Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo might be Brock Purdy’s biggest fan

Brock Purdy’s biggest fan might not be with the 49ers. Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo can’t stop talking about Purdy’s game.

LAS VEGAS — If you’re among the crowd that believes San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy to be nothing but a game manager in a pejorative sense who needs everything around him to be perfect to make it work, don’t hang around Kansas City Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo too long. Because Spags will bend your ear without provocation on the subject of Purdy, who he will of course face this Sunday in Super Bowl LVIII.

“Part of it is that he’s so poised,” Spagnuolo said on Monday’s Opening Night, when I asked him why Purdy has been so very good against the blitz this season. “I don’t think people give him enough credit for the talent he has. And then, he’s got all those weapons around him. I’ve been thoroughly impressed with what I’ve watched on tape over the last eight days. I’ve watched about every game now, and I don’t see the guy making very many mistakes.”

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

I then asked Spagnuolo how important it is to hide one’s blitz intentions, and he took that as another opportunity to talk Purdy up.

“Yeah, you want to do that to a quarterback all the time. You don’t really want them to know you’re coming. You are trying to find ways to get free rushers. It doesn’t happen to him very often, and when it does, he’s got a really good knack for getting the ball out quickly. He gets the ball out before the receiver makes his break, and the timing they have is tremendous.”

Soon after that, the conversation turned to the mobility Purdy has shown in the playoffs with some important run plays –yes, he is “sneaky athletic.” And Spags was all over that concept.

“Anytime you’re playing a quarterback who’s as talented as he is, and can run the football, you have to make a lot of decisions. How many guys you commit to rushing the passer, and how many guys you commit to scrambling. We have a little bit of everything [to deal with], and we have to get him in those situations. First and second down, they do such a good job of running the ball, you have to get them into those passing situations.”

Asked a few minutes later about the 49ers’ offense in total… well, guess where Spags went in a big hurry?

“All the weapons they have, I mean, it’s multiple, right? We don’t have a lot of crossover from the AFC to the NFC, so I didn’t see them a lot. But I am thoroughly impressed with this quarterback. I don’t care where he came from, or what got him to this point. He’s the real deal. Not only throwing the ball, but you saw in these playoff games what he can do running the ball. And he’s as poised as I’ve seen at this early stage of his career.”

It’s been a highly interesting week of watching 49ers tape for Spagnuolo, and it’s quite clear that Purdy has been the focus. Even a specific question about running back Christian McCaffrey eventually got the ball rolling back to No. 13.

“The thing that impressed me is that I was expecting to turn on the film and see someone who looked like a backup quarterback, and had a weakness somewhere. But the timing of his throws, and the anticipation of his throws, are really impressive. And the fact that he can scramble like a really good athlete – I was really impressed with that. I didn’t know that about him. He seems like a really experienced quarterback who’s been doing it for a long time. I often try to watch the broadcast views and not just the coach’s tape. You know how those cameras can get really close [on the quarterback’s face] and he never gets rattled. He always looks poised, and it’s really impressive.”

Not that Spags in unaware of Kyle Shanahan’s other weapons, and how they’ll be deployed. But this is a clear indicator that whatever negative impressions people outside the league may have of Purdy at this point in his career… well, those views are not shared by the guys who have to devise schemes to go against him.

Why “four-strong” has become the perfect equation for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are wizards at breaking defenses with four-strong receiver routes. Here’s what the 49ers will deal with.

LAS VEGAS — The Kansas City Chiefs’ offense hasn’t been aligned to its optimal outcome all season long, but one thing that’s worked all the way is their 3×1 receiver alignments. Patrick Mahomes is brilliant at reading defenders put in conflict with the route concepts out of trips and bunch sets. This season, including the playoffs, Mahomes has 28 explosive passes out of 3×1 sets, averaging 31.4 yards per play, and 4.8 yards of separation per play to the intended receiver. No matter the coverage or pressure, the Chiefs create all kinds of havoc in those 3×1 sets.

Those results are further magnified when the call is to send a back or a fourth receiver into the area where the three bunched receivers are. Then, opposing defenses are dealing with Andy Reid’s “four-strong” concepts, and the numbers game rarely, if ever, favors the defense.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

For examples, let’s begin with Mahomes’ 21-yard completion to Travis Kelce with 43 seconds left in the first half of the AFC Championship game against the Baltimore Ravens. This was against Cover-3, with linebacker Roquan Smith dropping from a nose-shade alignment to bump Justin Watson on his post. Cornerback Ronald Darby bailed Marquez Valdes-Scantling outside, and that left Kyle Hamilton as the unfortunate guy to deal with the negative effects of the four-on-three advantage in the Chiefs’ favor. Hamilton’s focus was split between Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s flat route, and Travis Kelce’s corner route. When Hamilton bit on Edwards-Helaire underneath, Mahomes had the easy completion to Kelce up top.

The Chiefs aren’t just about getting to four-strong from one side, through — they can also motion and roll into it in other ways. On this 45-yard pass from Mahomes to receiver Richie James against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 16, James and Travis Kelce ran matching 15-yard in-cuts, Marquez Valdes-Scantling ran a vertical route up the mean, and Rashee Rice worked the shallow cross from left to right. Rice occupied linebacker Robert Spillane and slot defender Nate Hobbs in the Raiders’ Cover-4, while Kelce took cornerback Amik Robertson and safety Trevon Moehrig over the top. With all that clearance, it was James against cornerback Jonathan Jones outside right. Jones was playing bail coverage to the boundary, and he kept going vertical when James cut inside, and he had a cow pasture of open field after the catch.

This is a great way to work into a Dagger concept against two-deep coverage.

This 27-yard pass to Justin Watson against the Denver Broncos in Week 8 was four-strong with yet another different flavor — and another way to defeat two-deep coverage. Here, the Chiefs were in a 3×1 set with Watson motioning to trips right. That motion put Denver’s Cover-2 coverage in a problem spot, with Watson getting wiiiiiiide open on the corner route. Cornerback Damarri Mathis probably would have preferred that Watson stay outside. Mahomes could have also hit Jerick McKinnon on the release route from the backfield for a big gain.

It’s really tough to beat four-strong, but 49ers defensive coordinator Steve Wilks is aware of the challenge, and he has a few ideas. For one thing, you can sit in zones and wait for Mahomes to pick you apart by reading the defender in conflict as he did with Kyle Hamilton. That’s one example of those ad-lib routes Kelce and Mahomes do so well because their communication is just about psychic at this point. Then, as Wilks said last week, you’ve got to keep your guys on their guys.

“We still have to have a great plan. We’ve still got to execute and finish. When they start to ad-lib we’ve got to do a great job of really plastering the man within our zone and really straining to make sure we finish the rep.”

Easier in theory than in practice, and don’t be surprised if, in the most important game of the year, Andy Reid busts out four-strong in more ways than one.

Brock Purdy can’t be late to the party in Super Bowl LVIII

If the San Francisco 49ers are to erase their 30-year Super Bowl-winning drought, Brock Purdy had better get back to the things that make him great.

The San Francisco 49ers are the NFC’s representative despite the fact that they’ve been outplayed in both of the postseason games that got them here. Both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions gave San Francisco all it could handle in the divisional round and in the NFC Championship game, so there isn’t a lot of margin when it comes time to discuss the 49ers’ matchups against the Kansas City Chiefs.

And in the case of Brock Purdy, San Francisco’s second-year quarterback has a current margin for error that is wafer-thin.

Purdy completed 21 of 30 passes for 267 yards, one touchdown, one interception, and a passer rating of 89.0 in the NFC Championship game against the Lions. On 14 of Purdy’s 30 attempts, the Lions rushed either three or four, and they were really paying attention to deflecting the ball at the line of scrimmage – they had a number of deflections there which affected the trajectory of Purdy’s throws.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

His interception to linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez with 8:47 left in the second quarter had four rushers on an overload left, and defensive tackle Josh Paschal tipped the ball as Purdy threw it. The attempt was to Deebo Samuel outside right on a 15-yard slant, but the ball didn’t even get close. Meanwhile, the Lions dropped Rodriguez, linebacker Alex Anzalone, and defensive back Brian Branch into intermediate coverage. It was Cover-6 – Cover-4 to the field and Cover-2 to the boundary – and that was going to be a very tough throw into all that traffic even if Purdy had a clean shot. 

We can certainly talk about Purdy’s 51-yard throw to receiver Brandon Aiyuk with 6:29 left in the third quarter in which Purdy turned it loose downfield, but Purdy had to throw that ball with every bit of his ass, and cornerback Kindle Vildor had Aiyuk boxed out. It was up to Aiyuk to engage in some unexpected volleyball to come down with one of the more incredible postseason catches we’ll ever see. Once again, the Lions clouded the picture with their dropping defenders, rushing just four, and Purdy may have thought the big throw was the only throw there. Given that the 49ers were down 24-10 at that point in the game… maybe it was.

“Yeah. I mean, you can go back to camp, OTAs, you name it,” Purdy said Friday of that play. “The kind of catches that B.A. makes at practice, it’s pretty insane. Just his range and his ability to move in the air, all of it, all into one. And so yeah, when there’s a moment like that, he’s definitely one of the guys I can trust to just throw it up 50/50 and B.A.’s going to make a play. So, he is very acrobatic. He can track a ball really well, all of it. And so, like I said, one of the most underrated receivers in the league, I think he’s one of the best in the league for me to just throw a ball up like that. You definitely as a quarterback know and trust that he’s going to come down with it.”

Yeah, but… if that’s the only arrow in your quiver, that’s going to cause problems.

Throughout the regular season, the 49ers were carried in their passing game by Purdy’s ability to do two things at a very high level — decipher late coverage movement, and throw with great anticipation. Those attributes were in short supply in both of San Francisco’s postseason wins.

Purdy’s first throw against the Packers should have been a pick-six by safety Darnell Savage, because Purdy threw late to Aiyuk on a 15-yard bender inside, and Savage was all over it. Purdy didn’t throw the ball until after Aiyuk made his cut inside, and throughout most of the season, he would have thrown Aiyuk (or anybody else) open.

“I mean at the end of the day, I think it’s anticipation, it’s trust with your receivers,” Purdy said of the anticipation issue. “We run these routes time and time again, like I said, going back to OTAs and camp and stuff. So that’s where it starts. And then once you get in the heat of battle, obviously I think it comes down to film study, what the coverage is saying as I’m dropping back and where I’m anticipating the guy to be and to trust my guy to get under it over a backer, all those kinds of things, they all come into that play.

“So, it’s not like I’m just dropping back and throwing blind and hoping my guy’s going to be there. No. It comes down to understanding what the defense is doing, what we’re trying to do, where my guy’s going be and throwing it on time more than anything. That’s what it comes down to.”

What it also may come down to is how Steve Spagnuolo arrays his Chiefs defense to make things more difficult for Purdy. Spags has a full bag of stuff he can unload on any quarterback at any time, and if the issue for Purdy is a weird picture at the intermediate levels, he’s got the guys to make that happen. Linebackers Drue Tranquill, Nick Bolton, Willie Gay, and Leo Chenal can all drop into coverage depending on the scheme. All four should be available for the Super Bowl, so Kyle Shanahan will want to work on some ideas to get past that possible reality.

And it doesn’t have to be just linebackers dropping to take away those easy reads. On this Justin Herbert incompletion in Week 7, Tranquill, safety Justin Reid, and cornerback Trent McDuffie created confusion in intermediate coverage iu Cover-2, and Tranquill nearly had an interception on Justin Herbert’s throw up the right seam to tight end Donald Parham.

Brock Purdy has two choices in Super Bowl LVIII — either get back to the things that made him great in the regular season, or help to continue the 49ers’ 30-yard drought in the NFL’s biggest game.

How Steve Wilks’ 49ers defense can put a lid on Patrick Mahomes

If the 49ers are going to put a lid on Patrick Mahomes in Super Bowl LVIII, defensive coordinator Steve Wilks will have to open his entire playbook.

The Kansas City Chiefs are back in the Super Bowl — for the fourth time in the last five seasons — and Patrick Mahomes is getting hot at exactly the right time. Mahomes’ 2023 regular season, affected as it was by some iffy receivers and a questionable playbook at times, was underwhelming. But in his two playoff games, Mahomes has completed 47 of 62 passes (75.8% completion rate) for 456 yards (7.4 yards per attempt), three touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 112.0.

If the San Francisco 49ers are to avenge their 31-20 loss to the Chiefs in  Super Bowl LIV four years ago, they’ll have to do as much as possible to contain Mahomes both as a passer and as a second-reaction runner. Defensive coordinator Steve Wilks is well aware.

“Well, it is definitely a challenge,” Wilks said Friday of the Mahomes Factor.  “Not only him, you look at [Travis] Kelce, you talk about two first-ballot Hall of Famers there. We definitely have to prepare and be ready. It’s different things that we have to do. Number one, he’s doing a tremendous job, really extended plays. We talked all week. It’s two plays within one down. When the ball snaps and then once he starts to scramble. So he’s phenomenal. The best I’ve ever seen for just buying time, winning with his feet, and getting the ball where it needs to go down the field.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011” ]

“They do ad-lib and they do a great job of it. But we still have to have a great plan. We’ve still got to execute and finish. When they start to ad-lib we’ve got to do a great job of really plastering the man within our zone and really straining to make sure we finish the rep.”

Putting a lid on Patrick Mahomes when he’s on is one of the toughest things to do in sports, but the 49ers under Wilks do have some concepts that they execute very well, which could get them started down the right path. Some are obvious, and some seem quite counterintuitive, but here’s what the 49ers have done this season, and what Mahomes would prefer they not do, that could make a serious difference in Super Bowl LVIII.

Why Lions OC Ben Johnson staying put could shake up the whole NFC in 2024

The Detroit Lions got a huge bit of great news when OC Ben Johnson decided to stay put. That’s bad news for the rest of the NFL.

The Detroit Lions, who saw their 2023 season end in heartbreaking fashion with a 34-31 divisional round loss to the San Francisco 49ers in which they led 24+7 at the end of the first half, got some very good news to cool that particular burn.

Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson, who has been of serious interest as a head coach for multiple NFL teams over the last two seasons, is staying put.

In 2023, the Lions ranked fifth in the NFL in Offensive DVOA (seventh passing, fourth rushing), up from seventh overall in 2022, and 29th in 2021. Johnson took over in 2022, so that tells you a lot.

Under Johnson in 2023, quarterback Jared Goff had his best season to date, completing 484 of 786 passes for a league-high 5,411 yards, 34 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and a passer rating of 98.7. Running backs David Montgomery and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs combined for 2,287 yards and 28 rushing touchdowns on 469 carries. Rookie tight end Sam LaPorta caught 107 passes on 147 targets for 1,065 yards and 11 touchdowns, and the receiver corps of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Josh Reynolds, Kalif Raymond, and the two backs as pass-catchers were as dynamic as any group in the league at times.

Factor in an offensive line that may have the NFL’s best right tackle in Penei Sewell and the NFL’s best center in Frank Ragnow, and it’s easy to see why Johnson wanted to come back for one more season and maybe win a Super Bowl this time around.

The Lions’ offense has been a fascinating study all season long, and here are some of the hallmarks that Johnson and his guys can expand on when next season comes around.

The Xs and Os with Greg Cosell: Previewing the NFL’s conference championship games

In this week’s “Xs and Os with Greg Cosell and Doug Farrar,” the guys get you ready for Ravens-Chiefs, and 49ers-Lions. It’s conference championship time!

And then, there were four! It’s time for the conference championship round of the NFL playoffs, deciding which teams will play in Super Bowl LVIII. Greg Cosell of NFL Films and ESPN’s NFL Matchup, and Doug Farrar of Touchdown Wire and the USA Today Sports Media Group, are here to get you ready for the most interesting matchups.

Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens

  • How will Lamar Jackson deal with Steve Spagnuolo’s unconventional blitzes?
  • Can Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco take over this game, and will “pin/pull” continue to be a thing?
  • Will Mike Macdonald’s Ravens defense cause Patrick Mahomes to hesitate in his process with all those coverage disguises?
  • How will Baltimore counter the Chiefs’ effective use of heavy personnel in the run and pass games?

Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers

  • Jared Goff has become much more than just a game manager, so how will Steve Wilks’ 49ers defense deal with that?
  • Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn has done a brilliant job coaching up a cornerback-light roster. But will that turn into a pumpkin against Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers offense?
  • Is Brock Purdy’s bad game against the Packers in the divisional round indicative of vulnerabilities that can be exploited here?
  •  Will the Lions’ rookies on both sides of the ball be the ultimate difference in this game?

You can watch this week’s “Xs and Os,” previewing both conference championship games in detail, right here:

[anyclip-media thumbnail=”https://cdn5.anyclip.com/NRvaPo0BPe8_50XPV7mB/1706158680452_248x140_thumbnail.jpg” playlistId=”undefined” content=”PHNjcmlwdCBzcmM9Imh0dHBzOi8vcGxheWVyLnBvcHRvay5jb20vYW55Y2xpcC13aWRnZXQvbHJlLXdpZGdldC9wcm9kL3YxL3NyYy9scmUuanMiIGRhdGEtYXI9IjE2OjkiIGRhdGEtcGxpZD0ianpqaG15a3FuNHllZXVkZmhicHRrbWN5a2JsZG8za2MiIHB1Ym5hbWU9IjE5OTgiIHdpZGdldG5hbWU9IjAwMTZNMDAwMDJVMEIxa1FBRl9NODMyNSI+Cjwvc2NyaXB0Pg==”][/anyclip-media]

You can also listen and subscribe to the “Xs and Os” podcast on Spotify…

and on Apple Podcasts.

How the Ravens, Chiefs, Lions, and 49ers get big plays out of heavy personnel

The Ravens, Chiefs, Lions, and 49ers all get more explosive plays out of heavy personnel than you might think, and here’s how they do it.

We tend to think of the modern NFL passing game as heavily dependent on multi-receiver sets, spread out to foil opposing defenses. But more and more, modern offensive coordinators are finding ways to use heavier personnel and some old-school ideas to score points.

All four of the remaining teams in the playoff picture — the Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions, and San Francisco 49ers — have patented ways to break defenses in half with more tight ends, fullbacks, and extra offensive linemen than you might imagine.

You’ll see a lot of these concepts in Sunday’s conference championship games, and here they are. In case you’re not familiar with how numbers and personnel packages, here’s how that works.

  • 10 Personnel = 1 RB, 0 TE, 4 WRs
  • 11 Personnel = 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs
  • 12 Personnel = 1 RB, 2 TEs, 2 WRs
  • 13 Personnel = 1 RB, 3 TEs, 1 WR
  • 21 Personnel = 2 RBs, 1 TE, 2 WRs
  • 22 Personnel = 2 RBs, 2 TEs, 1 WR

In this week’s “Xs and Os with Greg Cosell and Doug Farrar,” the guys talked a lot about how all four teams will use their own ideas to set themselves up for possible Super Bowl berths.

You can watch this week’s “Xs and Os,” previewing both conference championship games in detail, right here:

[anyclip-media thumbnail=”https://cdn5.anyclip.com/NRvaPo0BPe8_50XPV7mB/1706158680452_248x140_thumbnail.jpg” playlistId=”undefined” content=”PHNjcmlwdCBzcmM9Imh0dHBzOi8vcGxheWVyLnBvcHRvay5jb20vYW55Y2xpcC13aWRnZXQvbHJlLXdpZGdldC9wcm9kL3YxL3NyYy9scmUuanMiIGRhdGEtYXI9IjE2OjkiIGRhdGEtcGxpZD0ianpqaG15a3FuNHllZXVkZmhicHRrbWN5a2JsZG8za2MiIHB1Ym5hbWU9IjE5OTgiIHdpZGdldG5hbWU9IjAwMTZNMDAwMDJVMEIxa1FBRl9NODMyNSI+Cjwvc2NyaXB0Pg==”][/anyclip-media]

You can also listen and subscribe to the “Xs and Os” podcast on Spotify…

and on Apple Podcasts.

The Deebo Factor, and why the 49ers desperately need it

Deebo Samuel is the one player the 49ers need to get to the Super Bowl. Here’s why his health is crucial in the NFC Championship game.

One key reason the San Francisco 49ers have such a ridiculously efficient offense is that there are stars all over the roster. Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk, and quarterback Brock Purdy have all established themselves as true tone-setters in Kyle Shanahan’s system, and that tends to manifest itself more often than not. And if you’re aware of a better left tackle than Trent Williams, that would certainly be breaking news.

But there’s no one player who does more to define Shanahan’s offense than receiver Deebo Samuel. That’s clear an obvious both on tape, and with the on/off splits.

Per Sports Info Solutions, Samuel has missed 320 plays this season, and he’s been on the field for 676 plays. When he’s on the field, the 49ers have an Offensive EPA of 0.18. Without him, 0.01. San Francisco’s Passing EPA with Samuel? 0.26. Without him? 0.06. And their Rushing EPA is 0.09 with Samuel; -0.05 without. Both in the run and the pass games, Samuel’s presence is crucial in any game, and certainly in Sunday’s NFC Championship game against the Detroit Lions.

Samuel went out early in the 49ers’ divisional round win over the Green Bay Packers, and the difference was all the difference. Purdy was not as confident in his reads and throws without Samuel, and the offense lost an entire dimension without him.

“Yeah, it’s huge for us,” Purdy said this week about Samuel’s presence on the field. “Deebo is a game-changer. He is one of the best in the NFL at what he does. So obviously, for him to be able to play, all of us are like, all right, Deebo brings some juice and energy and we’ve got his back and so obviously seeing him run around at practice and look good for us, it’s like, all right, it’s on. So, we’re excited for him.”

Let’s start with Samuel’s explosive potential in the screen game. This 15-yard play on a tunnel screen against the Packers with 6:42 left in the first quarter was a simple example of, “Let’s get the ball to Deebo, and wait for good things to happen.” Which they usually do.

The 49ers have gained 5.6 yards per rushing attempt with Samuel on the field this season, and 4.1 yards per carry without him. Part of that is because Samuel himself can be a great runner out of the backfield, as he showed on this 11-yard sweep scamper against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 18…

…and Samuel will also open gaps for other players, as he did on this 23-yard McCaffrey run against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 14. Samuel sealed the inside edge for McCaffrey and took safety Jamal Adams to the shadow realm.

Not that Samuel is a primary deep receiver, but he can do that, as well. On this 40-yard catch against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 11, the 49ers set up in 11 personnel with a three-man vertical concept in which Samuel and receiver Jauan Jennings crossed over, and nobody in Tampa Bay’s Cover-3 accounted for No. 19.

Not the way the Bucs drew it up, I’d imagine. And when Samuel does catch the ball downfield, he’s not done yet — he’s one of the NFL’s best yards-after-catch receivers. 546 of his 916 receiving yards have come after the catch this season, the most among San Francisco’s roster of receivers.

In this week’s “Xs and Os with Greg Cosell and Doug Farrar,” the guys get deeper into what Samuel means to this offense, and how the Lions might deal with it all.

You can watch this week’s “Xs and Os,” previewing both conference championship games in detail, right here:

[anyclip-media thumbnail=”https://cdn5.anyclip.com/NRvaPo0BPe8_50XPV7mB/1706158680452_248x140_thumbnail.jpg” playlistId=”undefined” content=”PHNjcmlwdCBzcmM9Imh0dHBzOi8vcGxheWVyLnBvcHRvay5jb20vYW55Y2xpcC13aWRnZXQvbHJlLXdpZGdldC9wcm9kL3YxL3NyYy9scmUuanMiIGRhdGEtYXI9IjE2OjkiIGRhdGEtcGxpZD0ianpqaG15a3FuNHllZXVkZmhicHRrbWN5a2JsZG8za2MiIHB1Ym5hbWU9IjE5OTgiIHdpZGdldG5hbWU9IjAwMTZNMDAwMDJVMEIxa1FBRl9NODMyNSI+Cjwvc2NyaXB0Pg==”][/anyclip-media]

You can also listen and subscribe to the “Xs and Os” podcast on Spotify…

and on Apple Podcasts.

Chiefs’ heavy personnel (and Isiah Pacheco) could put a dent in Ravens’ great defense

The Chiefs run more heavy personnel than any other NFL team, and it’s made running back Isiah Pacheco a fulcrum of Andy Reid’s offense.

You may think of the Kansas City Chiefs’ offense as a spread-’em-out vertical thing, but as expansive as it can be when it’s working well, the Chiefs do not cede to “spread personnel” nearly as much as you’d think. Nobody is trying to be Kliff Kingsbury, running four times as formations with four and five receivers as any other team.

Quite the opposite, in fast.

Over the last two seasons, the Chiefs have led the league in passes out of 13 personnel — one running back, three tight ends, and one running back — and they did so last season, as well. This season, Patrick Mahomes has completed 28 of 43 passes out of a league-high 49 dropbacks in 13 personnel for 380 yards, 118 air yards, two touchdowns, two interceptions, and a passer rating of 89.3. Middle of the pack, but that’s where Kansas City’s passing game has been all season. The volume is the point here.

It matters even more in a run game that has become a fulcrum of Kansas City’s offense to a large degree. Second-year back Isiah Pacheco is the man here, and he’s also benefited from 13 personnel. Pacheco has run a league-high 46 times out of 13 personnel for 199 yards, 116 yards after contact, and a touchdown. Pacheco is capable of making gains out of any personnel package with his slashing, violent style, but when the Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens face off this Sunday in the AFC Championship game, the Ravens will know that their opponents’ offense goes up to 13 more than any in the NFL.

Pacheco ran 15 times for 97 yards in Kansas City’s 27-24 divisional round win over the Buffalo Bills. Seven of those runs were in 13 personnel, and Pacheco gained 60 of those yards on those seven plays.

His 29-yard run with 12:53 left in the game was a pin/pull concept with tight ends Blake Bell and Noah Gray leaving the formation to block outside, and left tackle Donovan Smith as well. Left guard Nick Allegretti pinned defensive tackle Ed Oliver. Pacheco had a clean gap upfield in outside zone, and Pacheco made safety Micah Hyde miss in space with a nasty outside move. 

“I thought we did okay during the year with opportunities there, but I would tell you that [Offensive Line Coach] Andy Heck does a heck of a job – no pun intended – but he does a heck of a job with designing the runs and the guys execute them,” Chiefs head coach Andy Reid said this week. “Obviously, Pacheco back healthy, you’ve got a nice rotation in there that you can go to and the guys – as well as Pacheco’s doing – Clyde [Edwards-Helaire] when he has an opportunity jumps in and does a nice job also. The offensive line takes a lot of pride in doing what they do, and they know that it starts with them, and I think they’ve been very accurate with their blocking assignments.”

Pacheco is dealing with a toe injury this week, which will make those personnel concepts and blocking schemes even more important. The Ravens have faced runs out of 13 personnel just 15 times this season, and eight of those plays came at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the regular-season finale. Both Najre Harris and Jaylen Warren (whose caterwauling style more closely matches Pacheco’s) were able to grab decent gains in Pittsburgh 17-10 win. This 15-yard gain by Harris with 13:13 left in the third quarter shows how, as great as Baltimore’s defense is, there’s something to be said about getting nasty and going big-on-big in the run game.

“Anytime people are changing personnels on you, you have to make the decision on how we’re going to match it with the people that we’re going to put on the field,” Ravens defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald said of the Chiefs’ heavy personnel packages. “Without giving you the answer of how we’re going to do it, those are the decisions you have to make, and then where are the stresses of the calls you’re going to have to make. A lot of times, it’s going to morph and evolve over the course of the game. After you make a decision, you see how they make their decision you’re playing off one another as the game starts to unfold. We have an initial plan on how we’re going to play it, and obviously it’ll evolve as the game starts to declare itself.” 

In this week’s “Xs and Os with Greg Cosell and Doug Farrar,” the guys get further into how the Chiefs can set the Ravens on edge with these heavy personnel runs.

You can watch this week’s “Xs and Os,” previewing both conference championship games in detail, right here:

[anyclip-media thumbnail=”https://cdn5.anyclip.com/NRvaPo0BPe8_50XPV7mB/1706158680452_248x140_thumbnail.jpg” playlistId=”undefined” content=”PHNjcmlwdCBzcmM9Imh0dHBzOi8vcGxheWVyLnBvcHRvay5jb20vYW55Y2xpcC13aWRnZXQvbHJlLXdpZGdldC9wcm9kL3YxL3NyYy9scmUuanMiIGRhdGEtYXI9IjE2OjkiIGRhdGEtcGxpZD0ianpqaG15a3FuNHllZXVkZmhicHRrbWN5a2JsZG8za2MiIHB1Ym5hbWU9IjE5OTgiIHdpZGdldG5hbWU9IjAwMTZNMDAwMDJVMEIxa1FBRl9NODMyNSI+Cjwvc2NyaXB0Pg==”][/anyclip-media]

You can also listen and subscribe to the “Xs and Os” podcast on Spotify…

and on Apple Podcasts.

The Xs and Os with Greg Cosell: Previewing the NFL’s conference championship games

In this week’s “Xs and Os with Greg Cosell and Doug Farrar,” the guys get you ready for Ravens-Chiefs, and 49ers-Lions. It’s conference championship time!

And then, there were four! It’s time for the conference championship round of the NFL playoffs, deciding which teams will play in Super Bowl LVIII. Greg Cosell of NFL Films and ESPN’s NFL Matchup, and Doug Farrar of Touchdown Wire and the USA Today Sports Media Group, are here to get you ready for the most interesting matchups.

Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens

  • How will Lamar Jackson deal with Steve Spagnuolo’s unconventional blitzes?
  • Can Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco take over this game, and will “pin/pull” continue to be a thing?
  • Will Mike Macdonald’s Ravens defense cause Patrick Mahomes to hesitate in his process with all those coverage disguises?
  • How will Baltimore counter the Chiefs’ effective use of heavy personnel in the run and pass games?

Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers

  • Jared Goff has become much more than just a game manager, so how will Steve Wilks’ 49ers defense deal with that?
  • Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn has done a brilliant job coaching up a cornerback-light roster. But will that turn into a pumpkin against Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers offense?
  • Is Brock Purdy’s bad game against the Packers in the divisional round indicative of vulnerabilities that can be exploited here?
  •  Will the Lions’ rookies on both sides of the ball be the ultimate difference in this game?

You can watch this week’s “Xs and Os,” previewing both conference championship games in detail, right here:

[anyclip-media thumbnail=”https://cdn5.anyclip.com/NRvaPo0BPe8_50XPV7mB/1706158680452_248x140_thumbnail.jpg” playlistId=”undefined” content=”PHNjcmlwdCBzcmM9Imh0dHBzOi8vcGxheWVyLnBvcHRvay5jb20vYW55Y2xpcC13aWRnZXQvbHJlLXdpZGdldC9wcm9kL3YxL3NyYy9scmUuanMiIGRhdGEtYXI9IjE2OjkiIGRhdGEtcGxpZD0ianpqaG15a3FuNHllZXVkZmhicHRrbWN5a2JsZG8za2MiIHB1Ym5hbWU9IjE5OTgiIHdpZGdldG5hbWU9IjAwMTZNMDAwMDJVMEIxa1FBRl9NODMyNSI+Cjwvc2NyaXB0Pg==”][/anyclip-media]

You can also listen and subscribe to the “Xs and Os” podcast on Spotify…

and on Apple Podcasts.