10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 11. Going West

What are the 10 best college football predictions against the spread? This week we go West for some of the more interesting predictions of the week.

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 11? This week we go West for some of the more interesting predictions of the week.


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Week 11 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Week 11 Experts Picks: College
CFN Week 10 Experts Picks: NFL 
Week 11 Schedule, Game Times, Game Previews
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Results So Far ATS: 62-48-1

After a rocky run it’s time for a road trip to shake things up a bit.

This week we go west for most of the 10 best predictions against the spread. There’s a reason for this – there are a TON of good-looking matchups – Nevada shouldn’t be an underdog against San Diego State and Utah State will probably beat San Jose State outright.

But first come the tried and true foundation selections.

While the picks have been up-and-down over the last few weeks – fewer games to choose from and less big spreads to exploit like there are in September – the overall record is still solid because of four core beliefs.

If you’ve been with the program, you know by now that …

1. Always go over on a point total in the mid-30s. Too many things can go right, unless it’s Army-Air Force, which once again proved to defy all laws of logic and reason.

2. Always go under on a point total in the mid-70s. Too many things can go wrong, like a torrential downpour late in the Pitt-North Carolina game.

3. Always take the underdog if it’s getting 45 points or more. Games can be blowouts without being brutal.

Over the long haul, if you stick with those three principles you should be okay – as long as you’re using good judgment, like going over on the Wednesday night Central Michigan-Kent State insanity.

Two of the three are foundations are represented this week, and there’s a fourth tried and true belief that – if you’ve been with this all year – has done you a big-time solid.

We kickoff our trip out west by making a stop at the fourth core belief for 2021. You ALWAYS go against …

Click on each game for the preview

10. Kansas at Texas

LINE Texas -31
ATS PICK Texas

Full disclosure – I wouldn’t come near this if it didn’t involve Kansas, but as the man said, you dance with the one that brung ya.

Oklahoma couldn’t get the job done against Kansas against the spread a few weeks ago, but that’s been it. 1-8 ATS – including not covering the +24 in a 35-10 loss to Kansas State last week – to continue an epic heater of a run going back to the beginning of last year.

Texas is a mess.

It completely lost its stuff ever since that fourth down run by Caleb Williams halfway through the loss to Oklahoma. However, as bad as things look, the five teams Texas has lost to – at Arkansas, Oklahoma (in Dallas), Oklahoma State, at Baylor, at Iowa State) are all terrific.

How many times as Kansas lost by more than 31? Three in the last seven games.

Whatever. It’s Kansas, there’s a spread, and we stay on the ride until it stops for good.

So that’s one of the staples. Another foundation pick …

CFN Week 11 Experts Picks: College

9. New Mexico State at Alabama

LINE Alabama -51.5
ATS PICK New Mexico State

Besides the gimmicky aspect of always taking the underdogs with a point spread this high, this actually isn’t a bad call.

Of course New Mexico State will get annihilated – it lost 62-10 to Bama back in early 2019, hence the number – but this version can actually score a little bit.

No, it’s not going to keep up, but all you’re looking for are 10-to-14 points, and the Aggies can do that.

Mercer got 14 on this Tide team back in September. Southern Miss got rolled 63-14. Neither one of those games pushed past the 51.5, and New Mexico State is better.

As always with these picks, think of it this way – you’re walking into the stadium up 51-0. It can be a total wipeout – like 63-14 – and you’re fine.

Keeping with the weekly foundations, the over.

CFN Week 10 Experts Picks: NFL

8. Minnesota at Iowa

LINE 37 Point Total
ATS PICK Over

Last week in the exact same spot I said the exact same thing.

Too many things can go right with a low 37 point total, like one team can get the job done all by itself.

Last week here at the 8: Wisconsin 52, Rutgers 3.

Minnesota scored 41 against Northwestern. Before that it scored 34 against Maryland and put up 31 on Nebraska on the way to hitting the 30-point mark six times so far.

The problem is Iowa.

This team just doesn’t score. Something is wrong if you’re beating Northwestern 17-12, and yes, I demanded you go over on the low point total against Wisconsin. Both teams sort of decided they were done early in the fourth of a 27-7 Badger win.

It’s a point total of 37, and it’ll probably drop.

Before going west, two ACC games.

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: Notre Dame at Virginia

ACC Predictions, Schedule, Game Previews, Lines, How To Watch: Week 11

ACC Week 11 college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings: North Carolina at Pitt, UConn at Clemson, Syracuse at Louisville, Miami at Florida State, Boston College at Georgia Tech, Duke at Virginia Tech, NC State at Wake Forest, Notre Dame at Virginia

ACC college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings for Week 11 of the season.


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Click on each game for game preview & prediction

ACC Results So Far
SU: 56-28, ATS: 50-33-1, Point Total: 42-41

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 11

Thursday, November 11

North Carolina at Pitt

7:30, ESPN
Line: Pitt -6.5, o/u: 73

Saturday, November 13

UConn at Clemson

12:00, ACC Network
Line: Clemson -40.5, o/u: 51

Syracuse at Louisville

12:00, ESPN3
Line: Louisville -3, o/u: 55.5

NFL Expert Picks: CFN Week 10

Miami at Florida State

3:30, ESPN
Line: Miami -2.5, o/u: 60.5

Boston College at Georgia Tech

3:30, ESPN3
Line: Georgia Tech -2, o/u: 54

Duke at Virginia Tech

3:30, ACC Network
Line: Virginia Tech -11.5, o/u: 50

NC State at Wake Forest

7:30, ACC Network
Line: Wake Forest -2, o/u: 66.5

Notre Dame at Virginia

7:30, ABC
Line: Notre Dame -5.5, o/u: 64.5

College Football Schedule: Week 11 Predictions, Lines

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Fearless Predictions of Every Game
Bowl Projections | Rankings

College Football Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 11

College football expert picks and predictions for Week 11’s biggest games including Georgia at Tennessee, Oklahoma at Baylor, and Michigan at Penn State

College football expert picks, predictions for Week 11, highlighted by Georgia at Tennessee, Texas A&M at Ole Miss, Oklahoma at Baylor, and Michigan at Penn State.


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* next to the pick means the team will win, but not cover.
Click on each game for the game preview and CFN Prediction

CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews

Week 11 College Football Expert Picks
Buffalo at Miami Univ | Ohio at EMU
Ball State at NIU | Kent State at CMU
North Carolina at Pitt | Cincinnati at USF
Wyoming at Boise St | NMSU at Alabama
Michigan at Penn St | Oklahoma at Baylor
Miss St at Auburn | Northwestern at Wisc
Georgia at Tennessee | Purdue at Ohio St
Minnesota at Iowa | Maryland at Michigan St
Texas A&M at Ole Miss | NC St at Wake Forest
Notre Dame at Virginia | Arkansas at LSU
TCU at Okla State | Wash State at Oregon
Nevada at SDSU | Utah State at SJSU
Results So Far | Week 11 Schedule

Buffalo at Miami University

7:00, ESPNU
Line: Miami University -7.5, o/u: 57

Gill Alexander, VSIN: Miami Univ
Adam Dubbin, GatorsWire.com Miami Univ
Jeff Feyerer, CFN: Buffalo
Pete Fiutak, CFN: Miami Univ.
Dan Harralson, VolsWire.com: Miami Univ*
Phil Harrison, BuckeyesWire.com: Buffalo
Jeremy Mauss, MWwire.com: Miami Univ
Kevin McGuire, NittanyLionsWire.com: Miami Univ*
Johnny Rosenstein, SportsBookWire.com: Miami Univ*
Nick Shepkowski, FightingIrishWire.com: Miami Univ
Scott Steehn, WinnersandWhiners.com: Miami Univ
Joe Vitale, UGAWire.com: Miami Univ
Clucko the Chicken, CFN: Buffalo
CONSENSUS PICK: Miami Univ

NEXT: Ohio at Eastern Michigan Expert Picks, Predictions