2022 fantasy football advice – Page 7

Fantasy football: Where to draft San Francisco 49ers RB Elijah Mitchell

Analyzing San Francisco 49ers RB Elijah Mitchell’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

It’s a new season for the San Francisco 49ers but the same questions that have dogged Kyle Shanahan since he took over as head coach persist — will the same running back ever lead the team in rushing 2 years in a row on his watch? Running back Elijah Mitchell is hoping to be the player who breaks the streak. Five different running backs have led the team in rushing in Shanahan’s 5 years at the helm, which has some wondering if any running back will ever be the consistent featured back.

Below, we look at Elijah Mitchell‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

When the 2021 season began, Mitchell wasn’t expected to be the primary back. He was a 6th-round draft pick with no guarantee of even making the final roster. He instead became the workhorse back and compiled 963 rushing yards on 207 carries and catching 19 of the 20 passes thrown his way in just 11 games.

Mitchell is positioned to be the primary back again entering 2022, but we’ve heard this song before only to have a different ending every time.

Elijah Mitchell’s ADP: 61.73

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

It would appear the 49ers’ history of revolving running backs has hurt Mitchell’s draft stock. He is at the front end of a running backs run in the 7th round of 10-player league drafts. He finds himself behind J.K. Dobbins (Baltimore Ravens) with an ADP at 57.93 and ahead of A.J. Dillon (Green Bay Packers) at 67.40, Antonio Gibson (Washington Commanders) at 69.43 and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Kansas City Chiefs) at 67.15.

All of those running backs have some question marks associated and many fantasy owners will view them as being interchangeable.

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Elijah Mitchell’s 2021 stats

Games: 11

Carries | rushing yards: 207 | 963

Rushing touchdowns: 5

Receptions | receiving yards: 19 | 137

Receiving touchdowns: 1

Where should you draft Mitchell?

I think this is the year that the streak of different leading rushers finally ends in San Francisco. The organization has systematically weeded out the players that stood in front of Mitchell and is giving him the opportunity to be the main man.

Keep in mind that Mitchell averaged 19 carries a game in the 11 games he played — a big number, but representative of the type of offense the 49ers like to run. Ideally, if the team runs 60 offensive plays it wants to have 30 runs and 30 passes. That ratio is likely going to stay as the team moves on to young quarterback Trey Lance.

There may be some concerns that WR Deebo Samuel will cut into his time (Samuel scored 8 rushing touchdowns in the 2nd half of 2021), but when you’re looking for an RB3 — Mitchell is the 23rd ranked running back by ADP — to land a player who can run 20 or more times a game consistently is a rare gift that makes Mitchell a solid sleeper.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Jacksonville Jaguars RB Travis Etienne

Analyzing Jacksonville Jaguars RB Travis Etienne’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Despite missing his entire rookie season after suffering a Lisfranc injury in the preseason, the promise Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne showed in college at Clemson has him being shown a lot of respect in fantasy drafts heading into the 2022 season.

Below, we look at Travis Etienne‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Etienne is rated as the 18th running back despite never playing a down of meaningful football in the NFL and playing for a team that struggled mightily on offense last year. It is unclear if his primary in-house competition — James Robinson — will be ready for the start of the season after tearing his Achilles last season. The Jaguars drafted college teammates Etienne and quarterback Trevor Lawrence to help the franchise turn the corner and both will need to elevate their games for that to happen.

Travis Etienne’s ADP: 41.81

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Etienne is a player with 3-down potential as both a runner and receiver and that hasn’t been lost on where he has been going in drafts — higher than most running backs coming off a foot injury with a sketchy offense has gone historically.

Etienne’s ADP finds him as a 5th-round prospect behind Cam Akers (Los Angeles Rams) at 39.29 and ahead of David Montgomery (Chicago Bears) at 44.90 and Breece Hall (New York Jets) at 49.29.

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Travis Etienne’s 2021 stats

Games: 0

Carries | rushing yards: 0 | 0

Rushing touchdowns: 0

Receptions | receiving yards: 0 | 0

Receiving touchdowns: 0

Where should you draft Etienne?

While I believe Etienne has the qualities to be a special player, he will need to prove more to be given the sort of respect he is being shown. At this ADP, he is being asked to be an RB2 on fantasy rosters and will be counted on to be a weekly starter.

Personally, I would lean toward taking a veteran guy like Montgomery (if you’re convinced he will stay healthy) or Josh Jacobs (Las Vegas Raiders) at 52.88, who is a more established talent within his offense.

Etienne is going to be one of the watershed players in fantasy drafts this year. He has an enormously high ceiling and has the potential to be a top-10 back when all is said and done, but there is still reason for concern that he will be able to achieve those goals. I’d let him slide by and take Jacobs a full round later.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill

Analyzing Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

In a way, you have to feel a little sorry for Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Over the last 18 months, he has seen his top 2 receivers leave with the approval of the organization — Corey Davis in free agency and A.J. Brown via trade. As a result, Tannehill is ranked as the 20th fantasy quarterback at the very bottom of quarterbacks that will be drafted in 10-player leagues.

Below, we look at Ryan Tannehill‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

The loss of his supporting cast on a team that ideally wants to run as much or more as it passes is a blow because Tannehill has quietly been a fantasy keeper. In 2020, he accounted for 40 total touchdowns, which dropped to 28 last year. However, he has scored 18 touchdowns in 3 seasons in Tennessee and, as those with Derrick Henry on their rosters can sadly remember with crystal clarity, Tannehill has 7 rushing touchdowns in each of the last 2 seasons.

Ryan Tannehill’s ADP: 137.31

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

When you get to the end of a draft and your filling in the last spot at a position, there can be a tendency to checker-jump your own draft list to take somebody you think has more upside. As such, anybody at the end of the line (QB20 qualifies under that definition) has no guarantee of being drafted and will linger on the waiver wire.

As is currently stands, Tannehill’s ADP finds him behind Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) at 131.14 and Justin Fields (Chicago Bears) at 137.10 and ahead of Mac Jones (New England Patriots) at 138.10 and Jameis Winston (New Orleans Saints) at 138.56.

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Ryan Tannehill’s 2021 stats

Games: 17

Passing yards: 3,734

Completions | attempts: 357 | 531

Passing touchdowns: 21

Interceptions: 14

Carries | rushing yards: 55 | 270

Rushing touchdowns: 7

Where should you draft Tannehill?

Given the losses he has sustained over the last 2 years — rookie Treylon Brooks and injured veteran Robert Woods are kind of a hard sell to replace what Brown and Davis did for the offense 2 years ago — there isn’t a lot to love about Tannehill.

That being said, he has a career record of 30-13 in 43 games as a Titans starter. He wins games, which doesn’t lend itself to the “garbage points” quarterbacks on teams with awful defenses find themselves piling up on a regular 4th-quarter basis.

In many leagues, the likelihood is that Tannehill will be available for waiver pickups when injuries start taking out quarterbacks. I would have Winston rated ahead of him because of the dearth of talent he has to throw to by comparison, but he will end up on a roster somewhere, because the guy finds ways to win games and isn’t always because of Henry.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft New Orleans Saints QB Jameis Winston

Analyzing New Orleans Saints QB Jameis Winston’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

The New Orleans Saints have been struggling to adjust following the retirement of first ballot Hall of Famer Drew Brees and are looking to help quarterback Jameis Winston reclaim his career.

Below, we look at Jameis Winston‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

In 2019, Winston posted mammoth numbers, throwing for 5,109 yards and 33 touchdowns, but he also threw 30 interceptions — which got him run out of Tampa Bay and being viewed as 1st-round bust. After sitting behind Brees in 2020, he got the first chance to replace him, but tore an ACL in the 7th game of the season. He comes back this year looking for redemption and he has plenty of weapons around him to accomplish a successful return.

Jameis Winston’s ADP: 138.56

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Winston’s ADP is a position that would have him not making a fantasy roster in a 10-player league because he is currently the 22nd-ranked quarterback and most fantasy owners don’t take 3 quarterbacks.

Winston finds himself on the back end of a QB run in the 14th round, landing behind Justin Fields (Chicago Bears) with an ADP at 137.10, Ryan Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) at 137.31 and Mac Jones (New England Patriots) at 138.10. After Winston, the drop is pronounced. The next QB on the rankings list is Baker Mayfield (Carolina Panthers) at 149.18.

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Jameis Winston’s 2021 stats

Games: 7

Passing yards: 1,170

Completions | attempts: 95 | 161

Passing touchdowns: 14

Interceptions: 3

Carries | rushing yards: 32 | 166

Rushing touchdowns: 1

Where should you draft Winston?

According to ADP, unless you’re in a 12-player league, Winston doesn’t look like he would be drafted and, if he was, it would be at the very end of the draft.

However, given the weapons he has at his disposal — the hopeful return of star WR Thomas, 1st-round rookie WR Chris Olave and versatile running back Alvin Kamara, whoever runs the offense is going to have the chance to put up some impressive numbers on a consistent basis.

While his injuries and erratic play are red flags for some, I would have Winston rated ahead of Fields, Tannehill and Jones simply because he has too many strong weapons to ignore. He’s a dice roll on being healthy, but if he is able to stay on the field, he could be one of the biggest sleepers of the 2022 quarterback pool.

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10 fantasy football takeaways from preseason Week 3

The most important fantasy stats from Week 3 action.

There aren’t a great deal of ultra-important lessons to glean from Week 3 of the NFL preseason as many teams continued to sit starters on both sides of the ball in effort to let the youngsters have one last chance at securing a roster spot.

A few items come into focus, though, and before we take a closer look, one potential scenario jumped off the screen: The Green Bay Packers are in deep trouble if Aaron Rodgers misses time. The 38-year-old veteran remains spry, but holy guacamole is Jordan Love not prepared for the NFL.

After a pandemic-stricken rookie season in 2020 and a sophomore campaign of learning the ropes in a still-impacted format, the return to normalcy in his third year appears to have done nothing for his on-field maturation. The presumed heir apparent wasn’t even the best reserve quarterback of the lot in Week 3. While it is just one game, there haven’t been many career bright spots from the primary backup to suggest this team will even be competent should something happen to No. 12. Fingers crossed the Packers don’t need to rely on Love at any point this year.

New York Jets wideout Denzel Mims gets an honorable mention for his 7-102-1 line vs. the New York Giants. It was a quality showing put forth by a former top prospect whose near future likely is with a different ball club, though he still has no fantasy value at this time.

In any case, what else have we learned that will have an impact on fantasy football plans in 2022 drafts and beyond?

5 late-round fantasy football tight end fliers

These tight ends could bolster fantasy rosters with little investment needed.

Injuries happen. It’s just the nature of the NFL, and the fallout has ruined many a fantasy season over the years. After all, there’s nothing quite like the sting of losing your first-round pick a month into the season. That’s the game, however, and it’s why finding good depth at the end of drafts is so vital. With that in mind, here are five tight ends to consider in the later rounds.

Fantasy football: Where to draft Arizona Cardinals TE Zach Ertz

Analyzing Arizona Cardinals TE Zach Ertz’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

For the last several years, the Philadelphia Eagles used tight ends in the passing game as much as any team in the league. The only difference between the Eagles and teams like Kansas City with one dominant tight end was that Philadelphia had two – Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert.

Both of them became impressive offensive weapons, but from the fantasy football perspective, having 2 guys performing 1 role tended to devalue both. When one or the other was injured, the healthy 1 thrived. But when they played together, they were splitting up the production. That changed 6 games into the 2021 season when Ertz was a somewhat surprising trade deadline move when he was sent to the Arizona Cardinals.

Below, we look at Zach Ertz’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Arizona has long been a desert for tight end production. Can you name the last playmaking tight end that made a fantasy impact who played for the Cardinals? The truth is that there hasn’t been a consistent fantasy tight end there in decades, not just a few years. Ertz may change that. In 11 games he played with the Cardinals last season, he caught 56 passes for 574 yards.

Zach Ertz’s ADP: 96.87

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

It’s difficult to find a sharper line of demarcation among fantasy tight ends (or any position for that matter) than you see in the landing zone for Ertz. He is low-end TE1 (No. 9 overall at the position) and the distance between tight ends being selected is expansive. The last tight end in front of Ertz is T.J. Hockenson (Detroit Lions) with an ADP at 78.62. After Ertz comes off at 96.87, the next 2 tight ends being drafted are Dawson Knox (Buffalo Bills) at 101.75 and Mike Gesicki (Miami Dolphins) at 113.11.

The division of talent seems clear that from the 8th round into the 12th round, less than 1 tight end per round is coming off draft boards and Ertz’s draft spot is pretty solidly entrenched.

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Zach Ertz’s 2021 stats

Games: 17

Receptions | targets: 74 | 112

Receiving yards: 763

Receiving touchdowns: 5

Where should you draft Ertz?

Ertz is still a work in progress with the Cardinals. When the team was gearing up for the 2021 season, Ertz wasn’t in the plans. It was only when he was available in trade that he was in Arizona’s plans.

A year later and a full offseason for the coaching staff to design more plays that feature tight end mismatches down the seam that fit into Ertz’s strengths, it could be a different landscape in the Cardinals passing game. He has averaged more than 50 yards a game in his career, which, if extrapolated over a full season, would lead to about 85 receptions for 850 yards and a handful of touchdowns – the kind of numbers you expect from a mid- to low-end TE1.

While Hockenson is the better athlete, I wouldn’t be surprised in fantasy drafts if Ertz goes higher simply because he is part of a better offense and a better receiver corps that will leave Ertz in more 1-on-1 situations.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Arizona Cardinals RB James Conner

Analyzing Arizona Cardinals RB James Conner’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

It seems like every year a player gets on a scoring role that is hard to predict or project. In 2021, that player was Arizona Cardinals running back James Conner. He came to the Cardinals after being left for dead when the Pittsburgh Steelers drafted Najee Harris and had no use for the veteran Conner.

Below, we look at James Conner‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

In his 1st season with the Cardinals, he was expected to be in a battle with Chase Edmonds for playing time and, while Conner had almost twice as many carries, he averaged just 3.7 yards per rush and wasn’t a dangerous breakaway threat. However, he scored a whopping 18 touchdowns in 15 games — a number that will be difficult to replicate.

James Conner’s ADP: 32.00

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Despite his gaudy scoring numbers from 2021 and his ability to finish off drives in close, Conner still has his share of detractors in fantasy circles.

His ADP has his coming off draft boards early in the 4th round in 10-player fantasy leagues as the No. 16 running back, behind Leonard Fournette (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at 26.82 and Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas Cowboys) at 29.97 and in front of Cam Akers (Los Angeles Rams) at 38.56 and Travis Etienne (Jacksonville Jaguars) at 40.66.

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James Conner’s 2021 stats

Games: 15

Carries | rushing yards: 202 | 752

Rushing touchdowns: 15

Receptions | receiving yards: 37 | 375

Receiving touchdowns: 3

Where should you draft Conner?

There is something to be said for niche players who are designated scorers, which Conner clearly was last season. While it isn’t realistic to expect another season with 18 TDs, Conner has the confidence of the organization.

Edmonds was his primary competition, but the Cardinals made their choice — keeping Conner and allowing Edmonds to leave via free agency and sign with the Miami Dolphins. With Edmonds gone, depth is thin behind Conner, which means if he stays healthy, he will be the featured back in every game.

When you get the point where you’re looking for an RB2 for your roster, somebody who isn’t a time share is the ideal candidate and given the combination of his scoring ability and lack of realistic threats to his playing time, Conner fits that bill. While I’m not a big fan of Conner as a fantasy player, he is in an offense ideally suited for his skill set and capable of getting into scoring position numerous times a game. That typically leads to fantasy success.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft San Francisco 49ers QB Trey Lance

Analyzing San Francisco 49ers QB Trey Lance’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

When a new quarterback comes into the league, especially when its with a team that has legitimate Super Bowl aspirations, the projections of NFL greatness go off the charts. When the San Francisco 49ers made a huge investment to move up to the No. 3 pick in the 2021 draft to select North Dakota State quarterback Trey Lance, those alarms went off that the Niners had a gem who is going to be the franchise quarterback for the next decade.

Below, we look at Trey Lance‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

When Lance was slow to pick up the playbook early as a rookie, veteran quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo never lost his starting job. While Lance played in 6 games as a rookie, just 2 of them were starts. Heading into 2022, while Garoppolo is still on the roster — trade rumors have been just that in recent months — Lance is being anointed as the starter and there is a lot of fantasy buzz around him.

Trey Lance’s ADP: 89.69

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Lance’s current ADP has him as the 12th-ranked fantasy quarterback and there is a clear line between Lance and the 2 quarterbacks in front of him — Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) at 73.78 and Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) at 75.45. Immediately after Lance, QBs start coming off boards quickly, starting with Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) at 91.52 and Derek Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) at 92.94.

The difference between Lance and those other quarterbacks — especially the 2 behind him in the rankings — is the expectation that Lance will be able to do a lot more damage as a rusher than either of the other 2.

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Trey Lance’s 2021 stats

Games: 6

Passing yards: 603

Completions | attempts: 71 | 41

Passing touchdowns: 5

Interceptions: 2

Carries | rushing yards: 38 | 168

Rushing touchdowns: 1

Where should you draft Lance?

Lance is in an ideal situation. Typically when a quarterback is drafted as high as Lance was, it’s because the team was garbage the year before and needed to make a change in the direction of the franchise. Any 1st-round QB is immediately viewed as the face of the future of a franchise and, after 1 year of learning and sitting, Lance is getting his chance to prove the 49ers War Room right that he was worth the investment made in him.

My biggest problem with this ranking is that the 49ers are a run-1st, run-2nd offense, which requires the quarterback to do a lot of his fantasy scoring with his legs. Very few quarterbacks consistently pile up enough fantasy points running the ball to make up for what those QBs who consistently throw for 250 or more yards and 2-3 TDs on a regular basis are capable of doing.

While I love the idea of Lance in a dynasty league where you can carry over players for a year or more, as to the 2022 season, I don’t see Lance putting up the kind of numbers that would be consistently better than Stafford, Carr or even Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) on a week-to-week basis.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Los Angeles Rams RB Cam Akers

Analyzing Los Angeles Rams RB Cam Akers’ 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Some players seem to get the benefit of the doubt when it comes to fantasy football owners who envision a huge season and, when it doesn’t happen, still maintain their faith in that player regardless. Los Angeles Rams running back Cam Akers has been one of those players.

Below, we look at Cam Akers‘ 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

When Akers was drafted in the 2nd round of the 2020 draft, he was almost immediately anointed as the Next Big Thing in the post-Todd Gurley offense. It didn’t happen as a rookie when he rushed for just 625 yards, caught just 11 passes and scored 3 touchdowns in 13 games.

It appeared his 2021 season was washed away early on when he suffered a torn Achilles prior to the start of training camp. However, he showed his recuperative powers by returning in Week 18 of the regular season and being the primary back in the playoff run to a Super Bowl title . However, he averaged just 2.6 yards per carry in the postseason (67 carries for 172 yards and no TDs). While Akers Fever isn’t as strong this season, he’s still viewed as a fantasy starter.

Cam Akers’ ADP: 38.56

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Akers finds himself as a late-4th round fantasy draft pick as the 17th-ranked running back. He has yet to really prove himself as a force for fantasy backs, but the love still seems to be there from the Rams coaching staff.

Akers has an ADP at 38.56, which puts him a few picks behind James Conner (Arizona Cardinals) at 32.00 and ahead of Travis Etienne (Jacksonville Jaguars) at 40.66, David Montgomery (Chicago Bears) at 44.07 and Breece Hall (New York Jets) at 46.97. It would appear Akers is viewed as the top unproven NFL back on the board when the draft turns from the 4th to 5th round.

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Cam Akers’ 2021 stats

Games: 1

Carries | rushing yards: 5 | 3

Rushing touchdowns: 0

Receptions | receiving yards: 3 | 10

Receiving touchdowns: 3

Where should you draft Akers?

It’s difficult to get too excited about a player whose first 2 seasons are exemplified more by injury than displaying his physical gifts. To date, he has missed more games (19) than he has played (14) and his yards per carry numbers are frighteningly low.

With little in the way of competition, the Rams intend to make Akers their workhorse back and seem willing to give him 15-20 touches a game. For fantasy owners, that comes as good news. But we’ve heard this same story for 3 years now and Akers has little to show for that organizational confidence.

As it stands, Akers is a late-RB2 that will be counted on by those who draft him to be a regular fantasy starter. Until he can show he can stay on the field, you may not disagree with his ranking, but may be better suited to let him end up on somebody else’s roster.