Middle Tennessee Beats Toledo 31-24: Bahamas Bowl 5 Thoughts, Instant Reaction

5 Thoughts and Instant Reaction to Middle Tennessee’s Bahamas Bowl win over Toledo.

Middle Tennessee vs Toledo. 5 thoughts and instant reaction after the 31-24 win by the Blue Raiders in the Bahamas Bowl.


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Middle Tennessee vs Toledo: Bahamas Bowl

5. Middle Tennessee went for it. Toledo didn’t.

Toledo played a strange game. It sort of went conservative when it shouldn’t have, and it sort of kept pushing when it shouldn’t have, and Middle Tennessee thanked the Rocket coaching staff and left with a win.

The Rockets needed to keep moving the chains, the running game was great – more on that in a moment – and they didn’t push it too much as they went for field goals – missing a few of them – and not trying to capture the momentum to take over the game.

Middle Tennessee didn’t do anything crazy, but it kept bringing the defensive pressure, took advantage of the opportunities that were there, and got the win.

It helped the cause that …

4. Toledo stopped running the ball

Bryant Koback was ripping through the Blue Raiders.

The Toledo back ran for 126 yards and averaged seven yards per carry, but he only had 18 carries. QB Dequan Finn was running well when he got his chances. The ground attack overall averaged 7.3 yards per carry, and yet the offense stopped going with what worked.

Toledo finished with just 32 carries, Finn completed just 18-of-39 passes, and it all played right into Middle Tennessee’s defensive strengths.

Toledo needed to keep running and running and running, and it didn’t, and it lost control of your 2021 Bahamas Bowl.

3. Middle Tennessee got it done without having to be Middle Tennessee

Toledo came into this as the most penalized team in the country, and it didn’t disappoint with 12 for 119 yards – including a big one early that led to a touchdown.

Middle Tennessee came into this as the best team in the country at taking the ball away, but it only got one, it came late, and it didn’t really need it.

The Blue Raiders were able to win with ball control, timely plays, and again, with an aggressive nature that Toledo didn’t have.


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2. Toledo just never found its footing

Toledo piled up a good 7-5 record with wins over a whole slew of bad teams, but it also pushed Notre Dame. It rocked a flaky Western Michigan squad, and it managed to go 4-1 over the final stretch to overcome a disappointing season – this was a MAC Championship-caliber team on talent – with a shot at ending with something strong.

Instead, the passing game didn’t work until late, the double-digit favorite lost, and it’s a fourth straight bowl loss for head coach Jason Candle.

The team is loaded for next year, but the pressure is on. Toledo should be – and should’ve been – must stronger than this Bahamas Bowl loss.

1. Middle Tennessee has its quarterback … maybe

Chase Cunningham was the star of the Blue Raiders before suffering a knee injury with four games left, and freshman Nick Vattiato burned his redshirt year to carry the team down the stretch.

He doesn’t run, he’s not big, and he had interception issues, but he didn’t throw any picks, he went for 270 yards and two touchdowns – including the game-sealer – and he left the running to Mike DiLello, who stepped in and ran for 44 yards and a score – but threw an interception.

Middle Tennessee finishes at 7-6 with a great finish after a 2-4 start to the season. After two straight losing seasons, it was a great way to close things out for a program with a big upside for 2022.

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Toledo vs Middle Tennessee: Bahamas Bowl Prediction, Game Preview

Bahamas Bowl: Toledo vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might or might not win.

Toledo vs Middle Tennessee: Bahamas Bowl prediction, game preview, how to watch 


Toledo vs Middle Tennessee: Bahamas Bowl How To Watch

Date: Friday, December 17
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET
Venue: Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas
Network: ESPN, Live stream on ESPN+
Records: Middle Tennessee (6-6), Toledo (7-5)
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Toledo vs Middle Tennessee Bahamas Bowl Preview

It wasn’t the season Toledo was hoping for. It came into the year with enough talent to win the MAC Championship, but after a rough start it got hot late with three straight wins to close things out thanks to the league’s best defense and an offense that scored 49 points in three of its last four games.

A strange team, Toledo got flagged more than anyone in America, but it made up for the mistakes by leading the nation with the fewest turnovers. The small things mattered – four of the five losses were by three points or fewer. Now the team that gave the ball up less than anyone faces the team that led the nation in takeaways.

Middle Tennessee sputtered early, but turned things around in the middle of the season. Just as it looked like it was about to make a move, it lost star QB Chase Cunningham for the season before the final month.

The Blue Raider offense picked it up with a decent balance, the defense kept taking the ball away, and the two wins in the final three games – including a clutch performance at Florida Atlantic to get bowl eligible – were enough to get here.

Why Toledo, Middle Tennessee Will Win
Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

NEXT: Why Toledo Will Win, Why Middle Tennessee Will Win, Bahamas Bowl Prediction

Toledo vs Akron Prediction, Game Preview

Toledo vs Akron prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Toledo vs Akron prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 27


Toledo vs Akron How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 27
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Toledo (6-5), Akron (2-9)
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Toledo vs Akron Game Preview


Why Akron Will Win

Can Akron summon its inner Bowling Green?

The Falcons had a rough year – they lost to Akron – but they rose up on Friday to beat Ohio. Akron has had a brutal year – losing its last five games and getting blown away 38-0 by Kent State in the home finale, but it can close out with a bang with what would be the program’s best win in years.

The Zips are okay at controlling the clock, the passing game rocked for well over 300 yards against Ball State and Western Michigan in good fights, and …

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Why Toledo Will Win

Akron doesn’t have a pass rush.

Toledo’s big issue is pass protection, and that’s not a problem against a Zip D that doesn’t get behind the line.

The Rockets are already bowl eligible, but losing to Akron would ruin the momentum of a decent late run of three wins in the last four games.

The ground attack has been fantastic over the last month with over 900 yards over that four game stretch, and it’s about to rip through the run defense that’s been destroyed over the second half of the season.

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What’s Going To Happen

Toledo won’t run for 410 yards against Akron like Kent State did last week, but it’ll get to 230 with ease.

The Zips will keep on throwing, but they won’t have enough luck against the MAC’s best scoring defense. Toledo will make it four wins in the last five by getting up early and cruising from there.

College Football Schedule: Week 13 Predictions, Lines

Toledo vs Akron Prediction, Lines

Toledo 49, Akron 16
Line: Toledo -28.5, o/u: 57.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: The Times and Life of Shawn Carter: Official Video of JAY-Z’s 2021 Rock Hall Induction
1: “Why don’t we have Thanksgiving food the rest of the year?”

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MAC Football Predictions, Schedule, Game Previews, Lines, How To Watch: Week 12

MAC Week 12 college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings. Toledo at Ohio, Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan, Bowling Green at Miami University, Northern Illinois at Buffalo, Central Michigan at Ball State, Kent State at Akron

MAC football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings for Week 12 of the season.


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Click on each game for game preview & prediction

MAC Results So Far
SU: 67-19, ATS: 47-36, Point Total: 44-39-2

Tuesday, November 16

Toledo at Ohio

7:00, ESPN+
Line: Toledo -7, o/u: 54.5

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan

7:30, ESPN2
Line: Western Michigan -5.5, o/u: 66

Bowling Green at Miami University

8:00, ESPNU
Line: Miami University -17, o/u: 51.5

Week 12 Schedule, Predictions, Game Times

Wednesday, November 17

Northern Illinois at Buffalo

7:00, ESPN2
Line: Northern Illinois -1.5, o/u: 62.5

Central Michigan at Ball State

7:00, ESPNU
Line: Ball State -1.5, o/u: 61

Saturday, November 20

Kent State at Akron

12:00, ESPN+
Line: Kent State -13.5, o/u: 75

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 12

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Toledo vs Ohio Prediction, Game Preview

Toledo vs Ohio prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win Tuesday night

Toledo vs Ohio prediction, game preview, how to watch: Tuesday, November 16


Toledo vs Ohio How To Watch

Date: Tuesday, November 16
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Peden Stadium, Athens, OH
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Toledo (5-5), Ohio (3-7)
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Toledo vs Ohio Game Preview


Why Toledo Will Win

Toledo is bowl eligible with a win and would keep MAC East hopes alive – at least for a day.

The Rockets are rolling offensively with close to 1,200 yards of total O over the last two weeks, rolling up an almost perfect balance to beat Bowling Green last week.

The running game has been terrific all year, the offense is playing the best it has all season, and the defense continues to be the best in the league even after getting ripped up by Eastern Michigan a few weeks ago.

Ohio needs to be perfect to win this, but it doesn’t force turnovers, and Toledo leads the nation in fewest giveaways, but …

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Why Ohio Will Win

Ohio has finally turned it on, but it’s too late.

The team couldn’t win close games, ensured a losing season, and then it rocked back with two nice wins over Miami University and Eastern Michigan with an improved passing game and a big ground attack that’s cranking up enough big plays to matter.

For all of the positives with Toledo, it’s 5-5 for a reason.

Either the running game stalls, or the pass defense crashes in a loss to Eastern Michigan, or the run defense doesn’t work against Northern Illinois – there are too many issues.

The O line allows too many plays in the backfield, there are a bazillion penalties, and it’s a struggle to keep the chains moving. Ohio has to run well, but …

What’s Going To Happen

The Toledo run defense has been terrific – for the most part.

Can the Rockets finally come up with a little bit of consistency? It hasn’t been easy to win close games, but four of the five losses were by three points or fewer.

Ohio is playing strong, though, and it’ll come up with one more big performance as it finishes up with a nice thorn-in-the-side win at home.

College Football Schedule: Week 12 Predictions, Lines

Toledo vs Ohio Prediction, Lines

Ohio 34, Toledo 30
Line: Toledo -7, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 2

5: Tummyache Soak
1: Adele 30

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MAC Predictions, Schedule, Game Previews, Lines, How To Watch: Week 11

MAC Week 11 college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings.

MAC college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings for Week 11 of the season.


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MAC Results So Far
SU: 61-18, ATS: 42-35, Point Total: 40-37-2

Tuesday, November 9

Akron at Western Michigan

7:00, CBS Sports Network
Line: Western Michigan -26, o/u: 62

Buffalo at Miami University

7:00, ESPNU
Line: Miami University -7, o/u: 57.5

Ohio at Eastern Michigan

8:00, ESPN2
Line: Eastern Michigan -6, o/u: 60.5

College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews, Week 11

Wednesday, November 10

Ball State at Northern Illinois

7:00, ESPN2
Prediction: Northern Illinois 30, Ball State 27
Line: Ball State -2.5, o/u: 62.5

Toledo at Bowling Green

7:00, CBS Sports Network
Prediction: Toledo 41, Bowling Green 24
Line: Toledo -10.5, o/u: 50.5

Kent State at Central Michigan

8:00, ESPNU
Prediction: Central Michigan 41, Kent State 37
Line: Central Michigan -2.5, o/u: 74.5

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 11

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Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Game Preview

Toledo vs Bowling Green prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win on Wednesday night

Toledo vs Bowling Green prediction, game preview, how to watch: Wednesday, November 10


Toledo vs Bowling Green How To Watch

Date: Wednesday, November 10
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Doyt L Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: Toledo (4-5), Bowling Green (3-6)
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Toledo vs Bowling Green Game Preview


Why Toledo Will Win

Seriously, Toledo, when are you going to turn this whole thing around and start playing like you’re supposed to?

It’s a good team with a solid, balanced offense that can’t seem to catch or create enough breaks to make a push in the MAC West. However, the three conference losses came by a total of eight points.

Playing Bowling Green should help the cause.

The Falcons have been playing a whole lot better – they’re coming off a big win – but they’re miserable on third downs on both sides of the ball, can’t run, and the defense is having more and more problems allowing 99 points over the last two games.

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Why Bowling Green Will Win

The offense has been just good enough to keep pressing.

The pass defense hasn’t been all that bad – at least statistically because offenses tend to run on this group – and this week it’s about throwing and throwing some more.

The Falcons have thrown for 230 yards or more in each of the last five games and now gets a Toledo pass defense that went bye-bye over the last three games.

Bowling Green won’t have any problems making this a shootout at home.

What’s Going To Happen

Time is running out on Toledo to start playing like it’s supposed to.

The run defense should keep the Falcons to around 100 yards, and the pass rush will get to QB Matt McDonald on enough key third down plays to take control of the game.

Toledo will be just fine for three quarters before opening it up late.

College Football Schedule: Week 11 Predictions, Lines

Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Lines

Toledo 41, Bowling Green 24
Line: Toledo -10.5, o/u: 50.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: House of Gucci
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Eastern Michigan vs Toledo Prediction, Game Preview

Eastern Michigan vs Toledo prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win on Tuesday night.

Eastern Michigan vs Toledo prediction, game preview, how to watch: Tuesday, November 2


Eastern Michigan vs Toledo How To Watch

Date: Tuesday, November 2
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Eastern Michigan (5-3), Toledo (4-4)
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Eastern Michigan vs Toledo Game Preview


Why Eastern Michigan Will Win

The Eagles are going to bomb away.

They’ve found something that works in QB Ben Bryant – the former Cincinnati Bearcat – and they’re going to stick with it.

He has hit close to 75% of his passes over the last few weeks and has been around the 70% mark on the year, keeping the mistakes to a minimum and doing a great job of pushing the ball deep.

The Toledo D might be among the best in the MAC, but the secondary has started to slip a little bit. After dominating for most of the year – outside of getting hit hard by Notre Dame – the Rockets have allowed over 200 passing yards in each of the last two games.

However …

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Why Toledo Will Win

The Toledo defense continues to be terrific.

Overall, the Rocket formula should work. It gets great D, it doesn’t turn the ball over, and there’s enough happening on the ground to control the tempo of the game.

There have been some some losses over the last few weeks – close defeats to Northern Illinois and Central Michigan – but run, keep trying to run, and hope that defense can come through.

Eastern Michigan has a strong, high-powered offense thanks to the passing attack, but forget about running the ball. The Eagle O was able to grind it out early this season, but everything stalled in a big, big way over the last month.

What’s Going To Happen

It’s this simple. Can the Eastern Michigan passing game do enough to screw up Toledo’s balance and defensive style.

The Rockets are coming off their best game of the season – a stunning blowout win over Western Michigan – but if they have to get into a shootout, there’s a problem.

But Eastern Michigan is having a hard times with teams that can run.

Toledo will get to 200 yards for the first time since early October, it’ll average over five yards per pop, and the defense won’t break enough after doing a lot of bending.

Eastern Michigan vs Toledo Prediction, Lines

Toledo 31, Eastern Michigan 20
Line: Toledo -9, o/u: 53
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 2

5: Belfast
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Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction, Game Preview

Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

Western Michigan vs Toledo prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23


Western Michigan vs Toledo How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: Western Michigan (5-2), Toledo (3-4)
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Western Michigan vs Toledo Game Preview


Why Western Michigan Will Win

The offense got its groove back.

After a strange and disappointing performance against Ball State two weeks ago, the Broncos rolled for 648 yards in a blowout win over Kent State with the ground game rolling at will.

Toledo’s offense has been strangely silent. It hasn’t been awful, but it’s struggling to get past 22 points over the last several weeks because it can’t keep the chains moving.

The Rockets are awful on third downs, they’ve had massive penalty issues all year, and they don’t have an efficient enough passing game to make up for all of the negatives.

Western Michigan’s defense is great on third downs – Toledo’s going to have a tough time moving the chains, so …

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Why Toledo Will Win

The Toledo defense has to force takeaways.

The MAC’s No. 1 defense is good enough to keep this from getting out of hand, but it would really, really help to come up with a few takeaways to hold down the high-powered Bronco attack.

If the Rocket D that forced three takeaways to stay alive against Notre Dame, and four to dropkick UMass, can make a few big plays at home, it should be in this until the end.

Western Michigan hasn’t turned the ball over in four of its last five games, but it gave it up four times against Ball State. The pass defense is good enough to keep WMU QB Kaleb Eleby from going off, but it needs the picks.

Week 8 College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

The Toledo defense is good enough to pull this off, but the team can’t get hammered with penalties and the offensive line has to do its job to help keep the chains moving.

It’ll be a close, good fight for a full four quarters, but Western Michigan will be a little sharper when it needs to be in the fourth.

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Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction, Line

Western Michigan 24, Toledo 20
Line: Western Michigan -1.5, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
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Must See Rating: 3.5

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction, Game Preview

Toledo vs Central Michigan prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 16

Toledo vs Central Michigan prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 16


Toledo vs Central Michigan How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 16
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: Toledo (3-3), Central Michigan (3-3)
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Toledo vs Central Michigan Game Preview


Why Toledo Will Win

Toledo has the versatility to move the ball however it needs to, and in this it should all happen through the air.

The team does better when it’s able to run, but Central Michigan has a bigger issue against anyone who tries to throw – LSU, FIU, and Miami University all cranked up 350 passing yards or more against the Chippewa secondary.

Start throwing, get into the backfield against a leaky CMU offensive line, and rely on the MAC’s best scoring D to come through in the clutch.

However …

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Why Central Michigan Will Win

Can Central Michigan stop the Rockets from running?

Granted, the Chippewa run D stats are partially good because everyone spends so much time running on this group, but it really is solid. It allows just 3.6 yards per carry and hasn’t allowed 200 yards since the opening week 34-24 loss to Missouri.

Toledo is 3-0 when it runs for 200 yards or more, and it’s 0-3 when it doesn’t, so …

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What’s Going To Happen

The Central Michigan defense will hold Toledo to under yards, but it won’t matter.

The Rockets are coming up with well over six yards per carry over the last three games. That, combined with a strong day from the passing attack, will be enough to get them over last week’s loss to Northern Illinois and back into the MAC race with a must-have win.

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Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction, Line

Toledo 27, Central Michigan 20
Line: Toledo -5, o/u: 53
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: Caramel apple anything
1: Pumpkin spice anything

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