Ohio vs Toledo MAC Championship Prediction Game Preview

Ohio vs Toledo MAC Championship game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the MAC Championship Week game on Saturday, December 3

Ohio vs Toledo MAC Championship prediction, game preview, odds, how to watch. Championship Week, Saturday, December 3


Ohio vs Toledo MAC Championship Prediction Game Preview

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Ohio vs Toledo How To Watch

Date: Saturday, December 3
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Ohio (9-3), Toledo (7-5)
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Why Ohio Will Win

Oh would this be sweet for the Ohio program.

Four times the bridesmaid but never the bride in the MAC Championship, Ohio became known for consistent excellence under Frank Solich, but it could never quite get over the hump and win the thing.

Eastern Michigan and Kent State are the only other MAC programs that haven’t won the championship game yet.

Successor Tim Ablin was supposed to keep it all going, but the 3-9 2021 season and 2-3 start wasn’t exactly confidence-inspiring.

And then it all kicked in.

Ohio is here with a chance at winning its first MAC Championship game because the offense exploded, the passing game was amazing, and the defense made up for a slew of issues with lots and lots of takeaways.

The team is +13 on the year in turnover margin, the running game is good enough to balance things out over the last few weeks, and now it all gets a semi-reeling Toledo team that lost its last two games and three of the last five helped by a whole bunch of turnovers.

They weren’t a problem over the first half of the year, and then things got ugly with six in the loss to Buffalo has part of a run of 16 given up over the last five games.

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Why Toledo Will Win

Oh would this be sweet for the Toledo program.

It’s gone 13 seasons without a losing campaign, but there’s always been that one misfire here and there that kept ruining shot after shot at the MAC title. The lone exception was the 2017 MAC Championship under Jason Candle, but that wasn’t the springboard it appeared to be at the time.

Getting it done this time would be a huge moment for Candle. It wouldn’t put him back in the Next Big Thing category of coaches, but it wouldn’t hurt.

After a year with a rough late collapse at San Diego State, a 77-21 loss at Ohio State, and a rocky finishing kick with no consistency whatsoever, this one game would make everything okay.

The big plays are there, but the accuracy with the passing game isn’t. That’s okay. Keep throwing it and eventually everything will open up against the nation’s worst pass defense.

Ohio allows over 300 passing yards per game with 200 or more in every game but the win over Northern Illinois. On the flip side, the Bobcat offense lost heart-and-soul star QB Kurtis Rourke for the season just before the finale. The 196 passing yards last week against Bowling Green were the fewest outside of the blowout loss to Penn State.

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What’s Going To Happen

Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers.

Toledo is 1-5 when giving it away multiple times – the lone win over Eastern Michigan was a 27-24 right – and 6-0 when it doesn’t.

Ohio will give up a ton of yards, but it’ll make up for it by generating those two takeaways it’ll need. No, the offense won’t be able to throw like Toledo will, but the running game will get enough to take control when the pass defense needs a break after getting roasted.

By the way, the USA World Cup showdown with The Netherlands should be close to over just as this gets started – unless it goes into extra time. If this gets into a shootout, it’ll be halftime before the fun is over in Doha.

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Ohio vs Toledo MAC Championship Prediction, Line

Ohio 30, Toledo 27
Line: Toledo -1.5, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Ohio vs Toledo MAC Championship Must See Rating (out of 5): 4

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Toledo vs Ohio Prediction, Game Preview

Toledo vs Ohio prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win Tuesday night

Toledo vs Ohio prediction, game preview, how to watch: Tuesday, November 16


Toledo vs Ohio How To Watch

Date: Tuesday, November 16
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Peden Stadium, Athens, OH
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Toledo (5-5), Ohio (3-7)
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Why Toledo Will Win

Toledo is bowl eligible with a win and would keep MAC East hopes alive – at least for a day.

The Rockets are rolling offensively with close to 1,200 yards of total O over the last two weeks, rolling up an almost perfect balance to beat Bowling Green last week.

The running game has been terrific all year, the offense is playing the best it has all season, and the defense continues to be the best in the league even after getting ripped up by Eastern Michigan a few weeks ago.

Ohio needs to be perfect to win this, but it doesn’t force turnovers, and Toledo leads the nation in fewest giveaways, but …

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Why Ohio Will Win

Ohio has finally turned it on, but it’s too late.

The team couldn’t win close games, ensured a losing season, and then it rocked back with two nice wins over Miami University and Eastern Michigan with an improved passing game and a big ground attack that’s cranking up enough big plays to matter.

For all of the positives with Toledo, it’s 5-5 for a reason.

Either the running game stalls, or the pass defense crashes in a loss to Eastern Michigan, or the run defense doesn’t work against Northern Illinois – there are too many issues.

The O line allows too many plays in the backfield, there are a bazillion penalties, and it’s a struggle to keep the chains moving. Ohio has to run well, but …

What’s Going To Happen

The Toledo run defense has been terrific – for the most part.

Can the Rockets finally come up with a little bit of consistency? It hasn’t been easy to win close games, but four of the five losses were by three points or fewer.

Ohio is playing strong, though, and it’ll come up with one more big performance as it finishes up with a nice thorn-in-the-side win at home.

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Toledo vs Ohio Prediction, Lines

Ohio 34, Toledo 30
Line: Toledo -7, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 2

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