITES: GoAztecs.com, the official San Diego State athletics website | GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website

GAME NOTES (PDF): San Diego State | Air Force

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 16.6

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 12.5

PARKER FLEMING PROJECTIONS: Air Force 93.61% Win Probability (31.3-11.45)

The Aztecs are a difficult team to assess this year.  They have not gotten off to a great start, dropping their last three games as competition has gotten more difficult facing UCLA, Oregon State and Boise State. They may not have an FBS victory yet, had Kurtis Rourke of the Ohio Bobcats not gotten injured very early in the season opener, which saw his backup throw three picks in a narrow San Diego State victory.

In typical fashion, Brady Hoke’s team is led by a defensive unit featuring a ball hawking secondary. They lead the conference in interceptions and turnovers caused, both of which categories they are top 10 nationally. The defense is complimented by good special teams play as well. This combination alone gives the Aztecs a fighting chance each week.

Against an Air Force team that has seemingly found their stride on offense, San Diego State is going to need a little more offensive output. The Falcons have scored 39 points or more in three of their four games this year. Pair that with a defense that has been very stingy, and the Aztecs are going to need to be very opportunistic forcing turnovers and turning them into points. Protecting the ball is also going to be critical for a team that’s turned it over 10 times already this season.

HERE’S HOW THE FALCONS CAN BEAT THE AZTECS

Air Force finally got back in the win column versus San Diego State last year for the first time since 2009. It’s been a really competitive series between these two schools, seeing long win streaks from both sides. In recent history though, the Aztecs have had the upper hand, and done so with outstanding defensive play.

Things look to be a little different in 2023. It’s hard to believe but were now looking at an Aztec team that is struggling to stop the run, surrendering 164 yards per game, ranking them 100th nationally. For their secondary to have an impact, the defense is going to need to stop Air Force’s run game, forcing them to throw a lot more than they’ve showed an inclination or need this year. That is very unlikely to happen.

The Falcons feature the nations top rushing attack as usual. And it’s an offense that appears to be getting better each game. While they don’t throw often, Zac Larrier is leading the country in pass efficiency and yards per completion. Not that I would suggest airing the ball out versus Saturday’s opponent, but it’s worth recognizing an effective passing game is there.

I think San Diego State is still a team to be respected, their record is a little misleading when you look at who they’ve played. But the relentless stable of carriers in the Air Force backfield is going to wear out an already suspect run defense. Once the Aztecs get behind, an opportunistic Falcon defense should be able to capitalize on their generosity, forcing critical turnovers.

This is a proud team coming to Colorado Springs, but they are going to be met by a team that’s not let injuries or roster transition slow them down. Air Force leads the Mountain West in rushing offense, scoring defense, passing defense, rushing defense, third down offense, third down defense, red zone defense and time of possession. Stats alone don’t win football games, but these are categories that reflect a physical, discipline football team.

The schedule isn’t getting any easier for the Aztecs in week 5. The Falcons are starting a new win streak in the series.

Air Force 27 – San Diego State 13

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Former Air Force golf coach gambled on sports, including Air Force football, NCAA says

The violation included placing bets on the football program at Air Force.

A former Air Force men’s golf head coach violated NCAA rules when he knowingly participated in impermissible sports wagering, including placing bets on the football program at Air Force, according to an agreement released by the Division I Committee on Infractions.

The former head coach was not named in the report. Air Force would not confirm the coach’s identity to Golfweek but did provide this statement:

“The U.S. Air Force Academy is pleased to have this issue resolved after working collaboratively with the NCAA Enforcement Staff and taking full responsibility, consistent with our institutional values. While the individuals’ actions were disappointing, the identification of the infractions and work throughout the negotiated resolution process shows that we have a robust NCAA compliance program and that our monitoring procedures are working. We will learn from the missteps and double down on our educational and monitoring efforts to avoid future infractions,” Air Force Academy Superintendent Lt. Gen. Richard Clark and Director of Athletics Nathan Pine said.

The violations occurred when the former coach created an account for an online sports wagering program using his then-girlfriend’s identification information because he knew NCAA rules prohibited participating in wagering on sports (at any level) the NCAA sponsors. Over the course of four months, he wagered $9,259 on 253 occasions — both professional and college sports — using that account. Of those wagers, 107 were on NCAA events, including six Air Force football games.

Because NCAA rules do not permit sports wagering, the head coach’s conduct violated NCAA principles of honesty and sportsmanship. Because of his personal involvement in the violations and his efforts to conceal behavior he knew was impermissible, he did not promote an atmosphere of compliance and thus violated NCAA head coach responsibility rules.

The parties used ranges identified by the Division I membership-approved infractions penalty guidelines to agree upon Level I-mitigated penalties for the university and Level I-aggravated penalties for the men’s golf head coach. There were also sanctions levied against the men’s ice hockey program.

The full list of penalties include:

  • Three additional years of probation, to be served after the school’s existing probationary period stemming from a previous infractions case, extending the probationary period until September 2027.
  • A $5,000 fine.
  • A two-week prohibition in all recruiting communications in men’s ice hockey.
  • A five-year show-cause order for the former men’s golf head coach. During the show-cause order, any employing member institution shall restrict the former head coach from any athletically related position. If the former head coach becomes employed in the first year after the show-cause order, he shall be suspended for 50% of the men’s golf regular season.

Members of the Committee on Infractions are drawn from the NCAA membership and members of the public. The members of the panel who reviewed this case are Norman Bay, attorney in private practice; Vince Nicastro, deputy commissioner and chief operating officer of the Big East; and Dave Roberts, special advisor to Southern California and chief hearing officer for the panel.

Penn State’s defensive rankings among nation’s best

Penn State leads the nation in total defense and passing defense. How PSU compares with nation’s top defenses…

Penn State has started Big Ten play on fire on defense. In their first two Big Ten games played, at Illinois and this past weekend at home against Iowa, the Nittany Lions forced an astounding 9 turnovers to help set the tone and prevent its opponent from ever thinking it had much of a chance of doing any damage. The Nittany Lions are also coming off a shutout victory over the Hawkeyes in which they allowed fewer than 80 yards of total offense.

Defensive coordinator Manny Diaz has Penn State’s defense locked in and playing at a championship-caliber level. Although Penn State hasn’t been truly tested by an offense that is properly equipped, and that should carry over into this week’s game at Northwestern, it is still encouraging to see Penn State’s defense is not messing around with taking care of its business on the field.

So, four weeks into the college football season, just how does Penn State’s defense compare to some of the best around the nation? Comparing defenses is often difficult in this sport, especially with just about a quarter of the season to weigh the data. But trends for team defenses have started to come into focus with four games under most schools’ belts at this point, and Penn State’s defensive ranks are quite impressive.

Below is a ranking of the nation’s top defenses according to yards per game allowed. Within each ranking will be noted where that team ranks in national scoring defense, rushing defense, and passing defense. As you will see, Penn State is sitting in good spots across the board.

Air Force at San Jose State: Why The Falcons Will Win

Air Force at San Jose State: Why The Falcons Will Win The Falcons and Spartans Face-Off for the 7th Time Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire Can Air Force Start 2-0 in Conference Play? WEEK 4: Air Force Falcons 3-0 (1-0) vs. San Jose State Spartans 1-3 …

Air Force at San Jose State: Why The Falcons Will Win

The Falcons and Spartans Face-Off for the 7th Time

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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Can Air Force Start 2-0 in Conference Play?

WEEK 4: Air Force Falcons 3-0 (1-0) vs. San Jose State Spartans 1-3 (0-0)

WHEN: Friday, September 22nd — 8:30 P.M. MT/ 7:30 P.M. PT

WHERE: CEFCU Stadium (San Jose, CA)

WEATHER: A few clouds from time to time. Low near 55F. NNW winds shifting to SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

TV: FS1 (Dan Hellie, Petros Papadakis)

STREAM: FuboTV

RADIO: KVOR AM 740 in Colorado Springs, 104.3 the Fan in Denver, SIRIUS XM 380, SXM 970
Jim Arthur (play-by-play), Jesse Kurtz (analyst)

SERIES RECORD: Air Force leads the series record 4-2

WEBSITES: SJSUAthletics.com, the official San Jose State athletics website | GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website

GAME NOTES (PDF): San Jose State | Air Force

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 9

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 11.3

PARKER FLEMING PROJECTIONS: Air Force 62.95% Win Probability (27.64-22.68)

The fourth week of the college football season features a pretty intriguing matchup in the Mountain West. Air Force will play San Jose State for the first time since 2020. For a quick history lesson, the Spartans defeated the Falcons on their way to being crown Mountain West Conference Champions that year.

They haven’t replicated that level of success since, but Brent Brennan’s squad could be a contender again this year. While the season has gotten off to a rocky start for San Jose State going 1-3, with the losses coming to USC, Oregon State and Toledo; all of whom are expected to compete for championships in their respective conferences.

A 59-3 victory over lesser FCS competition in Cal Poly is still a reminder that this team can be good. Behind one of the most experienced signal callers in all of college football, Chevon Cordiero, the Spartans offense can cause problems for a defense.

So don’t get fooled by the some of the aggregate statistics from the San Jose State Spartans to date. It’s likely more a product of who they have played thus far. They are replacing some studs along that defensive front and weren’t afforded a slow acclimation to competition.

Very few Conference victories come easy. Don’t expect them to roll out the red carpet at CEFCU Stadium on Friday.

HERE’S HOW THE FALCONS CAN CONQUER THE SPARTANS

Last year saw Air Force feature one of the Academy’s most dominant defenses. They were statistically the best in the nation in multiple categories. Coach Knorr’s group has continued to carry that play into the 2023 season, despite significant injury losses, they are still one of the country’s best defensive units.

That same defense is going to have to try and keep a dynamic quarterback in check if they want to win this game. Bo Richter’s play on the edge has been outstanding for the Flacons, and P.J. Ramsey along the defensive line has been in the opposing backfield as much as anyone. These two should play  key roles in limiting Cordiero’s damage. He’s a creative playmaker that can keep plays alive and pick up first downs with his mobility. Ramsey and Richter have proven to be game wreckers early on this year and should limit the Spartans ability to make big plays.

San Jose State has gotten somewhat surprising production out of their running backs this season, featuring two guys averaging better than five yards per carry and catch out of the backfield in Quali Conley and Kairee Robinson. Conley in particular averages almost seven yards per carry (6.7) on the season. Continued brilliant play from Alec Mock can help neutralize a lot of their impact. His partner in the linebacking corp, Jonathan Youngblood is also playing at a high level, so the front seven for Air Force has proven formidable.

There is no lack of content if you want to focus on the Air Force defense. What can make the Falcons a real problem for opponents is their offense  matching the play of their defense. The two units perfectly complement one another, with a greedy, time-consuming offense that limits possessions for the other team. And a stingy defense that isn’t giving up much with those limited possessions. Last week saw total domination of a team that seemingly has Air Force’s number recently, and a major reason why is the play of the offense.

The Falcons are getting very multiple running the ball, starting with a stable of fullbacks that are starting wear teams out in Owen Burk, Dylan Carson and Emanuel Michel. Big play potential is being provided by John Lee Eldridge II, earning an insane 8.9 yards per carry on the season.

A relentless rushing attack from Air Force with a host of ball carriers looks to be too much for a defense that is surrendering 170 yards per game on the ground. I would expect improvement on both sides of the ball from San Jose State, but even a decent showing from the defense would likely look like 24 points or better from the Falcons. This is important to note because the Air Force defense is not going to afford yards, much less points very easily. If you don’t know, take a look back at how long it’s been since the Falcons have surrendered 24 points to an opponent, it’s been a while.

Look for Richter, Taylor, Mock and crew to make things difficult for a Spartans team that really needs to start stringing wins together. Short of a disaster affair of turnovers by the Falcons, I’d expect the game to be close until the end as Air Force simply wears down San Jose State.

Air Force 28 – San Jose State 20

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Air Force Football: The Falcons Down Utah State 39-21

Air Force Football: The Falcons Down Utah State 39-21 The Falcons Improve to 3-0 on the Season Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire Something about the Blake Anderson era Aggies seemed to have the Falcons snakebitten in the previous two years. Well, …

Air Force Football: The Falcons Down Utah State 39-21

The Falcons Improve to 3-0 on the Season

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

Something about the Blake Anderson era Aggies seemed to have the Falcons snakebitten in the previous two years. Well, that all changed in a big way on Friday Night’s Mountain West Conference opener. This game was all but over at halftime, as Air Force soared to a 32-7 lead.

Maybe lessons were learned from the past, maybe the Aggies don’t have the same firepower or perhaps Air Force still has one of the nations elite defensive units? Elements of truth exist in each of those considers. The defensive unit smothered Utah State, forcing two early turnovers, five sacks and ushering a quarterback change from Cooper Legas to Freshman, McCae Hillstead.

Hillstead flashed at moments throughout the game, but much of that came at a time where the game was out of reach. Were it not for a lot of uncharacteristic drive extending penalties, Utah State may not of scored a point in this game. This was the complete and dominant Conference performance we have not seen levied on their rivals from Logan in three years.

After a lackluster output last week, I think Falcon fans can breath a bit easier when it comes to the offense. Pair that with a defense that has been lights out, let the Conference Contender hype train speed towards Colorado Springs.

Air Force travels to San Jose, to take on the Spartans next week in another Friday night matchup. The Aggies will try to get back into the win column back at home, against James Madison on Saturday.

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Air Force vs. Utah State: Why the Falcons will win

Air Force vs. Utah State: Why the Falcons will win Conference Play Kick’s Off at Falcon Stadium on Friday Night Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire Can the Falcons finally get a win over the Blake Anderson era Aggies? WEEK 3: Air Force Falcons 2-0 …

Air Force vs. Utah State: Why the Falcons will win

 

Conference Play Kick’s Off at Falcon Stadium on Friday Night

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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Can the Falcons finally get a win over the Blake Anderson era Aggies?

WEEK 3: Air Force Falcons 2-0 (0-0) vs. Utah State Aggies 1-1 (0-0)

WHEN: Friday, September 15th — 6:00 P.M. MT/ 5:00 P.M. PT

WHERE: Falcon Stadium (Colorado Springs, CO)

WEATHER: A few clouds from time to time. Low 46F. WSW winds shifting to NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

TV: CBS Sports Network CBSSN: Alex Del Barrio, Robert Turbin and Emily Proud

STREAM: FuboTV

RADIO: KVOR AM 740 in Colorado Springs, 104.3 the Fan in Denver, SIRIUS XM 380, SXM 970
Jim Arthur (play-by-play), Jesse Kurtz (analyst)

SERIES RECORD: Air Force leads the series record 6-5

WEBSITES: UtahStateAggies.com, the official Utah State athletics website | GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website

GAME NOTES (PDF): Utah State | Air Force

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 13.6

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 12.3

PARKER FLEMING PROJECTIONS: Air Force 69.73% (25-17.26)

https://x.com/AF_Football/status/1701278094991266095?s=20

Will this be the year that Air Force hands Blake Anderson his first loss to the Falcons? The series between these schools has been pretty even, with only a slight edge going to the Falcons winning six of 11 matchups. But the past two years, Utah State has had their number under Blake Anderson.

Last season, Air Force was a two score favorite to beat the Aggies, but the trio of Cooper Legas, Calvin Tyler, and Brian Cobbs proved to be too much for what wound up being a 10 win Falcon team.  While Tyler and Cobbs are no longer there, Legas has Terrell Vaughn and Rashul Faison making up a formidable 2023 edition.

Like last year, the Air Force defense looks dominant. Mind you, they lost to the Aggies while surrendering 34 points last year, which saw the Falcons end the season with the top ranked defense in the country. That defense has looked impressive again, but it’s hard to really know when you consider the anemic offenses they have faced.

Offensively, it’s difficult to know just how good they are as they piled up points on an underwhelming FCS opponent to start the season, and then struggled a bit versus what may wind up being a very good Sam Houston defensive group. There is still much to learn yet about the Falcons offense.

Utah State had a solid showing in their season opener against a ranked Iowa team, albeit in a losing effort. After mustering just 14 points against the Hawkeyes, they bounced back scoring nearly 80 points last week versus FCS competition, Idaho State. Regardless of the competition, the Aggies 250 yards rushing per game should have the Falcons attention.

I’m not sure how much these results can be used to conclude a winner in this Friday’s Mountain West Conference opener, but there are plenty of subplots with which to project why either team may be expected to win this bout.

HERE’S WHY AIR FORCE WILL WIN AGAINST THE AGGIES

Unlike their first two games, which saw the Falcons fumble the ball a whopping six times, they should have a considerable focus on ball security this Friday. You would think that’s a given in an program that is obsessed with details, but they have been fortunate to only lose two of those half dozen fumbles. Turnovers have played a significant role in their losses to Utah State the previous two meetings, they would do very well to avoid them in 2023.

The fumbling may also prove an opportunity for others to contribute. Considering fumbles likely led to one of the underclassmen ball carriers to see more carries. Don’t be surprised if Dylan Carson sees a significant increase in carries this week at fullback. He’s got quick feet and wearing number 20 can only mean good things when you’re a Falcon ball carrier.

After the previous encounter, Air Force’s defense should be prepared for Cooper Legas ability to do damage on the ground, not just as a passer. He chipped in 76 yards and a tudd carrying the rock, which was a contributing factor to the Falcons inability to stop the Aggie offense. The Air Force defense is still very good, and a lot of players were on that field last year will remember what happened. Expect them to play at a very high level this time around.

Confidence in the defensive unit holding up their part is more than reasonable. The offense clearly leave a few more question marks. The offensive line is the strength of the offense, executing the multiple run attack at a high level will be a must this week. There is plenty of talent on this offense with Larrier, Eldridge III and crew, and they have yet to unleash Dane Kinamon at all this season. Perhaps this is the week it happens. Kinamon can be an absolute game changer.

I’ll try and capture the essence of an Air Force victory in a not-so-complex recipe. Win the turnover battle, allow Utah State to continue averaging 75 penalty yards per game, feature three 75 yard ball carriers, don’t allow a surprise Aggie impact performer (I’m talking about former Falcon Micah Davis here), continued front seven dominance, and win in the redzone on both sides of the ball.

If Troy Calhoun’s bunch can deliver on those key areas, the Falcon’s should be able to start the year 1-0 in conference play. It will not be easy, but it’s time to get back on the winning end of these games with the Aggies.

Air Force 27 – Utah State 24

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Air Force Football: The Falcons Defeat Sam Houston 13-3

Air Force Football: The Falcons Defeat Sam Houston 13-3 The Falcons Win at NRG Stadium To Go 2-0 Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire Air Force won a close defensive battle against the Sam Houston Bearkats on Saturday. The Falcons entered the 4th …

Air Force Football: The Falcons Defeat Sam Houston 13-3

The Falcons Win at NRG Stadium To Go 2-0

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

Air Force won a close defensive battle against the Sam Houston Bearkats on Saturday. The Falcons entered the 4th quarter tied at three, before pulling away late in the game.

Both defenses played well all game, but it was the Air Force bunch that was able to really suffocate the opposition. While the Bearkats scored their first points in FBS competition, they are going to have to wait for their first touchdown or victory.

Fumbles continue to be a concerning theme for the Falcons, as they put the ball on the ground three more times, which makes six times already in the young season. They have only lost a pair of those fumbles, but it is becoming a concerning pattern.

The offense is going to have to chip in more points if they want to beat Utah State. They have yet to beat a Coach Blake Anderson coached Aggies team, but they’ll hope to reverse those fortunes Friday’s Conference opener.

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Air Force at Sam Houston: Falcons Game Preview, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction

The Falcons head to Texas in order to take on FBS newcomer SHSU. Here’s how to watch and what to watch for.

Air Force at Sam Houston State: Falcons Game Preview, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction

The Falcons Head to Houston in Week Two

Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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Air Force Takes on Same Houston for the first time.

WEEK 2: Air Force Falcons 1-0 (0-0) vs. Same Houston Bearkats 0-0 (0-0)

WHEN: Saturday, September 9th — 6:00 P.M. MT/ 5:00 P.M. PT

WHERE: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)

WEATHER: Indoors

TV: CBS Sports Network Carter Blackburn (play-by-play), Robert Turbin (analyst)

STREAM: Stats.statsbroadcast.com

RADIO: KVOR AM 740 in Colorado Springs, 104.3 the Fan in Denver, SIRIUS XM 380, SXM 970
Jim Arthur (play-by-play), Jesse Kurtz (analyst)

SERIES RECORD: Air Force has never played Sam Houston.

WEBSITES: GoBearkats.com, the official Sam Houston athletics website | GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website

GAME NOTES (PDF): Sam Houston | Air Force

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 14.5

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 23.9

PARKER FLEMING PROJECTIONS: Air Force 15.6

A banged up Air Force team heads to Houston to take on FBS newcomers, the Sam Houston Bearkats. While the Falcons cruised to a convincing week one victory against FCS opponent, Robert Morris, the Bearkats had their hands full with much stiffer competition in BYU.

For the second year in a row K.C. Keeler’s squad was shutout in their season opener. But the defense should certainly get some attention with their showing at Provo. Losing 14-0, the Bearkats were very stingy, holding the Cougars to just 257 yards of total offense. We don’t know how good BYU is this year, but the newest C-USA member still impressed.

Troy Calhoun’s squad got a good look at their depth last week. Unfortunately, not all of that was because of a significant lead. While they did batter Robert Morris and get a lot of players game action, Air Force entered the game a little dinged up, and added one of the best players in the Conference to that list of those on the mend. Camby Goff sustained a pretty significant injury against the Colonials, the last thing you want to see when playing an FCS opener.

Heading into week two, they are hoping to have a few key players back who weren’t dressed in week one. The presence alone of players to the likes of Dane Kinamon won’t promise a win at NRG Stadium though. Here are a few keys to staying in the win column.

takeaways, no giveaways

Turnovers can be the great equalizer in any game. In their opener, Air Force put the ball on the ground three times versus a vastly inferior opponent. The Bearkats saw Keegan Shoemaker throw a trio of interceptions.

This is not Rhett Bomar or Josh McCown slinging the ball around. The Falcons should be able to capitalize on what has proven to be a willing participant to put the ball into dangerous flight patterns. There is no need to match the Bearkats willingness to give the ball away. That’s could be the key ingredient to an upset.

STAY STINGY

Both teams held their opponents under four yards per play; Air Force 3.1 and Sam Houston 3.8. The Bearkats were only able to muster 3.2 yards per play on offense though. A historically good defense in 2022, still has some identity here in 2023’s version of the Falcon defense. Getting yards should not come easy against them.

Make it hard for Sam Houston to move the ball on the ground especially, and force Shoemaker to put the ball in the air. After last weeks result, you could expect Keeler’s squad to get much more production on the ground. But don’t comply. Make Saturday feel like Groundhog day for the Bearkats with a K.

 

GET THE BACKS MORE CARRIES

Last week saw pretty much anyone with a blue jersey get a carry against Robert Morris. But starting quarterback, Zac Larrier still got a majority of those carries. He’s a homerun threat with the ball in his hands, and they will be relying on him a lot this season.

Team’s need to feel uneasy about the prospect on their trio of fullbacks getting the ball, just as much as the threat of John Lee Eldridge III or Zac Larrier gashing them. Establishing that fullback run game is almost like a cheat code for the Air Force offense. Unlock that part your game, and it’s going to make for some miserable drives for the opposing defense.

Prediction

K.C. Keeler has done a fantastic job in his tenure at Sam Houston State University. Before last years 5-4 campaign to conclude their FCS era, the Bearkats went on a tear, going 21-1, with a National Championship the prior two seasons. It’s no coincidence they earned a step up in weight class to the FBS under his leadership.

Even in a loss to BYU, there is a lot to be optimistic about if you’re a Bearkats fan. I think the Sam Houston faithful will have to temper that enthusiasm for a few more weeks, until the schedule relents a little though.

Air Force didn’t face great competition, but they also had the luxury of running a lot of players out there, and keeping with a gameplan that is modeled on consistency, repetition and flawless execution. That’s going to be difficult to deal with, even after a great showing against BYU.

I would expect the Falcon’s offensive arsenal to be more faceted and lethal this week. And frankly, it will need to be. But combined with complimentary football from a very good defense, and it will seem a lot like Provo again by night’s end I suspect.

Texas has been quite kind to Air Force recently, rewarding them with trophies their past two visit to the great state. Defeating Baylor in a bowl game, and a neutral site victory over Army to secure the Commander-in-Chief’s trophy proved quite the bounty. No trophy this Saturday, just a W as they the Falcons pull away in the second half.

Air Force 27 – Sam Houston 10

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