10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 11. Going West

What are the 10 best college football predictions against the spread? This week we go West for some of the more interesting predictions of the week.

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 11? This week we go West for some of the more interesting predictions of the week.


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Results So Far ATS: 62-48-1

After a rocky run it’s time for a road trip to shake things up a bit.

This week we go west for most of the 10 best predictions against the spread. There’s a reason for this – there are a TON of good-looking matchups – Nevada shouldn’t be an underdog against San Diego State and Utah State will probably beat San Jose State outright.

But first come the tried and true foundation selections.

While the picks have been up-and-down over the last few weeks – fewer games to choose from and less big spreads to exploit like there are in September – the overall record is still solid because of four core beliefs.

If you’ve been with the program, you know by now that …

1. Always go over on a point total in the mid-30s. Too many things can go right, unless it’s Army-Air Force, which once again proved to defy all laws of logic and reason.

2. Always go under on a point total in the mid-70s. Too many things can go wrong, like a torrential downpour late in the Pitt-North Carolina game.

3. Always take the underdog if it’s getting 45 points or more. Games can be blowouts without being brutal.

Over the long haul, if you stick with those three principles you should be okay – as long as you’re using good judgment, like going over on the Wednesday night Central Michigan-Kent State insanity.

Two of the three are foundations are represented this week, and there’s a fourth tried and true belief that – if you’ve been with this all year – has done you a big-time solid.

We kickoff our trip out west by making a stop at the fourth core belief for 2021. You ALWAYS go against …

Click on each game for the preview

10. Kansas at Texas

LINE Texas -31
ATS PICK Texas

Full disclosure – I wouldn’t come near this if it didn’t involve Kansas, but as the man said, you dance with the one that brung ya.

Oklahoma couldn’t get the job done against Kansas against the spread a few weeks ago, but that’s been it. 1-8 ATS – including not covering the +24 in a 35-10 loss to Kansas State last week – to continue an epic heater of a run going back to the beginning of last year.

Texas is a mess.

It completely lost its stuff ever since that fourth down run by Caleb Williams halfway through the loss to Oklahoma. However, as bad as things look, the five teams Texas has lost to – at Arkansas, Oklahoma (in Dallas), Oklahoma State, at Baylor, at Iowa State) are all terrific.

How many times as Kansas lost by more than 31? Three in the last seven games.

Whatever. It’s Kansas, there’s a spread, and we stay on the ride until it stops for good.

So that’s one of the staples. Another foundation pick …

CFN Week 11 Experts Picks: College

9. New Mexico State at Alabama

LINE Alabama -51.5
ATS PICK New Mexico State

Besides the gimmicky aspect of always taking the underdogs with a point spread this high, this actually isn’t a bad call.

Of course New Mexico State will get annihilated – it lost 62-10 to Bama back in early 2019, hence the number – but this version can actually score a little bit.

No, it’s not going to keep up, but all you’re looking for are 10-to-14 points, and the Aggies can do that.

Mercer got 14 on this Tide team back in September. Southern Miss got rolled 63-14. Neither one of those games pushed past the 51.5, and New Mexico State is better.

As always with these picks, think of it this way – you’re walking into the stadium up 51-0. It can be a total wipeout – like 63-14 – and you’re fine.

Keeping with the weekly foundations, the over.

CFN Week 10 Experts Picks: NFL

8. Minnesota at Iowa

LINE 37 Point Total
ATS PICK Over

Last week in the exact same spot I said the exact same thing.

Too many things can go right with a low 37 point total, like one team can get the job done all by itself.

Last week here at the 8: Wisconsin 52, Rutgers 3.

Minnesota scored 41 against Northwestern. Before that it scored 34 against Maryland and put up 31 on Nebraska on the way to hitting the 30-point mark six times so far.

The problem is Iowa.

This team just doesn’t score. Something is wrong if you’re beating Northwestern 17-12, and yes, I demanded you go over on the low point total against Wisconsin. Both teams sort of decided they were done early in the fourth of a 27-7 Badger win.

It’s a point total of 37, and it’ll probably drop.

Before going west, two ACC games.

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: Notre Dame at Virginia

Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

Notre Dame vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Notre Dame vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 6


Notre Dame vs Navy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 6
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN
How To Watch: NBC
Record: Notre Dame (7-1), Navy (2-6)
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Notre Dame vs Navy Game Preview


Why Navy Will Win

Navy might not be as strong or as effective as it should be – the running game isn’t a dominant force that takes over games – but it’s still Navy.

This team still controls the clock, it still runs the option, and it’s getting just good enough to push good teams like Cincinnati and SMU even when it’s not running for 300 yards.

Notre Dame’s defense has been terrific all season long, but it just got hit by North Carolina for 224 yards. As much as Navy wants to slow things down, it’s going to be even more deliberate in this – it’ll have the ball for 36 minutes. However …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 10

Why Notre Dame Will Win

Notre Dame’s defense is having problems … against teams that can throw.

North Carolina might have run well last week, but that’s a totally different animal than what Navy brings – the Midshipmen don’t have Sam Howell at quarterback.

You threw for as many yards last week as Navy did in its win over Tulsa.

Yeah, it’s Navy, and yeah, it might have a knuckleball of an offense, but the Irish defensive front isn’t going to allow anything from the fullbacks up the gut and there won’t be any issues for this linebacking corps to hold up on the outside.

And that’s the option – do both of those things, and everything will be okay.

Along with a defense that should be able to handle what’s coming …

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 9

What’s Going To Happen

Notre Dame has an offense, too.

There’s no need to take any chances here. Run the ball, keep running it, and give Navy a taste of its own medicine by controlling the clock enough on the ground to matter.

Safe, easy throws. Don’t be afraid to punt and win the field position battle, and don’t give the Navy offense anything easy to work with. The Irish can do that – it only has one turnover in the last four games.

Don’t expect sensational – there might not be another run like Kyren Williams came up with last week against the Tar Heels – but methodical will work.

College Football Schedule: Week 10 Predictions, Lines

Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction, Lines

Notre Dame 34, Navy 13
Line: Notre Dame -20.5, o/u: 47.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3

5: Belfast
1: Ghostbusters: Afterlife

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10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 10. Righting The Wrong

10 best college football predictions against the spread for Week 10, with a whole lot of big calls after an epic weekend of craziness in the betting world.

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 10? After one of the wildest weekends ever, we’re righting the wrong.


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I’m a professional.

I’ve seen it all, done even more, and I know well enough that when a pick goes the wrong way, you have a short memory, brush it off, and move on.

Last week was something … different.

I was already mad that the over didn’t come in my absolute lock of Wisconsin-Iowa at 36.5 – it stalled at 34 when both teams basically quit with 13 minutes to play and had a TON of chances to score.

Fine. It happens.

So Oregon and Cincinnati didn’t play like teams that really want to make big national statements against bad teams. Okay, no big deal.

That didn’t bother me, but Wyoming and San Jose State was going absolutely nowhere – until the Cowboys scored in the final moments to hit the over on the 41.

And then there was the game that will live in infamy.

Everyone had a part of Clemson and Florida State one way or another.

The under on the 48 was supposed to be a rock, all was fine, and … well, you know what happened.

I literally had to take a walk around the block on that one.

But that’s the deal. This is the life we’ve chosen. The belief systems are sound, you don’t stray from what you know to be right, and that’s why these picks are all correct.

I think.

We deserve it after the Death Valley Disaster.

So how do we get over this? We start with a pick that I know in my heart is probably wrong, but …

Results So Far ATS: 58-42-1

Click on each game for the preview

10. Wake Forest at North Carolina

LINE 77 Point Total
ATS PICK Under

This pick is wrong, but a man is nothing without his principles.

When finalizing the picks in the game previews, I always go with the score before looking at the lines – I don’t want to be influenced one way or the other.

In this, we went with a shootout that goes just over the 77-point total. But if you’ve been with this piece all year, you know that over the long haul, if you do the same thing every time you will be up if …

You ALWAYS go under on a massive point total of 80 or more, and 77 is close enough.

Wake Forest games are wild, North Carolina has thrown a couple of 59 spots on the board, but – and there are no such things as jinxes or curses … I think – we’ve nailed this dead-cold this year when going with the unders on massive totals.

Like the under on Wake Forest-Duke last week, which came at 51 on the 71.5.

As always, if it’s wrong, then you’re paying for the entertainment of a wild game, and enjoy the show.

(Everyone, now take a deep breath, because we’re diving right back in and about to right a horrible, horrible wrong.)

If you have kids around, please don’t let them look at this NSFW pick …

CFN Week 10 Experts Picks: College

9. Clemson at Louisville

LINE 46.5 Point Total
ATS PICK Under

Yeah, this is an all-timer YOU OWE ME, WORLD of a chaser, but like Clemson -4, and if it’s not too soon for you – I still have leftover trays of meats and cheeses sent to me by close friends and acquaintances after the day of mourning – go back in on the point total.

We were right. We were ALL right.

Of course the under was the play last week on Florida State-Clemson.

OF COURSE it was.

It took an all-timer of a final play – brilliantly broken down by Scott and Steve on their Bad Beats segment – for us to lose that.

The pick didn’t come in. It doesn’t mean we were necessarily wrong, and the same belief still holds.

Clemson games are really, really, really low scoring. Take out that putrid late touchdown, and the Tigers scored 23 points or fewer in every FBS game.

The Louisville defense isn’t playing that poorly, and the offense only came up with 13 on NC State. It’s not likely to crank it up in the high 20s here.

While we’re purging all of last week’s pain and suffering by begging for more of it, let’s go with another before moving on to more mature picks for serious people.

Wisconsin, let’s go.

CFN Week 9 Experts Picks: NFL 

8. Wisconsin at Rutgers

LINE 37 Point Total
ATS PICK Over

It’s the SAME thing.

It took something catastrophic to lose the Florida State-Clemson point total, and it took something totally weird to get the Iowa-Wisconsin total wrong.

Just like you always go under on the massive point totals, you always go over on the puny ones. Too many things can go right, and in this, there’s one thing that might really make this work.

Wisconsin could hit the 37 all by itself.

The Badger offense is still awful, and it would be more than happy to get up 23-3 and sit on the ball for the last half hour of the game.

I know, three of the last four Wisconsin games haven’t hit 35, much less 38. I know, the last two Rutgers games made college football sad – and they didn’t get to 35, either.

Michigan State scored 31 on Rutgers. Ohio State got to 52.

Fiiiiiiiiiine, the under is the smart, sensible call considering how amazing the Badger D is, but all you’re asking for is 27-10 to get there, and anything else to go over.

Never let a point total of 37 go to waste.

Next, a point total that shouldn’t be right, and if it is, it’s not your fault …

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: UNLV at New Mexico

Navy vs Tulsa Prediction, Game Preview

Navy vs Tulsa prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win Friday night.

Navy vs Tulsa prediction, game preview, how to watch: Friday, October 29


Navy vs Tulsa How To Watch

Date: Friday, October 29
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Navy (1-6), Tulsa (3-4)
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Navy vs Tulsa Game Preview


Why Navy Will Win

The running game is just okay …

There’s partially a rip, but really it’s a bit of a plus considering it was held in check by Cincinnati and yet it was still close late thanks to the team’s best passing game of the season.

It was only 116 yards, but it was enough to help move the O a wee bit in the 27-20 loss. Tulsa has been okay against the run, but that’s more of a stat thing – everyone is busy throwing on the leaky secondary. The Midshipmen just need to control the clock and stay alive – Tulsa will screw it up from there.

With too many penalties and three turnovers in two of the last three games, Tulsa hasn’t been tight enough. Now it goes against a team that doesn’t get flagged and doesn’t turn the ball over.

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 9

Why Tulsa Will Win

Navy is 1-6 for a reason. Actually, a few reasons.

The defense doesn’t do anything to get into the backfield, which is part of the reason the secondary has such a hard time coming up with stops. The offense might control the clock, but it just doesn’t have enough from its running game to make up for the issues everywhere else.

The third down conversions aren’t there, and the O doesn’t get bailed out by a punting game that doesn’t blast away.

Tulsa’s running game has kicked it in. The Navy run D doesn’t give up a ton of yards, but Tulsa has hit the 235-yard mark in three of the last four games – all wins and should lead the game in rushing.

RB Shamari Brooks – who missed last season hurt – is on a tear, he’s taking the pressure off a passing game that doesn’t have to force anything, and …

College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews, Week 9

What’s Going To Happen

It’s this simple – Navy doesn’t run well enough, and it doesn’t have anything else to fall back on.

It’s able to keep games close despite being outmatched, but there’s a hard ceiling on just how much the team can do when it’s not getting to 200 yards.

Expect this to be close late with Navy making a late push, but Tulsa will hold on with a long drive of its own.

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 8

Navy vs Tulsa Prediction, Lines

Tulsa 30, Navy 24
Line: Tulsa -11, o/u: 47
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: The French Dispatch
1: Finch

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Cincinnati vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Navy Midshipmen prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

Cincinnati vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23


Cincinnati vs Navy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Annapolis, MD
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Cincinnati (6-0), Navy (1-5)
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Why Cincinnati Will Win

The defense can tackle.

Obviously, dealing with the Navy offense isn’t like handling any other rushing attack, but the Bearcat D has yet to allow more than 170 rushing yards this season, the NFL talent in the secondary can tackle, and the pressure generated by the front that’s helped account for 40 tackles for loss per game should be a big bother.

And it’s not like the Navy rushing attack is rocking.

It was stuffed by Air Force for 36 yards, it isn’t consistent, and even when it has been fantastic it hasn’t necessarily meant success – it ran for 337 yards in the 49-7 loss to Marshall.

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Why Navy Will Win

But … it’s the Navy option attack.

The Cincinnati schedule – as Bearcats are all too sick of hearing about – isn’t all that great to finish up the season. SMU is dangerous, but if there’s one thing that might be able to derail this special season, it’s an option attack that on the right day, could be the differentiating factor.

It’s Navy, so it’s going to control the clock for close to 35 minutes, the rushing offense will have its moments, and there’s a shot that it could keep this close at home – like it did against SMU – with a chance to pull this off late.

However …

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What’s Going To Happen

There’s a good chance Cincinnati outgains Navy on the ground.

As the wins over Temple and UCF showed, this is a fully-focused Bearcat team that isn’t taking anyone lightly.

Navy will have a few good drives, but the defense won’t be able to slow down the Bearcat machine that will grind through the first half and bust through early in the second.

CFN Week 7 NFL Expert Picks

Cincinnati vs Navy Prediction, Line

Cincinnati 48, Navy 17
Line: Cincinnati -28, o/u: 49
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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Navy vs Memphis Prediction, Game Preview

Navy vs Memphis prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 16

Navy vs Memphis prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 16


Navy vs Memphis How To Watch

Date: Thursday, October 14
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Navy (1-4), Memphis (3-3)
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Navy vs Memphis Game Preview


Why Navy Will Win

Memphis is in a freefall … sort of.

It stunned Mississippi State, and then lost three straight close battles thanks to a defense that couldn’t slow down the UTSA and Tulsa running games and was hit for 479 yards by Temple.

Okay, freefall is a reach, but it’s catching a Navy team that’s playing better than it did earlier in the year. It’s still having problems taking over games and dominating the clock with its style of play, but it’s dealing with a defense that can’t get off the field.

Navy should have the ball for at least 35 minutes.

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Why Memphis Will Win

Navy isn’t able to run well enough.

With absolutely no passing game, averaging fewer than four yards per carry and failing to roll for 250 rushing yards every time out is a problem. But it’s more than that.

All the parts have to work right. The Navy punting game isn’t helping the overall field position battle, the special teams as a whole are struggling, and the offense isn’t scoring enough when it gets its chances.

On the flip side, the Memphis offense is tearing it up with close to 1,100 yards over the last three weeks.

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What’s Going To Happen

Memphis has to strike quickly, make Navy press, and then strike again before the ball control issues become a big problem.

Navy will get its rushing yards, and it’ll come up with two takeaways to keep this from getting out of hand, but the Tiger O will move however it wants to and one big special teams play – like on a punt return – will help seal it.

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Navy vs Memphis Prediction, Line

Memphis 34, Navy 24
Line: Memphis -10.5, o/u: 56
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 2

5: Caramel apple anything
1: Pumpkin spice anything

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SMU vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

SMU vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

SMU vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9


SMU vs Navy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Stadium, Annapolis, MD
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: SMU (5-0), Navy (1-3)
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SMU vs Navy Game Preview


Why SMU Will Win

The run defense is good enough

Navy was able to shock UCF last week by running for a season-high 348 yards and three touchdowns, but it’s still not tearing off yards in chunks.

It helped that UCF didn’t have QB Dillon Gabriel, but the bigger issue was the defense that doesn’t get behind the line and couldn’t stop the Navy O before it could get on the move.

SMU isn’t a brick wall, but it has yet to allow more than 170 rushing yards and only gave up more than 132 once.

On the other side, SMU QB Tanner Mordecai has been on fire with four touchdown passes or more in every game. He’ll push the Navy secondary, but …

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Why Navy Will Win

SMU’s defense doesn’t get behind the line. Again, that was a problem for UCF, and SMU doesn’t have the defensive front to make a whole slew of tackles for loss.

Navy isn’t going to throw the ball a ton – that’s obviously not what it does – but it’s effective when it does take its shots down the field. It only might be for four completions or so, but the O has averaged close to 13 yards per attempt over the last two games.

SMU will give up a few deep passes to go along with having to deal with the Navy ground game.

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What’s Going To Happen

Mordecai has been incredible.

He’s been great, the receiving combination of Danny Gray and Rashee Rice have been fantastic, and it’s all going to work against a Navy defense that won’t generate any semblance of a pass rush.

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SMU vs Navy Prediction, Line

SMU 41, Navy 17
Line: SMU -13.5, o/u: 56
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: When Facebook and Instagram are down
1: The Bradshaw Bunch

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UCF vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

UCF vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2

UCF vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2


UCF vs Navy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 2
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Stadium, Annapolis, MD
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: UCF (2-1), Navy (0-3)
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UCF vs Navy Game Preview


Why UCF Will Win

Navy can’t do enough to get its O going.

For this to work, the Midshipmen have to control everything about the game, and they can’t convert on third downs, they’re not punting well enough to own the field position battle, and worse of all, they’re not scoring when they get the chance – they’re one of the worst in the nation in red zone scoring.

Can UCF stop the run? Sort of. Louisville was the only one of the three teams that really tried, but even it couldn’t get to 200 yards.

Can Navy stop a decent passing game? Not really. Marshall and Houston were able to throw at will, but …

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Why Navy Will Win

UCF won’t have star QB Dillon Gabriel, who’s out with a broken clavicle. Mikey Keene is a talented prospect, but he’s just a freshman and is hardly battle tested.

For all of the struggles Navy is having on the lines, it’s still able to run well enough to matter and it’s still controlling the clock and the time of possession. And it’s Navy – there aren’t any penalties and the turnovers are at a minimum. It won’t beat itself, but …

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What’s Going To Happen

The Navy running game isn’t dominating like it needs to. On the flip side, UCF should be able to run and run some more against a struggling Midshipmen defensive front.

Keene will be just fine. He’ll get help.

RB Isaiah Bowser is banged up, but there’s a deep stable of backs for a rotation that should keep on pounding away. The UCF offensive line will take over for stretches, Navy won’t control the time of possession battle with a few early outs, and UCF will get back on track after the Louisville loss.

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UCF vs Navy Prediction, Line

UCF 34, Navy 17
Line: UCF -16.5, o/u: 53.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2

5: ‘The Low End Theory’ 30th anniversary
1: Not knowing how David Letterman rolls

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Navy vs Houston Prediction, Game Preview

Navy vs Houston prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25

Navy vs Houston prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25


Navy vs Houston How To Watch

Date: Saturday, September 25
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX
How To Watch: ESPNU
Record: Navy (0-2), Houston (2-1)
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Navy vs Houston Game Preview


Why Navy Will Win

Eventually this running game is going to work.

That’s sort of the wrong way to put it. Navy ran for 337 yard in the opener against Marshall, but the offense only scored seven points. The O is able to control the clock, but it hasn’t mattered quite yet.

Houston hasn’t had to deal with a real running game yet – Rice is the only team it faced that thinks about the ground attack.

On the other side, the Cougars can’t keep defenses out of the backfield, there are too many sacks given up, and there’s little happening with the downfield passing game because there just isn’t enough time to work.

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Why Houston Will Win

Navy doesn’t score.

It’s a disaster in the red zone – Navy has scored on just two of seven trips inside the 20 – and there’s no passing game to worry about, even in a once-in-a-while-to-keep-a-D honest sort of way.

Even worse to stop Houston, there’s no pass rush. The Midshipmen aren’t generating anything in the backfield and they’re not coming up with enough big plays to overcome the offensive woes.

Houston has the defensive front that can get behind the line with regularity, and worst of all for Navy, the offense controls the clock. The Cougars hold the ball for well over 34 minutes per game.

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What’s Going To Happen

Navy is having too many problems.

Eventually the ground attack will rise up and rip someone apart, but the defense isn’t doing enough to hold down Houston and the offensive line isn’t going to be able to handle the pressure. Navy will get its rushing yards, and it won’t be nearly enough.

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Navy vs Houston Prediction, Line

Houston 34, Navy 14
Line: Houston -19, o/u: 47
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5

Must See Rating: w

5: Muhammad Ali film by Ken Burns
1: Dear Evan Hansen

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Air Force vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

Air Force vs Navy prediction and game preview.

Air Force vs Navy prediction and game preview.


Air Force vs Navy Broadcast

Date: Saturday, September 11
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
Network: CBS

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Air Force (1-0) vs Navy (0-1) Game Preview


Why Air Force Will Win

The Navy running game worked against Marshall and it didn’t matter.

It didn’t matter in the 49-7 loss because the D couldn’t hold down Grant Wells from bombing away and didn’t hold firm in the red zone when it was getting hit for six touchdown runs.

Air Force had a much easier game against Lafayette to open up the season, but it was exactly the type of tune-up it needed. The O put up 28 first half points, QB Haaziq Daniels was terrific at operating the attack, and the run defense swarmed behind the line stuffed everything the Leopards tried to do.

Again, Navy’s O worked. It owned the clock for over 41 minutes, the D came up with three takeaways, and it didn’t matter.

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Why Navy Will Win

But the running game really did work.

The problem came against Wells and a Marshall passing game that kept pressing the questionable Navy secondary, and that’s not going to be a problem against Air Force outside of a few deep shot chances here and there.

More often than not – even against Air Force – Navy will be on the right side of the tempo and the game if the ground attack works like it did last week. It has to play the same game as the Falcons, only better.

Marshall lived behind the line and forced way too many longer downs and distances. Air Force isn’t going to generate the same pressure.

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What’s Going To Happen

Navy still needs more work defensively.

Air Force will be a little crisper and a little more effective through the air the five-or-so times that Daniels will try stretching the field. Navy will go on the long marches and it’ll control the clock, but the Falcons will do the scoring at the end of their drives.

The home team has won the last eight times, but …

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Air Force vs Navy Prediction, Line

Air Force 31, Navy 14
Line: Air Force -6, o/u: 40
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5

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Must See Rating: 4

5: Curb Your Enthusiasm, Season 11
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