QBE Shootout odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 QBE Shootout and which teams of golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Tiburon Golf Club?

Twelve two-man teams will compete in the QBE Shootout at Tiburon Golf Club in Naples, Fla., this weekend. The 54-hole event runs three days, from Friday through Sunday.

The first round is played under scramble rules, whereby both members of each team will play every shot with the better ball being taken each time. Round 2 consists of greensomes, where both players tee off on each hole and the alternate shot is played from the spot of the better ball.

The final round is played under standard four-ball rules with each golfer playing the hole on their own and the best score being taken.


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The 7,288-yard venue plays as a par 72. The teams compete for a $3.5 million purse, but it is not an official money event and no FedExCup points are awarded.

QBE Shootout – Odds, picks and best bets

Matthew Wolff. (Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

Viktor Hovland-Matthew Wolff (+600)

The two combine for just 42 years of age, making them younger than several of the individual golfers in this event. Hovland is expected to be a top contender for PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, while Wolff came up just short of the award last year.

Hovland, 22, placed solo fourth at last season’s Wyndham Championship for the best result of his young career. He’s ranked 96th by the Official World Golf Ranking, while Wolff, who got his first career win at the 3M Open last summer, is 117th in the world. Their odds are lower as fan favorites, but the youngsters have the length and putting, and the motivation for the early-career win in an uninspired field.

Charles Howell III-Bubba Watson (+800)

Watson, ranked 44th by the OWGR, is coming off a last-place finish at last week’s Hero World Challenge. Howell, ranked 54th in the world, missed the cut at the RSM Classic as his last event. The two combined for four victories in 2018.

Howell finished tied for third here last year with partner Luke List. Watson was sixth with Harold Varner III.

Charley Hoffman-Kevin Kisner (+1200)

Hoffman also finished T-3 a year ago (with partner Gary Woodland), while Kisner finished last with playing partner Cameron Champ. Kisner tied for seventh at last week’s Hero World Challenge exhibition. The two have plenty of length off the tee, and Kisner, who’s the defending match-play champion, can get hot and carry the team with his putter.

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2019 Presidents Cup odds, lines, picks and best bets: Which side wins at Royal Melbourne?

Previewing the 2019 Presidents Cup at Royal Melbourne Golf Club, with golf betting odds and picks for outright winner and the best props.

[jwplayer Hew3fZFR]

The 2019 Presidents Cup takes place this week at The Royal Melbourne Golf Club in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Twelve of the top golfers from the United States tee off against 12 of the best from outside of Europe. Below, we analyze the tournament odds and prop bets, with golf betting picks and tips.

The first round will start Wednesday, Dec. 11, at 5:30 p.m. ET.


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Presidents Cup Teams

Captains Tiger Woods (USA) and Ernie Els (International) selected the following teams:

Team USA International Team
Dustin JohnsonJustin Thomas Hideki MatsuyamaAdam Scott
Matt KucharXander Schauffele Louis OosthuizenMarc Leishman
Webb SimpsonPatrick Cantlay Abraham AncerHaotong Li
Bryson DeChambeauTiger Woods C.T. PanCameron Smith
Gary WoodlandTony Finau Joaquin NiemannAdam Hadwin
Patrick ReedRickie Fowler Sungjae ImByeong Hun An

The entire US team ranks in the top 25 of the Official World Golf Ranking, while only three members of the International side are in the top 25.

Presidents Cup Tournament Winner

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1 p.m. ET.

Team USA has won the past seven Presidents Cups and leads the all-time series against the International side at 10-1-1. Fortunately for the global squad, which is led by three Australians, its only Presidents Cup victory was at this venue in 1998.

The INTERNATIONALS are getting juicy +250 odds for the tournament victory. Team USA is a -250 favorite. Look for Adam Scott (No. 18), Marc Leishman (No. 28) and Cameron Smith (No. 52) to lead the Internationals to victory on home soil.

Presidents Cup Prop Bets

Internationals +3.5 Points (-125)

After losing 19-11 in 2017, look for the Internationals to keep it closer this time out. Their previous two losses in 2015 and ’13, were decided by one and three points, respectively.

Top Combined Points Scorer: Adam Scott (+1200)

Scott will have the crowd behind him as the top golfer from the host nation. He didn’t play in 1998 (when the Internationals got their lone win in the event, also in Melbourne), but he has won both the Australian Open and Australian PGA Championship and has spoken highly of wanting to win at the famed Royal Melbourne as a potential career highlight.

Who will score the most points for the USA? Patrick Reed (+900)

Expect the best from Reed, who has excelled in the Ryder Cup format against Europe, and in the 2017 Presidents Cup. He’s coming off another controversy at last week’s Hero World Challenge in which he was penalized two strokes for improving his line of play in a waste bunker.

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Hero World Challenge: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2019 Hero World Challenge and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for Albany.

The 2019 Hero World Challenge brings host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world to The Bahamas for the final individual PGA Tour event of 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week before the golf world takes a short hiatus ahead of the Sentry Tournament of Champions in the first week of January.

The event returns to Albany for a fifth consecutive year. Three of the previous four champions, including defending champ Jon Rahm, are back. A total of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking are in the field and competing for their share of the $3.5 million purse.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

Here are my fantasy golf rankings for the 2019 Hero World Challenge at Albany.

18. Chez Reavie

Named as the replacement for Dustin Johnson last week, as the No. 4 golfer in the world withdrew in preparation for the Presidents Cup. He enters the week ranked No. 36 in the world, having moved up from No. 63 at the end of last year.

17. Kevin Kisner

Last played here in 2017 and tied for 12th. He enters in poor form having missed the cut at the RSM Classic and tied for 76th at the Mayakoba Golf Classic.

16. Henrik Stenson

Doesn’t have a win since the 2017 Wyndham Championship but has five top-10 showings in 2019. He was fourth here last year and was the runner-up in 2016.

15. Jordan Spieth

The 2014 Hero World Challenge champ got his victory at a different venue (Isleworth Country Club). He didn’t participate last year but was T-3 in 2017. He’s the top putter in the field, but his tee-to-green game remains a mess. Has the worst OWGR ranking among those in attendance (No. 44).

14. Bubba Watson

Holds the tournament scoring record at Albany at 25-under par set in his 2015 victory. He’s collected three top 10 finishes in 2019, but he missed the cut in two of his last five events with a top finish of T-28 in that time.

13. Matt Kuchar

The 23rd-ranked golfer in the world hasn’t won since last season’s Sony Open in Hawaii. He is a two-time runner-up in 2019 with four other top 10s matching his number of missed cuts.

Aug 25, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Gary Woodland lines up his putt on the third green during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

12. Gary Woodland

The reigning U.S. Open champ tied for eighth in his debut at Albany last year. He has slipped to No. 18 in the world after peaking at No. 12, but he is coming off a disappointing T-20 finish in a weaker field at the Japan Tour’s Dunlop Phoenix.

11. Bryson DeChambeau

Slipped from No. 5 in the world at this time last year to No. 12 entering this week. He hasn’t played in an event since finishing T-4 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in the first week of October. A strong putter, but his ball-striking game hasn’t been in good enough form.


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10. Tony Finau

An expert ball-striker but he won’t have his usual advantage off the tee due to the tight confines of Albany with forced layups on the shorter holes. He was the runner-up last year, but he’s coming off a very disappointing missed cut in a weaker field at the Mayakoba Golf Classic.

9. Patrick Reed

Has struggled slightly with the flat stick of late. His 11th-place finish last year was his worst result in four attempts at Albany, but he was the runner-up in his 2015 debut.

Aug 23, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Rickie Fowler walks to the fourth hole during the second round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

8. Rickie Fowler

The 2017 champ has never finished worse than his T-5 in 2018. The No. 22 golfer in the world hasn’t played a worldwide event since his 19th-place finish at the Tour Championship to conclude the 2018-19 season.

7. Justin Rose

Leads the field in Opportunities Gained over everyone’s last 36 rounds, per Fantasy National. He finished solo third last year following a T-5 in 2017. His last victory came at the Farmers Insurance Open, and he had six other top-10 showings in 2019.

6. Webb Simpson

Enters the week just outside the top 10 in the world ranking at No. 11 following his runner-up finish at the RSM Classic. He’s the only golfer in the field making his debut at Albany, but Rahm made his debut in victory a year ago.

5. Patrick Cantlay

Twice finished as the runner-up since the beginning of August at the BMW Championship and the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Collected his second PGA Tour win at the Memorial Tournament and tied for fifth here last year.

4. Tiger Woods

The host is a five-time winner of this event but never at Albany. His top result at this venue was a T-9 in 2017. He got his first win of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan, but he may be too focused on the Presidents Cup ahead of his duties as a player-captain.

3. Justin Thomas

Leads the field in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and Strokes Gained: Total but has been struggling with the putter. He failed to crack the top 10 in each of his previous two attempts at this event, but he already grabbed his first win of the season at the CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges in South Korea.

Aug 25, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Xander Schauffele lines up his putt on the 18th green during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

2. Xander Schauffele

A T-8 finisher here last year, he is coming off a runner-up result at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China. He has one victory, three runner-ups and a third-place finish in 2019.

1. Jon Rahm

Leads the field with a world ranking of No. 3 following victories in each of his last two events, at the Open de Espana and the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai. He looks to defend his title at this event with a total of three victories, two runner-ups and two third-place results in 2019.

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Hero World Challenge odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 Hero World Challenge and which golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Albany?

Host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world are in The Bahamas this week for the Hero World Challenge. The condensed field consists of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking, including Woods and defending champ Jon Rahm. It is played at Albany which measures 7,302 yards and plays as a par 72.

The showcase tournament is the final standard stroke-play event on the PGA Tour in 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week. There’ll then be a brief hiatus before the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open kick off the 2020 portion of the schedule in the first two weeks of January from Hawaii.


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The small field and champion pedigree of each of those in attendance means bettors need to adjust their strategies this week. Make fewer, larger wagers while focusing on those at the top of the board. Only three golfers — Bubba WatsonKevin Kisner and Chez Reavie — have odds greater than +3000. Don’t go chasing higher payouts, as each of the past four champions entered the week ranked inside the top 10 of the OWGR.

Hero World Challenge – Odds, picks and best bets

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Tiger Woods +900

Woods has won this event five times but not since 2011 and never at this venue. He claimed his first victory of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan in late October but hasn’t played a pro event since. He finished second-to-last here last year, but he has since climbed to No. 7 in the world. Woods has the fourth-best world ranking among those in attendance and is fourth by the odds at BetMGM in a rare case of him not being overpriced as a public favorite.

Xander Schauffele +900

Schauffele enters the week ranked ninth by the OWGR. He most recently finished as the runner-up at the WGC-HSBC Champions following a T-10 at the Zozo Championship. He debuted at this event with a T-8 finish last year. He has been an excellent early-season performer over his young career and looks to stay hot ahead of his defense of the Tournament of Champions next month.

Webb Simpson +1200

Simpson is the second-best putter in this field behind Jordan Spieth (+2500), who will not be winning. He is coming off a solo runner-up finish at the RSM Classic and sits at No. 11 in the world ranking. This is his debut at Albany, but Rahm won in his debut a year ago.

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Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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RSM Classic: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2019 RSM Classic and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for Sea Island Golf Club.

The RSM Classic will be the final PGA Tour event of 2019 with FedExCup Points on the line. It’s the final full-field event of the early portion of the 2019-20 Tour season and takes place at Sea Island Golf Club in Glynn County, Ga.

A select group of golfers will be in The Bahamas in two weeks for Tiger Woods‘ Hero World Challenge. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will then conclude the 2019 calendar year. The 2020 portion of the schedule will begin in Hawaii with the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open, played in the first two weekends of the new year.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2019 RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club.

30. Ryan Armour

Made the cut at Sea Island in each of his last four tries with a top finish of T-15 last year.

29. Peter Uihlein

In the top 10 of the field in both Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green and SG: Scrambling.

28. Bronson Burgoon

Tied for 13th at the Houston Open and followed it with a T-33 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic last week after more than a month off of competitive play.

27. Alex Noren

Has been playing often this fall after slipping to No. 64 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Has one of the top world-wide resumes in the field.

26. Cameron Tringale

Ranks ninth in the field in SG: Approach over everyone’s most recent 50 rounds. Tied for 66th at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in his last event.

25. Patrick Rodgers

Tied for 10th in 2016 and finished as the runner-up last year but missed the cut in 2017.

24. Luke List

Started the season with two straight missed cuts but made three in a row before missing last weekend at the Mayakoba Classic. Tied for fourth here last year.

23. Vaughn Taylor

Tied for second last week for his best result in four straight made cuts. Missed the cut last season but was T-8 in 2017.

22. Mackenzie Hughes

Mackenzie Hughes. Ray Carlin – USA TODAY Sports

Hasn’t been in good form this season but he missed the cut the week before his 2016 victory at Sea Island.

21. Rory Sabbatini

Collected finishes of T-33 and T-31 in much stronger fields during the Tour’s swing through Asia last month.

20. J.T. Poston

Three straight made cuts going back to the Zozo Championship. Has a poor history at this event but has just one missed cut since the John Deere Classic in July.

19. Russell Knox

Hasn’t missed a cut since A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier to open the 2019-20 season and ranks second in the field in SG: Approach over everyone’s last 50 rounds.

18. Austin Cook

The 2017 champ followed it up with a T-11 last year but missed the cut last week.

17. Dylan Frittelli

Ranks fourth in the field in SG: Around-the-Green and 15th in SG: Approach.

16. Russell Henley

Has gained 1.07 strokes per round at Sea Island GC over 15 rounds played since 2010, according to Data Golf.

15. Jim Furyk

Jim Furyk. Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports

Leads this year’s field with 2.10 strokes gained per round since 2010, despite missing the cut last year.

14. Kyle Stanley

The best approach game in the field over everyone’s last 50 rounds. Has been held back by his play around the greens.

13. Brian Stuard

Excels on the approach and around the greens. Needs to avoid trouble.

12. Brendon Todd

Can’t be ignored following back-to-back wins. Made the cut at this venue in each of his last three appearances.

11. Brian Harman

Tied for fourth in 2017 and finished T-32 last year. Ranks fifth in the field in SG: Scrambling.


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10. Sebastian Munoz

This venue has rewarded hot putters in the past if he can recapture his form from his Sanderson Farms Championship win.

9. Zach Johnson

A local resident who picked up his lone top-10 finish of last season at this tournament.

8. Lanto Griffin

The third golfer in the field to have a win already this season. He has been riding a hot putter and is ninth in the field in SG: Scrambling.

7. Billy Horschel

Two top-10 finishes to open the season strong, including a T-8 result last week.

6. Scottie Scheffler

Hasn’t missed a cut in six events since graduating from the Korn Ferry Tour. Has a good all-around game and just needs to get some luck on the putting surfaces.

5. Charles Howell III

Last year’s champ picked up three other top 10s last season and has two already in the 2019-20 campaign.

4. Adam Hadwin

Consistently one of the top putters on Tour and will be making his final preparations for the Presidents Cup.

3. Kevin Kisner

Kevin Kisner. Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

The 2015 champion has three other top-10 finishes here since 2014. Ranks second in the field in strokes gained at Sea Island among those with 20 rounds played since 2010.

2. Matt Kuchar

Typically a strong early-season performer, he hasn’t finished higher than T-22 at this event since 2014. He’s coming off of a T-14 result in his defense of the Mayakoba last week.

1. Webb Simpson

Finished solo third here last year and enters the week as the betting favorite despite playing just one event this season — where he finished T-7 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

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RSM Classic odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 RSM Classic and which golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Sea Island GC?

The PGA Tour’s final full-field event on the 2019 calendar takes place this week in Glynn County, Ga., at Sea Island Golf Club with the RSM Classic.

The key stats for this week via historical data from Fantasy National are:

  • Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Short Game
  • Strokes Gained: Scrambling
  • Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards

My model looks at the most recent 50 rounds for each golfer in the field.

RSM Classic – Tier 1

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

Webb Simpson +900

Simpson is the top golfer in the field with a rank of 12th by the Official World Golf Ranking. He finished solo third here last season and finished T-7 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in his most recent event. He leads the stat model with top-five ranks in four of the five key stats.

Kevin Kisner +2200

Kisner won at Sea Island in 2015. After missing the cut the following year, he was T-4 in 2017 and T-7 last season. Ranked No. 34 in the world, he’s third in the field in par-4 efficiency from the key distance. He has gained more strokes per round at this venue than anyone other than Simpson (minimum 20 rounds played) since 2010, according to Data Golf.

RSM Classic – Tier 2

Photo Credit: Mark Konezny – USA TODAY Sports

J.T. Poston +5000

Poston missed the cut here each of the last three years, but he’s coming off of a T-24 at the HSBC Champions and T-27 at the Zozo Championship in far stronger fields.


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Brian Stuard +8000

Stuard ranks third by my stat model this week with a top rank of 11th in the field in SG: Around-the-Green. He finished T-23 last week at the Mayakoba Golf Classic and tied for fourth at the Shriners earlier this year.

RSM Classic – Longshots

Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports

Luke List +10000

List finished in a tie for fourth last season and tied for 13th in the fall of 2016.

Mackenzie Hughes +15000

The 2016 champion missed the cut each of the last two years, but he’s priced near the bottom of the board with a $10 bet returning a profit of $1500. He missed the cut at the OHL Classic the week before his 2016 victory so his current poor form isn’t a huge concern.

2019-20 winners: Joaquin Niemann – A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier (+2800)

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Mayakoba Golf Classic: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2019-20 Mayakoba Golf Classic and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for El Camaleon Golf Club.

The 2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic tees off this Thursday and marks the PGA Tour’s return from a three-event swing through Asia. El Camaleon Golf Club in Playa del Carmen, Mexico, remains host of the annual event which has been a staple of the fall portion of the Tour’s schedule. The Greg Norman-designed course measures 6,987 yards and plays as a par 71 under tournament conditions.

The 128-man field is fronted by defending champion Matt Kuchar and world No. 16 Tony FinauJustin ThomasTiger Woods and Rory McIlroy, who were all victorious in Asia, are all absent this week in wait of next month’s Hero World Challenge. Next week’s RSM Classic will be the final full-field event until the Sony Open, running Jan. 9-12, 2020.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2019-20 Mayakoba Golf Classic at El Camaleon Golf Club.

30. Russell Henley

Strong approach game at a course requiring golfers to take tight angles and dodge bunkers.

29. J.T. Poston

Returns to North America off of two top-30 finishes at the WGC-HSBC Champions and Zozo Championship.

28. Keegan Bradley

The 47th-ranked golfer in the world placed T-13 in a strong field at the Zozo Championship, but he was previously in poor form in North America and missed the cut at the Houston Open.

27. Aaron Wise

Tied for 10th last year following a missed cut in 2018. Bounced back from missing the cut at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open with a third-place finish at the Bermuda Championship.

26. Dylan Frittelli

Is closing in on the top 100 of the Official World Golf Rankings with a T-22 result at the Zozo Championship. Has a strong approach game and hits greens in regulation others can’t.

25. Cameron Champ

Photo Credit: Mark Konezny – USA TODAY Sports

Played in just two events since his win at the Safeway Open in September. Relies more heavily on his off-the-tee game than approaches.

24. Sebastian Munoz

Gained 1.56 strokes per round putting during his victory at the Sanderson Farms Championship. Hasn’t been able to recapture the success with the flat stick.

23. Russell Knox

Had three straight top 10s at this event before skipping last year’s tournament. Was the co-runner-up in 2015.

22. Graeme McDowell

The 2015 champion hasn’t finished better than T-24 since and missed the cut last year.

21. Charley Hoffman

The 2015 champ has missed four straight cuts since his victory. He can still create scoring opportunities but isn’t in consistent four-round form.

20. Jhonattan Vegas

One of the best in the field by Opportunities Gained. Finished T-10 in 2016 and made the cut in four of his last five tries.

19. Denny McCarthy

A spectacular putter who’s waiting to put it all together. The approach game is one of his greatest struggles as he’s often left saving par.

18. Rory Sabbatini

Finished T-33 at the Zozo Championship and T-31 at The CJ Cup. Enters the week 75th by the OWGR.

17. Danny Lee

Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports

Last year’s runner-up is coming off a T-10 at the Zozo and a solo runner-up at The CJ Cup against much stiffer competition.

16. Pat Perez

The 2016 champ rebounded from a T-34 finish in 2017 to tie for sixth last season. Was solo third at the Shriners but finished T-51 and T-31 in the first two events in Asia.

15. Harris English

Hasn’t played since a T-4 at the Houston Open. Ranks third in the field in Greens in Regulation Gained over everyone’s last 36 rounds.

14. Kyle Stanley

A great course fit who excels on the approach and can create scoring opportunities.

13. Scottie Scheffler

The recent Korn Ferry Tour grad is an expert ball striker. Finished T-28 at the Houston Open but rebounded with T-3 at Bermuda.

12. Billy Horschel

Played all three events in Asia with a top showing of T-6 at the Zozo. He has six top 10s and just two missed cuts in 25 events in 2019.

11. Charles Howell III

Well-experienced at this venue. Placed T-7 in 2016 and T-4 in 2017 before a missed cut last year.


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10. Lanto Griffin

Photo Credit: Eric Bolte – USA TODAY Sports

The current FedExCup points leader and winner of the Houston Open didn’t compete in any of the Asian tournaments. Excels off the tee and on the greens, but can struggle with the approach.

9. Abraham Ancer

The best golfer on the PGA Tour hailing from Mexico has a top finish of T-9 in 2017.

8. Chez Reavie

Four straight made cuts in this event with a top showing of T-4 in 2016. An excellent ball striker who has a great approach game.

7. Kevin Kisner

Ranks 35th in the world after finishing T-9 in each of the final two events of last season’s FedExCup Playoffs. Not in great form after finishing outside the top 25 in the final two events in Asia.

6. Joaquin Niemann

Has slipped back to 55th in the world after peaking at 50th with his breakout win at A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier. Finished T-60 in this event last year.

5. Emiliano Grillo

Photo Credit: Steve Flynn – USA TODAY Sports

His 15th-place finish here last year was his worst result in his last three appearances. Leads the field with 1.91 total strokes gained per round in this event since 2015.

4. Jason Day

The winner of MGM Resorts The Challenge: Japan Skins. Hasn’t finished higher than T-22 in a stroke-play event since the Travelers Championship.

3. Matt Kuchar

Last year’s champ. He had three other top 10s and two runner-ups last season but none since the RBC Canadian Open.

2. Tony Finau

The top-ranked golfer in the field by the OWGR. An expert ball striker with a great approach game and more than enough distance for this shorter venue.

1. Viktor Hovland

Leads the field in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking, Strokes Gained: Approach and Opportunities Gained over everyone’s most recent 36 rounds. Had disappointing showings at The CJ Cup and Zozo Championship but was T-10 at The Greenbrier and T-11 at the European Tour’s BMW PGA Championship.

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Mayakoba Golf Classic odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2020 Mayakoba Golf Classic and which golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at El Camaleon GC? We break it down within.

The PGA Tour returns to North America this week for the Mayakoba Golf Classic at El Camaleon Golf Club in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. The course measures 6,987 yards and plays as a par 71 under tournament conditions.

Courtesy of historical data from Fantasy National, the stats best associated with success at this venue are:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Greens in Regulation Gained

My model looks at the most recent 36 rounds for each golfer in the field.

Mayakoba Golf Classic – Tier 1

Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Viktor Hovland +2000

Hovland, 22, is tied with Jason DayMatt Kuchar and Tony Finau as the tournament favorite, according to the sportsbooks. He is ranked 97th by the Official World Golf Ranking and is still looking for his first career win after turning pro in the summer. Hovland leads the field in each of the four key stats.

Emiliano Grillo +3300

Grillo is a course horse. He finished 15th last year, T-9 in 2017 and T-10 in 2016. He’s coming off a T-30 in a much stronger field at the Zozo Championship in Japan, and he placed T-26 at The CJ Cup the week before. He ranks second to Hovland in most key stats and shares the lead in SG: Approach.

Mayakoba Golf Classic – Tier 2

Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

Chez Reavie +5000

Reavie participated in all three events the PGA Tour just played in Asia. His best result was a T-46 at The CJ Cup in South Korea. The 33rd-ranked golfer by the OWGR ranks sixth by the stat model and is in the top five of the field in SG: Ball Striking, SG: Approach and Opportunities Gained.


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Kyle Stanley +8000

Stanley plummeted down the OWGR last season while missing the cut in 10 of 25 events and picking up just one top-10 finish with a T-8 at the Wells Fargo Championship. He was ranked as high as 26th at the conclusion of the 2018 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational.

Mayakoba Golf Classic – Longshots

Photo Credit: Ray Carlin – USA TODAY Sports

Charley Hoffman +10000

Hoffman was the 2014 champion at El Camaleon. This number is too great for a winner from just five years ago as a $10 bet returns a $1,000 profit. He hasn’t made the cut in his last four appearances at this event, but he finished T-36 at The CJ Cup and certainly has experience on the course, even with the poor recent results.

Keith Mitchell +12500

Mitchell ranks just 73rd by the stat model, but he’s an excellent value as he has typically been priced much lower than this in more competitive fields. He made the cut here in each of his last two tries.

2019-20 winners: Joaquin Niemann – A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier (+2800)

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

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