The PGA Tour’s final full-field event on the 2019 calendar takes place this week in Glynn County, Ga., at Sea Island Golf Club with the RSM Classic.
The key stats for this week via historical data from Fantasy National are:
- Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Short Game
- Strokes Gained: Scrambling
- Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards
My model looks at the most recent 50 rounds for each golfer in the field.
RSM Classic – Tier 1
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.
Webb Simpson +900
Simpson is the top golfer in the field with a rank of 12th by the Official World Golf Ranking. He finished solo third here last season and finished T-7 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in his most recent event. He leads the stat model with top-five ranks in four of the five key stats.
Kevin Kisner +2200
Kisner won at Sea Island in 2015. After missing the cut the following year, he was T-4 in 2017 and T-7 last season. Ranked No. 34 in the world, he’s third in the field in par-4 efficiency from the key distance. He has gained more strokes per round at this venue than anyone other than Simpson (minimum 20 rounds played) since 2010, according to Data Golf.
RSM Classic – Tier 2
J.T. Poston +5000
Poston missed the cut here each of the last three years, but he’s coming off of a T-24 at the HSBC Champions and T-27 at the Zozo Championship in far stronger fields.
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Brian Stuard +8000
Stuard ranks third by my stat model this week with a top rank of 11th in the field in SG: Around-the-Green. He finished T-23 last week at the Mayakoba Golf Classic and tied for fourth at the Shriners earlier this year.
RSM Classic – Longshots
Luke List +10000
List finished in a tie for fourth last season and tied for 13th in the fall of 2016.
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
The 2016 champion missed the cut each of the last two years, but he’s priced near the bottom of the board with a $10 bet returning a profit of $1500. He missed the cut at the OHL Classic the week before his 2016 victory so his current poor form isn’t a huge concern.
2019-20 winners: Joaquin Niemann – A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier (+2800)
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