UCF vs Navy Prediction Game Preview

UCF vs Navy game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 12 game on Saturday, November 19

UCF vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 12, Saturday, November 19


UCF vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

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UCF vs Navy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 19
Game Time: 11:00 ET
Venue: FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, FL
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: UCF (8-2), Navy (3-7)
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Why Navy Will Win

The wins might not be there, but the team hasn’t been all that miserable. The running game is okay even if it’s not its dominant self, there aren’t any mistakes – the penalties and turnovers have been kept to a minimum – and there’s a chance it all comes together in a special performance.

Can UCF gear up the focus?

It’s coming off a huge win over Tulane that put the New Year’s Six bowl appearance on the table, and now it has to hold up against the curveball of a ground attack.

Tulane was able to get its backs into space averaging close to six yards per carry, and Navy should do the same. However …

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Why UCF Will Win

The Navy running game is good, but UCF’s is better.

The powerful O has hit 200 yards or more in four of the last five games and leads the AAC with about 250 per game. The Navy run defense has been great over the last few games, but that’s partly because everyone has been throwing.

UCF will run.

QB John Rhys Plumlee has been running wild – he hit Tulane for 176 yards and two scores – Isaiah Bowser will bang away, and the rest of the options will keep grinding.

But …

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What’s Going To Happen

Can the Navy run defense hold up?

Again, the stats are skewed because opposing teams throw, but UCF will be balanced, it’ll average five yards per carry, and it’ll set up a shot at cementing a place in the AAC title game.

It might take a win over USF next week to do that, but first the offense has to keep up with the Navy offense that will take off for well over 200 yards.

The UCF offense will control the game better.

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UCF vs Navy Prediction, Line

UCF 34, Navy 20
Line: UCF -15.5, o/u: 52.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
UCF vs Navy Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5

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UCF vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

UCF vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2

UCF vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2


UCF vs Navy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 2
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Stadium, Annapolis, MD
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: UCF (2-1), Navy (0-3)
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UCF vs Navy Game Preview


Why UCF Will Win

Navy can’t do enough to get its O going.

For this to work, the Midshipmen have to control everything about the game, and they can’t convert on third downs, they’re not punting well enough to own the field position battle, and worse of all, they’re not scoring when they get the chance – they’re one of the worst in the nation in red zone scoring.

Can UCF stop the run? Sort of. Louisville was the only one of the three teams that really tried, but even it couldn’t get to 200 yards.

Can Navy stop a decent passing game? Not really. Marshall and Houston were able to throw at will, but …

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Why Navy Will Win

UCF won’t have star QB Dillon Gabriel, who’s out with a broken clavicle. Mikey Keene is a talented prospect, but he’s just a freshman and is hardly battle tested.

For all of the struggles Navy is having on the lines, it’s still able to run well enough to matter and it’s still controlling the clock and the time of possession. And it’s Navy – there aren’t any penalties and the turnovers are at a minimum. It won’t beat itself, but …

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What’s Going To Happen

The Navy running game isn’t dominating like it needs to. On the flip side, UCF should be able to run and run some more against a struggling Midshipmen defensive front.

Keene will be just fine. He’ll get help.

RB Isaiah Bowser is banged up, but there’s a deep stable of backs for a rotation that should keep on pounding away. The UCF offensive line will take over for stretches, Navy won’t control the time of possession battle with a few early outs, and UCF will get back on track after the Louisville loss.

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UCF vs Navy Prediction, Line

UCF 34, Navy 17
Line: UCF -16.5, o/u: 53.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2

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